• 한국정보과학회논문지:소프트웨어및응용
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• 제31권1호
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• pp.1-7
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• 2004

본 논문에서는 필기체 숫자인식을 위해서 계층적으로 서로 다른 레벨의 정보를 표현할 수 있는 구조화된 특징들의 추출 방법과 특징들 사이에 의존도를 이용하여 분류하는 베이지안 망을 제안한다. 이러한 계층적 특징들을 추출하기 위해서 레벨 단위로 가버 필터들을 정의하고, FLD(Fisher Linear Discriminant) 척도를 이용하여 최적화된 가버 필터들을 선택한다. 계층적 가버 특징들은 최적화된 가버 특징들을 이용하여 추출되며, 하위 레벨일수록 더욱 국부적인 정보를 표현한다. 추출된 계층적 가버 특징들의 분류성능 향상을 위해서 가버 특징들 사이의 계층적 의존도를 이용하는 베이지안 망을 생성한다. 본 논문에서 제안하는 방법은 naive Bayesian 분류기, k-nearest neighbor 분류기, 그리고 신경망 분류기들과 함께 필기체 숫자인식에 적용되어 계층적 가버 특징들의 효율성과 계층적 의존도를 이용하는 베이지안 망은 분류성능을 향상시킬 수 있다는 것을 보여준다.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제15권14호
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• pp.5571-5575
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• 2014

Background: The ability to predict the survival time of breast cancer patients is important because of the potential high morbidity and mortality associated with the disease. To develop a predictive inference for determining the survival of breast cancer patients, we applied a novel Bayesian method. In this paper, we propose the development of a databased statistical probability model and application of the Bayesian method to predict future survival times for White Hispanic female breast cancer patients, diagnosed in the US during 1973-2009. Materials and Methods: A stratified random sample of White Hispanic female patient survival data was selected from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database to derive statistical probability models. Four were considered to identify the best-fit model. We used three standard model-building criteria, which included Akaike Information Criteria (AIC), Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC), and Deviance Information Criteria (DIC) to measure the goodness of fit. Furthermore, the Bayesian method was used to derive future survival inferences for survival times. Results: The highest number of White Hispanic female breast cancer patients in this sample was from New Mexico and the lowest from Hawaii. The mean (SD) age at diagnosis (years) was 58.2 (14.2). The mean (SD) of survival time (months) for White Hispanic females was 72.7 (32.2). We found that the exponentiated Weibull model best fit the survival times compared to other widely known statistical probability models. The predictive inference for future survival times is presented using the Bayesian method. Conclusions: The findings are significant for treatment planning and health-care cost allocation. They should also contribute to further research on breast cancer survival issues.

• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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• 제17권8호
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• pp.81-90
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• 2012

디지털 TV에서 시멘틱 환경의 유헬스 개인화 서비스 추천은 개인의 신체조건, 질병, 건강상태를 평가해서 이루어져야 한다. 기존의 시멘틱 환경의 유헬스 개인화 추천 방법은 온톨로지에 의존하여 의미 분석으로 추천을 하기 때문에 사용자 만족도가 떨어진다. 이에 본 논문에서는 디지털 TV에서 시멘틱 환경의 유헬스 서비스를 위한 나이브 베이지안 필터링 기반 개인화 서비스 추천 방법을 제안한다. 제안하는 방법은 온톨로지를 이용하여 상황데이터를 추론하여 트렌젝션을 저장 하고, 선호도 정보를 이용한 나이브 베이지안 필터링 기법을 사용하여 온톨로지로부터 생성된 트렌젝션과 사용자 선호도 정보를 이용하여 추론하여 서비스를 제공한다. 나이브 베이지안 필터링 기반으로 추론된 서비스는 기존의 필터링 방법 보다 콘텐츠 추천의 높은 정확도와 재현율을 보인다.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제17권3호
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• pp.213-223
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• 2017

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to arrange the life data analysis literatures based on the Bayesian method quantitatively and provide it as tables. Methods: The Bayesian method produces a more accurate estimates of other traditional methods in a small sample size, and it requires specific algorithm and prior information. Based on these three characteristics of the Bayesian method, the criteria for classifying the literature were taken into account. Results: In many studies, there are comparisons of estimation methods for the Bayesian method and maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), and sample size was greater than 10 and not more than 25. In probability distributions, a variety of distributions were found in addition to the distributions of Weibull commonly used in life data analysis, and MCMC and Lindley's Approximation were used evenly. Finally, Gamma, Uniform, Jeffrey and extension of Jeffrey distributions were evenly used as prior information. Conclusion: To verify the characteristics of the Bayesian method which are more superior to other methods in a smaller sample size, studies in less than 10 samples should be carried out. Also, comparative study is required by various distributions, thereby providing guidelines necessary.

• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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• 제22권11호
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• pp.97-104
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• 2017

Location prediction has been successfully utilized to provide high quality of location-based services to customers in many applications. In its usual form, the conventional type of location prediction is to predict future locations based on user's past movement history. However, as location prediction needs are expanded into much complicated cases, it becomes necessary quite frequently to make inference on the locations that target user visited in the past. Typical cases include the identification of locations that infectious disease carriers may have visited before, and crime suspects may have dropped by on a certain day at a specific time-band. Therefore, primary goal of this study is to predict locations that users visited in the past. Information used for this purpose include user's demographic information and movement histories. Data mining classifiers such as Bayesian network, neural network, support vector machine, decision tree were adopted to analyze 6868 contextual dataset and compare classifiers' performance. Results show that general Bayesian network is the most robust classifier.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제9권3호
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• pp.1051-1059
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• 2014

In this paper, we propose an intelligent situation recognition model by collecting and analyzing multiple sensor signals. Multiple sensor signals are collected for fixed time window. A training set of collected sensor data for each situation is provided to K2-learning algorithm to generate Bayesian networks representing causal relationship between sensors for the situation. Statistical characteristics of sensor values and topological characteristics of generated graphs are learned for each situation. A neural network is designed to classify the current situation based on the extracted features from collected multiple sensor values. The proposed method is implemented and tested with UCI machine learning repository data.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.425-433
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• 2009

Spatial models suitable for describing the evolving random fields in climate and environmental systems have been developed by many researchers. In general, rainfall in South Korea is highly variable in intensity and amount across space. This study characterizes the monthly and regional variation of rainfall fields using the spatial modeling. The main objective of this research is spatial prediction with the Bayesian hierarchical modeling (kriging) in order to further our understanding of water resources over space. We use the Bayesian approach in order to estimate the parameters and produce more reliable prediction. The Bayesian kriging also provides a promising solution for analyzing and predicting rainfall data.

• 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전산구조공학회 2008년도 정기 학술대회
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• pp.602-607
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• 2008

A technique for reliability-based design optimization(RBDO) is developed based on the Bayesian approach, which can deal with the epistemic uncertainty arising due to the limited number of data. Until recently, the conventional RBDO was implemented mostly by assuming the uncertainty as aleatory which means the statistical properties are completely known. In practice, however, this is not the case due to the insufficient data for estimating the statistical information, which makes the existing RBDO methods less useful. In this study, a Bayesian reliability is introduced to take account of the epistemic uncertainty, which is defined as the lower confidence bound of the probability distribution of the original reliability. In this case, the Bayesian reliability requires double loop of the conventional reliability analyses, which can be computationally expensive. Kriging based dimension reduction method(KDRM), which is a new efficient tool for the reliability analysis, is employed to this end. The proposed method is illustrated using a couple of numerical examples.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.220-224
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• 2014

A Bayesian zero-failure reliability demonstration test method for products with Weibull lifetime distribution is presented. Inverted gamma prior distribution for the scale parameter of the Weibull distribution is used to design the Bayesian test plan and selecting a prior distribution using a prior test information is discussed. A test procedure with zero-failure acceptance criterion is developed that guarantee specified reliability of a product with given confidence level. An example is provided to illustrate the use of the developed Bayesian reliability demonstration test method.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제13권3호
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• pp.701-718
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• 2006

In cancer microarray experiments, the experimenter or patient which is nested in each experimenter often shows quite heterogeneous error variability, which should be estimated for identifying a source of variation. Our study describes a Bayesian method which utilizes clinical information for identifying a set of DE genes for the class of subtypes as well as assesses and examines the experimenter effect and patient effect which is nested in each experimenter as a source of variation. We propose a Bayesian multilevel mixed effect model based on analysis of covariance (ANACOVA). The Bayesian multilevel mixed effect model is a combination of the multilevel mixed effect model and the Bayesian hierarchical model, which provides a flexible way of defining a suitable correlation structure among genes.