• Title/Summary/Keyword: Actual cost

Search Result 1,518, Processing Time 0.031 seconds

Application of Probabilistic Risk Analysis for Profitability-Evaluation of Apartment Reconstruction Projects (아파트 재건축사업의 수익성평가에 대한 확률적 위험도 분석 모형 적용방안)

  • Woo, Kwang-Min;Lee, Hak-Ki
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.7 no.5
    • /
    • pp.167-176
    • /
    • 2006
  • It was found that Korean Standard of Estimate which has been used as the only basis of cost estimate of public construction projects had some side effects such as jerry-build construction and over-estimation because it failed to reflect the current price and the state-of-the-art construction methods in a changing construction environment. Therefore, the government decided to gradually introduce historical construction cost into cost estimate of public construction projects from 2004. This paper presents analytic criteria and a process model for deducing more current and reasonable historical construction cost for contract items from not only previous contract prices but also all of the other bid prices that were not contracted. The procedure of estimating actual unit cost proposed in this paper focuses on the removal of abnormal values including strategically too low or high prices and the time correction. In addition, basic research is conducted for the correction of actual unit cost through the analysis of fluctuation of bid price depending on bidding types and rates of successful bid. It is anticipated that the effective use of the proposed process model for estimating actual unit cost would make the cost estimation more current and reasonable.

A Study on Calibration of PRICE Model Using Historical Cost Data (실적자료를 활용한 PRICE 모델의 보정방안 연구)

  • Jung, Tae-Kyun;Lee, Yong-Bok;Kang, Sung-Jin
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
    • /
    • v.36 no.1
    • /
    • pp.29-38
    • /
    • 2010
  • In Korea weapon system acquisition processes, it's required a cost estimation report obtained from a commercial cost model. The PRICE model is generally used as a cost estimation model in Korea. However, the model uses American historical R&D data and it's output cost component is different from our cost component of defense accounting system. Also, we found that estimating results show about 10% of difference when we comparing with actual costs in 44 finished weapon acquisition projects. There are some limitations in calibration to increase an accuracy of the PRICE model because it's difficult obtain good real input data, detailed cost and technical data in low level WBS. So, only 8% of the defense R&D projects are calibrated and validation of calibration results is more difficult. Therefore, we studied the standard calibration process and performed the calibration about the MCPLXS/E parameters of the PRICE model based on actual cost data. In order to obtain a good calculation result, we collected the actual material costs from the defense industry companies. Our results can be used for an reference in similar weapon system R&D and production cost estimation cases.

Economic Analysis of Heat Pump System through Actual Operation (히트 펌프 냉난방 시스템의 실사용을 통한 경제성 분석)

  • Shin, Gyu-Won;Kim, Gil-Tae;Joo, Ho-Young;Lee, Jae-Keun
    • Proceedings of the SAREK Conference
    • /
    • 2006.06a
    • /
    • pp.921-926
    • /
    • 2006
  • The present study has been conducted economic analysis through actual operation of EHP and GHP which are installed at the same building of an university Cost items, such as initial cost, annual energy cost and maintenance cost of each system are considered to analyze LCC and economical efficiency is compared. The initial cost is considered on the basis of actual costs, and annual energy cost is converted into the cost after measuring electricity and gas consumption a day. LCC applied present value method is used to assess economical efficiency of both them. Variables used to LCC analysis are electricity cost escalation rate, natural gas cost escalation rate, interest rate, and service lives and when each of them are 4%, 2%, 8%, and 20 years, results of analysis short that EHP(148,257,306 won) is 8.05%(12,981,990 won) more profitable than GHP(161,239,295 won).

  • PDF

The Establishment of Improvement Direction through Case Analysis of Cost Standards in Overseas Construction Engineering (해외 건설엔지니어링분야 대가기준 사례분석을 통한 개선방향 마련)

  • Ko, Hyun A;Han, Jae Goo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
    • /
    • 2020.06a
    • /
    • pp.165-166
    • /
    • 2020
  • The standard for the cost calculation in the field of domestic construction engineering can be largely divided into the construction cost ratio method and the actual cost addition method. However, the standard for calculating the cost of the construction cost ratio method is a trend to switch to the actual cost addition method due to limitations such as not reflecting the characteristics of the construction. Therefore, this study aims to derive implications by investigating and analyzing examples of cost standards in the field of overseas construction engineering, such as the United States, and deriving directions for improvement in domestic cost standards in the future.

  • PDF

Methodology of data analyses under presence of outliers for estimating construction cost (공사비 예측시 이상값 존재하에서 데이터 처리 분석 방안)

  • O, Se-Dae;Huh, Young-Ki
    • KIEAE Journal
    • /
    • v.7 no.3
    • /
    • pp.31-37
    • /
    • 2007
  • Statistical analyses with actual data are used in estimating construction cost for many years, but collected data could include factors that distort analytical results, namely outliers. To enhance reliability in predicting construction cost, the methodology, which is able to identify outliers and determine how to manage them, is needed. Actual costs obtained from 22 construction projects were studied. It is found that there is substantial disparity between results considering outliers and results not considering ones. Therefore, it is to identify outliers and apply an optimum process in estimating construction cost when actual data is used in statistical analysis.

A Study on Estimating Method for Actual Unit Cost Based on Bid Prices in Public Construction Projects (시설공사 입찰단가를 활용한 실적단가의 산정 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Sang-Hyeok;Park, Won-Young;Song, Soon-Ho;Seo, Jong-Won
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.7 no.5
    • /
    • pp.159-166
    • /
    • 2006
  • It was found that Korean Standard of Estimate which has been used as the only basis of cost estimate of public construction projects had some side effects such as jerry-build construction and over-estimation because it failed to reflect the current price and the state-of-the-art construction methods in a changing construction environment. Therefore, the government decided to gradually introduce historical construction cost into cost estimate of public construction projects from 2004. This paper presents analytic criteria and a process model for deducing more current and reasonable historical construction cost for contract items from not only previous contract prices but also all of the other bid prices that were not contracted. The procedure of estimating actual unit cost proposed in this paper focuses on the removal of abnormal values including strategically too low or high prices and the time correction. In addition, basic research is conducted for the correction of actual unit cost through the analysis of fluctuation of bid price depending on bidding types and rates of successful bid. It is anticipated that the effective use of the proposed process model for estimating actual unit cost would make the cost estimation more current and reasonable.

Limited Cost-Based Competition and the Cost Distortion Factor - How Real Variable Costs are Reported in Cost-Base Pool of Korean Power Market - (원가기반 제한경쟁과 비용왜곡 요인 -변동비 반영 전력시장에서의 실제변동비 반영사례를 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Myung-Seok;Cho, Sung Bong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.23 no.3
    • /
    • pp.497-513
    • /
    • 2014
  • Rate-of-return regulation where a regulator compensates the utilities based upon the cost incurred the regulated companies have the incentive to over-report cost level. However, in case of cost-based competition where a regulator knows the cost of each plant involved and induce the competition among them, one can encounter prisoner's dilemma situation in the short run where the regulated firms under-report cost level. For instance, in case of cost-based pool, a generator may have a strategic behavior to keep its registered variable cost higher than the actual level to maintain its operation rate and generation amounts higher. Eventually, however, such behavior decrease the profitability of a generator and discourage new entry jeopardizing required level of capacity reserves. This is a typical Prisoner's Dilemma situation. The power market operating rule should be revised so that generators' registered variable cost reflect actual level of variable cost.

A Study on the design of hospital budget variance analysis model reflecting efficiency and an attainable target cost (효율성과 목표원가를 반영한 병원예산 원가차이 분석 모형 설계)

  • O, Dongil
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.14 no.2
    • /
    • pp.696-706
    • /
    • 2013
  • This study aims to develop DEA model which can look into budget cost variance analysis tool based on standard cost using 68 hospital's input and output data. For accomplishing this purpose, by introducing new DEA model which can get an attainable target cost, we can decompose an actual cost difference into several meaningful sub variances. Also based on the 2008 general hospital data, this model can make variance analysis between actual cost and target cost. Total variance can be divided into technical inefficiency variance, price inefficiency variance, allocation inefficiency variance. This study introduces that by using target budget cost concept, traditional actual cost variance can be divided into a technical variance, price variance, budget variance. Finally, we can get result which confirms there does not exist favorable size effects on efficiency and cost management in running a general hospital.

Economic Analysis of Heat Pump System through Actual Operation (교육 시설에서의 히트 펌프 냉난방 시스템 실사용을 통한 경제성 분석)

  • Kim, Gil-Tae;Cheong, Seong-Ir;Joo, Ho-Young;Ahn, Young-Chull;Lee, Jae-Keun
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
    • /
    • v.19 no.6
    • /
    • pp.470-475
    • /
    • 2007
  • The present study has been conducted economic analysis through actual operation of electric heat pump (EHP) and gas engine driven heat pump (GHP) which are installed at the same building in the university. Cost items, such as initial cost, annual energy cost and maintenance cost of each system are considered to analyze life cycle cost (LCC) and economical efficiencies are compared. The initial cost is considered on the basis of actual cost, and annual energy cost is converted into the cost after measuring electricity and gas consumption a day LCC applied present value method is used to assess economical profit of both of them. Variables used to LCC analysis are electricity cost escalation rate, natural gas cost escalation rate, interest rate, and service lives when each of them are 4%, 2%, 8%, and 20 years. The result shows that EHP (148,257,306 won) is more profitable than GHP (161,239,296 won) by 8.05% (12,981,990 won).

A Study of the Application for Proper Construction Cost Estimating Method based on the Actual Cost Data (실적자료에 의한 적정 건축공사비 산정 방법에 관한 사례연구)

  • Cho Jae-Ho;Park Sang-Jun;Chun Jae-Youl
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • autumn
    • /
    • pp.383-386
    • /
    • 2001
  • The ability to make good cost overruns predictions is a very important aspect of in major construction project. The probabilistic cost models can provide more reliable than traditional cost models which have been used in korea to prepare Bill of Quantities, if the actual cost data are sufficient enough to analyze the trends of the variables. The paper considers non-deterministic methods in a cost estimate. The method(referred to as the 'Monte Carlo simulation' method) interprets cost data indirectly, to generate a probability distribution for total costs from the deficient elemental experience cost distribution. The objectives of this research is to develop a method to forecast the probabilistic total construction cost and the elemental work cost

  • PDF