• 제목/요약/키워드: Agricultural drought

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저수지 가뭄지수를 활용한 농업가뭄 위험도 평가 (Agricultural Drought Risk Assessment using Reservoir Drought Index)

  • 남원호;최진용;장민원;홍은미
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제55권3호
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2013
  • Drought risk assessment is usually performed qualitatively and quantitatively depending on the definition a drought. The meteorological drought indices have a limit of not being able to consider the hydrological components such as evapotranspiration, soil moisture and runoff, because it does not consider the water demand in paddies and water supply in reservoirs. Agricultural drought was defined as the reservoir storage shortage state that cannot satisfy water requirement from the paddy fields. The objectives of this study were to suggest improved agricultural drought risk assessment in order to evaluate of regional drought vulnerability and severity studied by using Reservoir Drought Index (RDI). The RDI is designed to simulate daily water balance between available water from agricultural reservoir and water requirement in paddies and is calculated with a frequency analysis of monthly water deficit based on water demand and water supply condition. The results indicated that RDI can be used to assess regional drought risk in agricultural perspective by comparing with the historical records of drought in 2012. It can be concluded that the RDI obtained good performance to reflect the historical drought events for both spatially and temporally. In addition, RDI is expected to contribute to determine the exact situation on the current drought condition for evaluating regional drought risk and to assist the effective drought-related decision making.

농업용 저수지 이수관리를 위한 저수율 가뭄단계기준 개선 (Improvement of Drought Operation Criteria in Agricultural Reservoirs)

  • 문영식;남원호;우승범;이희진;양미혜;이종서;하태현
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제64권4호
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2022
  • Currently, the operation rule of agricultural reservoirs in case of drought events follows the drought forecast warning standard of agricultural water supply. However, it is difficult to preemptively manage drought in individual reservoirs because drought forecasting standards are set according to average reservoir storage ratio such as 70%, 60%, 50%, and 40%. The equal standards based on average water level across the country could not reflect the actual drought situation in the region. In this study, we proposed the improvement of drought operation rule for agricultural reservoirs based on the percentile approach using past water level of each reservoir. The percentile approach is applied to monitor drought conditions and determine drought criteria in the U.S. Drought Monitoring (USDM). We applied the drought operation rule to reservoir storage rate in extreme 2017 spring drought year, the one of the most climatologically driest spring seasons over the 1961-2021 period of record. We counted frequency of each drought criteria which are existing and developed operation rules to compare drought operation rule determining the actual drought conditions during 2016-2017. As a result of comparing the current standard and the percentile standard with SPI6, the percentile standard showed severe-level when SPI6 showed severe drought condition, but the current standard fell short of the results. Results can be used to improve the drought operation criteria of drought events that better reflects the actual drought conditions in agricultural reservoirs.

농업가뭄의 수문기상학적 특성 및 공간적 분포에 관한 연구 (Hydrometeorological Characteristics and The Spatial Distribution of Agricultural Droughts)

  • 장중석
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제61권2호
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    • pp.105-115
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    • 2019
  • For 159 administrative areas, SPI(Standardized Precipitation Index), ARDI(Agricultural Reservoir Drought Index) and ARDIs(Agricultural Reservoir Drought Index Simulated) were developed and applied to analyze the characteristics of agricultural drought index and agricultural droughts. In order to identify hydrometeorological characteristics of agricultural droughts, SPI, ARDI and ARDIs were calculated nationwide, and the applicability was compared and examined. SPI and ARDI showed significant differences in time and depth of drought in both spatial and temporal. ARDI and ARDIs showed similar tendency of change, and ARDIs were considered to be more representative of agricultural drought characteristics. The results of this study suggest that agricultural drought is a problem to be solved in the medium and long term rather than short term due to various forms of development, complexity of development, and difficulty in forecasting. Therefore, it is concluded that a preliminary and systematic approach is needed in consideration of meteorological, hydrological and hydrometeorological characteristics rather than a fragmentary approach, and that an agricultural drought index is needed to quantitatively evaluate agricultural drought.

필지단위 관개용수 공급에 따른 농업가뭄진단 평가 (Agricultural Drought Assessment and Diagnosis Based on Spatiotemporal Water Supply in Irrigated Area)

  • 신지현;남원호;김하영;문영식;방나경;이정철;이광야
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제63권4호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2021
  • Agricultural drought is a natural phenomenon that is not easy to observe and predict and is difficult to quantify. In South Korea, the amount of agricultural water used is large and the types of use are varied, so even if an agricultural drought occurs due to insufficient precipitation, the drought actually felt in the irrigated area is it can be temporally and spatially different. In order to interpret the general drought in the past, drought disasters were evaluated using single indicators such as drought damage area, precipitation shortage status, and drought index, and a comprehensive drought management system is needed through drought diagnosis survey. Therefore, we intend to conduct research on agricultural drought assessment and diagnosis using re-evaluation of agricultural facilities and irrigation water supply network due to changes in various conditions such as climate change, irrigation canal network, and evaluation of water supply capacity of agricultural facilities. In this study, agricultural drought diagnosis was conducted on two agricultural reservoirs located in Sangju, Gyeongsangbuk-do, with structural or non-structural evaluations to increase spatiotemporal water supply and efficiency in terms of water shortages. The results of the agricultural drought diagnosis evaluation can be used to identify irrigated areas and canal network vulnerable to drought and to prioritize drought response.

단일저수지 농업가뭄평가모형의 개발 (Development of A Single Reservoir Agricultural Drought Evaluation Model for Paddy)

  • 정하우;최진용;박기욱;배승종;장민원
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제46권3호
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    • pp.17-30
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    • 2004
  • This study aimed to develop an agricultural drought assessment methodology for irrigated paddy field districts from a single reservoir. Agricultural drought was defined as the reservoir storage shortage state that cannot satisfy water requirement from the paddy fields. The suggested model, SRADEMP (a Single Reservoir Agricultural Drought Evaluation Model for Paddy), was composed of 4 submodels: PWBM (Paddy Water Balance Model), RWBM (Reservoir Water Balance Model), FA (Frequency and probability Analysis model), and DCI (Drought Classification and Indexing model). Two indices, PDF (Paddy Drought Frequency) and PDI (Paddy Drought Index) were also introduced to classify agricultural drought severity Both values were divided into 4 steps, i.e. normal, moderate drought, severe drought, and extreme drought. Each step of PDI was ranged from +4.2 to -1.39, from -1.39 to -3.33, from -3.33 to -4.0 and less than -4.0, respectively. SRADEMP was applied to Jangheung reservoir irrigation district, and the results showed good relationships between simulated results and the observed data including historical drought records showing that SRADEMP explains better the drought conditions in irrigated paddy districts than PDSI.

계층화분석 및 엔트로피 가중치 산정 방법에 따른 농업가뭄재해 취약성 평가 (Evaluation of Agricultural Drought Disaster Vulnerability Using Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Entropy Weighting Method)

  • 문영식;남원호;양미혜;신지현;전민기;김태곤;이승용;이광야
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제63권3호
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 2021
  • Recent drought events in the South Korea and the magnitude of drought losses indicate the continuing vulnerability of the agricultural drought. Various studies have been performed on drought hazard assessment at the regional scales, but until recently, drought management has been response oriented with little attention to mitigation and preparedness. A vulnerability assessment is introduced in order to preemptively respond to agricultural drought and to predict the occurrence of drought. This paper presents a method for spatial, Geographic Information Systems-based assessment of agricultural drought vulnerability in South Korea. It was hypothesized that the key 14 items that define agricultural drought vulnerability were meteorological, agricultural reservoir, social, and adaptability factors. Also, this study is to analyze agricultural drought vulnerability by comparing vulnerability assessment according to weighting method. The weight of the evaluation elements is expressed through the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), which includes subjective elements such as surveys, and the Entropy method using attribute information of the evaluation items. The agricultural drought vulnerability map was created through development of a numerical weighting scheme to evaluate the drought potential of the classes within each factor. This vulnerability assessment is calculated the vulnerability index based on the weight, and analyze the vulnerable map from 2015 to 2019. The identification of agricultural drought vulnerability is an essential step in addressing the issue of drought vulnerability in the South Korea and can lead to mitigation-oriented drought management and supports government policymaking.

농업가뭄인자 미계측 지역의 농업가뭄 추정을 위한 기상학적 가뭄지수의 활용성 평가 (Availability Assessment of Meteorological Drought Index for Agricultural Drought Estimation in Ungauged Area of Agricultural Drought Parameter)

  • 박민우;김선주;권형중;김필식;강승묵;이재혁
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제59권5호
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    • pp.127-136
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    • 2017
  • The object of this study was to assess availability of meteorological drought index for agricultural dorught estimation in ungauged area of agricultural drought parameters which are reservoir water level and soil moisture. The IADI (Integrated Agricultural Drought Index) and the SPI (Standard Precipitation Index), which are the criteria for determining agricultural drought and meteorological drought, were calculated and compared. For this purpose, the droughts that occurred in the Baeksan reservoir in Gimje and the Edong reservoir in Suwon were evaluated by using the IADI and SPI drought indecies. In addition, we compared and analyzed the depth of drought based on the two drought indices. Evaluations derived form the IADI and SPI showed that the standard precipitation index tended to indicate the occurrence of drought earlier than the integrated agricultural drought index. However, the integrated agricultural drought index was better than the standard precipitation index at evaluating the severity of drought during the period of irrigation. The relationship between these two drought indices seems to be useful for decision making in the case of drought, and it is considered that more studies are needed to examine the applicability of these drought indexes.

가뭄사상 및 농업수리시설물이 쌀 생산량에 미치는 영향에 대한 상관 분석 (On the Linkage Between Irrigation Facilities and Rice Production Under Drought Events)

  • 우승범;남원호;전민기;윤동현;김태곤;성재훈;김한중
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제63권5호
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    • pp.95-105
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    • 2021
  • Drought is a disaster that causes prolonged and wide scale damage. Recently, the severity and frequency of drought occurrences, and drought damage have been increased significantly due to climate change. As a result, a quantitative study of drought factors is needed to better understand and prevent future droughts. In the case of agricultural drought, several existing studies examine the economic damage caused by droughts and their causes, but these studies are not well suited to estimating crop-oriented agricultural drought damage and the factors that absolutely affect agricultural drought. This study determines which factors most affect agricultural drought. It examines meteorological factors and those related to agricultural water supplied by irrigation facilities. Rice paddy production per unit area is lower than the average from the last two years where agricultural drought occurred. We compare the relative frequency of agricultural drought impacts with irrigation facilities, effective reservoir storage, the number of water supply facilities, and the meteorological drought index such as Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). To identify factors that affect agricultural drought, we correlate rice paddy production anomalies with irrigation water supply for the past two years. There was a high positive correlation between rice paddy production and irrigation water usage, and there was a low or moderate negative correlation between rice paddy production anomalies compared to the average of the past two years and SPI. As a result, agricultural water supply by irrigation facilities was judged to be more influential than meteorological factors in rice paddy production. This study is expected to help local governments establish policies related to agricultural drought response.

가뭄대책 행정지원을 위한 지역논가뭄평가모형 ADEM의 개발 (Development of An Agricultural Drought Evaluation Model for Administrative Decision Support)

  • 장민원;정하우;박기욱
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.29-37
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    • 2003
  • The objectives of this study are to develop an agricultural drought evaluation model based on administrative boundaries and to assist the effective drought-related decision-making of local governments. The model which was named ADEM(Administrative Drought Evaluation Model for Paddies) is designed to simulate daily water balance between available water quantities from various agricultural water facilities such as reservoirs, wells, pump stations, etc. and water requirements in paddies. And in order to numerically describe the agricultural drought severity, two indices were defined; One is ADFP(Agricultural Drought Frequency for Paddies) which is calculated with a frequency analysis of monthly water deficit, and the other is ADIP(Agricultural Drought Index for Paddies) with a scale of $-4.2{\sim}+4.2$. The developed model was applied to Yeoju district and showed good correspondence with the historical records of drought.

농업가뭄대응을 위한 가뭄기상시나리오 모델 개발 및 적용 (Developing Model of Drought Climate Scenarios for Agricultural Drought Mitigation)

  • 유승환;최진용;남원호;김태곤;고광돈
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제54권2호
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2012
  • Different from other natural hazards including floods, drought advances slowly and spreads widely, so that the preparedness is quite important and effective to mitigate the impacts from drought. Evaluation and forecast the status of drought for the present and future utilizing the meteorological scenario for agricultural drought can be useful to set a plan for agricultural drought mitigation in agriculture water resource management. In this study, drought climate scenario model on the basis of historical drought records for preparing agricultural drought mitigation was developed. To consider dependency and correlation between various climate variables, this model was utilized the historical climate pattern using reference year setting of four drought levels. The reference year for drought level was determined based on the frequency analysis result of monthly effective rainfall. On the basis of this model, drought climate scenarios at Suwon and Icheon station were set up and these scenarios were applied on the water balance simulation of reservoir water storage for Madun reservoir as well as the soil moisture model for Gosam reservoir watershed. The results showed that drought climate scenarios in this study could be more useful for long-term forecast of longer than 2~3 months period rather than short-term forecast of below one month.