• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayesian Error Rate

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Bayesian Analysis of Software Reliability Growth Model with Negative Binomial Information (음이항분포 정보를 가진 베이지안 소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hui-Cheol;Park, Jong-Gu;Lee, Byeong-Su
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.852-861
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    • 2000
  • Software reliability growth models are used in testing stages of software development to model the error content and time intervals betwewn software failures. In this paper, using priors for the number of fault with the negative binomial distribution nd the error rate with gamma distribution, Bayesian inference and model selection method for Jelinski-Moranda and Goel-Okumoto and Schick-Wolverton models in software reliability. For model selection, we explored the sum of the relative error, Braun statistic and median variation. In Bayesian computation process, we could avoid the multiple integration by the use of Gibbs sampling, which is a kind of Markov Chain Monte Carolo method to compute the posterior distribution. Using simulated data, Bayesian inference and model selection is studied.

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An Improved Bayesian Spam Mail Filter based on Ch-square Statistics (카이제곱 통계량을 이용한 개선된 베이지안 스팸메일 필터)

  • Kim Jin-Sang;Choe Sang-Yeol
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2005.04a
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    • pp.403-414
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    • 2005
  • Most of the currently used spam-filters are based on a Bayesian classification technique, where some serious problems occur such as a limited precision/recall rate and the false positive error. This paper addresses a solution to the problems using a modified Bayesian classifier based on chi-square statistics. The resulting spam-filter is more accurate and flexible than traditional Bayesian spam-filters and can be a personalized one providing some parameters when the filter is teamed from training data.

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Design and Implementation of a Face Authentication System (딥러닝 기반의 얼굴인증 시스템 설계 및 구현)

  • Lee, Seungik
    • Journal of Software Assessment and Valuation
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.63-68
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    • 2020
  • This paper proposes a face authentication system based on deep learning framework. The proposed system is consisted of face region detection and feature extraction using deep learning algorithm, and performed the face authentication using joint-bayesian matrix learning algorithm. The performance of proposed paper is evaluated by various face database , and the face image of one person consists of 2 images. The face authentication algorithm was performed by measuring similarity by applying 2048 dimension characteristic and combined Bayesian algorithm through Deep Neural network and calculating the same error rate that failed face certification. The result of proposed paper shows that the proposed system using deep learning and joint bayesian algorithms showed the equal error rate of 1.2%, and have a good performance compared to previous approach.

Decision Tree State Tying Modeling Using Parameter Estimation of Bayesian Method (Bayesian 기법의 모수 추정을 이용한 결정트리 상태 공유 모델링)

  • Oh, SangYeob
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.243-248
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    • 2015
  • Recognition model is not defined when you configure a model, Been added to the model after model building awareness, Model a model of the clustering due to lack of recognition models are generated by modeling is causes the degradation of the recognition rate. In order to improve decision tree state tying modeling using parameter estimation of Bayesian method. The parameter estimation method is proposed Bayesian method to navigate through the model from the results of the decision tree based on the tying state according to the maximum probability method to determine the recognition model. According to our experiments on the simulation data generated by adding noise to clean speech, the proposed clustering method error rate reduction of 1.29% compared with baseline model, which is slightly better performance than the existing approach.

Bayesian VAR Analysis of Dynamic Relationships among Shipping Industry, Foreign Exchange Rate and Industrial Production (Bayesian VAR를 이용한 해운경기, 환율 그리고 산업생산 간의 동태적 상관분석)

  • Kim, Hyunsok;Chang, Myunghee
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.77-92
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    • 2014
  • The focus of this study is to analyse dynamic relationship among BDI(Baltic Dry-bulk Index, hereafter BDI), forex market and industrial production using monthly data from 2003-2013. Specifically, we have focused on the investigations how monetary and real variable affect shipping industry during recession period. To compare performance between general VAR and Bayesian VAR we first examine DAG(Directed Acyclic Graph) to clarify causality among the variables and then employ MSFE(mean squared forecast error). The overall estimated results from impulse-response analysis imply that BDI has been strongly affected by other shock, such as forex market and industrial production in Bayesian VAR. In particular, Bayesian VAR show better performance than general VAR in forecasting.

Bayesian estimates of genetic parameters of non-return rate and success in first insemination in Japanese Black cattle

  • Setiaji, Asep;Arakaki, Daichi;Oikawa, Takuro
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • v.34 no.7
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    • pp.1100-1104
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    • 2021
  • Objective: The objective of present study was to estimate heritability of non-return rate (NRR) and success of first insemination (SFI) by using the Bayesian approach with Gibbs sampling. Methods: Heifer Traits were denoted as NRR-h and SFI-h, and cow traits as NRR-c and SFI-c. The variance covariance components were estimated using threshold model under Bayesian procedures THRGIBBS1F90. Results: The SFI was more relevant to evaluating success of insemination because a high percentage of animals that demonstrated no return did not successfully conceive in NRR. Estimated heritability of NRR and SFI in heifers were 0.032 and 0.039 and the corresponding estimates for cows were 0.020 and 0.027. The model showed low values of Geweke (p-value ranging between 0.012 and 0.018) and a low Monte Carlo chain error, indicating that the amount of a posteriori for the heritability estimate was valid for binary traits. Genetic correlation between the same traits among heifers and cows by using the two-trait threshold model were low, 0.485 and 0.591 for NRR and SFI, respectively. High genetic correlations were observed between NRR-h and SFI-h (0.922) and between NRR-c and SFI-c (0.954). Conclusion: SFI showed slightly higher heritability than NRR but the two traits are genetically correlated. Based on this result, both two could be used for early indicator for evaluate the capacity of cows to conceive.

A High Order Product Approximation Method based on the Minimization of Upper Bound of a Bayes Error Rate and Its Application to the Combination of Numeral Recognizers (베이스 에러율의 상위 경계 최소화에 기반한 고차 곱 근사 방법과 숫자 인식기 결합에의 적용)

  • Kang, Hee-Joong
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.28 no.9
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    • pp.681-687
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    • 2001
  • In order to raise a class discrimination power by combining multiple classifiers under the Bayesian decision theory, the upper bound of a Bayes error rate bounded by the conditional entropy of a class variable and decision variables obtained from training data samples should be minimized. Wang and Wong proposed a tree dependence first-order approximation scheme of a high order probability distribution composed of the class and multiple feature pattern variables for minimizing the upper bound of the Bayes error rate. This paper presents an extended high order product approximation scheme dealing with higher order dependency more than the first-order tree dependence, based on the minimization of the upper bound of the Bayes error rate. Multiple recognizers for unconstrained handwritten numerals from CENPARMI were combined by the proposed approximation scheme using the Bayesian formalism, and the high recognition rates were obtained by them.

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Analysis and Optimization of Cooperative Spectrum Sensing with Noisy Decision Transmission

  • Liu, Quan;Gao, Jun;Guo, Yunwei;Liu, Siyang
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.649-664
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    • 2011
  • Cooperative spectrum sensing (CSS) with decision fusion is considered as a key technology for tackling the challenges caused by fading/shadowing effects and noise uncertainty in spectrum sensing in cognitive radio. However, most existing solutions assume an error-free decision transmission, which is obviously not the case in realistic scenarios. This paper extends the general decision-fusion-based CSS scheme by considering the fading/shadowing effects and noise corruption in the common control channels. With this more practical model, the fusion centre first estimates the local decisions using a binary minimum error probability detector, and then combines them to get the final result. Theoretical analysis and simulation of this CSS scheme are performed over typical channels, which suggest some performance deterioration compared with the pure case that assumes an error-free decision transmission. Furthermore, the fusion strategy optimization in the proposed cooperation model is also investigated using the Bayesian criteria. The numerical results show that the total error rate of noisy CSS is higher than that of the pure case, and the optimal values of fusion parameter in the counting rule under both cases decrease as the local detection threshold increases.

Bayesian Fusion of Confidence Measures for Confidence Scoring (베이시안 신뢰도 융합을 이용한 신뢰도 측정)

  • 김태윤;고한석
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.410-419
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    • 2004
  • In this paper. we propose a method of confidence measure fusion under Bayesian framework for speech recognition. Centralized and distributed schemes are considered for confidence measure fusion. Centralized fusion is feature level fusion which combines the values of individual confidence scores and makes a final decision. In contrast. distributed fusion is decision level fusion which combines the individual decision makings made by each individual confidence measuring method. Optimal Bayesian fusion rules for centralized and distributed cases are presented. In isolated word Out-of-Vocabulary (OOV) rejection experiments. centralized Bayesian fusion shows over 13% relative equal error rate (EER) reduction compared with the individual confidence measure methods. In contrast. the distributed Bayesian fusion shows no significant performance increase.

BAYESIAN CLASSIFICATION AND FREQUENT PATTERN MINING FOR APPLYING INTRUSION DETECTION

  • Lee, Heon-Gyu;Noh, Ki-Yong;Ryu, Keun-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.713-716
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, in order to identify and recognize attack patterns, we propose a Bayesian classification using frequent patterns. In theory, Bayesian classifiers guarantee the minimum error rate compared to all other classifiers. However, in practice this is not always the case owing to inaccuracies in the unrealistic assumption{ class conditional independence) made for its use. Our method addresses the problem of attribute dependence by discovering frequent patterns. It generates frequent patterns using an efficient FP-growth approach. Since the volume of patterns produced can be large, we propose a pruning technique for selection only interesting patterns. Also, this method estimates the probability of a new case using different product approximations, where each product approximation assumes different independence of the attributes. Our experiments show that the proposed classifier achieves higher accuracy and is more efficient than other classifiers.

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