• 제목/요약/키워드: Bass number

검색결과 48건 처리시간 0.021초

GLS와 Bass 모형을 결합한 하이브리드 모형을 이용한 영화 관객 수 예측 (Prediction of movie audience numbers using hybrid model combining GLS and Bass models)

  • 김보경;임창원
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.447-461
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    • 2018
  • 국내 영화 산업 매출은 매년 증가하고 있다. 극장은 영화의 1차 판매 경로이며, 극장을 이용하는 관객 수는 부가판권에 영향을 준다. 따라서 극장을 이용하는 관객의 수는 영화 산업 매출에 직결되는 중요한 요소이다. 본 논문에서 특정일의 관객 수를 예측하기 위하여 다중선형회귀모형과 Bass 모형을 결합한 Hybrid 모형을 고려한다. 두 모형을 결합함으로써 회귀분석의 예측값을 Bass 모형의 예측값으로 보정하였다. 분석에는 개봉일이 모두 다른 세 영화를 이용하였다. All subset regression 방법을 이용해 모든 가능한 조합을 생성하고 5중 교차검증(5-fold cross validation)을 통해 5번 모형을 추정한다. 이 때 제곱근평균오차가 가장 작은 모형으로 예측값을 구한 뒤 Bass 모형의 예측값과 결합해 최종 예측값을 구하게 된다. 과거데이터가 존재할수록 Bass 모형의 가중치는 증가하면서 예측값에 보정효과를 준다는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

Effect of replacement feed ingredients of Micropterus salmoides in exotic species

  • Min-Gi Han;Ran Lee;Hyun Jung Park;Kyung Hoon Lee;Hyuk Song
    • 한국동물생명공학회지
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.225-235
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    • 2023
  • Background: Largemouth bass (Micropterus salmoides) is introduced species that has caused aquatic ecology activity both in vitro and in vivo were investigated for the possibility of application of the bass extract as an alternative feed ingredient. Methods: The bass oil was extracted using a 1-L supercritical extractor, while the protein was extracted from 250 g of bass dry matter, which was dissolved in 1 mL of H2O at 50℃. Both oil and protein extracts were evaluated antioxidant activities and the level of DPPH radical scavenging assay and nitric oxide (NO) production assay with lipopolysaccharide response. Oral administration of 6.6 µL/g bass protein and 5.38 µL/g bass oil conducted for investigating serological and physiological effect. Results: DPPH radical scavenging showed similar radical scavenging ability of 50 µM of ascorbic acid at 200 ㎍ of protein and 10% of oil treatment. NO concentration was diminished by the treatment of bass oil. Oral administration of both bass oil and proteins to mice showed that the body weight increase rate of the bass oil treated group was significantly reduced by 1.55 g compared to the other groups. The number of white blood cells (WBC) was increased by 4.52 k/µL in the bass protein-treated group and 4.44 k/µL in the bass oil-treated group compared to the control group. However, the serum IgG level did not show a significant difference between the bass extract-treated groups and the control group. Conclusions: These studies demonstrate that both bass oil and proteins extracted from the bass not only provide excellent effects of antioxidant and immune activity but can also be used as functional food supplements.

Forecasting the Diffusion of Innovative Products Using the Bass Model at the Takeoff Stage: A Review of Literature from Subsistence Markets

  • Mitra, Suddhachit
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.141-161
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    • 2019
  • A considerable amount of research has been directed at subsistence markets in the recent past with the belief that these markets can be tapped profitably by marketers. Consequently, such markets have seen the launch of a number of innovative products. However, marketers of such forecasts need timely and accurate forecasts regarding the diffusion of their products. The Bass model has been widely used in marketing management to forecast diffusion of innovative products. Given the idiosyncrasies of subsistence markets, such forecasting requires an understanding of effective estimation techniques of the Bass model and their use in subsistence markets. This article reviews the literature to achieve this objective and find out gaps in research. A finding is that there is a lack of timely estimates of Bass model parameters for marketers to act on. Consequently, this article sets a research agenda that calls for timely forecasts at the takeoff stage using appropriate estimation techniques for the Bass model in the context of subsistence markets.

Reproduction and Maturation of Sea Bass, Lateolabrax japonicus, after Transportation from Net-Cages to Indoor Tanks

  • Kang, Duk-Young;Kim, Hyo-Chan;Im, Jae Hyun
    • 한국발생생물학회지:발생과생식
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.157-171
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    • 2021
  • To determine whether the reproductive processes of sea bass, Lateolabrax japonicus, proceed normally after transportation from an outdoor net-cage into indoor tanks, we examined changes in the gonadosomatic index (GSI), histological gonadal tissue, and plasma levels of sex hormones (testosterone and estradiol-17ß) during their annual reproductive cycle. We also measured maturation and spawning across two sea water salinity levels (full and low salinity). Fecundity was estimated by the relationship between egg number and body size in female sea bass. Monthly changes in the GSI, histological gonadal tissues, and oocyte size showed both male and female sea bass reach final maturation in January and February, respectively, indicating that the spermiation of males occurs earlier than the spawning of females. The histological results indicated that the sea bass is a multiple spawner, similar to many marine teleosts, exhibiting group-synchronous oocyte development. Female maturation and spawning were enhanced in lower salinity seawater (29.6-31.0 psu) compared to that of normal salinity (34.5-35.1 psu). These results confirm that sea bass reproduction can occur successfully in captivity and imply that fertilized eggs can be collected from February to March. Additionally, our results show that lower salinity enhances oocyte maturation and spawning of female sea bass.

Bass 확산모형을 활용한 국내 주택연금의 중·장기 수요예측 (Long-Term Projection of Demand for Reverse Mortgage Using the Bass Diffusion Model in Korea)

  • 양진아;민대기;최형석
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제42권1호
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    • pp.29-41
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    • 2017
  • Korea is expected to become a super-aged society by 2050. Given an aging population and the increasing pressure for the early retirement, a sufficient social safety net for elderly population becomes important. The Korean government introduced public reverse mortgage program in 2007, which is a product for aging seniors and the elderly, The number of reverse mortgage subscribers has also steadily grown. The demand continues to grow, but the reverse mortgage over a long period of time is a highly uncertain and risky product in the position of guarantee or lending institution. Thus, suitable demand prediction of the reverse mortgage subscribers is necessary for stable and sustainable operation. This study uses a Bass diffusion model to forecast the long-term demand for reverse mortgage and provides insight into reverse mortgage by forecasting demand for stability and substantiality of the loan product. We represent the projections of new subscribers on the basis of the data obtained from Korea Housing Finance Corporation. Results show that potential market size of Korean reverse mortgage reaches approximately 760,000-1,160,000 households by 2020. We validate the results by comparing the estimate of the cumulative number of subscribers with that found in literature.

여수 연안 승망 어장에서 어획된 어업생물의 계절별 분포특성 (Seasonal distribution characteristics of fishery creatures caught in funnel net fishing ground of the Yeosu coastal sea)

  • 주찬순;박진형;박주삼
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제42권3호
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    • pp.158-168
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    • 2006
  • A study on the species composition and seasonal variations of fishery creatures caught by a funnel net was carried out in the coastal water off Dolsan Island, Yeosu from 2002 to 2003. During the study period, a total of 23 fishery creatures species were caught. Seabream(Acanthopagrus schlegeli), sea bass(Lateolabrax japonicus), mullet(Mugil cephalus), puffer(Takifugu niphobles) and rockfish(Sebastes inermis) predominated. These five species accounted for 85.1% of the total number of fishery creatures caught. Seasonal peaks of number of species occurred in summer, while those of number of individuals occurred in autumn. The lowest number of species and individuals were observed in winter. The large annual variation of diversity indices were observed from May to August. These large annual variation of diversity indices were mainly due to predominance of seabream, sea bass and mullet which accounted for most of all fishery creatures caught. The seasonal variations of fishery creatures showed that sea bass and mullet were caught mainly from spring to summer, seabream and puffer were caught mainly in autumn, and rockfish and brotula(Hoplobrotula armata) were caught mainly in winter.

인터넷 정보확산의 성공과 실패에 미치는 사회적 네트워크 영향자의 영향 (The Effects of Influentials on Successful and Unsuccessful Diffusion in the Social Network)

  • 한상만;차경천;홍재원
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.73-96
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    • 2009
  • 온라인에서의 정보 확산은 미니홈피와 블로그 등에서 전파되는 소비자들의 스크랩 활동들을 볼 때 빈번한 방문활동을 보이는 사회적 관계 속에서 해석되어야 한다는 분위기가 고조되고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 온라인에서 개별 소비자들이 사회적 네트워크 내에서 가지는 특성을 바탕으로 다양한 영향자들(Influentials)을 규명하고 이러한 영향자들이 확산에 있어 Bass 확산모형에서의 혁신효과와 모방효과에 미치는 영향을 살펴보고자 하였다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 확산에 있어 성공과 실패하는 아이템간의 Bass 확산모형에서의 차이를 검증하여 모방효과에서 성공하는 아이템과 실패하는 아이템간의 차이점을 발견하였다. 또한 성공과 실패하는 아이템 간에 네트워크 영향자의 차이가 있는지 검정하였는데, 그 결과 연구대상인 100개의 아이템에서 성공과 실패하는 아이템 간에 영향자의 평균 차이가 있음을 알았다. 마지막으로 확산모형의 모방효과에 영향자의 효과를 함께 모형화하여 통계적으로 유의함을 보였고, 확산시기 중 초기의 영향자의 영향이 확산에 있어 더욱 중요함을 밝혔다.

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A Message of Congratulation on Behalf of the International Commission on Mathematical Instruction

  • Bass, Hyman;Hodgson, Bernard R.
    • 한국수학교육학회지시리즈D:수학교육연구
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.69-72
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    • 2003
  • Editor's Note: On the occasion of the publication of the 100th issue (Vol. 42, Number 2) of the Journal of the Korea Society of Mathematical Education Series A: "The Mathematical Education", Professors Hyman Bass (President of the International Commission on Mathematics Instruction) and Bernard R. Hodgson (Secretary-General of ICMI) together send a message of congratulation to the Korea Society of Mathematical Education(KSME).

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양방향 LSTM기반 시계열 특허 동향 예측 연구 (A patent application filing forecasting method based on the bidirectional LSTM)

  • 최승완;김광수;곽수영
    • 전기전자학회논문지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.545-552
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    • 2022
  • 특정 분야의 특허출원수는 기술의 수명주기 및 산업의 활성화 정도와 밀접한 관계를 가지고 있다. 따라서 사전에 사업을 준비하는 기업들과 미래 유망 기술을 초기 단계에서 선발하여 투자하고자 하는 정부 기관들은 미래의 특허 출원수 예측에 대해 큰 관심을 가지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 시계열 데이터에 적합한 RNN의 기법 중 하나인 양방향 LSTM 기법을 이용하여 기존 예측 방법들보다 정확도를 높이는 방법을 제안한다. 5개 분야의 대한민국 특허 출원 데이터에 대해서 제안된 방법은 기존에 사용되던 확산 모델 중 하나인 Bass 모델과 비교하여 평균 절대 백분율 오차(MAPE)의 값이 약 16퍼센트 향상된 결과를 보여준다.