• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제51권7호
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• pp.585-597
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• 2018

본 연구는 미래기후변화에 따른 청미천 유역의 향후 수질 변화를 검토하고, 최적관리기법으로의 접근을 이용한 비점오염물질 저감 대책의 유효성을 살펴보는 것을 목적으로 수행되었다. 기후변화에 따른 미래 수문 및 수질변수의 변화를 살펴보기 위하여 Soil and Water Assessment Tool(SWAT) 모형을 이용하였으며, SWAT 모형의 매개변수는 SWAT-CUP을 이용하여 보정하였다. 구축된 Representative Concentration Pathway(RCP) 시나리오 중 RCP 4.5 및 8.5 두 개 시나리오를 이용하여 미래 기후를 고려하였다. 모의 결과로부터 기후 변화가 심화될수록 강우 및 비점오염물질의 유출이 증가하는 것으로 예측되었다. 또한 적절한 최적관리기법을 통해 비점오염물질의 총량뿐만 아니라 시간에 따른 변동성도 함께 효과적으로 저감될 수 있는 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국방송∙미디어공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국방송공학회 2009년도 IWAIT
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• pp.17-22
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• 2009

In this paper, we discuss two fundamental issues of hybrid scene representation: constructing and rendering. A hybrid scene consists of triangular meshes and point-set models. Consider the maturity of modeling techniques of triangular meshes, we suggest that generate a point-set model from a triangular mesh might be an easier and more economical way. We improve stratified sampling by introducing the concept of priority. Our method has the flexibility that one may easily change the importance criteria by substituting priority functions. While many works were devoted to blend rendering results of point and triangle, our work tries to render point-set models and triangular meshes as individuals. We propose a novel way to eliminate depth occlusion artifacts and to texture a point-set model. Finally, we implement our rendering algorithm with the new features of the shader model 4.0 and turns out to be easily integrated with existing rendering techniques for triangular meshes.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.57-71
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• 2002

본 논문에서는 지수생존 모형의 형태들로써 단순 지수모형, 변환 점 지수모형과 유한 혼합 지수모형 등 세 가지 모형을 소개한다. 이러한 모형들 중에서, 최적의 모형을 찾기 위하여 Gelfand와 Ghosh(1998)의 방법을 이용한 모형 선택 방법을 제안한다. 이때, 계산상의 어려움을 피하기 위하여 자료 확장 기법(Tanner와 Wong, 1987)과 깁스 샘플러(Gelfand와 Smith, 1990)를 사용하였다. 제안된 베이지안 방법을 설명하기 위하여 모의 실험 자료와Stangl의 항 우울제 자료에 적용한다. 모형 선택 방법은 사전 분포와 모형 선택 기준의 가중치에 민감하지 않다는 것을 제한된 우리의 실험으로 알 수 있었다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제21권6호
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• pp.1305-1310
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• 2010

In this paper, we consider a change point test for stochastic volatility models. By considering the relation between moments of the logarithms of squared returns and the parameters, we construct the cusum test to detect changes of the parameters. We also carry out a simulation study and verify that the proposed test is more powerful than the cusum test proposed by Kokoszka and Leipus (2000).

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국경영과학회 2004년도 추계학술대회 및 정기총회
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• pp.615-618
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• 2004

The previous quantitative bankruptcy prediction models cannot include time dimension. To overcome this limit, various dynamic models using survival analysis are developed recently. This paper emphasizes that the proportionality assumption must be adapted with caution when the Cox's proportional hazard model is used to explain bankruptcy. It is shown that a non-proportional hazard model including a change point model is a proper alternative, when the proportionality assumption is violated by the change of macroeconomic environment, such as the financial crisis in 1997.

• Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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• 제30권9호
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• pp.2001-2006
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• 2009

Temperature dependence of the critical micelle concentration (CMC), $x_{CMC}$, in micellization can be described by ln $x_{CMC}$ = A + BT + C lnT + D/T, which has been derived statistical-mechanically. Here A, B, C, and D are fitting parameters. The equation fits the CMC data better than conventionally used polynomial equations of temperature. Moreover, it yields the unique(exponent) value of 2 when the CMC is expressed in a power-law form. This finding is quite significant, because it may point to the universality of the thermal behavior of CMC. Hence, in this article, the nature of the equation ln $x_{CMC}$ = A + BT + C lnT + D/T is examined from a lattice-theory point of view through the Flory-Huggins model. It is found that a linear behavior of heat capacity change of micellization is responsible for the CMC equation of temperature.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제35권2호
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• pp.131-144
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• 2019

Climate Change affects the hydrological cycle in agricultural watersheds through rising air temperature and changing rainfall patterns. Agricultural watersheds in Korea are characterized by extensive paddy fields and intensive water use, a resource that is under stress from the changing climate. This study analyzed the effects of climate change on river flows for Geum Cheon and Eun-San Choen watershed using STREAM, a semi-distributed watershed model. In order to evaluate the performance and improve the reliability of the model, calibration and validation of the model was done for one flow observation point and three reservoir water storage ratio points. Climate change scenarios were based on RCP data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and bias corrections were done using the Quantile Mapping method to minimize the uncertainties in the results produced by the climate model to the local scale. Because of water mass-balance, evapotranspiration tended to increase steadily with an increase in air temperature, while the increase in RCP 8.5 scenario resulted in higher RCP 4.5 scenario. The increase in evapotranspiration led to a decrease in the river flow, particularly the decrease in the surface runoff. In the paddy agricultural watershed, irrigation water demand is expected to increase despite an increase in rainfall owing to the high evapotranspiration rates occasioned by climate change.

• 중소기업융합학회논문지
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• 제6권4호
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• pp.71-77
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• 2016

본 논문에서는 기존의 BIC(Bayesian Information Criterion) 기반 화자변화의 성능 향상을 위하여 GMM-UBM(Gaussian Mixture Model-Universal Background Model) 기반 KL(Kullback Leibler) 거리를 활용한 화자변화 검증을 제안하였다. 정보량의 차이에 민감한 기존의 BIC 기반 화자변화검출 알고리즘을 상대적으로 정보량 차이에 견인한 KL 거리 알고리즘으로 검증하였고, 정보량의 비대칭을 보상하기 위해서 GMM-UBM을 활용하였다. 기존의 BIC 기반 화자변화 검출은 1단계로 비유사도 d가 양수인 구간의 국소 최댓값인 지점을 화자변화 후보지점으로 검출하였고, 2단계로 검출된 화자변화 후보지점 중 ${\Delta}BIC$가 양수인 지점을 화자변화지점으로 결정하였다. 본 논문에서는 BIC 기반 화자변화 검출에 의해 결정된 화자변화지점에 대하여 GMM-UBM 기반 KL 거리 D가 문턱치(threshold)보다 높은 지점을 최종 화자변화 지점으로 검증하였다. 실험결과, MDR(Missed Detection Rate)이 0인 조건에서 문턱치 0.028일 때 FAR(False Alarm Rate) 60.4%로 성능이 향상되었다.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제66권4호
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• pp.445-452
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• 2018

In this paper the effects of particle size and model scale of concrete have been investigated on point load index, tensile strength, and the failure processes using a PFC2D numerical modeling study. Circular and semi-circular specimens of concrete were numerically modeled using the same particle size, 0.27 mm, but with different model diameters of 75 mm, 54 mm, 25 mm, and 12.5 mm. In addition, circular and semi-circular models with the diameter of 27 mm and particle sizes of 0.27 mm, 0.47 mm, 0.67 mm, 0.87 mm, 1.07 mm, and 1.27 mm were simulated to determine whether they can match the experimental observations from point load and Brazilian tests. The numerical modeling results show that the failure patterns are influenced by the model scale and particle size, as expected. Both Is(50) and Brazilian tensile strength values increased as the model diameter and particle sizes increased. The ratio of Brazilian tensile strength to Is(50) showed a reduction as the particle size increased but did not change with the increase in the model scale.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제33권1호
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• pp.78-89
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• 2017

Water quality monitoring network data is being affected continuously due to non-point source pollution arising from agricultural land located on the Gwangsancheon outlet in the Nakdong River basin. In this study, we have performed analysis of water quality monitoring system, water quality pattern using SOM and water quality in the Gwangsancheon for sub-basin located at Gisan-myeon in the Nakdong River basin. We have developed and applied the model to estimate the runoff and non-point source loading. As a result of SOM pattern, the effect of non-point source pollution was the largest in the paddy fields and fields. As a result of the developed model, we found contribution rate and reduction rate for non-point source loading according to change of landuse because the reduction effect of nonpoint pollutants was 20.9% of SS, 9.9% of TN, 21.2% of TP and 8.9% of TOC depending on the landuse change.