• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.19 no.7
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• pp.1750-1758
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• 2015

This paper provides Bayesian methodology to estimate the reliability for guided weapons which are not continuously operating. The posterior distribution of subsystems and components becomes the next prior distribution. By analyzing the results of the sub-systems and components presented a method for estimating the reliability of the entire guided weapons. Bayesian methodology using existing test data of subsystems may be used to reduce the sample sizes.

• 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2005.10a
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• pp.300-300
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• 2005

• Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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• v.15 no.1
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• pp.44-53
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• 1989

This paper concerns with the case of having a goal program with no preassigned deterministic ranking for the goals. The priority ranking in this case depends on the states of nature which are random variables. The Bayesian approach is performed to obtain the nondominated set of rankings.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.43 no.7
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• pp.645-655
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• 2010

In this study, occurrences of relative probabilistic changing points between Chukwooki rainfall data (CWK) and modern rain gage data (MRG) were analyzed using Barry and Hartigan (BH) Bayesian changing points estimation method which estimated the changing points by calculation of change probabilities at each point. Since any natural phenomenon cannot be simulated identically and perfectly, a statistical method which can not consider the sequential order has its limitation on prediction of a specific time of occurrence. In this respect, Homogeneity analysis between CWK and MRG was performed through the occurrence investigation of relative probabilistic changing points for four rainfall characteristics of data sets using BH bayesian model which estimate the change point by calculating the relative probabilities in each data points. The results show that statistical characteristics of CWK are not different significantly from MRG, even though considered that there may be little quantitative difference CWK and MRG caused from limitation of measurement accuracy of CWK.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.26 no.3
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• pp.453-470
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• 2013

In this paper, we consider a Bayesian analysis of the dose-effect relationship of cadmium to evaluate a benchmark dose(BMD). For this purpose, two dose-response curves commonly used in the toxicity study are fitted based on Bayesian methods to the data collected from the scientific literature on cadmium toxicity. Specifically, Bayesian meta-analysis and hierarchical modeling build an overall dose-effect relationship that use a piecewise linear model and Hill model, where the inter-study heterogeneity and inter-individual variability of dose and effect such as gender, age and ethnicity are accounted. Estimation of the unknown parameters is made by using a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm based user-friendly software WinBUGS. Benchmark dose estimates are evaluated for various cut-offs and compared with different tested subpopulations with with gender, age and ethnicity based on these two Bayesian hierarchical models.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.27 no.2
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• pp.263-275
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• 2014

The present study used a hierarchical Bayesian approach was used to develop a mixed effect model to describe the transitional behavior of subjects in time nonhomogeneous Markov chains. The posterior distributions of model parameters were not in analytically tractable forms; subsequently, a Gibbs sampling method was used to draw samples from full conditional posterior distributions. The proposed model was implemented with real data.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.38 no.2
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• pp.249-259
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• 2018

More than half of annual rainfall occurs in summer season in Korea due to its climate condition and geographical location. A frequency analysis is mostly adopted for designing hydraulic structure under the such concentrated rainfall condition. Among the various distributions, univariate Gumbel distribution has been routinely used for rainfall frequency analysis in Korea. However, the distributional changes in extreme rainfall have been globally observed including Korea. More specifically, the univariate Gumbel distribution based rainfall frequency analysis is often fail to describe multimodal behaviors which are mainly influenced by distinct climate conditions during the wet season. In this context, we purposed a Gumbel mixture distribution based rainfall frequency analysis with a Bayesian framework, and further the results were compared to that of the univariate. It was found that the proposed model showed better performance in describing underlying distributions, leading to the lower Bayesian information criterion (BIC) values. The mixed Gumbel distribution was more robust for describing the upper tail of the distribution which playes a crucial role in estimating more reliable estimates of design rainfall uncertainty occurred by peak of upper tail than single Gumbel distribution. Therefore, it can be concluded that the mixed Gumbel distribution is more compatible for extreme frequency analysis rainfall data with two or more peaks on its distribution.

• Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.40-45
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• 2015

In this paper, we proposed and implemented a crime prediction algorithm based upon crime influential factors. To collect the crime-related big data, we used a data which had been collected and was published in the supreme prosecutors' office. The algorithm analyzed various crime patterns in Seoul from 2011 to 2013 using the spatial statistics analysis. Also, for the crime prediction algorithm, we adopted a Bayesian network. The Bayesian network consist of various spatial, populational and social characteristics. In addition, for the more precise prediction, we also considered date, time, and weather factors. As the result of the proposed algorithm, we could figure out the different crime patterns in Seoul, and confirmed the prediction accuracy of the proposed algorithm.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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• 2022.07a
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• pp.53-56
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• 2022

본 논문에서는 심전도(ECG) 센서와 에지 컴퓨팅(Edge computing)을 활용하여 실시간 데이터와 Bayesian optimization을 통한 기계학습 알고리즘으로 재활 로봇에서 발목을 제어할 수 있는 Parameter(외골격 관련) 최적값을 출력한다. 심전도 센서 적용을 기반으로 하는 바이오 데이터 기술, 기계 학습(Bayesian optimization) 모델 접근 방식과 하드웨어 결합으로 재활 로봇 모터를 제어할 수 있는 Parameter 제공과 실시간 모터 제어 운영할 수 있도록 분석 플랫폼을 구축한다. 이 플랫폼을 이용해보다 효과적인 이동형 로봇설계 및 처리 방법을 연결할 수 있는 발판을 마련하였고, 로봇제어에 많이 사용하고 있는 매트랩 시뮬링크(Matlab simulink)를 연결할 수 있는 범용 통신 지원한다. 센서-전처리-인공지능 알고리즘-모터 제어 Parameter로 연계되는 데이터 가공과 처리 방법으로 최근 분석 기법을 적용하여 바이오 데이터 연구 활동과 이동형 재활 로봇 관련 데이터 분석 분야를 쉽게 접근할 수 있도록 한다.

• Korean Journal of Logic
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• v.17 no.3
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• pp.399-424
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• 2014

The main objective of this paper is to examine critically White's claim that there is a conflict between Perceptual Dogmatism and Bayesian Theory of Confirmation. For this purpose, this paper is structured as follows: In Section 2, I will introduce White's argument. Section 3 is dedicated to explaining some elements of Bayesian Theory of Confirmation. In particular, I will provide an explanation of confirmation measures and Bayesian Favoring. Using these two conceptual apparatuses, it will be shown that, contrary to what White has thought, there is a way of supporting Perceptual Dogmatism by means of Bayesian Theory of Confirmation - in particular, Bayesian Theory of Favoring.