• Title/Summary/Keyword: CEP(Circular Error Probability)

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A Study on the Circular Error Probability of Short-Range Rocket with Parachute (낙하산을 갖는 단거리 발사체의 오차분석)

  • 김찬수;조요한
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.218-225
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    • 1999
  • This paper contains the computational simulation of a free rocket with a parachute and the development of a firing table for each range. To obtain the trajectory of the rocket, 6 DOF model of rocket with parachute was generated and the wind tunnel test was done for the input parameters. Good agreement was obtained between the analysis of trajectory and the flight test result. Also the trajectory error analysis was performed by the Monte Carlo simulation. As a result of simulation, the CEP(Circular Error Probability) of the firing table was calculated.

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A Study on Analysis of Emitter Geolocation Coverage Area based on the Characteristics and Deployment of Sensors (센서 특성 및 배치를 고려한 에미터 위치탐지 영역 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Yang, Jong-Won;Park, Cheol-Sun;Jang, Won
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.9 no.1 s.24
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    • pp.99-108
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we analyzed the characteristics of emitter geolocation coverage area within which the emitter lies with a specified probability based on the LOBs(Line of Bearing) of sensors. Stansfield and MSD algorithms were applied to calculate BPE(Best Point Estimate), EEP(Elliptical Error Probable) and CEP(Circular Error Probable), They used the weighting factors composed of ${\sigma}_{Phi}$ (bearing error), QF(quality factor), $P_{e}$ (probability being inside) to optimize the performance. The characteristics of EEP was investigated in the change of them and those of CEP was analyzed based on the deployment of sensors.

A Study on the T&E Method for the Aircraft focused on Weapon Accuracy (항공 무장정확도 시험평가 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Hyun, Jun-Ho;Kang, Sung-Jin
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.117-133
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    • 2007
  • The weapon accuracy is a basic measure of performance in the area of weapon system acquisition. It requires the establishment of correct concept and the T&E methods. Existing T&E method for aircraft weapon systems have not considered types of exact hitting area for various weapons. This study intends to suggest an optimal T&E methods in Korean T&E environment. In order to sampling and to test aircraft weapon accuracy, we need probability and statistic theories. There are many types of CEP(Circular Error Probable) methods. We recommend 2 types of CEP methods which are Lockheed Martin CEP method and Johnson CEP method. Also, suggest some other T&E methods. These methods can be used to accuracy test in the area of weapon system acquisition in the future.

Performance Analysis of Navigation System for Guidance and Control of High Speed Underwater Vehicle System (고속 수중운동체 정밀 유도제어를 위한 항법성능 분석)

  • Hong, Sung-Pyo;Han, Yong-Su
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.17 no.9
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    • pp.2227-2232
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    • 2013
  • To obtain the system requirement specification in the beginning of the precision guidance system development, the effectiveness and reliability analysis for the system are necessary. The main purpose of this research is to obtain the system requirement specification for the high speed unmanned underwater vehicles by carrying out the effectiveness analysis using the modeling and simulation scheme. The effectiveness is position error for target position. Reaching accuracy is expected to be affected by the navigation sensor parameter. Assume that the navigation sensors that is consist of inertial navigation system(INS) and doppler velocity log(DVL) is the parameter. To analyze the effectiveness of each parameter, Monte-Carlo numerical simulation is performed in this research. The effectiveness analysis is carried out using circular error probability(CEP) and variance analyze scheme. Considering the cost function, the specification of the navigation sensor is provided. The cost function is consist of the INS and DVL specification and the price of those sensors.

Effectiveness Analysis for the Precision Guided and Controled Underwater Vehicle system with Integrated Navigation System (복합항법센서를 갖는 수중운동체의 정밀 유도제어 정확도 분석)

  • Han, Yongsu;Hyun, Chul;Jeong, Dongmin
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.19 no.11
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    • pp.2751-2757
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    • 2015
  • To obtain the system requirement specification in the beginning of the precision guidance and control system development, the effectiveness and reliability analysis for the system are necessary. The main purpose of this research is to obtain the system requirement specification by carrying out the effectiveness analysis using the modeling and simulation(M&S) scheme. M&S model is constructed using 6-DOF dynamic model, environment model, guidanc -navigation & control model. Assume that the navigation sensor is consist of inertial navigation sensor(INS) and doppler velocity log(DVL), and the speed and direction of current is environment parameter. The effectiveness analysis is carried out using circular error probability(CEP) and variance analyze scheme. Also, the effectiveness analysis is utilized for cost-performance analysis considering the cost of commercial INS and DVL sensor. This paper shows the high-level INS and the low-level DVL configure a high price-performance integrated navigation system.

Automatic Generation of Aimpoints Using 3D Target Shapes and CEP (3차원 모델 형상과 원형공산오차를 고려한 목표점 자동 생성 기법)

  • Kang, Yuna
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2019
  • This research proposes an automatic generation system of aimpoints with considering 3D target shapes and CEP(circular error probability) values after determining a target and an azimuth value. In the past, users decided aimpoints manually based on experience or just chose a middle point of the 3D model. Futhermore, it was not possible to select a proper position with consideration of azimuth because users should decide aimpoints before the azimuth value was determined. To solve this problem, this research provides a automatic system to compute proper aimpoints with 3D target shapes, azimuth values and CEP. This article contains the explanation of 3 steps for generating aimpoints automatically: first, generating a reference plane and candidate entry points, then computing scores of each entry points and finally determining an aimpoint from the entry point with the highest score. Users can easily determine a final aimpoint with high probability of success using this system.

A Study on Simple Methodology of Distruction Effects Analysis 3 Dimensional Building Target's by Weapon Systems (무기체계 3차원 건물표적에 대한 간이 파괴효과분석 방법론 연구)

  • Park, Jinho;Choi, Sangyeong;Kim, Yeongho
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2015
  • In order to use missiles more effectively, assessing methodologies was advanced about weapon effects for various target types. We tried to find out the most effective analysis methodologies for missiles to attack 3 dimensional building target's and analyzed adaptedness as an assessing methodology. There are EFD (Expected Fractional Damage) and SSPD (Single Sortie Probability of Damage) methodologies to assess building target damage. In order to calculate effectiveness we used input parameter such as size of the target and CEP (Circular Error Probable), MAE_bldg (Mean Area of Effects for Building) of weapons and impact angle as encountering condition between the target and the missile. We compared EFD and SSPD, in order to analyze adaptedness as a effective methodology by CEP and MAE. The result was that EFD methodology was more adaptive to assess 3 dimensional building targets by missile systems than SSPD.

Analysis of Integrated Navigation Performance for Sensor Selection of Unmanned Underwater Vehicle (UUV) (무인잠수정 센서 선정을 위한 복합항법 성능 분석)

  • Yoo, Tae-Suk;Kim, Moon Hwan
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.566-573
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    • 2014
  • This paper presents the results of an integrated navigation performance analysis for selecting the sensor of an unmanned underwater vehicle (UUV) using Monte Carlo numerical simulation. An inertial measurement unit (IMU) and Doppler velocity log (DVL) are considered to build the integrated navigation system. The position error and price of the sensor are selected as performance indices to evaluate the volunteer integrated navigation systems. Monte-Carlo simulation is introduced to analyze the circular error probability (CEP) and its variance. Simulation results provide the proper sensor combination for integrated navigation in relation to the performance and price.

Reconsideration of Significant Quantity (SQ) for Pu Based on the Strategic Impact Investigation of Non-Strategic Nuclear Weapon (NSNW) Using Monte-Carlo Simulations

  • Woo, Seung Min;Lee, Manseok;Ryu, Je Ir
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.421-433
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    • 2021
  • The present multidisciplinary study, which is a nexus of engineering and political science, investigates how the modernization of Non-Strategic Nuclear Weapons (NSNWs) affects the IAEA safeguards system based on the likelihood of the use of nuclear weapons. To this end, this study examines the characteristics of modernized NSNWs using Monte Carlo techniques. The results thus obtained show that 10 kt NSNWs with a Circular Error Probability (CEP) of 10 m can destroy the target as effectively as a 500 kt weapon with a CEP of 100 m. The IAEA safeguards system shows that the Significant Quantity (SQ) of 1 of plutonium is 8 kg, a parameter that was established when strategic nuclear weapons were dominant. However, the results of this study indicate that in recent years, low-yield nuclear weapons such as NSNWs have been more strategically interesting than strategic nuclear weapons as NSNWs require less plutonium than strategic nuclear weapons. Therefore, we would like to conclude that reducing the SQ of plutonium can result in more robust safeguards and non-proliferation strategies.

Gauss-Newton Based Emitter Location Method Using Successive TDOA and FDOA Measurements (연속 측정된 TDOA와 FDOA를 이용한 Gauss-Newton 기법 기반의 신호원 위치추정 방법)

  • Kim, Yong-Hee;Kim, Dong-Gyu;Han, Jin-Woo;Song, Kyu-Ha;Kim, Hyoung-Nam
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.50 no.7
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    • pp.76-84
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    • 2013
  • In the passive emitter localization using instantaneous TDOA (time difference of arrival) and FDOA (frequency difference of arrival) measurements, the estimation accuracy can be improved by collecting additional measurements. To achieve this goal, it is required to increase the number of the sensors. However, in electronic warfare environment, a large number of sensors cause the loss of military strength due to high probability of intercept. Also, the additional processes should be considered such as the data link and the clock synchronization between the sensors. Hence, in this paper, the passive localization of a stationary emitter is presented by using the successive TDOA and FDOA measurements from two moving sensors. In this case, since an independent pair of sensors is added in the data set at every instant of measurement, each pair of sensors does not share the common reference sensor. Therefore, the QCLS (quadratic correction least squares) methods cannot be applied, in which all pairs of sensor should include the common reference sensor. For this reason, a Gauss-Newton algorithm is adopted to solve the non-linear least square problem. In addition, to show the performance of the proposed method, we compare the RMSE (root mean square error) of the estimates with CRLB (Cramer-Rao lower bound) and derived the CEP (circular error probable) planes to analyze the expected estimation performance on the 2-dimensional space.