• Title/Summary/Keyword: Autoregressive Moving Average

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Real-Time Flood Forecasting System For the Keum River Estuary Dam(II) -System Application- (금강하구둑 홍수예경보시스템 개발(II) -시스템의 적용-)

  • 정하우;이남호;김현영;김성준
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.60-66
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    • 1994
  • This paper is to validate the proposed models for the real-time forecasting for the Keum river estuary dam such as tidal-level forecasting model, one-dimensional unsteady flood routing model, and Kalman filter models. The tidal-level forecasting model was based on semi-range and phase lag of four tidal constituents. The dynamic wave routing model was based on an implicit finite difference solution of the complete one-dimensional St. Venant equations of unsteady flow. The Kalman filter model was composed of a processing equation and adaptive filtering algorithm. The processng equations are second ordpr autoregressive model and autoregressive moving average model. Simulated results of the models were compared with field data and were reviewed.

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Development of the Automated Irrigation Management System for Paddy Fields (논 물 관리의 자동화시스템 개발)

  • 정하우;이남호;김성준;최진용;김대식
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.67-73
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    • 1994
  • This paper is to validate the proposed models for the real-time forecasting for the Keum river estuary dam such as tidal-level forecasting model, one-dimensional unsteady flood routing model, and Kalman filter models. The tidal-level forecasting model was based on semi-range and phase lag of four tidal constituents. The dynamic wave routing model was based on an implicit finite difference solution of the complete one-dimensional St. Venant equations of unsteady flow. The Kalman filter model was composed of a processing equation and adaptive filtering algorithm. The processng equations are second ordpr autoregressive model and autoregressive moving average model. Simulated results of the models were compared with field data and were reviewed.

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Self-tuning Munimum Variance Control of Plant with Autoregressive Noise Model (자기회귀 잡음모델을 가진 공정의 최소분산형 자기조정 제어)

  • Park, Juong Il;Choi, Keh Kun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.631-636
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    • 1986
  • The self-tuning control theory which has so far been studied has the type of a moving average noise mode. In this paper we propose a self-tuning munimum varinace control of the plant with an autoregressive noise model. New identities are introduced to find a munimum variance control input, and the stability and convergence properties in a closed loop system are studied using the BIBO concepts and ODE method. Also the proposed algorithm is compared withe that of the original self-tuning control by computer simulation.

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A study of the Modeling of Paramenters in End-Mill System (End - Mill 절삭계의 파라메터 모델링에 관한 연구)

  • 백대균;김희술
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1995.10a
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    • pp.173-178
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    • 1995
  • This paper presents a new method to obtain parameters of end-mill cutting system. For high speed milling and precision surface finish, we have to predict the deflection of tool and the critical depth of cut. The cutting system can be modeled to a vibratory system to obtain the deflection of tooll and the critical depth of cut. A new method of the modeling of one degree of freedom system was developed using bisection method, ARMA(Autoregressive Moving average) and impact test.

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Joint Estimation of the Outliers Effect and the Model Parameters in ARMA Process

  • Lee, Kwang-Ho;Shin, Hye-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 1995
  • In this paper, an iterative procedure, which detects the location of the outliers and the joint estimates of the outliers effects and the model parameters in the autoregressive moving average model with two types of outliers, is proposed. The performance of the procedure is compared with the one in Chen and Liu(1993) through the Monte Carlo simulation. The proposed procedure is very robust in the sense that applies the procedures to the stationary time series model with any types of outliers.

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Multivariate Autoregressive Moving Average(ARMA) process Control in Computer Integrated Manufacturing Systems (CIMS) (CIMS에서 다변량 ARMA 공정제어)

  • 최성운
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.15 no.26
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    • pp.181-187
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    • 1992
  • 본 논문은 CIMS에서 적응되는 ARMA 공정제어의 새로운 3단계절차를 제안한다. 첫번째 단계는 다변량 ARMA모델을 식별하여 모수를 추정하고, white noise로 진단된 잔차 series에 대하여 다변량 제어통계량(즉, 다변량 Hotelling T$^2$통계량, 다변량 CUSUM, 다변량 EWHA 통계량, 다변량 MA 통계량)등을 계산한다. 마지막으로 본 논문에서 제안한 8가지 다변량 제어통계량을 상호비교하여 이상점을 발견한다.

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An Effective Analyzing Method of Process Capability (효과적(效果的)인 공정능력(工程能力)의 해석기법(解析技法)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Song, Seo-Il;Hwang, Ui-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 1987
  • It is common that the process capability fluctuates as time passes, but concentrates to the mean value. To keep up process capability with given limits is vital to stability of process. Various control charts, especially ${\sigma}-chart$, have been used for analyzing process capability, but It sometimes can not give distinct answer. So this paper introduces another analyzing method by ARMA (autoregressive moving average) which is originally developed for forecasting, and demonstrates the analyzing methodology through a case study.

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Design of the Optimal Input Singals for Parameter Estimation in the ARMAX Model (ARMAX 모델의 매개변수 추정을 위한 최적 입력 신호의 설계)

  • 이석원;양흥석
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.180-185
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    • 1988
  • This paper considers the problem of the optimal input design for parameter estimtion in the ARMAX model in which the system and noise transfer function have the common denominator polynomial. Deriving the information matrix, in detail, for the assumed model structure and using the autocorrelation functin of the filtered input as design variables, it is shown that D-optimal input signal can be realized as an autoregressive moving average process. Computer simulations are carried out to show the standard-deviation reduction in the parameter estimtes using the optimal input signal.

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Implementation of Integrated Control Chart Using Zone, Multivariate $T^2$ and ARIMA (Zone, 다변량 $T^2$, ARIMA를 이용한 통합관리도의 적용방안)

  • Choi, Sung-Woon
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2010.04a
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    • pp.259-265
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    • 2010
  • The research discusses the implementation of control charts tools of MINITAB which are classified according to the type of data and the existence of subgrouping, weight and multivariate covariance. The paper presents the three integrated models by the use of zone, multivariate $T^2$-GV(Generalized Variance) and ARIMA(Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average).

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