• 제목/요약/키워드: Case Prediction

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사례기반 추론과 인공신경망을 적용한 순환골재콘크리트 강도 추정에 관한 비교 연구 (A Study on the Prediction of Recycled Aggregate Concrete Strength Using Case-Based Reasoning and Artificial Neural Network)

  • 김대원;최희복;강경인
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2005년도 춘계 학술기술논문발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.119-124
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    • 2005
  • It is necessary for prediction of recycled aggregate concrete(RAC) strength at the early stage that facilitate concrete form removal and scheduling for construction. However, to predict RAC strength is difficult because of being influenced by complicated many factors. Therefore, this research suggest optimized estimation method that can reflect many factors. One way is Case-Based Reasoning(CBR) that solved new problems by adapting solutions to similar problems solved in the past, which are solved in the case library. Other way is Artificial Neural Networks(ANN) that solved new problems by training using a set of data, which is representative of problem domain. This study is to propose comparing accuracy of the estimating the compressive strength of recycled aggregate concrete using Case-Based Reasoning(CBR) and Artificial Neural Networks(ANN).

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Effects of Uncertain Spatial Data Representation on Multi-source Data Fusion: A Case Study for Landslide Hazard Mapping

  • Park No-Wook;Chi Kwang-Hoon;Kwon Byung-Doo
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.393-404
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    • 2005
  • As multi-source spatial data fusion mainly deal with various types of spatial data which are specific representations of real world with unequal reliability and incomplete knowledge, proper data representation and uncertainty analysis become more important. In relation to this problem, this paper presents and applies an advanced data representation methodology for different types of spatial data such as categorical and continuous data. To account for the uncertainties of both categorical data and continuous data, fuzzy boundary representation and smoothed kernel density estimation within a fuzzy logic framework are adopted, respectively. To investigate the effects of those data representation on final fusion results, a case study for landslide hazard mapping was carried out on multi-source spatial data sets from Jangheung, Korea. The case study results obtained from the proposed schemes were compared with the results obtained by traditional crisp boundary representation and categorized continuous data representation methods. From the case study results, the proposed scheme showed improved prediction rates than traditional methods and different representation setting resulted in the variation of prediction rates.

점성토지반에 축조한 제방의 변형추정 -고흥만 방수제 사례연구를 중심으로- (A Deformation Prediction of the Embankment on the Soft Clayey Foundation - A Case Study of the Sea Dike of Koheung Bay -)

  • 오재화;이문수
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제40권4호
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    • pp.94-102
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    • 1998
  • This paper aims at developing the prediction technique of the deformation for the embankment such as sea dike and shore protection relevant to reclamation project along the southern coast of the Korean Peninsula. Generally total deformation of a sea dike over clayey foundation are composed of immediate settlement, plastic deformation and consolidation settlement. Plastic deformation occurs when the ultimate bearing capacity is less than overburden pressure containing the stress increment due to the construction of an embankment. The reliable prediction of total settlement is very important since deformed final geometry of sea dike is directly connected for analysing the safety of the long-term slope failure and piping. During this study, plastic deformation, major part of deformation was analysed using the program developed by authors, whereas immediate settlement and consolidation settlement were predicted by Mochinaka and Sena's method and Terzaghi's 1-dimensional theory of consolidation respectively. In order to validate the prediction technique for the deformation, a case study of Koheung Bay reclamation works was carried out. A good agreement was obtained between observation and prediction, which means the applicability of the technique.

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건물의 단기부하 예측을 위한 기상예측 모델 개발 (Development of Weather Forecast Models for a Short-term Building Load Prediction)

  • 전병기;이경호;김의종
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제38권1호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2018
  • In this work, we propose weather prediction models to estimate hourly outdoor temperatures and solar irradiance in the next day using forecasting information. Hourly weather data predicted by the proposed models are useful for setting system operating strategies for the next day. The outside temperature prediction model considers 3-hourly temperatures forecasted by Korea Meteorological Administration. Hourly data are obtained by a simple interpolation scheme. The solar irradiance prediction is achieved by constructing a dataset with the observed cloudiness and correspondent solar irradiance during the last two weeks and then by matching the forecasted cloud factor for the next day with the solar irradiance values in the dataset. To verify the usefulness of the weather prediction models in predicting a short-term building load, the predicted data are inputted to a TRNSYS building model, and results are compared with a reference case. Results show that the test case can meet the acceptance error level defined by the ASHRAE guideline showing 8.8% in CVRMSE in spite of some inaccurate predictions for hourly weather data.

관측자료별 자료동화 성능이 한반도 동부 지역 기상 예보에 미치는 영향 분석 연구 (Study on the Impact of Various Observations Data Assimilation on the Meteorological Predictions over Eastern Part of the Korean Peninsula)

  • 김지선;이순환;손건태
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제27권11호
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    • pp.1141-1154
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    • 2018
  • Numerical experiments were carried out to investigate the effect of data assimilation of observational data on weather and PM (particulate matter) prediction. Observational data applied to numerical experiment are aircraft observation, satellite observation, upper level observation, and AWS (automatic weather system) data. In the case of grid nudging, the prediction performance of the meteorological field is largely improved compared with the case without data assimilations because the overall pressure distribution can be changed. So grid nudging effect can be significant when synoptic weather pattern strongly affects Korean Peninsula. Predictability of meteorological factors can be expected to improve through a number of observational data assimilation, but data assimilation by single data often occurred to be less predictive than without data assimilation. Variation of air pressure due to observation nudging with high prediction efficiency can improve prediction accuracy of whole model domain. However, in areas with complex terrain such as the eastern part of the Korean peninsula, the improvement due to grid nudging were only limited. In such cases, it would be more effective to aggregate assimilated data.

Prediction of total sediment load: A case study of Wadi Arbaat in eastern Sudan

  • Aldrees, Ali;Bakheit, Abubakr Taha;Assilzadeh, Hamid
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.781-796
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    • 2020
  • Prediction of total sediment load is essential in an extensive range of problems such as the design of the dead volume of dams, design of stable channels, sediment transport in the rivers, calculation of bridge piers degradation, prediction of sand and gravel mining effects on river-bed equilibrium, determination of the environmental impacts and dredging necessities. This paper is aimed to investigate and predict the total sediment load of the Wadi Arbaat in Eastern Sudan. The study was estimated the sediment load by separate total sediment load into bedload and Suspended Load (SL), independently. Although the sediment records are not sufficient to construct the discharge-sediment yield relationship and Sediment Rating Curve (SRC), the total sediment loads were predicted based on the discharge and Suspended Sediment Concentration (SSC). The turbidity data NTU in water quality has been used for prediction of the SSC in the estimation of suspended Sediment Yield (SY) transport of Wadi Arbaat. The sediment curves can be used for the estimation of the suspended SYs from the watershed area. The amount of information available for Khor Arbaat case study on sediment is poor data. However, the total sediment load is essential for the optimal control of the sediment transport on Khor Arbaat sediment and the protection of the dams on the upper gate area. The results show that the proposed model is found to be considered adequate to predict the total sediment load.

관망자료를 이용한 인공지능 기반의 누수 예측 (Artificial Intelligence-based Leak Prediction using Pipeline Data)

  • 이호현;홍성택
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제26권7호
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    • pp.963-971
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    • 2022
  • 상수도 관망은 국가 수도 시설의 주요한 구성 요소이지만 대부분이 지중에 매립되어 있어 배관의 노후화 정도 및 누수를 파악하기 어려우므로 유지관리 하기가 매우 어렵다. 본 연구에서는 관망에 설치된 다양한 센서 조합을 가정하여, 데이터 조합에 따른 관로 누수 판별 가능성을 검토하기 위하여 선형회귀분석, 뉴로퍼지 등의 인공지능 알고리즘을 통한 유량과 압력 예측을 실시하여 최적 알고리즘을 도출하였다. 공급압력 예측을 통한 누수판별의 경우 뉴로퍼지 알고리즘이 선형회귀분석에 비하여 우수하였다. 누수유량 예측에서는 뉴로퍼지를 이용한 유량예측이 우선 고려되어야 한다. 다만, 유량을 모사하기 힘든 경우에는 선형 알고리즘을 이용한 공급압력 예측이 이루어져야 할 것으로 사료 된다.

H.264 기반 스케일러블 비디오 부호화에서 인트라 블럭에 대한 적응적인 계층간 예측 연구 (Adaptive Inter-Layer Prediction for Intra Texture on H.264 Scalable Video Coding)

  • 오형석;박성호;천민수;김원하
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2005년도 학술대회 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
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    • pp.195-197
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    • 2005
  • In the scalable extension of H.264/AVC, spatial scalability is provided residual information as encoding layered spatial resolution between layers. We use the inter-layer prediction to remove this redundancy. In the inter-layer prediction, as the prediction we can use the signal that is the upsampled signal of the lower resolution layer. In this case, coding efficiency can be different from optimal prediction by kinds of interpolation filter. This paper indicates technique to choose the interpolation filter and to enhance coding efficiency for finding more correct prediction in intra macroblock.

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Using Machine Learning Algorithms for Housing Price Prediction: The Case of Islamabad Housing Data

  • Imran, Imran;Zaman, Umar;Waqar, Muhammad;Zaman, Atif
    • Soft Computing and Machine Intelligence
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.11-23
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    • 2021
  • House price prediction is a significant financial decision for individuals working in the housing market as well as for potential buyers. From investment to buying a house for residence, a person investing in the housing market is interested in the potential gain. This paper presents machine learning algorithms to develop intelligent regressions models for House price prediction. The proposed research methodology consists of four stages, namely Data Collection, Pre Processing the data collected and transforming it to the best format, developing intelligent models using machine learning algorithms, training, testing, and validating the model on house prices of the housing market in the Capital, Islamabad. The data used for model validation and testing is the asking price from online property stores, which provide a reasonable estimate of the city housing market. The prediction model can significantly assist in the prediction of future housing prices in Pakistan. The regression results are encouraging and give promising directions for future prediction work on the collected dataset.

지역 기상 정보를 활용한 단기 전력 수요 예측 모델 (A New Prediction Model for Power Consumption with Local Weather Information)

  • 탁해성;김태용;조환규;김희제
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제16권11호
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    • pp.488-498
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    • 2016
  • 많은 정보가 데이터로 저장되면서, 데이터를 분석하거나 특수 상황을 예측하기 위한 연구들이 진행되고 있다. 특히, 전력 데이터의 경우 환경적 요인에 의한 예측 연구 및 신재생 에너지를 활용하는 스마트그리드와 마이크로그리드 연구들이 진행 중이다. 본 논문에서는 전력 데이터의 예측을 위해 주변 환경에서 나타나는 데이터를 활용하고자 한다. 이때, 단순 기상 데이터가 아닌 이전 시간에 따른 여러 인자를 반영하여 데이터 예측이 올바르게 이루어지는지를 검증하고자 한다. 검증 과정에서는 유사 기온을 가지는 전력 데이터 선별 예측 결과와 전력 데이터의 길이에 따른 전력 수요 예측 결과를 비교군으로 두고, 기상 정보를 추가 활용하였을 때의 전력 수요 예측 결과를 비교 분석한다. 실험 결과를 통해 기상 정보를 이용할 경우 평균 15% 이내의 최대 오차율 감소 효과를 확인할 수 있다.