• 한국지능시스템학회논문지
• /
• 제20권4호
• /
• pp.483-488
• /
• 2010

센서시스템을 이용한 상시감시는 발전소의 효율적인 운전과 안전을 담보하는 데 필수적이다. 상시감시기술을 구현하기 위해서는 우선 센서로부터 전송된 신호로부터 발전소 운전파라미터의 참값을 예측하는 모델 즉 Auto-association (AA) 모델을 확보하는 것이 중요하다. 이를 위해 본 논문에서는 Support Vector Regression (SVR)과 Partial Least Square Regression (PLSR)을 이용하는 방안을 각각 제시한다. 이렇게 해서 구축된 모델은 모니터해야 할 파라미터가 많을 때에도 쉽게 적용할 수 있다. 실제 발전소에서 수집된 데이터셋을 이용하여 AA 모델링의 정확도 및 민감도를 비교한 결과, 정확도 면에서는 SVR이 우수한 반면 민감도 면에서는 PLSR이 다소 나은 것으로 나타났다.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
• /
• 제12권2호
• /
• pp.95-102
• /
• 2011

This paper uses the auto regression model to modeling failure number of a bus fleet. The fitted model can be used to predict the failure number in the future. A numerical example is presented to illustrate the modeling process and the appropriateness of the fitted model. At last, some possible applications of the model are discussed.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• 제18권4호
• /
• pp.955-961
• /
• 2007

Population projections provides useful basic information for the need of economic resources and labor forces. The National Office of Statistics(NSO) presents population projections for the whole country and some of higher level local governments, but not do projections of the lower level local governments. Here are some projection methods as Hamilton-Perry methods and modified auto regression methods, which are compared to cohort method published by NSO in case of Daegu metropolitan city. The simulation results are a little stagnant with modified auto regression, but a little declines are shown with NSO and HP method, for 2010, 2015 and 2020 year, respectively.

• Journal of Animal Science and Technology
• /
• 제64권1호
• /
• pp.135-142
• /
• 2022

It is impossible to know the amount of pork primal cut by pig carcass grade which is determined only by carcass weight and backfat thickness in the Korean Pig Carcass System. The aim of this study was to investigate the correlation between the pig carcass grade and the amount of pork primal cut estimated with AutoFom III. A total of 419,321 Landrace, Yorkshire, and Duroc (LYD) pigs were graded with the Korean Pig Carcass Grade System. Amounts of belly, neck, loin, tenderloin, spare ribs, shoulder, and ham were estimated with AutoFom III. Regression equations for seven primal cuts according to each grade were derived. There were significant differences among the three carcass grades due to heteroscedasticity variance (p < 0.0001). Three regression equations were derived from AutoFom III estimation of primal cuts according to carcass grades. The coefficient of determination of the regression equation was 0.941 for grade 1⁺, 0.982 for grade 1, and 0.993 for grade 2. Regression equations obtained from this study are suitable for AutoFom III software, a useful tool for the analysis of each pig carcass grade in the Korean Pig Carcass Grade System. The high reliability of predicting the amount of primal cut with AutoFom III is advantageous for the management of slaughterhouses to optimize their product sorting in Korea.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
• /
• 제17권12호
• /
• pp.3330-3344
• /
• 2023

This paper proposes an antenna performance prediction model in the autonomous driving radar manufacturing process. Our research work is based upon a challenge dataset, Driving Radar Manufacturing Process Dataset, and a typical AutoML machine learning workflow engine, Pycaret open-source Python library. Note that the dataset contains the total 70 data-items, out of which 54 used as input features and 16 used as output features, and the dataset is properly built into resolving the multi-output regression problem. During the data regression analysis and preprocessing phase, we identified several input features having similar correlations and so detached some of those input features, which may become a serious cause of the multicollinearity problem that affect the overall model performance. In the training phase, we train each of output-feature regression models by using the AutoML approach. Next, we selected the top 5 models showing the higher performances in the AutoML result reports and applied the ensemble method so as for the selected models' performances to be improved. In performing the experimental performance evaluation of the regression prediction model, we particularly used two metrics, MAE and RMSE, and the results of which were 0.6928 and 1.2065, respectively. Additionally, we carried out a series of experiments to verify the proposed model's performance by comparing with other existing models' performances. In conclusion, we enhance accuracy for safer autonomous vehicles, reduces manufacturing costs through AutoML-Pycaret and machine learning ensembled model, and prevents the production of faulty radar systems, conserving resources. Ultimately, the proposed model holds significant promise not only for antenna performance but also for improving manufacturing quality and advancing radar systems in autonomous vehicles.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
• /
• 제10권1호
• /
• pp.136-151
• /
• 2016

Flexible large-scale WLANs are now widely deployed in crowded and highly mobile places such as campus, airport, shopping mall and company etc. But network management is hard for large-scale WLANs due to highly uneven interference and throughput among links. So the traffic is difficult to predict accurately. In the paper, through analysis of traffic in two real large-scale WLANs, Granger Causality is found in both scenarios. In combination with information entropy, it shows that the traffic prediction of target AP considering Granger Causality can be more predictable than that utilizing target AP alone, or that of considering irrelevant APs. So We develops new method -Granger Causality and Vector Auto-Regression (GCVAR), which takes APs series sharing Granger Causality based on Vector Auto-regression (VAR) into account, to predict the traffic flow in two real scenarios, thus redundant and noise introduced by multivariate time series could be removed. Experiments show that GCVAR is much more effective compared to that of traditional univariate time series (e.g. ARIMA, WARIMA). In particular, GCVAR consumes two orders of magnitude less than that caused by ARIMA/WARIMA.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
• /
• 제42권2호
• /
• pp.219-230
• /
• 2010

In nuclear power plants (NPPs), periodic sensor calibrations are required to assure that sensors are operating correctly. By checking the sensor's operating status at every fuel outage, faulty sensors may remain undetected for periods of up to 24 months. Moreover, typically, only a few faulty sensors are found to be calibrated. For the safe operation of NPP and the reduction of unnecessary calibration, on-line instrument calibration monitoring is needed. In this study, principal component-based auto-associative support vector regression (PCSVR) using response surface methodology (RSM) is proposed for the sensor signal validation of NPPs. This paper describes the design of a PCSVR-based sensor validation system for a power generation system. RSM is employed to determine the optimal values of SVR hyperparameters and is compared to the genetic algorithm (GA). The proposed PCSVR model is confirmed with the actual plant data of Kori Nuclear Power Plant Unit 3 and is compared with the Auto-Associative support vector regression (AASVR) and the auto-associative neural network (AANN) model. The auto-sensitivity of AASVR is improved by around six times by using a PCA, resulting in good detection of sensor drift. Compared to AANN, accuracy and cross-sensitivity are better while the auto-sensitivity is almost the same. Meanwhile, the proposed RSM for the optimization of the PCSVR algorithm performs even better in terms of accuracy, auto-sensitivity, and averaged maximum error, except in averaged RMS error, and this method is much more time efficient compared to the conventional GA method.

• 경영정보학연구
• /
• 제8권3호
• /
• pp.125-134
• /
• 2006

본 연구에서는 온라인 자동차보험 고객 이탈 예측에 있어 의사결정나무를 적용하였다. 우리는 본 연구에서 2003년과 2004년 사이에 온라인 자동차 보험을 계약한 고객의 데이터를 이용하여 의사결정나무를 이용해 고객이탈을 예측하였다. 우리는 C5.0 알고리즘에 기반을 둔 의사결정나무의 예측 결과에 대한 비교를 위해 다변량판별분석과 로짓분석을 이용하였다. 분석결과 의사결정나무 알고리즘은 다른 기법보다 예측성과가 매우 뛰어난 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 실증분석 결과는 온라인 자동차 보험에 있어서 마케팅전략 수립에 유용한 가이드라인을 제공해 줄 것이다.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 대한전기학회 2006년 학술대회 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
• /
• pp.588-590
• /
• 2006

Recently, many on-line approaches to instrument channel surveillance (drift monitoring and fault detection) have been reported worldwide. On-line monitoring (OLM) method evaluates instrument channel performance by assessing its consistency with other plant indications through parametric or non-parametric models. The heart of an OLM system is the model giving an estimate of the true process parameter value against individual measurements. This model gives process parameter estimate calculated as a function of other plant measurements which can be used to identify small sensor drifts that would require the sensor to be manually calibrated or replaced. This paper describes an improvement of auto-associative kernel regression by introducing a correlation coefficient weighting on kernel distances. The prediction performance of the developed method is compared with conventional auto-associative kernel regression.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
• /
• 제12권4호
• /
• pp.1406-1416
• /
• 2017

In complex and large-scale industries, properly designed fault detection and identification (FDI) systems considerably improve safety, reliability and availability of target processes. In thermal power plants (TPPs), generating units operate under very dangerous conditions; system failures can cause severe loss of life and property. In this paper, we propose a bagged auto-associative kernel regression (AAKR)-based FDI approach for steam boilers in TPPs. AAKR estimates new query vectors by online local modeling, and is suitable for TPPs operating under various load levels. By combining the bagging method, more stable and reliable estimations can be achieved, since the effects of random fluctuations decrease because of ensemble averaging. To validate performance, the proposed method and comparison methods (i.e., a clustering-based method and principal component analysis) are applied to failure data due to water wall tube leakage gathered from a 250 MW coal-fired TPP. Experimental results show that the proposed method fulfills reasonable false alarm rates and, at the same time, achieves better fault detection performance than the comparison methods. After performing fault detection, contribution analysis is carried out to identify fault variables; this helps operators to confirm the types of faults and efficiently take preventive actions.