• 제목/요약/키워드: Battery Performance Prediction

검색결과 39건 처리시간 0.028초

A Study on the Life Prediction of Lithium Ion Batteries Based on a Convolutional Neural Network Model

  • Mi-Jin Choi;Sang-Bum Kim
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.118-121
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    • 2023
  • Recently, green energy support policies have been announced around the world in accordance with environmental regulations, and asthe market grows rapidly, demand for batteries is also increasing. Therefore, various methodologies for battery diagnosis and recycling methods are being discussed, but current accurate life prediction of batteries has limitations due to the nonlinear form according to the internal structure or chemical change of the battery. In this paper, CS2 lithium-ion battery measurement data measured at the A. James Clark School of Engineering, University of Marylan was used to predict battery performance with high accuracy using a convolutional neural network (CNN) model among deep learning-based models. As a result, the battery performance was predicted with high accuracy. A data structure with a matrix of total data 3,931 ☓ 19 was designed as test data for the CS2 battery and checking the result values, the MAE was 0.8451, the RMSE was 1.3448, and the accuracy was 0.984, confirming excellent performance.

Personalized Battery Lifetime Prediction for Mobile Devices based on Usage Patterns

  • Kang, Joon-Myung;Seo, Sin-Seok;Hong, James Won-Ki
    • Journal of Computing Science and Engineering
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.338-345
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    • 2011
  • Nowadays mobile devices are used for various applications such as making voice/video calls, browsing the Internet, listening to music etc. The average battery consumption of each of these activities and the length of time a user spends on each one determines the battery lifetime of a mobile device. Previous methods have provided predictions of battery lifetime using a static battery consumption rate that does not consider user characteristics. This paper proposes an approach to predict a mobile device's available battery lifetime based on usage patterns. Because every user has a different pattern of voice calls, data communication, and video call usage, we can use such usage patterns for personalized prediction of battery lifetime. Firstly, we define one or more states that affect battery consumption. Then, we record time-series log data related to battery consumption and the use time of each state. We calculate the average battery consumption rate for each state and determine the usage pattern based on the time-series data. Finally, we predict the available battery time based on the average battery consumption rate for each state and the usage pattern. We also present the experimental trials used to validate our approach in the real world.

Performance Comparison Analysis of Artificial Intelligence Models for Estimating Remaining Capacity of Lithium-Ion Batteries

  • Kyu-Ha Kim;Byeong-Soo Jung;Sang-Hyun Lee
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.310-314
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to predict the remaining capacity of lithium-ion batteries and evaluate their performance using five artificial intelligence models, including linear regression analysis, decision tree, random forest, neural network, and ensemble model. We is in the study, measured Excel data from the CS2 lithium-ion battery was used, and the prediction accuracy of the model was measured using evaluation indicators such as mean square error, mean absolute error, coefficient of determination, and root mean square error. As a result of this study, the Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) of the linear regression model was 0.045, the decision tree model was 0.038, the random forest model was 0.034, the neural network model was 0.032, and the ensemble model was 0.030. The ensemble model had the best prediction performance, with the neural network model taking second place. The decision tree model and random forest model also performed quite well, and the linear regression model showed poor prediction performance compared to other models. Therefore, through this study, ensemble models and neural network models are most suitable for predicting the remaining capacity of lithium-ion batteries, and decision tree and random forest models also showed good performance. Linear regression models showed relatively poor predictive performance. Therefore, it was concluded that it is appropriate to prioritize ensemble models and neural network models in order to improve the efficiency of battery management and energy systems.

데이터 기반 리튬 이온 배터리 성능 예측을 위한 학습 데이터 모델 정의 및 기계학습 분석 (Learning Data Model Definition and Machine Learning Analysis for Data-Based Li-Ion Battery Performance Prediction)

  • 김병욱;박지수;장홍준
    • 정보처리학회논문지:소프트웨어 및 데이터공학
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.133-140
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    • 2023
  • 리튬 이온 배터리는 사용 환경과 양극재 조합 비율에 따라 배터리의 성능이 좌우된다. 고성능 리튬 이온 배터리를 개발하기 위해서는 양극재 비율을 다양하게 변화시켜가면서 배터리를 제작하고 성능을 측정해야 한다. 하지만 모든 변수 조합에 대해 배터리를 제작하고 성능을 측정하기에는 많은 시간과 비용이 소모된다. 그렇기 때문에 최근에는 데이터 기반으로 인공지능 모델을 활용하여 배터리의 성능을 예측하고자 하는 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 그러나 기존 공개 배터리 데이터는 동일한 배터리로 측정 실험을 하였기 때문에 양극재 조합 비율은 고정되어 있어서 데이터 속성으로 포함되지 않았다. 본 논문에서는 양극재 소재 조합 비율에 따른 배터리의 성능을 예측할 수 있는 인공지능 모델 개발에 필요한 학습 데이터 모델을 정의한다. 우리는 리튬 이온 배터리의 성능에 영향을 미칠 수 있는 요인을 분석하여 양극재 소재별 질량과 배터리 사용 환경을 입력데이터로, 배터리의 출력과 용량을 목적 데이터로 정의하였다. 공개 배터리 데이터 중에는 양극재 비율이 포함된 데이터가 없어 양극재 비율을 모두 동일한 값으로 설정한 제한된 데이터로 다중 선형회귀 분석, 서포트 벡터 회귀분석, 다중 로지스틱 회귀 분석, LSTM 분석을 수행하였다. 실험 환경이 다른 배터리 데이터에서 각각의 배터리 데이터는 고유한 패턴을 유지하였으며, 배터리 분류 모델은 각각의 배터리를 약 2%의 오차로 분류하는 것으로 나타났다.

1차 전지의 성능 신뢰도 분석 장치에 관한 연구 (A Study on Performance Reliability Analysis Device of Primary Battery)

  • 김연수;정영배
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.70-76
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    • 2014
  • In industrial situation, electronic and electro-mechanical systems have been using different type of batteries in rapidly increasing numbers. These systems commonly require high reliability for long periods of time. Wider application of battery for low-power design as a prime power source requires us knowledge of failure mechanism and reliability of batteries in terms of load condition, environment condition and other explanatory variables. Battery life is an important factor that affects the reliability of such systems. There is need for us to understand the mechanism leading to the failure state of battery with performance characteristic and develop a method to predict the life of such battery. The purpose of this paper is to develope the methodology of monitoring the health of battery and determining the condition or fate of such systems through the performance reliability to predict the remaining useful life of primary battery with load condition, operating condition, environment change in light of battery life variation. In order to evaluate on-going performance of systems and subsystems adopting primary batteries as energy source, The primitive prototype for performance reliability analysis device was developed and related framework explained.

차량용 납축전지의 수명 예측 모델링 (Modeling of the lifetime prediction of a 12-V automotive lead-acid battery)

  • 김성태;이정빈;김의성;신치범
    • 에너지공학
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.338-346
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    • 2013
  • 일반 납축전지는 차량의 시동 성능 위주로 최적 설계되어 있다. 최근 차량 전장 시스템과 납축전지를 활용한 연비기술 적용의 증가로 납축전지의 사용 빈도가 늘어나고 있다. 연비기술 적용은 납축전지의 잦은 충방전 반응을 일으켜 납축전지 내구 수명을 단축시키고 있다. 본 연구에서는 납축전지의 노화 수명 모델 구현을 통해 배터리 내구 수명을 예측하는 방법을 제시하고자 한다. 납축전지의 노화에 영향을 미치는 요인은 방전율, 충전 시간, 완충 시간, 온도 조건 등이 있다. 본 논문에서는 납축전지의 동적 거동을 예측하기 위하여 전기화학반응 속도론, 이온의 전달현상, 전극 공극률의 시간에 따른 변화를 고려하였다. 수명 예측을 위해서 노화 메커니즘 중 노화에 가장 큰 영향을 주는 극판 부식 현상과 활물질 탈락을 노화 모델링에 반영하였다. 개발된 납축전지의 노화 모델을 검증하기 위하여 납축전지의 가속 충방전 시험을 수행하였다.

자동차 배터리 지지 구조의 진동 피로 해석에 대한 연구 (Study on Vibration Fatigue Analysis of Automotive Battery Supporter)

  • 안상호
    • 자동차안전학회지
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.22-27
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, the vibration load and analysis results for automotive battery supporter were performed to provide efficient vibration tolerance performance prediction methods for single-product vibration tolerance testing, and the major influencing factors and considerations for setting up single-unit vibration tolerance tests were reviewed. A common applicable standard load was applied to efficiently predict the performance of single-unit vibrations through the frequency response analysis technique. The results similar to test results can be predicted by checking vulnerable parts of the vehicle components for vibration loads and applying scale factor to standard loads. In addition, it was confirmed that the test conditions with a frequency generating the same durability severity as the endurance test are needed for accurate prediction of the durability of the single-unit vibration tolerance test conditions, and the acceleration and frequency with the conditions that there is no significant nonlinear phenomena in the vibration system are established during the single-unit vibration tolerance test conditions.

시계열 모델 기반의 계절성에 특화된 S-ARIMA 모델을 사용한 리튬이온 배터리의 노화 예측 및 분석 (Degradation Prediction and Analysis of Lithium-ion Battery using the S-ARIMA Model with Seasonality based on Time Series Models)

  • 김승우;이평연;권상욱;김종훈
    • 전력전자학회논문지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.316-324
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    • 2022
  • This paper uses seasonal auto-regressive integrated moving average (S-ARIMA), which is efficient in seasonality between time-series models, to predict the degradation tendency for lithium-ion batteries and study a method for improving the predictive performance. The proposed method analyzes the degradation tendency and extracted factors through an electrical characteristic experiment of lithium-ion batteries, and verifies whether time-series data are suitable for the S-ARIMA model through several statistical analysis techniques. Finally, prediction of battery aging is performed through S-ARIMA, and performance of the model is verified through error comparison of predictions through mean absolute error.

A Study on Impedance Change Trend and Battery Life Analysis through Battery Performance Deterioration Factors

  • Mi-Jin Choi;Young-Jun Kim;Sang-Bum Kim
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.129-134
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    • 2023
  • Although the use of batteries is rapidly increasing worldwide to improve carbon neutrality and energy efficiency, performance degradation due to the increase in the number of uses is inevitable as it is a finite resource that can be applied according to capacity and specifications. Deterioration and failure of batteries are recognized as important problems in various applications using batteries, including electric vehicles. In order to solve these problems, a diagnostic technology capable of accurately predicting battery life and grasping state information is required, but it is difficult in a non-linear form due to internal structure or chemical change. In this paper, the factors that generally cause battery performance change are directly applied to check whether there are external changes and impedance changes in the battery, and to analyze whether they affect battery life. Impedance change trends and result values were confirmed using a universal impedance spectroscopy method and a self-developed internal impedance measurement method. The results did not significantly affect the impedance change trend. It was confirmed that the increase in the number of times of battery use was prominent in the impedance change trend.

머신러닝 기법을 이용한 납축전지 열화 예측 모델 개발 (Building battery deterioration prediction model using real field data)

  • 최근호;김건우
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.243-264
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    • 2018
  • 현재 전세계 배터리 시장은 이차전지 개발에 박차를 가하고 있는 실정이지만, 실제로 소비되는 배터리 중 가격 대비 성능이 좋고 재충전을 통해 다시 재사용이 가능한 납축전지(이차전지)의 소비가 광범위하게 이루어지고 있다. 하지만 납축전지는 복합적 셀(cell)을 묶어 하나의 배터리를 구성하여 활용하는 배터리의 특성상 하나의 셀에서 열화가 발생하면 전체 배터리의 손상을 가져와 열화가 빨리 진행되는 문제가 존재한다. 이를 극복하기 위해 본 연구는 기계학습을 통한 배터리 상태 데이터를 학습하여 배터리 열화를 예측할 수 있는 모델을 개발하고자 한다. 이를 위해 실제 현장에서 배터리 상태를 지속적으로 모니터링 할 수 있는 센서를 골프장 카트에 부착하여 실시간으로 배터리 상태 데이터를 수집하고, 수집한 데이터를 이용하여 기계학습 기법을 적용한 분석을 통해 열화 전조 현상에 대한 예측 모델을 개발하였다. 총 16,883개의 샘플을 분석 데이터로 사용하였으며, 예측 모델을 만들기 위한 알고리즘으로 의사결정나무, 로지스틱, 베이지언, 배깅, 부스팅, RandomForest를 사용하였다. 실험 결과, 의사결정나무를 기본 알고리즘으로 사용한 배깅 모델이 89.3923%이 가장 높은 적중률을 보이는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 날씨와 운전습관 등 배터리 열화에 영향을 줄 수 있는 추가적인 변수들을 고려하지 못했다는 한계점이 있으나, 이는 향후 연구에서 다루고자 한다. 본 연구에서 제안하는 배터리 열화 예측 모델은 배터리 열화의 전조현상을 사전에 예측함으로써 배터리 관리를 효율적으로 수행하고 이에 따른 비용을 획기적으로 줄일 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.