• Title/Summary/Keyword: Approximate Estimate

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A Study on the Prediction-Formulas of Approximate Estimate Based on Actual Work Cost for Subway (실적공사비에 의한 지하철 공사비 예측모형에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jong-Hyuk;Jeon, Yong-Bae;Park, Hong-Tae
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.11-21
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    • 2013
  • This study proposed cost prediction equation model by considering duration, construction, size, actual cost with the subway construction started by the actual cost system which was introduced since 2004. Costs - scale exponent n(confidence range: 0.5 to 0.7) for cost prediction of subway construction was drawn total cost(0.713), net cost(0.77) in point of the 11 subway construction data. The cost prediction equation model of the subway construction which was presented in this study is able to effectively apply to business planning, preliminary investigation, feasibility study, basic design stage to estimate the approximate cost in the future.

Suggestion and Verification of Assessment model on Construction-Cost of Steel Bridge in Project Performance Phases

  • Kab-Soo Kyung;Hye-Yeon Park;Sin-Hwa Kang;Eun-Kyoung Jeon
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.606-615
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    • 2009
  • Estimating the reasonable construction-cost according to the construction phase in public construction is an important element for securing and executing a national budget efficiently. As a general rule, the predetermined cost of construction is estimated at the end of the design of the target structure. Therefore, it seems to be a considerably difficult problem to estimate the approximate cost of construction, only with its basic information of the bridge in the design planning phase and the early design stage where we can not have specific detailed-section of the target structure. In this paper, we present the calculation of construction-cost in the planning phase based on the analysis of factors affecting the cost of construction conducted in the previous study. Beside, to estimate the cost of construction in early design phase, we would like to present the calculation of construction-cost in the early design phase by executing the analysis of data collected from 61 steel box bridges. It was found from the result of study that the estimated cost of construction gained by the calculation of construction-cost in this paper reduces the error between the real cost of construction and that by the existing method of using.

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Construction Cost Estimate Modeling of Roundabout at Preliminary Design Stage in Jeju (제주도 내 회전교차로의 초기공사비 예측모델 개발)

  • An, Jin-Hong;Lee, Dong Wook
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.1299-1306
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    • 2014
  • Recently, there are many roundabouts installation works which are ordered to provide convenient transportation to road users as well as to eliminate traffic accidents and traffic delays. This study propose an approximate construction cost estimation model for early stages of roundabout construction. The model is designed considering the conditions of the early stage roundabout construction sites in Jeju. The regression equation of approximate construction cost was derived through regression analysis of 25 design data of roundabout construction in Jeju, and it was analyzed to have a high prediction accuracy. Finally, results verifies high prediction accuracy of the derived regression equation. Difference between the estimation cost and the design cost was only 2.3%, 3.7%, and 5.8% that verifies the high accuracy of the proposed approximate construction cost estimation model.

Roadway Preliminary Cost Estimation Prototype based on BIM and GIS (BIM/GIS 기반 도로 개략공사비 산정 프로토타입 연구)

  • Park, Wonyoung;Kang, Tai-Kyung;Lee, Yoo-Sub
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.14-21
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    • 2013
  • While a detailed cost estimation utilizes the comprehensive quantity information obtained from a complete drawing and specification, an approximate cost estimation heavily relies on the subjective decisions. This phenomenon is because the approximate estimation is usually conducted in early stage of the construction phase where the drawing and specification are not available. This study developed a roadway construction cost estimation system which enables users to estimate the approximated cost of the project in early stage. The system identifies the variation of the construction costs due to the road route change using a cased based reasoning(CBR) method. Overall the system is expected to improves the accuracy and effectiveness of the estimation process, because it would provide users with increased accessability and consistent results in early stage of the project which leaded to the increased work transparency.

Conceptual Cost Estimate Method of Public Office Building Structural Frame Work by Regression Analysis (회귀분석을 통한 공공청사 골조 공사의 개산견적 방안)

  • Jo, Yeong-Ho;Choi, Hyun-Jun;Kim, Jung-Won;Yun, Seok-Heon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.147-153
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    • 2020
  • It is important to estimate the optimal construction cost at the early stage of the project. In this regard, conceptual cost estimate is an important factor for estimate optimal construction cost. However, domestic conceptual cost estimate are only used as cost per unit area according to the building type, and it's accuracy is not high. Hence, the purpose of this study is to calculate the approximate quantity and cost for reinforcing bars, concrete, and formwork by presenting a regression formula based on the total floor area of the common work items in the frame work. In order to verify the accuracy and validity of the regression formula presented in this study, a comparative analysis was performed by applying the regression formula and the traditional approximate quantity take-off method to real cases. As a result, the estimated error rate of the traditional method was -102~+55%, and exceeded the estimated conceptual cost estimate accuracy range of -50~+100% suggested by AACE(American Association of Cost Engineering). On the other hand, the error rate of the regression formula method presented in this study was -6.4~+11.62%. This can be used not only for conceptual cost estimate range of accuracy, but also for detailed estimates. However, it is necessary to analyze the factors that affect the unit price as well as quantity in order to calculate the appropriate cost.

An Observer Design and Compensation of the Friction in an Inverted Pendulum using Adaptive Fuzzy Basis Functions Expansion (적응 법칙 기반의 퍼지 기초 함수를 이용한 도립진자의 마찰력 관측기 설계 및 마찰력 보상)

  • Park, Duck-Gee;Park, Min-Ho;Chwa, Dong-Kyoung;Hong, Suk-Kyo
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.335-343
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    • 2007
  • This paper deals with the method to estimate the friction in a system. We study a nonlinear friction model to estimate the friction in an inverted pendulum and approximate the friction model using fuzzy basis functions expansion. To demonstrate the friction observer using FBFs, we derive a update rule based on the error term that is formed by the output from a real system and observer output with a friction estimate. And two compensation algorithms to improve the response of an inverted pendulum are proposed. The first method that a observer parameter is updated in on-line and the friction is compensated at the same time. The second method is to compensate the friction with observer parameter estimated priori. The two methods is compared through the experimental results.

A Study on the Attenuation of Road Traffic Noise with two Pillar Buildings (두 개의 각주형 건물에 의한 도로교통소음의 감쇠에 관한 연구)

  • 김화일
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2003
  • When houses or buildings are adjacent to roads, with no effective prevention of road traffic noise, neighbors are exposed to it. It is important to understand the properties of sound propagation before taking a countermeasure against road traffic noise. It is easy to estimate the properties of sound propagation without obstacles, but very difficult and complex to estimate them with ones. The purpose of this study is to present a useful tool that can estimate the properties of sound propagation. In the beginning of this study, we investigated the attenuation of road traffic noise with two pillar buildings, and presented practical approximate calculation method, and verified that through scale model. The outcomes from this study are as follows : (1) Over second reflection sound waves can be ignored. (2) Diffraction sound waves that happen when reflection sound and first diffraction wave are projected at the wedge of other building can be ignored.

Optimal Design of the Passenger Vehicle Aluminum Seat for Weight Reduction and Durability Performance Improvement (승용차용 알루미늄 시트의 경량화 및 내구성능 향상을 위한 최적설계)

  • Kim Byung-Kil;Kim Min-Soo;Kim Bum-Jin;Heo Seung-Jin
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.58-63
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    • 2005
  • In order to minimize weight of vehicle seat, an optimum design of aluminum seat is presented while satisfying stress and fatigue life constraints. In this study, the analysis model is validated by comparing it's stress with that of test. Then, two-level orthogonal array is used to estimate the design sensitivity for 7 design variables. Finally, the sequential approximate optimization (SAO) is performed using the constructed RSM models. The approximate RSM models are sequentially updated using the analysis results corresponding to the approximate optimum obtained during the SAO. After 14 analyses, the SAO gives an optimal design that can reduce 16.7$\%$ of weight while increasing 369$\%$ of fatigue life and satisfying stress constraint.

An Efficient Dynamic Response Optimization Using the Design Sensitivities Approximated Within the Estimate Confidence Radius

  • Park, Dong-Hoon;Kim, Min-Soo
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.15 no.8
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    • pp.1143-1155
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    • 2001
  • In order to reduce the expensive CPU time for design sensitivity analysis in dynamic response optimization, this study introduces the design sensitivities approximated within estimated confidence radius in dynamic response optimization with ALM method. The confidence radius is estimated by the linear approximation with Hessian of quasi-Newton formula and qualifies the approximate gradient to be validly used during optimization process. In this study, if the design changes between consecutive iterations are within the estimated confidence radius, then the approximate gradients are accepted. Otherwise, the exact gradients are used such as analytical or finite differenced gradients. This hybrid design sensitivity analysis method is embedded in an in-house ALM based dynamic response optimizer, which solves three typical dynamic response optimization problems and one practical design problem for a tracked vehicle suspension system. The optimization results are compared with those of the conventional method that uses only exact gradients throughout optimization process. These comparisons show that the hybrid method is more efficient than the conventional method. Especially, in the tracked vehicle suspension system design, the proposed method yields 14 percent reduction of the total CPU time and the number of analyses than the conventional method, while giving similar optimum values.

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Computation and Verification of Approximate Construction cost of Steel Box Girder Bridge by Using Case-Based Reasoning (사례기반추론을 이용한 강박스거더교의 개략공사비 산정 및 검증)

  • Jung, Min-Sun;Kyung, Kab-Soo;Jeon, Eun-Kyoung;Kwon, Soon-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.557-568
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    • 2011
  • To effectively come up with and secure a national budget, it is very important to estimate the reasonable construction cost of each step in public construction projects. In this study, the approximate construction cost of a steel box girder bridge in the early stages of the project, on which available information is limited, was proposed using case-based reasoning. In addition, construction cost estimation models were used for existing sample design models, and the accuracy of the estimation model for the presented cost was verified. The analysis results showed that the error rate was comparatively stable. Therefore, it is expected that construction cost estimation will be effectively suggested in the country's budget preparation.