• 융합정보논문지
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• 제10권3호
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• pp.67-75
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• 2020

본 연구에서는 주식시장과 채권시장간의 정보 이전효과(information flow effect)를 살펴보기 위해 우리나라 KOSPI의 일일지수와 초단기 채권형 펀드(money market fund : MMF) 수익률 자료를 이용하여 분석하였다. 전체 분석대상 기간은 1997년 5월 2일부터 2019년 8월 30일까지 이다. 1997년 5월 2일부터 2008년 12월 30일 글로벌금융위기전 기간, 2008년 12월 30일부터 2019년 8월 30일까지 글로벌금융위기 후 기간과 전체기간으로 세분하여 실증분석을 하였다. 분석결과 비대칭적 변동성을 고려한 EGARCH 모형이 적합한 것으로 나타났다. 주식시장과 채권시장 간에는 가격이전효과와 변동성 이전효과가 양방향으로 존재하는 것으로 나타났으며, 가격이전효과는 두 시장 간에 글로벌금융위기전 기간이 후보다 더 크게 나타났다. 주식시장과 채권시장간의 정보에 대한 비대칭적 변동성이 두 시장에 존재하는 것으로 나타났다.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제19권7호
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• pp.36-46
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• 2019

주식시장이 효율적이라면 아무리 잘 고안된 투자전략이라도 시장의 평균 수익을 장기적으로 초과하는 것은 어렵다. 본 연구의 목적은 일부 시장 참여자들 사이에 회자되고 있는 호가잔량 정보효과를 이용하여 장기적으로 높은 수익을 얻을 수 있는지를 실증 분석하는데 있다. 이를 위하여 호가잔량정보를 이용하는 데이트레이딩 전략을 제안하고, 2001년부터 2018년까지의 코스피200 주가지수선물시장에 적용하여 과연 꾸준하게 돈을 벌 수 있는지를 분석하였다. 구체적으로 매수강도지수가 50% 이상이면 가격이 상승할 것으로 예상하고, 반대로 매수강도지수가 50% 미만이면 가격이 하락할 것으로 예상하여 각각 매수포지션과 매도포지션을 진입하여 수익성을 검증하였다. 실증분석 결과는 거래에 수반되는 거래비용을 제하고도 연 평균 71% 이상의 매우 높은 수익을 보여주고 있다. 발생된 수익 역시 분석 기간 전체에서 장기적, 안정적으로 나타나고 있음을 밝혔다. 유전자알고리즘을 이용하여 제안된 투자전략의 수익성을 개선함으로서, 호가잔량정보를 이용하는 투자자들에게 많은 도움이 될 것으로 기대된다.

• 한국전자거래학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전자거래학회 2001년도 e-Biz World Conference
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• pp.499-520
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• 2001

◈ B2B e-commerce is set to grow significantly in the next 5 years ◈ There is a growing trend towards leveraging the information asset to win new business in the Maintenance, Repair and Overhaul (MRO) market ◈ After-market service is forecast to be a significant element of the B2B market ◈ Existing standards do not fully address the product support requirement ◈ PLCS standards will allow support information to be aligned with the changing product over its entire life cycle ◈ Adoption of PLCS standard will lead to reduced operating costs and increased product availability.(omitted)

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제7권6호
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• pp.1-8
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• 2020

The research examines how interactions of financial literacy and peer effect indicators impact financial market participation of Vietnamese investors. In this research, financial literacy indicator is constructed from two levels, namely, basic financial literacy and advanced financial literacy. An empirical study was carried out by investigating 387 individuals who are currently working in finance-related areas such as banking, insurance and real estate industries. The findings indicate that individuals with higher level of financial literacy, specifically those with advanced financial literacy level, tend to participate in financial market. However, individuals with basic financial literacy level tend to walk away from financial market because the nexus between basic financial literacy and financial market participation is found negative statistically significant. The findings also suggest that peer effect and perceived financial literacy have a positive significant relationship with financial market participation. These findings remain robust after endogenous problem is addressed by employing instrument variable (IV) method, especially Ivprobit regression. Hence, these findings recommend that policy-makers should design and develop financial literacy programs, specifically at sophisticated level, to adapt and overtake the trend in financial innovation development. This should be done, not only on individual, but also national scale to ensure greater financial market participation.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.43-60
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• 2002

This paper describes the forecast of wholesale price in competitive Korean electricity market using the system dynamics approach. The system dynamics concepts have been implemented with the Ithink software. This software facilitates the development of stock and flow model with information feedback. Using this model, the future wholesale electricity price can be computed hour by hour, quarterly, and yearly. This model also gives the energy planner the opportunity to create different scenarios for the future of deregulated wholesale markets in Korea. Also It will lead to increased understanding of competitive wholesale market as a complex, dynamic system. Research results show that the plant construction appeared in waves of boom and bust in Korean electricity market like real estate construction. That is, the Korea wholesale market's new power plants and the market price will appear the Boom and Bust cycle. It is very similar behavior as real estate industry. In case of consideration of DSM program, The DSM savings lead to a somewhat different timing of the booms in construction and of price spikes. But the DSM programs do not eliminated the fundamental dynamics of the boom and bust. And the wholesale price is maintained at the lower level compared to the case of without DSM program. However, the unexpected result is found that due to the lower market price, Investor make significantly less investment in new CCs, which leads to the higher wholesale price after 2010. It suggests that the DSM Policy must be implemented with the dynamics of competitive Electricity Market.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.397-409
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• 2018

The world financial markets are inter-linked in ways that varies according to market and time. We examine the causality of change focusing on the Korean market as related to the U.S. (S&P 500), Japan (Nikkei 225), Hong-Kong (HSI), and European (DAX) markets. In order to capture time-varying causality running from and to the Korea stock market, we apply the Granger causality test under a VAR model with a wild bootstrap rolling-window approach. We also propose a new concept of a significant causality ratio to measure the intensity of the Granger causality in each time unit. There are many asymmetric strengths in mutual Granger causal relationships. Moreover, there are cases with significant Granger causal relations only in one direction. The period with the most severe Granger causality both running from and to the KOSPI market is the GFC. The market that formed the two-way Granger causal relationship with the KOSPI market for the longest period is the S&P 500. The HSI and DAX markets have the strongest two-way Granger causal relationship with the KOSPI shortly after 2000, and the Nikkei market had the strongest two-way Granger causal relationship with the KOSPI market before the Asian financial crisis.

• 상하수도학회지
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• 제30권5호
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• pp.521-532
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• 2016

Seawater desalination market after global economic crisis has been stalled due to the market uncertainties and decreased demand in desalination. It is important to review the status of the market and to estimate the appropriate share of Forward osmosis-Reverse Osmosis (FO-RO) hybrid desalination technology by figuring out the outlook of the desalination market. Main part of the desalination market will still be MENA (Middle East and North Africa) in the near future due to the fast population increase and high dependency of fossil fuel in the region. The market for FO-RO hybrid technology, however, might be smaller than the conventional SWRO desalination market anyway because of aesthetic issues from using wastewater as raw water and higher costs associated with capex. Therefore, it is essential to improve FO membrane performance and system operation technologies in order to make the hybrid technology attractive compared to the conventional SWRO technology.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.281-314
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• 2004

환율의 변화에 따른 개별 교역재 가격의 변화는 '환율전이효과(Exchange rate pass-through)'로 불리며, 국제경제학의 가장 중요한 연구분야 중의 하나로 인식되고 있다. 또한 환율변화 당사국의 교역재 가격변화에 따라 시장전체에서 일어나는 환율의 전이현상은, 수출시장과 특정수출국의 환율이 변화할 때 수출국의 가격책정전략과 시장전체의 반응에 대한 정보를 제공해줄 수 있다는 점에서 깊은 연구가 필요하다. 그러나 대부분의 연구는 환율변화에 따른 특정 국가의 수출재 가격변화만을 고려할 뿐, 경쟁국 재화가격의 변화나, 이에 따른 수출대상국의 재화시장이 전체적으로 받는 충격에 대한 연구는 거의 이루어지지 않고 있다. 본 논문은, 한국과 일본의 대미 달러 환율변화에 따른 철강재의 가격변화를 통해 시장의 반응을 분석한다. Bootstrap-after-bootstrap을 활용한 vector error correction 모형과 이에 따른 충격반응함수분석, 그리고 Phillips-Hansen의 추정방법(fully modified estimation)을 통한 분석은 몇 가지 중요한 시사점을 제공하는데, 그중 가장 중요한 두 가지를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 즉, (i) 한일 양국의 환율변화는 미국 철강시장에서의 양국 수출철강가격에 대해 서로 다른 개별적 전이효과를 야기하며, (ii) 여타 수출국의 반응도 한일 양국 중 어느 나라 제품의 가격이 변화하는가에 따라 달라진다는 것이다. 이에 따라 같은 비율의 환율변화에 대해서도 그 당사국에 따라 시장의 가격반응은 달라지게 됨을 알 수 있다.

• Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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• 제6권1호
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• pp.23-44
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• 2017

This study explores how the technology commercialization process leads to either success or failure after transfer from PROs to SMEs by conducting a binomial logistic regression analysis. We found that the more additional development a firm implements on the transferred technology, the more likely the commercialization is to fail. The higher number of alternative technology and bigger market risk are associated with a greater likelihood of failure. On the other hand, the existence of complementary technology, the degree of cooperation with the technology provider, the size of the target market, the willingness of the CEO, and the funding availability are known to have positive effects on the success of technology commercialization. In addition, the case studies we conducted from the sample companies demonstrated that "market uncertainty," "technological issues depending on the technology-specific characteristics," and "a lack of funding capability" are some of the causes for failure of technology commercialization.

• 한국산업경영시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국산업경영시스템학회 2002년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.227-236
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• 2002

With agreement from the US, EU, and other countries, China joined in WTO(World Trade Organization) on December 1, 2001. So it is expected that Korea will not expand bilateral trade but also face severe competition with China for world and Chinese market. After Chinese accession to WTO, the aspect of Korean companies may be considered to be reduced the aspect of opportunity and risk by half. Accordingly, Korean domestic companies have to search countermeasures optimized to get global competition by considering the aspect of opportunity and risk. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to review the potential possibility of China as a world market and to provide countermeasures for major Korean domestic industries.