• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayes Estimator

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Bayesian Mode1 Selection and Diagnostics for Nonlinear Regression Model (베이지안 비선형회귀모형의 선택과 진단)

  • 나종화;김정숙
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.139-151
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    • 2002
  • This study is concerned with model selection and diagnostics for nonlinear regression model through Bayes factor. In this paper, we use informative prior and simulate observations from the posterior distribution via Markov chain Monte Carlo. We propose the Laplace approximation method and apply the Laplace-Metropolis estimator to solve the computational difficulty of Bayes factor.

System reliability estimation in multicomponent exponential stress-strength models

  • Pandit, Parameshwar V.;Kantu, Kala J.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2013
  • A stress-strength model is formulated for a multi-component system consisting of k identical components. The k components of the system with random strengths ($X_1$, $X_2$, ${\ldots}$, $X_k$) are subjected to one of the r random stresses ($X_{k+1}$, $X_{k+2}$, ${\ldots}$, $X_{k+r}$). The estimation of system reliability based on maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) and Bayes estimators in k component system are obtained when the system is either parallel or series with the assumption that strengths and stresses follow exponential distribution. A simulation study is conducted to compare MLE and Bayes estimator through the mean squared errors of the estimators.

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An Automatic Contour Detection of 2-D Echocardiograms Using the Heat Anisotropic Diffusion Method (Heat Anisotropic Diffusion 방법을 이용한 2차원 심초음파도에서 경계선 자동 검출)

  • 신동조;김동윤
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.79-90
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, we present an automatic threshold decision method to detect the contour of the a 2-D echocarodiogram by using the Bayes estimator for the boundary-like region. The boundary-like region is constructed from the conduction coefficient of the heat anisotro-pic diffusion method which enforces the blurred image during the preprocessing step. For the boundary-like region, we used the Bayes estimator to select an optimal threshold level. From this threshold value, the contour of the echocardigrams can be detected automatically Finally by overlapping the estimated contour to the original echocardiogram, we can obtain the contour enforced ultrasound echocardiogram.

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Empirical Bayes Estimation of the Probability of Discovering a New Species (신종발견확률의 경험적 베이지안 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Joo Ho Lee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.159-172
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    • 1994
  • An empirical Bayes estimator of the probability of discovering a new species is proposed when some prior information is available on the number f species. The new estimator is shown via simulations to have only a moderate bias and a smaller RMSE than Good's estimator when the species population follows a truncated geometric distribution.

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Bayes Estimation of Reliability in the Strength-Stress Models

  • Yum, Joon-Keun;Kim, Jae-Joo;Cho, Sin-Sup;Park, Hong-Nai
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 1994
  • We obtain the Bayes estimator(BE), the minimum variance unbiased estimator(MVUE) and maximun likelihood estimator(MLE) of the reliability when the distribution of the stress and the strength are Weibull with known shape parameters. The experiment is terminated before all of the items on the test have failed and the failed items are partially replaced. Performance of the three estimators for moderate size samples are compared through Monte Carlo simulation.

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Comparison of different estimators of P(Y

  • Hassan, Marwa KH.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.83-98
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    • 2017
  • Stress-strength reliability problems arise frequently in applied statistics and related fields. In the context of reliability, the stress-strength model describes the life of a component, which has a random strength X and is subjected to random stress Y. The component fails at the instant that the stress applied to it exceeds the strength and the component will function satisfactorily whenever X > Y. The problem of estimation the reliability parameter in a stress-strength model R = P[Y < X], when X and Y are two independent two-parameter Lindley random variables is considered in this paper. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and Bayes estimator of R are obtained. Also, different confidence intervals of R are obtained. Simulation study is performed to compare the different proposed estimation methods. Example in real data is used as practical application of the proposed procedure.

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ON CONSISTENCY OF SOME NONPARAMETRIC BAYES ESTIMATORS WITH RESPECT TO A BETA PROCESS BASED ON INCOMPLETE DATA

  • Hong, Jee-Chang;Jung, In-Ha
    • The Pure and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.123-132
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    • 1998
  • Let F and G denote the distribution functions of the failure times and the censoring variables in a random censorship model. Susarla and Van Ryzin(1978) verified consistency of $F_{\alpha}$, he NPBE of F with respect to the Dirichlet process prior D($\alpha$), in which they assumed F and G are continuous. Assuming that A, the cumulative hazard function, is distributed according to a beta process with parameters c, $\alpha$, Hjort(1990) obtained the Bayes estimator $A_{c,\alpha}$ of A under a squared error loss function. By the theory of product-integral developed by Gill and Johansen(1990), the Bayes estimator $F_{c,\alpha}$ is recovered from $A_{c,\alpha}$. Continuity assumption on F and G is removed in our proof of the consistency of $A_{c,\alpha}$ and $F_{c,\alpha}$. Our result extends Susarla and Van Ryzin(1978) since a particular transform of a beta process is a Dirichlet process and the class of beta processes forms a much larger class than the class of Dirichlet processes.

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Parametric Empirical Bayes Estimators with Item-Censored Data

  • Choi, Dal-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.261-270
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    • 1997
  • This paper is proposed the parametric empirical Bayes(EB) confidence intervals which corrects the deficiencies in the naive EB confidence intervals of the scale parameter in the Weibull distribution under item-censoring scheme. In this case, the bootstrap EB confidence intervals are obtained by the parametric bootstrap introduced by Laird and Louis(1987). The comparisons among the bootstrap and the naive EB confidence intervals through Monte Carlo study are also presented.

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Empirical Bayes Nonparametric Estimation with Beta Processes Based on Censored Observations

  • Hong, Jee-Chang;Kim, Yongdai;Inha Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.481-498
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    • 2001
  • Empirical Bayes procedure of nonparametric estiamtion of cumulative hazard rates based on censored data is considered using the beta process priors of Hjort(1990). Beta process priors with unknown parameters are used for cumulative hazard rates. Empirical Bayes estimators are suggested and asymptotic optimality is proved. Our result generalizes that of Susarla and Van Ryzin(1978) in the sensor that (i) the cumulative hazard rate induced by a Dirichlet process is a beta process, (ii) our empirical Bayes estimator does not depend on the censoring distribution while that of Susarla and Van Ryzin(1978) does, (iii) a class of estimators of the hyperprameters is suggested in the prior distribution which is assumed known in advance in Susarla and Van Ryzin(1978). This extension makes the proposed empirical Bayes procedure more applicable to real dta sets.

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Logit Confidence Intervals Using Pseudo-Bayes Estimators for the Common Odds Ratio in 2 X 2 X K Contingency Tables

  • Kim, Donguk;Chun, Eunhee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.479-496
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    • 2003
  • We investigate logit confidence intervals for the odds ratio based on the delta method. These intervals are constructed using pseudo-Bayes estimators. The Gart method and Agresti method smooth the observed counts toward the model of equiprobability and independence, respectively. We obtain better coverage probability by smoothing the observed counts toward the pseudo-Bayes estimators in 2$\times$2 table. We also improve legit confidence intervals in 2$\times$2$\times$K tables by generalizing these ideas. Utilizing pseudo-Bayes estimators, we obtain better coverage probability by smoothing the observed counts toward the conditional independence model, no three-factor interaction model and saturated model in 2$\times$2$\times$K tables.