• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayesian

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Context Aware System based on Bayesian Network driven Context Reasoning and Ontology Context Modeling

  • Ko, Kwang-Eun;Sim, Kwee-Bo
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.254-259
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    • 2008
  • Uncertainty of result of context awareness always exists in any context-awareness computing. This falling-off in accuracy of context awareness result is mostly caused by the imperfectness and incompleteness of sensed data, because of this reasons, we must improve the accuracy of context awareness. In this article, we propose a novel approach to model the uncertain context by using ontology and context reasoning method based on Bayesian Network. Our context aware processing is divided into two parts; context modeling and context reasoning. The context modeling is based on ontology for facilitating knowledge reuse and sharing. The ontology facilitates the share and reuse of information over similar domains of not only the logical knowledge but also the uncertain knowledge. Also the ontology can be used to structure learning for Bayesian network. The context reasoning is based on Bayesian Networks for probabilistic inference to solve the uncertain reasoning in context-aware processing problem in a flexible and adaptive situation.

Fingerprinting Bayesian Algorithm for Indoor Location Determination (실내 측위 결정을 위한 Fingerprinting Bayesian 알고리즘)

  • Lee, Jang-Jae;Kwon, Jang-Woo;Jung, Min-A;Lee, Seong-Ro
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.35 no.6B
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    • pp.888-894
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    • 2010
  • For the indoor positioning, wireless fingerprinting is most favorable because fingerprinting is most accurate among the technique for wireless network based indoor positioning which does not require any special equipments dedicated for positioning. The deployment of a fingerprinting method consists of off-line phase and on-line phase and more efficient and accurate methods have been studied. This paper proposes a bayesian algorithm for wireless fingerprinting and indoor location determination using fuzzy clustering with bayesian learning as a statistical learning theory.

BAYESIAN MODEL SELECTION IN REGRESSION MODEL WITH AUTOREGRESSIVE ERRORS

  • Chung, Youn-Shik;Sohn, Keon-Tae;Kim, Sung-Duk;Kim, Chan-Soo
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.289-301
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    • 2002
  • This paper considers the Bayesian analysis of the regression model wish autoregressive errors. The Bayesian approach for finding the order p of autoregressive error is proposed and the proposed method can be simplified by generalized Savage-Dicky density ratio(Verdinelli and Wasser-man, [18]). And the Markov chain Monte Carlo method(Gibbs sample, [7]) is used in order to overcome the difficulty of Bayesian computations. Final1y, several examples are used to illustrate our proposed methodology.

Analysis of Client Propensity in Cyber Counseling Using Bayesian Variable Selection

  • Pi, Su-Young
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.277-281
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    • 2006
  • Cyber counseling, one of the most compatible type of consultation for the information society, enables people to reveal their mental agonies and private problems anonymously, since it does not require face-to-face interview between a counsellor and a client. However, there are few cyber counseling centers which provide high quality and trustworthy service, although the number of cyber counseling center has highly increased. Therefore, this paper is intended to enable an appropriate consultation for each client by analyzing client propensity using Bayesian variable selection. Bayesian variable selection is superior to stepwise regression analysis method in finding out a regression model. Stepwise regression analysis method, which has been generally used to analyze individual propensity in linear regression model, is not efficient since it is hard to select a proper model for its own defects. In this paper, based on the case database of current cyber counseling centers in the web, we will analyze clients' propensities using Bayesian variable selection to enable individually target counseling and to activate cyber counseling programs.

Nonparametric Bayesian estimation on the exponentiated inverse Weibull distribution with record values

  • Seo, Jung In;Kim, Yongku
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.611-622
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    • 2014
  • The inverse Weibull distribution (IWD) is the complementary Weibull distribution and plays an important role in many application areas. In Bayesian analysis, Soland's method can be considered to avoid computational complexities. One limitation of this approach is that parameters of interest are restricted to a finite number of values. This paper introduce nonparametric Bayesian estimator in the context of record statistics values from the exponentiated inverse Weibull distribution (EIWD). In stead of Soland's conjugate piror, stick-breaking prior is considered and the corresponding Bayesian estimators under the squared error loss function (quadratic loss) and LINEX loss function are obtained and compared with other estimators. The results may be of interest especially when only record values are stored.

Vision based place recognition using Bayesian inference with feedback of image retrieval

  • Yi, Hu;Lee, Chang-Woo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.19-22
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    • 2006
  • In this paper we present a vision based place recognition method which uses Bayesian method with feed back of image retrieval. Both Bayesian method and image retrieval method are based on interest features that are invariant to many image transformations. The interest features are detected using Harris-Laplacian detector and then descriptors are generated from the image patches centered at the features' position in the same manner of SIFT. The Bayesian method contains two stages: learning and recognition. The image retrieval result is fed back to the Bayesian recognition to achieve robust and confidence. The experimental results show the effectiveness of our method.

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Bayesian Curve-Fitting in Semiparametric Small Area Models with Measurement Errors

  • Hwang, Jinseub;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.349-359
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    • 2015
  • We study a semiparametric Bayesian approach to small area estimation under a nested error linear regression model with area level covariate subject to measurement error. Consideration is given to radial basis functions for the regression spline and knots on a grid of equally spaced sample quantiles of covariate with measurement errors in the nested error linear regression model setup. We conduct a hierarchical Bayesian structural measurement error model for small areas and prove the propriety of the joint posterior based on a given hierarchical Bayesian framework since some priors are defined non-informative improper priors that uses Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to fit it. Our methodology is illustrated using numerical examples to compare possible models based on model adequacy criteria; in addition, analysis is conducted based on real data.

Nonparametric Bayesian methods: a gentle introduction and overview

  • MacEachern, Steven N.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.445-466
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    • 2016
  • Nonparametric Bayesian methods have seen rapid and sustained growth over the past 25 years. We present a gentle introduction to the methods, motivating the methods through the twin perspectives of consistency and false consistency. We then step through the various constructions of the Dirichlet process, outline a number of the basic properties of this process and move on to the mixture of Dirichlet processes model, including a quick discussion of the computational methods used to fit the model. We touch on the main philosophies for nonparametric Bayesian data analysis and then reanalyze a famous data set. The reanalysis illustrates the concept of admissibility through a novel perturbation of the problem and data, showing the benefit of shrinkage estimation and the much greater benefit of nonparametric Bayesian modelling. We conclude with a too-brief survey of fancier nonparametric Bayesian methods.

Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimation of entropy of the inverse Weibull distribution under generalized type I progressive hybrid censoring

  • Lee, Kyeongjun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.469-486
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    • 2020
  • Entropy is an important term in statistical mechanics that was originally defined in the second law of thermodynamics. In this paper, we consider the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), maximum product spacings estimation (MPSE) and Bayesian estimation of the entropy of an inverse Weibull distribution (InW) under a generalized type I progressive hybrid censoring scheme (GePH). The MLE and MPSE of the entropy cannot be obtained in closed form; therefore, we propose using the Newton-Raphson algorithm to solve it. Further, the Bayesian estimators for the entropy of InW based on squared error loss function (SqL), precautionary loss function (PrL), general entropy loss function (GeL) and linex loss function (LiL) are derived. In addition, we derive the Lindley's approximate method (LiA) of the Bayesian estimates. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to compare the results among MLE, MPSE, and Bayesian estimators. A real data set based on the GePH is also analyzed for illustrative purposes.

A Development of Dam Risk Analysis Model Using Bayesian Network (Bayesian Network를 이용한 댐 위험도 해석 모델 개발)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Lee, Jong-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.373-373
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    • 2012
  • 위험도(risk)는 복잡성(complexity)과 불확실성(uncertainty)라는 2가지 주요 특징으로 인해 위험도를 정확하게 예측하는 것은 불가능하다. 대표적인 수공구조물인 댐이 각종 모니터링을 통해서 안전하다고 판단된다 하더라도 하류지역에 도시가 존재한다면 여전히 잔존위험도(residual risk)는 존재한다. 댐의 파괴가 일반적으로 발생하는 사상은 아니지만 대규모 인명피해, 재산 및 환경피해로 이어지기 때문에 작은 위험도라 할지라도 이에 대한 감시 및 관리가 필수적이다. 댐 위험도 분석을 위해서 Event Tree 또는 Fault Tree가 일반적인 해석 방법으로 이용되고 있으나 잠재적인 파괴모드에 대한 복잡성과 불확실성을 고려하는데 한계가 존재한다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 문제점을 개선하기 위해서 Bayesian Network 기반의 위험도 해석기법을 제안하고자 한다. 특히 수문학적 위험도와 관련된 분석을 위해서 Bayesian Network의 구성 방안, 매개변수 추정, 위험도 해석 등 기존 해석 방법을 개선한 댐 위험도 해석 기법을 개발하고자 하며 개발된 방법론을 국내 실제댐에 적용하여 적합성을 평가하였다.

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