• Title/Summary/Keyword: Accident Models

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Safety Management Information System in Bridges Construction Work (교량 건설공사의 안전관리정보시스템 개발)

  • Park, Jong-Keun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2011
  • There are insufficient models that find problems and solutions for accident prevention through risk assessment and suggest safe work process and work instruction from foundation works to finish work for accident decrease. This paper presents a quantitative risk assessment model by analysis of risk factors in each process such as foundation, erection, pier, pier upper and etc based on accident examples and investigation on actual condition in bridges construction work. In addition, the safety management system was developed to perform risk assessment of construction and use it for effective safety training for labor.

Safety Management Information System in Plants Construction Work (플랜트 건설공사의 안전관리 정보시스템 개발)

  • Park, Jong-Keun
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2012
  • There are insufficient models that find problems and solutions for accident prevention through risk assessment and suggest safe work process and work instruction from foundation works to finish work for accident decrease. This paper presents a quantitative risk assessment model by analysis of risk factors in each process such as appurtenant works, temporary works, structural works, equipment work, finishing work and etc based on accident examples and investigation on actual condition in plants construction work. In addition, the safety management system was developed to perform risk assessment of plants construction and use it for effective safety training for labor.

Numerical evaluation of hypothetical core disruptive accident in full-scale model of sodium-cooled fast reactor

  • Guo, Zhihong;Chen, Xiaodong;Hu, Guoqing
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.2120-2134
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    • 2022
  • A hypothetical core destructive accident (HCDA) has received widespread attention as one of the most serious accidents in sodium-cooled fast reactors. This study combined recent advantages in numerical methods to realize realistic modeling of the complex fluid-structure interactions during HCDAs in a full-scale sodium-cooled fast reactor. The multi-material arbitrary Lagrangian-Eulerian method is used to describe the fluid-structure interactions inside the container. Both the structural deformations and plug rises occurring during HCDAs are evaluated. Two levels of expansion energy are considered with two different reactor models. The simulation results show that the container remains intact during an accident with small deformations. The plug on the top of the container rises to an acceptable level after the sealing between the it and its support is destroyed. The methodology established in this study provides a reliable approach for evaluating the safety feature of a container design.

Characteristics and Models of the Side-swipe Accident in the Case of Cheongju 4-legged Signalized Intersections (4지 신호교차로의 측면접촉사고 특성 및 사고모형 - 청주시를 사례로 -)

  • Park, Sang-Hyuk;Kim, Tae-Young;Park, Byung-Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.41-47
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    • 2009
  • This study deals with the side-swipe accidents of 4-legged signalized intersections in Cheongju. The objectives are to analyze the characteristics of the accidents and to develop the related models. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular emphasis to finding the appropriate methodology to modelling. The main results are as follows. First, injuries were analyzed to be twice than property-only accidents in the side-swipe accidents. The accidents were evaluated to occur more in inside-intersection. Also, the accidents were analyzed to be almost the auto-related accidents and to be occurred by the unsafely-driving activity. Second, multiple linear regression models were evaluated to be more statistically significant than multiple non-linear. The most fitted models were analyzed to be the models with the number of accidents as the dependent variable. The factors of side-swipe accidents analyzed in this study were ADT, area of intersection, right-turn-only-lane, number of pedestrian crossings, limited speed of main road, maximum grade and number of signal phase.

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Using machine learning to forecast and assess the uncertainty in the response of a typical PWR undergoing a steam generator tube rupture accident

  • Tran Canh Hai Nguyen ;Aya Diab
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.55 no.9
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    • pp.3423-3440
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    • 2023
  • In this work, a multivariate time-series machine learning meta-model is developed to predict the transient response of a typical nuclear power plant (NPP) undergoing a steam generator tube rupture (SGTR). The model employs Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), including the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), and a hybrid CNN-LSTM model. To address the uncertainty inherent in such predictions, a Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) was implemented. The models were trained using a database generated by the Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty (BEPU) methodology; coupling the thermal hydraulics code, RELAP5/SCDAP/MOD3.4 to the statistical tool, DAKOTA, to predict the variation in system response under various operational and phenomenological uncertainties. The RNN models successfully captures the underlying characteristics of the data with reasonable accuracy, and the BNN-LSTM approach offers an additional layer of insight into the level of uncertainty associated with the predictions. The results demonstrate that LSTM outperforms GRU, while the hybrid CNN-LSTM model is computationally the most efficient. This study aims to gain a better understanding of the capabilities and limitations of machine learning models in the context of nuclear safety. By expanding the application of ML models to more severe accident scenarios, where operators are under extreme stress and prone to errors, ML models can provide valuable support and act as expert systems to assist in decision-making while minimizing the chances of human error.

Comparative Analysis on the Characteristics and Models of Traffic Accidents by Day and Nighttime in the Case of Cheongju 4-legged ignalized Intersections (주·야간 교통사고의 특성 및 사고모형 비교분석 -청주시 4지 신호교차로를 중심으로 -)

  • Yoo, Doo Seon;Oh, Sang Jin;Kim, Tae Young;Park, Byung Ho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.2D
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    • pp.181-189
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to comparatively analyze the characteristics and models of traffic accidents by day and nighttime. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular attentions to testing the differences and developing the models (multiple linear and non-linear and Poisson and negative binomial regression) using the data of Cheongju 4-legged signalized intersections. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, the differences between day and nighttime accidents were defined. Second, 12 accident models which are all statistically significant were developed. Finally, the differences between day and nighttime models were comparatively analyzed using the common and specific variables.

Accident Reduction Effects by year After Installation of Red Light Cameras (무인신호위반단속장비 설치 후의 연도별 사고감소 효과)

  • Kim, Tae-Young;Park, Byung-Ho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2010
  • Because ROTA(road traffic authority) analyzes the effects of accident reduction based on the data of 1-year after installation of RLC(red light camera), study of accident reduction effects over year after the installation of RLC is very short. This study deals with the traffic accident reduction during 3 years after the installation of RLC. The objective is to analyze the effects of accident reduction by year using EB method. In pursuing the above, the study uses the 951 accident data occurred at the 20 intersections which RLC are installed. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, the safety performance function (SPF) has been developed by the Poisson regression models which are statistically significant. Second, the results of an Empirical Bayes(EB) analyses showed that the accidents were reduced by the range from 2.73 to 38.75% after 1 year, from 6.85 to 47.36% after 2 year, and from 6.04 to 39.31% after 3 year from the installation of RLC.

A Study on the Alternative Plan for Prevention of Marine Accident using System Dynamic (해양사고 예방을 위한 정책대안에 관한 연구)

  • Jang Woon-Jae;Kwon Suk-Jae;Keum Jong-Soo
    • Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.29-34
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    • 2004
  • Ship is bring operated under a highly dynamic environments and many factors are related whit marine accident and those factors are interacting. An analysis on the marine accident is very important to prepare countermeasures which will ensure the safe navigation This paper aims to build a model of the rouses and improved policy for marine accident using SD(System Dynamics) approach and to measure a effect which is risk control countermeasures of marine accident The methodology of this paper is to perform the causes and improved policy for marine accident using Brainstorming method, and was to changed by quantitutive, qualitative factors and their feedback loops in casual map. This model was performed over 23 years($1997\~2020$) in a standard simulation model and 4 policy simulation models.

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An evaluation on in-pile behaviors of SiCf/SiC cladding under normal and accident conditions with updated FROBA-ATF code

  • Chen, Ping;Qiu, Bowen;Li, Yuanming;Wu, Yingwei;Hui, Yongbo;Deng, Yangbin;Zhang, Kun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.4
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    • pp.1236-1249
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    • 2021
  • Although there are still controversial opinions and uncertainty on application of SiCf/SiC composite cladding as next-generation cladding material for its great oxidation resistance in high temperature steam environment and other outstanding advantages, it cannot deny that SiCf/SiC cladding is a potential accident tolerant fuel (ATF) cladding with high research priority and still in the engineering design stage for now. However, considering its disadvantages, such as low irradiated thermal conductivity, ductility that barely not exist, further evaluations of its in-pile behaviors are still necessary. Based on the self-developed code we recently updated, relevant thermohydraulic and mechanical models in FROBA-ATF were applied to simulate the cladding behaviors under normal and accident conditions in this paper. Even through steady-state performance analysis revealed that this kind of cladding material could greatly reduce the oxidation thickness, the thermal performance of UO2-SiC was poor due to its low inpile thermal conductivity and creep rate. Besides, the risk of failure exists when reactor power decreased. With geometry optimization and dopant addition in pellets, the steady-state performance of UO2-SiC was enhanced and the failure risk was reduced. The thermal and mechanical performance of the improved UO2-SiC was further evaluated under Loss of coolant accident (LOCA) and Reactivity Initiated Accident (RIA) conditions. Transient results showed that the optimized ATF had better thermal performance, lower cladding hoop stress, and could provide more coping time under accident conditions.

Developing Rear-End Collision Models of Roundabouts in Korea (국내 회전교차로의 추돌사고 모형 개발)

  • Park, Byung Ho;Beak, Tae Hun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.151-157
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    • 2014
  • This study deals with the rear-end collision at roundabouts. The purpose of this study is to develop the accident models of rear-end collision in Korea. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular attention to developing the appropriate models using Poisson, negative binomial model, ZAM, multiple linear and nonlinear regression models, and statistical analysis tools. The main results are as follows. First, the Vuong statistics and overdispersion parameters indicate that ZIP is the most appropriate model among count data models. Second, RMSE, MPB, MAD and correlation coefficient tests show that the multiple nonlinear model is the most suitable to the rear-end collision data. Finally, such the independent variables as traffic volume, ratio of heavy vehicle, number of circulatory roadway lane, number of crosswalk and stop line are adopted in the optimal model.