• Title/Summary/Keyword: CA모형

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The Analysis of Future Land Use Change Impact on Hydrology and Water Quality Using SWAT Model (SWAT 모형을 이용한 미래 토지이용변화가 수문 - 수질에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Park, Jong-Yoon;Lee, Mi Seon;Lee, Yong Jun;Kim, Seong Joon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.2B
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    • pp.187-197
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    • 2008
  • This study is to assess the impact of future land use change on hydrology and water quality in Gyungan-cheon watershed ($255.44km^2$) using SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) model. Using the 5 past Landsat TM (1987, 1991, 1996, 2004) and $ETM^+$ (2001) satellite images, time series of land use map were prepared, and the future land uses (2030, 2060, 2090) were predicted using CA-Markov technique. The 4 years streamflow and water quality data (SS, T-N, T-P) and DEM (Digital Elevation Model), stream network, and soil information (1:25,000) were prepared. The model was calibrated for 2 years (1999 and 2000), and verified for 2 years (2001 and 2002) with averaged Nash and Sutcliffe model efficiency of 0.59 for streamflow and determination coefficient of 0.88, 0.72, 0.68 for Sediment, T-N (Total Nitrogen), T-P (Total Phosphorous) respectively. The 2030, 2060 and 2090 future prediction based on 2004 values showed that the total runoff increased 1.4%, 2.0% and 2.7% for 0.6, 0.8 and 1.1 increase of watershed averaged CN value. For the future Sediment, T-N and T-P based on 2004 values, 51.4%, 5.0% and 11.7% increase in 2030, 70.5%, 8.5% and 16.7% increase in 2060, and 74.9%, 10.9% and 19.9% increase in 2090.

Application of SWAT-K Model for the Evaluation of Hydrological Variation of Chungjudam Watershed Considering Future Climate, Vegetation and Land Use Changes (미래 기후 식생 토지이용 변화를 고려한 충주댐 기후, 식생, 유역의 수문변동 파악을 위한 SWAT-K 모형의 적용)

  • Park, Min-Ji;Shin, Hyung-Jin;Ahn, So-Ra;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.189-193
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 충주댐 유역을 대상으로 미래의 기후변화, 그에 따른 식생상태, 그리고 미래의 토지이용 변화를 고려한 상태에서 SWAT-K 모형에 의한 수문순환인자들의 변화가 댐의 유입량에 미치는 영향을 파악하고자 한다. SWAT 모형의 검보정은 6년간($2000{\sim}2006$, 2001년 제외)의 댐유입량 자료를 이용하여 실시하였으며, Nash_Sutcliffe 모형효율은 $0.52{\sim}0.88$의 범위로 검보정되었다. 기후변화 시나리오는 IPCC에서 제공하고 있는 GCM들 중에서 CCCma CGCM2의 A2, B2 시나리오를 이용하였으며, 댐유역의 기후변화를 모의하기 위하여 과거 30년간($1977{\sim}2006$)의 기상자료 통계정보를 기준으로 Change Factor Downscaling 기법을 적용하여 2030년, 2060년, 2090년 전후의 각 30년간의 미래 정보를 재생산하였다. 미래의 식생정보는 7년($2000{\sim}2006$)간의 MODIS 위성 영상에 의한 엽면적 지수를 월단위로 구축하여 엽면적 지수와 평균기온간의 상관회귀식을 도출하여 미래 기후변화에 따른 식생의 활력도를 예측하였다. 미래의 토지이용 변화는 CA-MArkov 기법을 개선, 적용하여 총 9개의 토지이용 항목에 대하여 각 항목별 예측을 실시하였다. 2000년의 기상자료 및 댐유입량을 기준으로 이상의 미래기후, 식생, 토지이용 에측 정보를 적용하여 미래의 댐유입량을 모의한 결과를 분석하였다. 그 결과 강수량 및 온도의 변동이 가장 크게 영향을 주어 유입량의 변화가 모의되었으며, 이에 따른 수문인자의 변동은 2000년 기준으로 증발산량, 토양수분의 변동을 분석하였다. 미래의 수문순환에 가장 큰 영향을 주는 수문인자는 토양수분으로 나타나, 미래에는 산림지역 및 토지이용 개발에 따른 토양수분의 함양량 유지를 위한 유역관리가 중요한 요인이 될 것으로 나타났다.

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Application of the Modified CA-Markov Technique for Future Prediction of Forest Land Cover in a Mountainous Watershed (미래 산림식생변화 예측을 위한 개선된 CA-Markov 기법의 적용)

  • Park, Min-Ji;Park, Geun-Ae;Lee, Yong-Jun;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2010
  • 토지피복은 대부분의 수문 수질 모형의 중요한 매개변수로서, 수자원 변화 예측에 중요한 입력자료로 활용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 개선된 CA (Cellular Automata)-Markov 기법을 이용하여 충주댐유역의 미래 산림식생변화에 대한 예측을 시도하였다. 예측과정으로 과거의 Landsat TM 영상 (1985, 1990, 1995, 2000)을 이용하여 기법의 정확도 검증 및 산림분포의 변화경향을 파악하고, Landsat 산림은 2000년과 2005년의 NOAA AVHRR NDVI값을 기준으로 침엽수림, 혼효림, 활엽수림의 3종으로 구분한 후, 이를 이용하여 2030년, 2060년, 2090년의 식생변화를 추정하는 방법을 제안하였다. 이 방법의 적용결과, 2000년과 비교하여 2090년의 활엽수림과 혼효림은 각각 14.3 %, 11.6 % 증가하였으며, 침엽수림은 24.9 % 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 과거의 경향성에 의해 예측을 시도한 본 연구결과는 미래 토지피복 변화에 따른 수문 수질 영향 분석시 지표 조건의 불확실성을 줄이는데 활용될 수 있다고 판단된다.

Equilibrium Point Model Of Urban Community Parks Based On A Centrality Index Model (중심지리론에 의한 도시근린공원의 세력균점점리론 모형)

  • 권상준;심경구
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.120-128
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    • 1993
  • This study suggests one hypothesis: The strength of the catchment forces of urban community parks can be represented as an equilibrium point model, which is derived from a centrality index for. That model was designed by Reilly(1931) and developed by Godlund(1956). An equilibrium point model for the catchments is represented as followed formulae: m=$\frac{CA2}{CA-CB}$ m=$\frac {{{{{L SQRT {{C}_{A}$.$ {C}_{B}} {CA-CB} Here, m is distance from the center of park A to the cetner of park B. r is radius of a circle where the catchment between park A and B is equal pointed traces. CA is index of the centrality of park A from Reilly's Law. CB is an index of the centrality of park B from Reilly's Law. L is an the distance between park A and B. The equilibrium point model is testified in the case of Chong-ju community parks. The testification has been limited to the application to such manifest outdoor recreational facilities as bentches, even though there are statistically and economically problems for a quantitative model to be testified. But the testification could be a rationale for the catchment forces of urban community parks, which was quantitatively represented that the distance between two or there parks should be related with the feasibility of the parks. Therefore, the urban community park should be planned to be located, hiving separately its identity that might be considered with the facility diversification and the locational competitiveness of a park.

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The Efficiency of Vascular Embolization Using Alginate Gel : An Experimental Study in Rabbit (알지네이트 젤을 이용한 혈관 색전술의 유용성 : 토끼에서의 실험적 연구)

  • Lee, Woo-Baek;Kang, Yeong-Han;Kim, Jong-Ki
    • Journal of radiological science and technology
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.61-67
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    • 2009
  • Purpose : The purpose of this study was to investigate the applicability of poly-L-guluronic alginate (PGA) gel in vascular embolization with angiography simulation. Materials and Methods : To prepare a gel-forming PGA from no guluronate-rich Laminaria japonica, a new acid hydrolysis method was employed with a lower HCL concentration (0.03 M) and a shorter treatment time (5 min). The obtained PGAs were selected based on gel stability and viscosity. Glass aneurysm model was used to simulate gel embolization in vitro. Then, finally, the PGA was used to embolize the renal vascular system by using a rabbit model and angiography. Results : Glass aneurysm model was made to simulate gel embolization procedure. PGA solution was injected from pump through 2-way catheter. Subsequent injection of $CaCl_2$ successfully formed gels inside aneurysm model that conforming to its inner contour. In rabbit model, first, renal artery and aorta leading to the right kidney were ligated to block blood flow, then conventional contrast agent was injected through aorta to check the arterial patency to the left kidney. In sequential artery injection method, PGA and $CaCl_2$ were injected through renal artery sequentially via a single catheter. Re-injection of contrast agent after removing ligated aorta showed blood flow to the right kidney but no flow in the left kidney. This result demonstrated a complete blocking of blood flow due to gel formation in vascular bed of the left kidney. Conclusion : Instillation of calcium alginate into aneurysm model and arterial system in vivo produced an embolization that better fills and conforms to the contour of aneurysms or blocking vascular bed completely. Therefore, PGA was effective endovascular occlusion materials and provide an efficiency of vascular angiography.

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Research on Design Capacity Evaluation of Low Impact Development according to Design Criteria (저영향개발 시설 설계 기준에 따른 용량 평가 방법 연구)

  • Im, Jiyeol;Gil, Kyungik
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.59-67
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    • 2022
  • The interest in LID facilities is increasing worldwide for recovery of natural water cycle system to destroy by urbanization. However, problems are raised when installation of LID because comprehensive analysis about design capacity adequacy of LID facilities was not conducted completely. In this research, removal efficiency and design volume adequacy of LID facilities were analyzed based on rainfall monitoring data in four LID facilities(Vegetated Swale, Vegetative Filter Strip, Bio-Retention and Permeable Pavement). As a result, group of LID facility designed on WQV was shown higher flow(37%) and pollutants(TSS, BOD, TN and TP) removal efficiencies(20 ~ 37%) than group of LID facility designed on WQF. SA/CA graph was drawn for evaluation of design volume adequacy based on rainfall monitoring data. In this SA/CA graph, coefficient of determination show over 0.5 in all parameter, especially, Flow and TP were show over 0.95. And, 'SA/CA & L/CA' graph considering difference of structure mechanism in LID facility suggested in this research was confirmed that improved coefficient of determination in flow, TSS and TP than SA/CA graph. According to this research results, feasibility of applying 'SA/CA & L/CA' graph for evaluation of design volume adequacy in LID facility, and it is necessary to follow up research for generalization and normalization.

A Study on Three Steps for the Model Development and Process of Cooperative Instruction for Teacher-librarians (사서교사의 협동수업 모형 개발과 과정에 관한 3단계 연구)

  • 함명식
    • Journal of the Korean Society for information Management
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.121-144
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    • 2003
  • This thesis has a research focus in effectively Practicing cooperative instruction where teacher-librarians play a role. The cooperative Instruction means to practice cooperatively with the subject teachers and teacher-librarians, in teaching subject matters(Korean, English, Social studies. Science, History, and so forth), using the school library. This thesis presents three steps by theory-model-support for a practice method through developing a cooperative instruction model. This is based on curriculum which is an axis of school education and an instructional design theory which is a base theory for subject matters.

An Impact Assessment of Climate and Landuse Change on Water Resources in the Han River (기후변화와 토지피복변화를 고려한 한강 유역의 수자원 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Kim, Soo-Jun;Kim, Hung-Soo;Jun, Hwan-Don
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.309-323
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    • 2010
  • As climate changes and abnormal climates have drawn research interest recently, many countries utilize the GCM, which is based on SRES suggested by IPCC, to obtain more accurate forecast for future climate changes. Especially, many research attempts have been made to simulate localized geographical characteristics by using RCM with the high resolution data globally. To evaluate the impacts of climate and landuse change on water resources in the Han-river basin, we carried out the procedure consisting of the CA-Markov Chain, the Multi-Regression equation using two independent variables of temperature and rainfall, the downscaling technique based on the RegCM3 RCM, and SLURP. From the CA-Markov Chain, the future landuse change is forecasted and the future NDVI is predicted by the Multi-Regression equation. Also, RegCM3 RCM 50 sets were generated by the downscaling technique based on the RegCM3 RCM provided by KMA. With them, 90 year runoff scenarios whose period is from 2001 to 2090 are simulated for the Han-river basin by SLURP. Finally, the 90-year simulated monthly runoffs are compared with the historical monthly runoffs for each dam in the basin. At Paldang dam, the runoffs in September show higher increase than the ones in August which is due to the change of rainfall pattern in future. Additionally, after exploring the impact of the climate change on the structure of water circulation, we find that water management will become more difficult by the changes in the water circulation factors such as precipitation, evaporation, transpiration, and runoff in the Han-river basin.

Research about Urban Growth Model's Automation (도시성장모형의 시뮬레이션 자동화에 관한 연구)

  • Yun, Jeong-Mi;Park, Jeong-Wo
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2008
  • Recently, various researches have been studied on the predict method of land change according to its development. The Cellular Automata(CA) is one of the most popular methods in the urban growth modeling. The basis principle of CA is to repeat operations, which convert the current cell into new cell state by the transaction rule. It will minimize the loss of data by using Fuzzy-AHP and it can lead the flexible urban growth modeling. However, AHP would have a disadvantage to repeat the procedure of the collecting intentions until it derives the weight. Also, it is necessary for the simulation of CA to repeat the operations and the test of data accuracy should be accompanied. The purpose of this study is to predict the Busan city growth model and analyze it according to the automated test method by applying CA as well as Fuzzy-AHP. This study shall improve the difficulties caused by complexity and repetitiveness in the urban grow modeling. The practical modeling could be derived from the verification, and the derived modules could be applied to the similar case studies.

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An Optimal Model for Indoor Pedestrian Evacuation considering the Entire Distribution of Building Pedestrians (건물내 전체 인원분포를 고려한 실내 보행자 최적 대피모형)

  • Kwak, Su-Yeong;Nam, Hyun-Woo;Jun, Chul-Min
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2012
  • Existing pedestrian and evacuation models generally seek to find locally optimal solutions for the shortest or the least time paths to exits from individual locations considering pedestrian's characteristics (eg. speed, direction, sex, age, weight and size). These models are not designed to produce globally optimal solutions that reduce the total evacuation time of the entire pedestrians in a building when all of them evacuate at the same time. In this study, we suggest a globally optimal model for indoor pedestrian evacuation to minimize the total evacuation time of occupants in a building considering different distributions of them. We used the genetic algorithm, one of meta-heuristic techniques because minimizing the total evacuation time can not be easily solved by polynomial expressions. We found near-optimal evacuation path and time by expressing varying pedestrians distributions using chromosomes and repeatedly filtering solutions. In order to express and experiment our suggested algorithm, we used CA(cellular automata)-based simulator and applied to different indoor distributions and presented the results.