• Title/Summary/Keyword: Accurate Predictions

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AI Analysis Method Utilizing Ingestible Bio-Sensors for Bovine Calving Predictions

  • Kim, Heejin;Min, Younjeong;Choi, Changhyuk;Choi, Byoungju
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Information Technology
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    • v.16 no.12
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    • pp.127-137
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    • 2018
  • Parturition is an important event for farmers as it provides economic gains for the farms. Thus, the effective management of parturition is essential to farm management. In particular, the unit price of cattle is higher than other livestock and the productivity of cattle is closely associated to farm income. In addition, 42% of calving occurs in the nighttime so accurate parturition predictions are all the more important. In this paper, we propose a method that accurately predicts the calving date by applying core body temperature of cattle to deep learning. The body temperature of cattle can be measured without being influenced by the ambient environment by applying an ingestible bio-sensor in the cattle's rumen. By experiment on cattle, we confirmed this method to be more accurate for predicting calving dates than existing parturition prediction methods, showing an average of 3 hour 40 minute error. This proposed method is expected to reduce the economic damages of farms by accurately predicting calving times and assisting in successful parturitions.

Deformation estimation of plane-curved structures using the NURBS-based inverse finite element method

  • Runzhou You;Liang Ren;Tinghua Yi ;Hongnan Li
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.88 no.1
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    • pp.83-94
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    • 2023
  • An accurate and highly efficient inverse element labelled iPCB is developed based on the inverse finite element method (iFEM) for real-time shape estimation of plane-curved structures (such as arch bridges) utilizing onboard strain data. This inverse problem, named shape sensing, is vital for the design of smart structures and structural health monitoring (SHM) procedures. The iPCB formulation is defined based on a least-squares variational principle that employs curved Timoshenko beam theory as its baseline. The accurate strain-displacement relationship considering tension-bending coupling is used to establish theoretical and measured section strains. The displacement fields of the isoparametric element iPCB are interpolated utilizing nonuniform rational B-spline (NURBS) basis functions, enabling exact geometric modelling even with a very coarse mesh density. The present formulation is completely free from membrane and shear locking. Numerical validation examples for different curved structures subjected to different loading conditions have been performed and have demonstrated the excellent prediction capability of iPCBs. The present formulation has also been shown to be practical and robust since relatively accurate predictions can be obtained even omitting the shear deformation contributions and considering polluted strain measures. The current element offers a promising tool for real-time shape estimation of plane-curved structures.

Analysis Study on Ultimate Strength of Single-shear Bolted Connections with Austenitic Stainless Steel(STS201) with Varied End and Edge distances (연단거리를 변수로 갖는 오스테나이트계 스테인리스강(STS201) 일면전단 볼트접합부의 최대내력에 관한 해석연구)

  • Cha, Eun-Young;Hwang, Bo-Kyung;Lee, Hoo-Chang;Kim, Tae-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2017
  • This study focused on the ultimate behaviors(ultimate strength and fracture mode ) of single shear bolted connection with austenitic sainless steel(STS201) and curling effect on the ultimate strength using finite element analysis based on test results. Main variables are end distance in the parallel direction to loading and edge distance in the perpendicular direction to loading. The validation of finite element analysis procedures was verified through the comparisons of ultimate strength, fracture mode and curling(out-of-plane deformation) occurrence between test results and numerical predictions. Curling was observed in both test and analysis results and it reduced the ultimate strength of single- shear bolted connections with relatively long end distances. Strength reduction ratios caused by curling were estimated quantitatively by maximum 19%, 32%, respectively for specimens with edge distance, 48 mm and 60 mm compared with strengths of uncurled connections with restrained out-of-plane deformation. Finally, analysis strengths were compared with current design strengths and it is found that design block shear equations did not provide the accurate predictions for bolted connections with strength reduction by curling.

Research on Vibro-acoustic Coupled Analysis using Power Flow Finite Element Method (파워흐름유한요소법을 이용한 진동음향 연성해석 연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Hee;Kwon, Hyun-Wung;Hong, Suk-Yoon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.767-770
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    • 2006
  • To predict vibrational energy density of simple structural-acoustic coupled systems in medium-to-high frequency ranges, Power Flow Finite Element Method(PFFEM) is used, and PFFEM sofiware, PFADS has been developed for the vibration predictions and analysis of coupled system structures in medium-to-high frequency ranges. However, it needs to consider vibro-acoustic coupled analysis to get more accurate results. Prior to implement vibro-acoustic coupled analysis functions in PFADS, research on vibro-acoustic coupled analysis using PFFEH is performed for simple models. These predictions include the indirect transmission path associated, and also the direct transmission path, and the formulation is extended to structural system model by using appropriate modifications to structural-acoustic and acoustic-acoustic joint matrices. Concerning the waves in plate and acoustic, it is possible to calculate the structural-acoustic full matrix of a model using PFFEM, and the formulations developed are implemented for two rooms surrounded by plates.

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Validation of Numerical Model for the Wind Flow over Real Terrain (실지형을 지나는 대기유동에 대한 수치모델의 검증)

  • Kim, Hyeon-Gu;Lee, Jeong-Muk;No, Yu-Jeong
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.219-228
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    • 1998
  • In the present investigation, a numerical model developed for the prediction of the wind flow over complex terrain is validated by comparing with the field experiments. For the solution of the Reynolds - Averaged Clavier- stokes equations which are the governing equations of the microscale atmospheric flow, the model is constructed based on the finite-volume formulation and the SIMPLEC pressure-correction algorithm for the hydrodynamic computation. The boundary- fitted coordinate system is employed for the detailed depiction of topography. The boundary conditions and the modified turbulence constants suitable for an atmospheric boundary- layer are applied together with the k- s turbulence model. The full- scale experiments of Cooper's Ridge, Kettles Hill and Askervein Hill are chosen as the validation cases . Comparisons of the mean flow field between the field measurements and the predicted results show good agreement. In the simulation of the wind flow over Askervein Hill , the numerical model predicts the three dimensional flow separation in the downslope of the hill including the blockage effect due to neighboring hills . Such a flow behavior has not been simulated by the theoretical predictions. Therefore, the present model may offer the most accurate prediction of flow behavior in the leeside of the hill among the existing theoretical and numerical predictions.

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Interactive strut-and-tie-model for shear strength prediction of RC pile caps

  • Chetchotisak, Panatchai;Yindeesuk, Sukit;Teerawong, Jaruek
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.329-338
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    • 2017
  • A new simple and practical strut-and-tie model (STM) for predicting the shear strength of RC pile caps is proposed in this paper. Two approaches are adopted to take into account the concrete softening effect. In the first approach, a concrete efficiency factor based on compression field theory is employed to determine the effective strength of a concrete strut, assumed to control the shear strength of the whole member. The second adopted Kupfer and Gerstle's biaxial failure criterion of concrete to derive the simple nominal shear strength of pile caps containing the interaction between strut and tie capacity. The validation of these two methods is investigated using 110 RC pile cap test results and other STMs available in the literature. It was found that the failure criterion approach appears to provide more accurate and consistent predictions, and hence is chosen to be the proposed STM. Finally, the predictions of the proposed STM are also compared with those obtained by using seven other STMs from codes of practice and the literature, and were found to give better accuracy and consistency.

Development of Integrated Fatigue Strength Assessment System (피로강도평가를 위한 통합 전산 시스템의 개발)

  • Park, Jun-Hyeop;Song, Ji-Ho
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.264-274
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    • 2001
  • An integrated fatigue strength assessment system was computerized. The system developed consists of 9 modules: user interface, cycle counting, load history construction, data searching, fatigue properties estimation, fatigue data analysis, true stress and strain analysis, expert system for crack initiation life prediction, fatigue crack initiation and propagation life prediction. Fatigue strength database also was included in this system. The fatigue expert system helps a beginner to predict a fatigue crack initiation life in fatigue strength assessment. The expert system module in this system is developed on the personal computer by using C language and UNiK, an expert system developing tool. To evaluate the system, the results of test under variable loading of SAE and failure data from a field were analyzed. The evaluation show that the system provided fatigue life prediction within 3-scatter band and gave reasonable predictions. To get more accurate predictions of fatigue life without fatigue properties, we recommend utilizing the system along with the fatigue strength database.

Sensitivity Evaluation of Wind Fields in Surface Layer by WRF-PBL and LSM Parameterizations (WRF 모델을 이용한 지표층 바람장의 대기경계층 모수화와 지면모델 민감도 평가)

  • Seo, Beom-Keun;Byon, Jae-Young;Choi, Young-Jean
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.319-332
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    • 2010
  • Sensitivity experiments of WRF model using different planetary boundary layer (PBL) and land surface model (LSM) parameterizations are evaluated for prediction of wind fields within the surface layer. The experiments were performed with three PBL schemes (YSU, Pleim, MYJ) in combination with three land surface models (Noah, RUC, Pleim). The WRF model was conducted on a nested grid from 27-km to 1-km horizontal resolution. The simulations validated wind speed and direction at 10 m and 80 m above ground level at a 1-km spatial resolution over the South Korea. Statistical verification results indicate that Pleim and YSU PBL schemes are in good agreement with observations at 10 m above ground level, while the MYJ scheme produced predictions similar to the observed wind speed at 80 m above ground level. LSM comparisons indicate that the RUC model performs best in predicting 10-m and 80-m wind speed. It is found that MYJ (PBL) - RUC (LSM) simulations yielded the best results for wind field in the surface layer. The choice of PBL and LSM parameterization will contribute to more accurate wind predictions for air quality studies and wind power using WRF.

A Numerical Analysis of H Shape Rolling (H 형강압연의 수치해석)

  • Park, Jong-Jin;Jeong, Nak-Joon;Kim, Jae-Joo
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.375-389
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    • 1995
  • In H shape rolling, accurate predictions of deformation and temperature distribution in a billet are quite important because they are the main factors in determining roll calibers and roll pass schedules. Many researches have been performed to achieve the predictions, but most of them are limited to single pass or isothermal assumptions. In the present investigation, it is attempted to develop a method to predict the deformation and temperature distributions which is applicable to a complete rolling process that usually consists of several rollings under different rolls for a period of time. The method works by coupling two analyses : one is an approximate analysis for temperature distribution prediction and the other is the slab-FEM hybrid analysis for deformation prediction. The method is applied to analyze a "H" shape rolling process consisting of nine passes under four different rolls. In the present paper, basic ideas of the method are presented. Also, shapes of cross sections, strain and temperature distributions, roll separating force and roll torque predicted by the method are discussed.

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Forecasting Unemployment Rate using Social Media Information (소셜 미디어 정보를 이용한 실업률 예측)

  • Na, Jonghwa;Kim, Eun-Sub
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.95-101
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    • 2013
  • Social media has many advantages. It can gain latest information with real time, be spread rapidly, easily be reproduced and distributed regardless of its form. These advantages can result in real time predictions using the latest information, which is possible due to the increase in social demand for more quick and accurate economic variable predictions. In this paper we adopted ARIMAX and ECM model to predict the unemployment rate and as a social information we used the Google Index provided by Google Trend. Also we used News Index as a domestic social information. The process of fitting statistical model considered in this paper can be adopted to predict various socio/economic indices as well as unemployment rate.