• 제목/요약/키워드: Bayes Estimators

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Robust Bayes and Empirical Bayes Analysis in Finite Population Sampling

  • Dal Ho Kim
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.63-73
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    • 1995
  • We consider some robust Bayes estimators using ML-II priors as well as certain empirical Bayes estimators in estimating the finite population mean. The proposed estimators are compared with the sample mean and subjective Bayes estimators in terms of "posterior robustness" and "procedure robustness".re robustness".uot;.

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Robust Bayes and Empirical Bayes Analysis in Finite Population Sampling with Auxiliary Information

  • Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.331-348
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we have proposed some robust Bayes estimators using ML-II priors as well as certain empirical Bayes estimators in estimating the finite population mean in the presence of auxiliary information. These estimators are compared with the classical ratio estimator and a subjective Bayes estimator utilizing the auxiliary information in terms of "posterior robustness" and "procedure robustness" Also, we have addressed the issue of choice of sampling design from a robust Bayesian viewpoint.

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Bayes Estimation of Two Ordered Exponential Means

  • Hong, Yeon-Woong;Kwon, Yong-Mann
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.273-284
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    • 2004
  • Bayes estimation of parameters is considered for two independent exponential distributions with ordered means. Order restricted Bayes estimators for means are obtained with respect to inverted gamma, noninformative prior and uniform prior distributions, and their asymptotic properties are established. It is shown that the maximum likelihood estimator, restricted maximum likelihood estimator, unrestricted Bayes estimator, and restricted Bayes estimator of the mean are all consistent and have the same limiting distribution. These estimators are compared with the corresponding unrestricted Bayes estimators by Monte Carlo simulation.

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Hierarchical Bayes Estimators of the Error Variance in Two-Way ANOVA Models

  • Chang, In Hong;Kim, Byung Hwee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.315-324
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    • 2002
  • For estimating the error variance under the relative squared error loss in two-way analysis of variance models, we provide a class of hierarchical Bayes estimators and then derive a subclass of the hierarchical Bayes estimators, each member of which dominates the best multiple of the error sum of squares which is known to be minimax. We also identify a subclass of non-minimax hierarchical Bayes estimators.

손해보험 위험도 추정에 대한 베이즈 위험 비교 연구 (Bayes Risk Comparison for Non-Life Insurance Risk Estimation)

  • 김명준;우호영;김영화
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.1017-1028
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    • 2014
  • 잘 알려져 있는 것처럼 일반적인 베이즈 추정량(Bayes estimator)과 경험적 베이즈 추정량(empirical Bayes estimator)은 모수를 추정하는데 있어서 오차를 과다축소하는 단점을 가지고 있다. 따라서 이러한 단점을 극복하기 위하여 constrained 베이즈 추정량이 일차 적률과 이차 적률을 일치시키는 성질을 만족시키며 제안되었다. 또한 평균 제곱오차 함수와 같은 전통적인 손실함수에서는 추정의 정확성만을 고려하는 특징을 가지고 있기 때문에, 추정의 정확성과 정합성을 동시에 고려하는 균형 손실함수가 제안되었다. 이러한 이유로 인하여 균형손실 함수하에서의 제한적 베이즈 추정량의 활용이 손해 보험의 가격 산출에 제안되는 것은 타당하다. 그러나 대부분의 연구는 추정의 문제에만 집중하는 경향이 있으며. 이는 새롭게 제안되는 특정 손실함수하에서의 constrained 베이즈 추정량과 constrained empirical 베이즈 추정량의 베이즈 위험의 계산이 어렵다는 점에서 기인한다. 본 연구에서는 다양한 베이즈 추정량들에 대한 베이즈 위험을 서로 다른 두 손실함수하에서 비교하였으며, 그 대상은 자동차 보험 산업에서의 위험도 추정 분야이다. 또한 자동차 보험 산업의 실제 사고 데이터를 이용하여 새롭게 제안된 베이즈 추정량의 베이즈 위험을 비교함으로써 그 효용성을 입증하였다.

Bayes Estimators for Reliablity of a k-Unit Standby System with Perfect Switch

  • Lee, Changsoo;Kim, Keehwan;Park, Youngmi
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.435-442
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    • 2001
  • Bayes estimators and generalized ML estimators for reliability of a k-unit hot standby system with the perfect switch based upon a complete sample of failure times observed from an exponential distribution using noninformative, generalized uniform, and gamma priors for the failure rate are proposed, and MSE's of proposed several estimators for the standby system reliability are compared numerically each other through the Monte Carlo simulation.

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Hierarchical Bayes Estimators of the Error Variance in Balanced Fixed-Effects Two-Way ANOVA Models

  • Kim, Byung-Hwee;Dong, Kyung-Hwa
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.487-500
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    • 1999
  • We propose a class of hierarchical Bayes estimators of the error variance under the relative squared error loss in balanced fixed-effects two-way analysis of variance models. Also we provide analytic expressions for the risk improvement of the hierarchical Bayes estimators over multiples of the error sum of squares. Using these expressions we identify a subclass of the hierarchical Bayes estimators each member of which dominates the best multiple of the error sum of squares which is known to be minimax. Numerical values of the percentage risk improvement are given in some special cases.

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Bayes Estimation of a Reliability Function for Rayleigh Model

  • Kim, Yeung-Hoon;Sohn, Joong-Kweon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.445-461
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    • 1994
  • This paper deals with the problem of obtaining some Bayes estimators and Bayesian credible regions of a reliability function for the Rayleigh distribution. Using several priors for a reliability function some Bayes estimators and Bayes credible sets are proposed and studied under squared error loss and Harris loss. Also the performances and behaviors of the proposed Bayes estimators are examined via Monte Carlo simulations and some numericla examples are given.

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Estimating the Population Size from a Truncated Sample

  • Yeo, Sung-Chil
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.169-185
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    • 2000
  • Given a random sample of size N (unknown) with density f(x│$\theta$), suppose that only n observations which lie outside a region r are recorded. On the basis of n observation, the Bayes estimators of $\theta$ and N are considered and their asymptotic expansions are developed to find the third order asymptotic properties with those of the maximum likelihood estimators and the Bayes modal estimators. The asymptotic m.s.e.'s of these estimators are expressed. An example is given to illustrate the results obtained.

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Computational procedures for exponential life model incorporating Bayes and shrinkage techniques

  • Al-Hemyari, Zuhair A.;Al-Dabag, H.A.;Al-Humairi, Ali Z.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.55-79
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    • 2015
  • It is well known that using any additional information in the estimation of unknown parameters with new sample of observations diminishes the sampling units needed and minimizes the risk of new estimators. There are many rational reasons to assure that the existence of additional information in practice and there exists many practical cases in which additional information is available in the form of target value (initial value) about the unknown parameters. This article is described the problem of how the prior initial value about the unknown parameters can be utilized and combined with classical Bayes estimator to get a new combination of Bayes estimator and prior value to improve the properties of the new combination. In this article, two classes of Bayes-shrinkage and preliminary test Bayes-shrinkage estimators are proposed for the scale parameter of exponential distribution. The bias, risk and risk ratio expressions are derived and studied. The performance of the proposed classes of estimators is studied for different choices of constants engaged in the estimators. The comparisons, conclusions and recommendations are demonstrated.