• Title/Summary/Keyword: CGE 분석

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온실가스 감축에 대한 기술진보와 탄소세수 환원의 경제적 파급효과

  • O, Jin-Gyu;Jo, Gyeong-Yeop
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.371-416
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    • 2012
  • This study has developed Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model reflecting endogenous growth economic theory, with the aim of analyzing double dividend hypothesis. This study analyzes possibility of economic growth and environmental improvement at the same time when government recycles the revenue of carbon tax to reduce existed taxes such as consumption tax, labor income tax, corporate tax. It also assesses the case of subsidy on R&D investment of renewable energy. With new and renewable generation technology adopted and disseminated, GDP loss would be lessened to a great degree. Tax recycling would provide economic gain by reducing distortion existed in the existing fiscal structure. The magnitude of economic gains from carbon tax recycling is biggest for recycling into corporate tax, and labor income tax, and then consumption tax in this order. It is also shown that double dividend effects occur in dynamic terms when government uses a carbon tax revenue to subsidize on R&D investment. At the end of the analysis period, emissions reduction would not result in GDP loss but in GDP gain. In particular, recycling into R&D increase would produce the largest and fastest GDP gain. Thus, implementing emissions reduction target would require careful consideration of economic effects by various policy instrument, including carbon tax.

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The Economic and Environmental Impact of the Small Hydropower Development in Korea: A CGE Analysis (소수력 발전 확대의 경제.환경적 효과: 연산일반균형모형 분석)

  • Kim, Jae-Joon;Park, Sung-Je
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.106-106
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    • 2011
  • 소수력은 온실가스 배출량이 적은 친환경 청정에너지원이면서 지역의 분산전원에 기여할 수 있는 유용한 자원으로 평가되고 있다. 이러한 여건은 소수력발전 사업이 전력의 smart grid 구축 효과로 인해 가장 큰 효율성을 달성할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다. 국내 소수력발전은 1500Mw의 부존량을 가진 것으로 평가되고 있으나 계절적 편중으로 인한 가동률 부족, 경제성 부족 등으로 활발한 보급이 이루어지지 않고 있다. 특히 신재생에너지 확대 전략에도 불구하고 지원금 등 경제적 인센티브 부족으로 인해 민간부문의 참여는 상당히 저조하다. 그럼에도 불구하고 수력에너지는 환경친화적이고 잠재성이 큰 신재생에너지로 온실가스 저감과 에너지 확보에 기여할 수 있다. 특히 수력에너지는 민간투자의 어려움이 존재하므로 정부의 장기적인 기술개발투자 및 효율성 확대 정책이 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 소수력 확대의 경제 환경적 효과를 평가해보기 위해 연산일반균형모형 (CGE :Computable General Equilibrium Model)을 구축한다. 본 연구는 다음과 같이 수행되었다. 첫째, 수력발전부문과 수도사업을 구분하고 사회회계행렬을 작성하였으며, 전력부문에서 수력발전을 포함한 다단계 생산구조를 가정하였다. 둘째, 일반균형모형 방정식 체계를 작성하고 모형의 파라미터 추정 등 보정(Calibration) 작업을 수행하였다. 셋째, 국가 중기 온실가스저감 시나리오를 적용한 전망을 수행하고 소수력 확대(투자지원) 시나리오를 구축한다. 본 연구는 저감수단으로 탄소세를 부과하였다. 끝으로, 소수력 발전 보급 확대의 경제적, 환경적 파급효과를 계산하였다. 분석결과, 소수력 발전 잠재 성장을 반영한 수력에너지 비중은 약 2020년에 약 4.5% 까지 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 이로 인한 온실가스 저감 기여분은 약 3%에 이르는 것으로 계산 되었다. 또한 수도사업과 비에너지 제조업의 산업비중은 증가하였다. 이러한 결과는 소수력 발전 확대가 화석연료 대체를 통한 지속가능한 에너지 수요에 기여하고 지역개발과 물산업 발전 등 경제적 파급효과 등을 유발할 수 있음을 시사한다. 또한 본 연구에서 고려하지 못한 소수력 기술 개발은 에너지 대체 촉진으로 인한 온실가스 저감과 녹색성장에 기여할 것이다.

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Comparison of Different Policy Measures for Fostering Climate Friendly Fuel Technology Applying a Computable General Equilibrium Model (기후친화적 연료 생산 확대를 위한 정책 수단간 일반균형효과의 비교)

  • Bae, Jeong-Hwan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.509-546
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    • 2010
  • Although coal has been utilized as major fuel, it is known as 'most climate unfriendly' fuel. Carbon tax or tradable permit policy has been discussed as major measure for reducing production and consumption of coal, but it might be more efficient to remove subsidy on coal production and consumption. This study examines economic and environmental effects of recycling revenue from reducing subsidy on the use of coal to foster climate friendly fuel (ligneous biomass) by price subsidy or increased public expenditure. A static CGE model was applied to analyze the welfare consequences and economic impacts of two policy measures. The result shows that price subsidy policy is more desirable than creation of public demand in terms of welfare as well as overall economic impacts.

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A Study on the Effect of Carbon Tax using Second Generation Model for Korea (SGM_Korea 모형을 이용한 탄소세의 이산화탄소 배출저감 효과 분석)

  • Chung, Hyun-Sik;Lee, Sung-Wook
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.129-169
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to experiment and simulate the newly-updated Second Generation Model for Korea (SGM-Korea). With the updated model, we tried to simulate effect of carbon tax on $CO_2$ emissions and other macroeconomic variables for Korea. The baseline data are compared with projected profiles by various scenarios to evaluate its performance. Our contribution in this study is to having up-graded the model from its earlier version by building new hybrid input-output table based on 2000 input-output and energy balanced tables. According to our estimation, total $CO_2$ emission in Korea has already increased in 2000 to about 1.86 times the 1990 figure. The level of carbon tax required for the current level of $CO_2$ emission to be reduced to the 1995 or 2000 level seems to be too high for Korean economy to bear. It is possible to find a reasonable level of carbon tax, however, if it can combine it with improvement of energy efficiency at the rate of 0.5% to 1% per year. For Korea to meet its obligation to reduce $CO_2$ emissions, therefore, it is imperative for her to improve energy efficiency as well as to develop alternative energy source reducing its dependence on fossil fuel.

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Analysis of Androgen Receptor Gene by Capillary Gel Eelectrophoresis (모세관 젤 전기영동을 이용한 안드로젠 수용체 유전자 분석)

  • Kim, Yong-Seong;Baek, Seung-Gwon;Gang, Chung-Mu;Gang, Dae-Cheon;Lee, Su-Man;Choe, Byeong-Ok;Jeong, Gi-Hwa;Choe, Gyu-Seong
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2006
  • gel electrophoresis (CGE) with poly(ethylene oxide) has been applied to the measurement of CAG repeat number in Androgen receptor (AR) gene related to male infertility. Non-linear regression analysis was performed using the standard X174 RF/Hae III, 100bp step ladder DNA in order to investigate the exact number of CAG repeat. For 79 Korean infertile males and 89 controls, CAG repeats at exon 1 in AR gene was compared and analyzed by CGE. It turned out that CAG repeat numbers were 24.972.6 range, 17-29) for the infertile male, and 23.992.4 range, 18-29) for the control, respectively. P value (0.018) was less then 0.05, meaning that the result was statistically meaningful.

A Compiler Generator for Object-Oriented Visual Languages based on Grammer (문법기반 객체지향 시각언어의 컴파일러 생성기)

  • Lee, Gi-Ho;Kim, Gyeong-A
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.431-440
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    • 1999
  • 기존 시각언어 컴파일러 자동화 도구는 시각 구문의 그래픽 정의부분을 명세하고 확장 및 수정하는 방법의 한계로 인해 어휘분석단계를 처리하는데 어려움이 있다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위해 본 논문에서는 객체지향 시각언어 문법을 기반으로 한 새로운 방식의 문법 기반 자동 생성 시스템인 시각언어 컴파일러 자동 생성 환경(CGE-VL)을 구축한다. 이 시스템은 객체지향 패러다임을 기초로 한 시각언어 컴파일러 구축을 위한 실질적인 도구로 기존의 시각언어 컴파일러 자동화 도구와는 구별되는 객체지향 시각언어의 효과적인 명세 방법 제공, 어휘분석기를 이용한 파싱 시간의 단축, 객체지향 파서를 자동 생성하는 등의 새로운 특성을 제공한다. 이러한 특성은 특히 동일한 의미를 가지는 언어 구성요소가 그 쓰임에 따라 서로 다른 구체화된 의미 및 행동을 가지는 객체지향 시각언어에서는 언어 명세에서 최종 산물인 컴파일러에 이르는 전 단계에 동일한 객체 지향 패러다임을 사용함으로써 일관된 개발방법을 제공하여 그 효과가 두드러진다.

유기성 폐기물 간접부담금의 도입과 바이오가스 생산보조 정책의 일반균형효과 분석

  • Bae, Jeong-Hwan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.175-210
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    • 2012
  • As London and post-Koyto protocols presumably affect emission of organic waste in Korea in 2012, appropriate treatment of organic waste becomes very important. Organic wastes are regarded as non-point pollutants. It has been criticized that direct emission charges on the emission of non-point pollutants are not effective due to the high uncertainty in the relationship between pollution sources and pollution levels. This study suggests indirect emission charges on production of livestocks or consumption on foods. Furthermore, it is assumed that revenue from the emission charges will be recycled to support biogas production. Biogas can be fueled to produce energy. In order to evaluate potential economic and environmental impacts of recycling the indirect emission charges on organic wastes, a static CGE model was developed. Simulation results of emission charges on the production of livestock show that livestock, agriculture, and food industry will confront relatively high burden while emission charges on consumption of food will affect more broadly and consumers will suffer more. Production charge on livestock sector will lead to higher reduction in GDP and total expenditure relative to the consumption charge. GHGs reduction effect was higher for the consumption charge relative to the production charge. Synthetically, consumption charge on food sector is more desirable as an alternative charge for the emission of organic wastes.

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The Economic Impacts of an GHG Emission Trading System in Korea (온실가스 배출권거래제도 국내도입의 경제적 효과분석)

  • Cho, Gyeong Lyeob;Cho, Yongsung;Chang, Hyunjoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.173-216
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    • 2001
  • We compare impacts of different $CO_2$ abatement mechanisms using a CGE model. Focus is on the way the tradable permits are initially distributed for emissions trading, namely auction and grandfathering. For three major energy consuming industries (basic chemical, iron & steel and electricity) in Korea, emissions trading is clearly superior to individual $CO_2$ abatement, but auction and grandfathering show somewhat different patterns of impact. We show that depending on how the government uses the revenue from permit auction, auction may be preferable to grandfathering.

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Optimization of microwave-assisted extraction process for blue honeysuckle (Lonicera coerulea L.) using response surface methodology (반응표면분석법을 이용한 댕댕이 기능성성분의 마이크로웨이브추출조건 최적화)

  • Park, Daehee;Lee, Jae-Jun;Park, Jongjin;Park, Sanghwan;Lee, Wonyoung
    • Food Science and Preservation
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.623-630
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    • 2017
  • Functional compounds including flavonoids, anthocyanins, polyphneols and antioxidants were extracted from blue honeysuckle (Lonicera caerulea L.) using highly efficient microwave-assisted extraction. And extraction process was modeled and optimized according to response surface methodology (RSM). The independent variables ($X_n$) were ethanol concentration ($X_1$: 0, 25, 50, 75, 100%), irradiation time ($X_2$: 1, 3, 5, 7, 9 min), and microwave power ($X_3$: 60, 120, 180, 240, 300 W). Dependent variables ($Y_n$) were total flavonoid contents ($Y_1$), total anthocyanin contents ($Y_2$), total polyphenol contents ($Y_3$) and antioxidant activity ($Y_4$). Four-dimensional response surface plots were generated based on the fitted second-order polynomial models to get optimal conditions. Estimated optimal conditions for 4 responses were ethanol concentration of 54-72%, irradiation time of 7.1-7.6 min, and microwave power of 243-251 W. Ridge analysis predicted the maximal responses of total flavonoid content, total anthocyanin content, total polyphenol content and antioxidant activity were 38.00 mg RE/g, 6.80 mg CGE/g, 14.90 mg GAE/g, 89.10%, respectively. Verification experiment was carried out at predicted optimal conditions and experimental values for total flavonoid content, total anthocyanin content, total polyphenol content and antioxidant activity were 38.10 mg RE/g, 6.72 mg CGE/g, 14.91 mg GAE/g and 89.13%, respectively. No significant difference was observed between predicted and experimental values, indicating good fitness of fitted model and successful application of RSM.

Variation of Phenolics Contents and Antioxidant Activity of Vaccinium oldhamii Miq. (국내 자생 정금나무의 페놀류 함량과 항산화 활성의 다양성)

  • Kim, Hyeusoo;Lee, Uk;Song, Jeong-Ho;Yun, Kyeong Won;Kim, Sea-Hyun;Kim, Moon-Sup
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.105 no.2
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    • pp.208-215
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    • 2016
  • Vaccinium oldhamii Miq. is a Korean native tree, which is deciduous and shrub tree with broad leaf. Fruits were used primarily for edible or medicinal purposes for bladder infection in Korea and China. However, there is a lack of information on the degree of variation of phytochemical contents and antioxidant activity of these native clonal. We investigated morphological characteristics, phytochemical contents (polyphenol, flavonoid, anthocyanin) and antioxidant activity for the fruits of 24 individual variation from 4 different regions in Korea. The results in terms of horticultural traits and biochemical characteristics showed significant differences among populations and among individuals within population. The total phenolic contents ranged from 4.40 to 10.58 mg GAE/g and the total flavonoid contents ranged from 2.02 to 8.09 mg NE/g. The total anthocyanin contents ranged from 232.5 to 684.3 mg CGE/100g. Reducing power fruits ranged from 0.15 to 1.43 and DPPH free radical scavenging activity ranged from 49.1 to 97.5% at 400 ppm. Results revealed that the region of origin greatly influenced the phytochemical contents and antioxidant activity of V. oldhamii, which might help for the selection and validation of the most productive cultivars in the food and pharmaceutical industries.