• Title/Summary/Keyword: Accident Scenario

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Estimation of Accident Probability for Dynamic Risk Assessment (동적 위험 분석을 위한 사고확률 추정 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Byeong-Cheol Park;Chae-Og Lim;In-Hyuk Nam;Sung-Chul Shin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.26 no.2_2
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    • pp.315-325
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    • 2023
  • Recently, various dynamic risk analysis methods have been suggested for estimating the risk index by predicting the possibility of accidents and damage. It is necessary to maintain and support the safety system for responding to accidents by continuously updating the probability of accidents and the results of accidents, which are quantitative standards of ship risk. In this study, when a LNG leakage that may occur in the LN G Fuel Gas Supply System (FGSS) room during LN G bunkering operation, a reliability physical model was prepared by the change in monitoring data as physical parameters to estimate the accident probability. The scenario in which LNG leakage occur were configured with FT (Fault Tree), and the coefficient of the covariate model and Weibull distribution was estimated based on the monitoring data. The possibility of an LNG leakage, which is the top event of FT, was confirmed by changes in time and monitoring data. A method for estimating the LNG leakage based on the reliability physical analysis is proposed, which supports fast decision-making by identifying the potential LNG leakage at the accident.

Research on the Prevention of Major Industrial Accident By Integrated Risk Management System (중대산업사고 예방을 위한 종합위험관리체제(IRMS) 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Hyuck-Myun;Seong, Dae-Hyun;Kim, Jae-Hyun;Yim, Dae-Sik;Kim, Gi-Young;Pyeon, Mu-Wook;Moon, Il;Ko, Jae-Wook;Lee, Young-Soon;Yoon, En-Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.88-93
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    • 2003
  • The Process Safety Management (PSM) by the Law of Industry, Safety and Health has been performed for preventing major accidents of chemical plants since 1996. In terms of preventing chemical accidents more precisely, it is essential to develop a tool for quantitative risk assessment. For this, KOSHA (Korea Occupational Safety and Health Agency) developed an Integrated Risk Management System (IRMS). The system is designed to assimilate data on chemical plant hazards from external database, to integrate these data with location information(topographic and demographic), and to make them user-friendly accessible. The system consists of several main functions: display of five major Korean petrochemical complex layout display of equipment layout with its information utilizing the external database, zonation of the hazard effected area with consequence analyses, the most probable accident scenario generation, accident/incident database and calculation of frequency of accident using equipment reliability database, etc. The highlight of IRMS is to provide the risk contours using GIS(Geographical Information System) technology. IRMS is intended to manage hazardous installation more systematically and effectively, to reduce the number of accident remarkably, further minimizing production loss in the plant. The system is now under application to about 500 PSM sites as well as and emergency authorities in Korea by KOSHA (Korea Occupational Safety and Health Agency)

A Study on Damage Assessment for Fuel Cell Facilities in Gas Stations (주유소 내 연료전지설비에 대한 사고피해예측 연구)

  • Sung Yoon Lim;Jang Choon Lee;Jae Hoon Lee;Seung Ho Choi
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2023
  • Fuel cells are low-carbon power sources that can expand distributed energy system and electric vehicle charging infrastructure when installing fuel cells in gas stations. In order to ensure safety for fuel cells in gas stations, quantitative risk assessments were conducted after deriving accident scenarios based on accident data of domestic and foreign gas stations and fuel cells. It calculates the expected extent of damage from fire and explosion that can occur in reality, not the worst accident scenario, and analyzes the damage impact. The separation distance of more than 9.0 m from a dispenser, 15.5 m from a car under refueling, 4.1 m from the ventilation pipe, 1.1 m from the gas adjustment device prevent the severe damage caused by the expected accident. This study result can be used to deploy fuel cells in gas stations and establish safety measures.

A Study on Future System Construction Using WSCR Strengthness Index based on Python (Python 기반 WSCR 강건 지수를 이용한 미래계통 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Seong-Jun;Hur, Jin;Kim, Hyun-Jin;Cho, Yoon-Sung
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.67 no.8
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    • pp.994-1001
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, to studied about future power system construction using PSS / E-Python API. Python-based future system automatical construction methods and modeling of renewable sources. it confirmed the stability of the powert system for each renewable area by calculating the weighted short circuit ratio (WSCR) index. it calculated the short circuit ratio (SCR) and selected the transmission line linkage scenario to improve the stability of vulnerable areas. it confirmed the WSCR index improvement through the selected transmission line linkage of scenario, and analyzed the stability of the renewable power system applying the scenario. It describes Facts and Shunt devices adjustment for the load flow convergence. It describes the stable methed of the bus voltage through the transformer Ratio Tap adjustment. By performing PSS/E ASCC using the Python it was performed three-phase short circuit fault capacity analysis, it is confirmed whether excess of the fault current circuit breaker capacity. In order to contingency accident analysis, it have described the generation of one or two line list of each areas using the Python. The list is used to contingency analysis and describe the soluted of the transmission line overload through comparison before and after adding the scenario line.

Structural Analysis of the Canister for PWR Spent Fuels under the Korean Reference Disposal Conditions (한국형 기준 처분 환경에서의 PWR 사용후핵연료 처분용기의 구조적 안전성 해석)

  • Choi Heui-Joo;Lee Yang;Choi Jong-Won;Kwon Young-Joo
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.301-309
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    • 2006
  • KDC-1 canister for PWR spent fuels which will be used for the Korean Reference Disposal System was developed. The structural analysis of the canister was carried out as a part of the safety analysis. Two conditions, disposal condition and handling condition, were considered for the structural analysis. Three kinds of load cases, normal, abnormal and rock movement, were considered for the disposal condition. The results of the calculation showed that the safety factors from the structural analysis were greater than the design requirements. Two accident scenarios, gripper failure accident and canister drop accident, were analyzed for the handling condition. According to the gripper failure scenario analysis, the handling machine with grippers could be used even in the cases that one or two grippers failed. The maximum von Mises stress from the canister drop accident scenario was 0.762 MPa, which was negligible compared with the yield stress of nodular cast iron. The proposed KDC-1 canister for PWR spent fuels proves to be safe under the repository condition that is based upon the Korean reference disposal system according to the structural analysis for disposal condition and handling condition.

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Consequence Analysis for Release Scenario of Buried High Pressure Natural Gas Pipeline (지하매설 도시가스배관의 누출시나리오에 따른 사고피해영향분석)

  • Kim, Jin Hyung;Ko, Byung Seok;Yang, Jae Mo;Ko, Sang-Wook;Ko, Jae Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2014
  • Buried natural gas pipelines in densely populated urban areas have serious hazards of property damages and casualties generated by release, dispersion, fire and explosion of gas caused by outside or inside failures. So as to prevent any accident in advance, managers implement danger management based on quantitative risk analysis. In order to evaluate quantitative risk about buried natural gas pipelines, we need calculation for radiant heat and pressure wave caused by calculation for release rate of chemical material, dispersion analysis, fire or explosion modeling through consequence analysis in priority, in this paper, we carry out calculation for release rate of pressured natural gas, radiant heat of fireball based in accident scenario of actual "San Bruno" buried high pressured pipelines through models which CCPS, TNO provide and compare with an actual damage result.

A Study on the Reliability Verification of Real-time Railway Safety Integrated Monitoring and Control System (실시간 철도안전 통합 감시제어시스템 신뢰성 검증에 관한 연구)

  • Son, Sang-Hyun;Kim, Sang-Ahm;Kim, Young-Gon
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.83-89
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    • 2021
  • With the recent development of information and communication technology, there have been many attempts to apply various IT technologies in the railway field. Until now, the safety control system has been installed at the site and operated using actual data, but there is a problem that it is difficult to verify the function of the railway safety control system in that no accidents occur in real situations. In this study, accident data is generated randomly to verify that the safety control system is functioning properly, and to this end, simulation data is prepared according to the simulator, accident scenario and scenario. Real-time railway safety monitoring system collects and transmits data from interface devices to common protocol called DDS.

A Study on Minimum Separation Distance for Aboveground High-pressure Natural Gas Pipelines (지상 고압 천연가스 배관의 최소 이격거리 기준에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jin-Han;Jo, Young-Do
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.57 no.2
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    • pp.225-231
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    • 2019
  • In Korea, the minimum separation distance between aboveground high-pressure natural gas pipeline and buildings is regulated by Korea gas safety (KGS) code. In this paper, The technical backgrounds for the revision of the KGS code related to the minimum separation distance was presented. A consequence-based approach was adopted to determine the minimum separation distance by a reasonable accident scenario, which was a jet fire caused by the rupture of one inch branch line attached the gas pipeline. Where, the higher thermal radiation flux threshold was selected for workers in industrial area than for people in non-industrial area, because the workers in industrial area were able to escape in a shorter time than the people in public. As result of consequence analysis for the accident scenario, we suggested the KGS code revision that the minimum separation distances between high-pressure natural gas pipeline installed above ground and buildings should be 30 meter in non-industrial area and 15 meter in industrial area. The revised code was accepted by the committee of the KGS code and now in effect.

A Study of Damage Assessment Caused by Hydrogen Gas Leak in Tube Trailer Storage Facilities (수소 Tube Trailer 저장시설에서의 수소가스 누출에 따른 사고피해예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Rak;Hwang, Seong-Min;Yoon, Myong-O
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.32-38
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    • 2011
  • As the using rate of an explosive gas has been increased in the industrial site, the regional residents adjacent to the site as well as the site workers have frequently fallen into a dangerous situation. Damage caused by accident in the process using hydrogen gas is not confined only to the relevant process, but also is linked to a large scale of fire or explosion and it bring about heavy casualties. Therefore, personnel in charge should investigate the kinds and causes of the accident, forecast the scale of damage and also, shall establish and manage safety countermeasures. We, in Anti-Calamity Research Center, forecasted the scope of danger if break out a fire or/and explosion in hydrogen gas facilities of MLCC firing process. We selected piping leak accident, which is the most frequent accident case based on an actual analysis of accident data occurred. We select and apply piping leak accident which is the most frequent case based on an actual accident data as a model of damage forecasting scenario caused by accident. A jet fire breaks out if hydrogen gas leaks through pipe size of 10 mm ${\Phi}$ under pressure of 120 bar, and in case of $4kw/m^2$ of radiation level, the radiation heat can produce an effect on up to distance of maximum 12.45 meter. Herein, we are going to recommend safety security and countermeasures for improvement through forecasting of accident damages.

A Development of Real Time Artificial Intelligence Warning System Linked Discharge and Water Quality (II) Construction of Warning System (유량과 수질을 연계한 실시간 인공지능 경보시스템 개발 (II) 경보시스템 구축)

  • Yeon, In-Sung;Ahn, Sang-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.7 s.156
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    • pp.575-584
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    • 2005
  • The judgement model to warn of possible pollution accident is constructed by multi-perceptron, multi layer neural network, neuro-fuzzy and it is trained stability, notice, and warming situation due to developed standard axis. The water quality forecasting model is linked to the runoff forecasting model, and joined with the judgement model to warn of possible pollution accident, which completes the artificial intelligence warning system. And GUI (Graphic User Interface) has been designed for that system. GUI screens, in order of process, are main page, data edit, discharge forecasting, water quality forecasting, warming system. The application capability of the system was estimated by the pollution accident scenario. Estimation results verify that the artificial intelligence warning system can be a reasonable judgement of the noized water pollution data.