• Title/Summary/Keyword: Aviation Demand

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A Study on the Prediction Analysis of Aviation Passenger Demand after Covid-19

  • Jin, Seong Hyun;Jeon, Seung Joon;Kim, Kyoung Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.147-153
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzed the outlook for aviation demand for the recovery of the aviation industry, focusing on airlines facing difficulties in management due to the Covid-19 crisis. Although the timing of the recovery in aviation demand is uncertain at the moment, this study is based on prior research related to Covid-19 and forecasts by aviation specialists, and analyzed by SWOT technique to a group of aviation experts to derive and suggest implications for the prospects of aviation demand. Looking at the implications based on the analysis results, first, customer trust to prevent infection should be considered a top priority for recovering aviation demand. Second, promote reasonable air price policy. Finally, it seeks to try various research and analysis techniques to predict long-term aviation demand to overcome Covid-19.

Domestic air demand forecast using cross-validation (교차검증을 이용한 국내선 항공수요예측)

  • Lim, Jae-Hwan;Kim, Young-Rok;Choi, Yun-Chul;Kim, Kwang-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2019
  • The aviation demand forecast field has been actively studied along with the recent growth of the aviation market. In this study, the demand for domestic passenger demand and freight demand was estimated through cross-validation method. As a result, passenger demand is influenced by private consumption growth rate, oil price, and exchange rate. Freight demand is affected by GDP per capita, private consumption growth rate, and oil price. In particular, passenger demand is characterized by temporary external shocks, and freight demand is more affected by economic variables than temporary shocks.

Forecast and Review of International Airline demand in Korea (한국의 국제선 항공수요 예측과 검토)

  • Kim, Young-Rok
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.98-105
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    • 2019
  • In the past 30 years, our aviation demand has been growing continuously. As such, the importance of the demand forecasting field is increasing. In this study, the factors influencing Korea's international air demand were selected, and the international air demand was analyzed, forecasted and reviewed through OLS multiple regression analysis. As a result, passenger demand was affected by GDP per capita, oil price and exchange rate, while cargo demand was affected by GDP per capita and private consumption growth rate. In particular, passenger demand was analyzed to be sensitive to temporary external shocks, and cargo demand was more affected by economic variables than temporary external shocks. Demand forecasting, OLS multiple regression analysis, passenger demand, cargo demand, transient external shocks, economic variables.

A Study on the Improvement of the Flight Simulation Training Device System (모의비행훈련장치 제도 개선방안 연구)

  • Kim, Se-jun;Cho, Young-jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.66-75
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    • 2021
  • As the domestic aviation industry develops, demand for pilots is increasing. As a result, the demand for flight training using flight simulation training devices that implement the same or similar interior of aircraft is also increasing. Despite this increase in demand, domestic laws, regulations and management systems related to flight simulation training devices have remained unchanged since 2009. As a result, the criteria for designation of new or developed flight simulation training devices are ambiguous. In addition, proper improvement of the current system should be prioritized for designation of new devices such as UAM and VR, along with developing flight simulation training devices. It is intended to present measures to improve the domestic flight simulation training system by investigating and analyzing advanced cases overseas.

A Study on Improvement of the Air Carrier Pilot's Qualification Check in Korea (조종사 운항자격 심사제도 개선방안에 관한 연구)

  • Hwang, Sasik;Choi, Sungho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.32-43
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    • 2014
  • Worldwide, air transport demand of this century is expanding rapidly, and each countries' demand is also increasing. Thus a number of low-cost carriers emerged in existing air transportation business sector and airman qualification check work regarding aviation safety management is increasing too. As the remedy for the result of aviation safety audit by ICAO and FAA in 2001 that governmental activity for aviation safety had been performed by a small number of aviation safety inspectors, airman qualification inspection system implemented by airlines was improved and the government has established the system that authorized airman qualification inspectors check airmen qualification with airlines according to the international trend. This study suggests the need of improvement of airman qualification inspection system that existing inspection system as the means of safety management can be transferred to Operations Safety Inspection(OSI) activity which is compliant with international standards.

The Effects of Organization's Safety Culture on Aircraft Maintenance Technician's Safety Behavior (한국항공운항학회 조직 내 안전문화가 항공정비사의 안전행동에 미치는 영향)

  • Dae-Seek Youn;Jin-Woo Park
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.105-116
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    • 2022
  • Domestic and foreign aviation industries showed steep growth along with rapid increase in aviation demand, but the industries got directly hit by COVID-19. Now, with the recovery of daily life, aviation demand is gradually increasing, too. However, the risk of aviation accidents also increases proportionally to the increasing demand for aviation. Although it is a point that safety management needs to be actively conducted to prevent safety accidents resulted from the growth of aviation industries, research on safety culture and organizations is not sufficiently done in terms of the depth and scope of it despite the importance of the discussion. Studies in various areas have reported that an organization's safety culture forms the group's safety atmosphere and then results in the workers' safety behavior. Accordingly, this study examined the effects of safety culture in an organization on the safety behavior of its members who are aircraft maintenance technicians. The results of this research can be summed up as follows: first, it has been found that the roles of the person in charge grounded on clear goals and guidelines for the organization's safety policy influence the technicians' attitudes. Second, the important factor in the technicians' safety observance is that the attitude to follow safety rules when performing aviation maintenance raises their awareness of safety, for instance, following standard operation procedures or wearing personal equipment for protection. Third, their attitudes have positive effects on safety participation, and consequently, their intention to comply with safety rules is shown as an active action to achieve the ultimate goal of safety behavior.

A Study on Forecasting of Inter-Korea Air Passenger Demand Using System Dynamics (시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 남북한 항공수요 예측에 관한 연구)

  • JiHun Choi;Donguk Won;KyuWang Kim
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to forecast of Air Passenger Demand between South Korea and North Korea using the system dynamics analysis methodology that is based on the system thinking. System dynamics is not only a tool that makes the systematic thought to a model but also a computer program-based analysis methodology that mathematically models the system varying according to time variation. This study analyzed the causal relationship based on the interrelation among variables and structured them by considering various variables that affect aviation cooperation from the perspective of Air passenger demand forecasting. In addition, based on the causal relationship between variables, this study also completed the causal loop diagram that forms a feedback loop, constructed the stock-flow diagram of Inter-Korean model using Vensim program. In this study, Air passenger demand was using by the simulation variable value into System Dynamics. This study was difficult to reflect the various variables constituting the North Korea environment, and there is a limit to the occurrence of events in North Korea.

A study on the approach to reduce in the aviation GHG emissions in Korea (항공온실가스 배출현황 및 감축규제 대응방안)

  • Lee, Juhyoung;kim, Wonho;Kim, Yongseok;Choi, Sungwon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2016
  • Global aviation is projected to grow in demand by an annual average of 4.1% between 2014 and 2034. It can be said that environmental impact from aviation will therefore be expected to increase on a similar scale. As regards civil aviation emissions, the sector contributes between 2~3% to International aviation GHG emissions. In the European Union(EU), aviation emissions account for about 3% of the EU's total green house gas emissions, of which a majority are said to come from international flights. In terms of traffic volume in 2013, Korea's international aviation industry 11th with regard to passengers and 3rd with regard to cargo, attaining the overall rank of 5th in the world. GHG emissions has been increasing steadily over the last 4 years, averaging 3.9 percent a year, due to the growth of low cost carriers and the increased demand for air transportations. As for aviation in Korea, there are a number of means intended to attain the Government's emission control objective in an efficient manner, such as AVA (Agreement of Voluntary Activity), TMS (Target Management System) and ETS (Emission Trading Scheme). In addition, the Government intends to better adapt to ICAO's Global MBM(Market-based Measures) that will come into performance on Year 2020. In the study, we focused on GHG mitigation measures that is fulfilling the AVA, TMS, ETS in the Government and suggest the effective measures to reduction the aviation GHG emissions.

A study of aviation leisure sport demand creation strategy (항공레저스포츠 시장창출 전략 연구)

  • Park, Jin-seo;Sim, Ga-ram;Sung, yeun-young;Kim, Mee-sook
    • The Korean Journal of Air & Space Law and Policy
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.181-206
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    • 2015
  • Due to the increased leisure time, national income levels, and increasing the desire for new experience, interest causes increasing demand for recent aviation leisure sport. This leads to the need for a competitive foundation of the expansion of aviation leisure sports market potential. In 2014, the MOLIT(Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport) created definition of sport and recreational aviation industry in the Aviation Act. The most significant change in Aviation Act related to sport and recreational aviation, it allows easier access for those wishing to participate in the joy of flight and also creating a sport and recreational aviation business market expansion. Therefore, in this paper, by analyzing the trend of foreign policy trends and domestic policies that sport and recreational aviation has been enabled, it is trying to present the activation policy proposals of sport and recreational aviation that is suitable for Korea.

A Study of Supportive Facilities for Business Aviation (업무용항공기 운영에 필요한 운항지원시설(FBO&GAT)에 대한 연구)

  • Kang, Seh hyeon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.143-152
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    • 2017
  • The primary purpose of this thesis is to define and discuss the integration of fixed-base operators(FBO) and general aviation terminals(GAT) in Korean aviation practices in order to develop effective management and operational processes needed for Korea's expanding role in the northeast Asian region. The foundation of this research rests on four interconnected strategic points: the Korean government establishing regulations that define general and business aviation, increasing awareness of FBO and GAT, developing standards for effective operations, and optimizing the budget to build necessary infrastructure. There must be an initiative in establishing a guideline of future demand in order for these aforementioned points to take hold and for aviation activities to flourish. Korea will play a more integral role in an emerging market of general and business aviation by adhering to these strategic efforts.