• 제목/요약/키워드: Accelerated Model

검색결과 792건 처리시간 0.034초

Shelf-life prediction of fresh ginseng packaged with plastic films based on a kinetic model and multivariate accelerated shelf-life testing

  • Jong-Jin Park;Jeong-Hee Choi;Kee-Jai Park;Jeong-Seok Cho;Dae-Yong Yun;Jeong-Ho Lim
    • 한국식품저장유통학회지
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.573-588
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study was to monitor changes in the quality of ginseng and predict its shelf-life. As the storage period of ginseng increased, some quality indicators, such as water-soluble pectin (WSP), CDTA-soluble pectin (CSP), cellulose, weight loss, and microbial growth increased, while others (Na2CO3-soluble pectin/NSP, hemicellulose, starch, and firmness) decreased. Principal component analysis (PCA) was performed using the quality attribute data and the principal component 1 (PC1) scores extracted from the PCA results were applied to the multivariate analysis. The reaction rate at different temperatures and the temperature dependence of the reaction rate were determined using kinetic and Arrhenius models, respectively. Among the kinetic models, zeroth-order models with cellulose and a PC1 score provided an adequate fit for reaction rate estimation. Hence, the prediction model was constructed by applying the cellulose and PC1 scores to the zeroth-order kinetic and Arrhenius models. The prediction model with PC1 score showed higher R2 values (0.877-0.919) than those of cellulose (0.797-0.863), indicating that multivariate analysis using PC1 score is more accurate for the shelf-life prediction of ginseng. The predicted shelf-life using the multivariate accelerated shelf-life test at 5, 20, and 35℃ was 40, 16, and 7 days, respectively.

산업용 청소기 모터의 가속수명시험 (Accelerated Life Test of Industrial Cleaner Motor)

  • 엄학용;이기천;장무성;박종원;이용범
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.193-200
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: In this study, the life of the motor is investigated by performing the accelerated life test with the brush wear of the industrial cleaner motor as the main failure mode. Methods: The accelerating stress factor of the accelerated life test is a voltage, which can increase the number of revolutions of the motor to accelerate the brush wear due to the friction between the brush and the commutator. Also, the accelerating stress level was determined after determining the maximum allowable level of the voltage through the preliminary test. Results: The motor failure time at each accelerating stress level was predicted by regression analysis with brush wear length as performance degradation data. The main failure mode, which is brush wear, of the motor was reproduced by this test. The shape parameter of the Weibull distribution was confirmed to be the same statistically at all accelerating stress levels by the likelihood ratio test. Conclusion: The life of the motor was investigated by performing the accelerated life test with the brush wear of the industrial cleaner motor as the main failure mode. Through the accelerating test method of the cleaner motor, various life expectancy and life expectancy of the acceleration factor are predicted.

차량 부하 스펙트럼 모델링을 이용한 구동축의 가속 수명 평가 (Accelerated Life Evaluation of Drive Shaft Using Vehicle Load Spectrum Modeling)

  • 김도식;이근호;강이석
    • 대한기계학회논문집 C: 기술과 교육
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.115-126
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    • 2017
  • 본 논문은 특수 차량용 동력 전달계 부품인 구동축의 가속 수명 시험을 수행하는 것이다. 동력 전달계 부품의 수명 평가를 위하여 사용환경의 주행 부하 스펙트럼의 데이터가 필요하나, 특수 차량의 경우 부하 스펙트럼을 구할 수 없는 경우가 대부분이다. 따라서, 본 논문에서는 차량 데이터와 특수 주행로 조건에 기반하여 주행 부하 로드 스펙트럼을 모델링하고 시뮬레이션 하였다. 가속 수명 시험에는 역승 모델을 적용하였고, 마이너 법칙을 사용하여 등가 토크를 구하였으며, 구동축 가속 수명 시험을 위하여 교정 가속법을 사용하였다. 피로시험은 세 수준의 스트레스로 수행하였으며, 사용자 스트레스 수준의 수명은 외삽법을 사용하여 예측 하였고, 실제 시험 결과와 부하 스펙트럼 데이터와의 비교로 수명을 검증하였다.

아이링 모델에 기초한 MLCC 열화데이터의 신뢰성 해석 (Reliability Analysis of MLCC Degradation Data based on Eyring Model)

  • 김종철;김광섭;차종범
    • 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신뢰성학회 2004년도 정기학술대회
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    • pp.239-246
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    • 2004
  • 가속열화시험은 가속수명시험시에 고장 개수가 적거나 심지어 고장이 발생하지 않는 경우에도 부품의 신뢰성을 평가할 수 있는 유용한 수단이 되고 있다. 본 연구에서는, 능동소자로 높은 유전용량을 갖는 적층 세라믹 콘덴서(X7R -55$^{\circ}C$~1$25^{\circ}C$)에 대한 가속열화시험을 실시하고, 정격온도의 최대치에서 다른 배율의 전압을 인가하여 단순선형회귀에 의한 특성치의 경시변화를 설명한다고 가정하였다. 최소제곱법을 적용하여 시료가 대수정규분포를 따를 때의 열화량을 설명한 후, 특성치-시간간의 선형관계 및 대수정규분포의 독립성을 검정하여 가정의 적절성을 검정하였다. 마지막으로 아이링모델에 의한 평균수명을 평가하였다.

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Accelerated Monte Carlo analysis of flow-based system reliability through artificial neural network-based surrogate models

  • Yoon, Sungsik;Lee, Young-Joo;Jung, Hyung-Jo
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.175-184
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    • 2020
  • Conventional Monte Carlo simulation-based methods for seismic risk assessment of water networks often require excessive computational time costs due to the hydraulic analysis. In this study, an Artificial Neural Network-based surrogate model was proposed to efficiently evaluate the flow-based system reliability of water distribution networks. The surrogate model was constructed with appropriate training parameters through trial-and-error procedures. Furthermore, a deep neural network with hidden layers and neurons was composed for the high-dimensional network. For network training, the input of the neural network was defined as the damage states of the k-dimensional network facilities, and the output was defined as the network system performance. To generate training data, random sampling was performed between earthquake magnitudes of 5.0 and 7.5, and hydraulic analyses were conducted to evaluate network performance. For a hydraulic simulation, EPANET-based MATLAB code was developed, and a pressure-driven analysis approach was adopted to represent an unsteady-state network. To demonstrate the constructed surrogate model, the actual water distribution network of A-city, South Korea, was adopted, and the network map was reconstructed from the geographic information system data. The surrogate model was able to predict network performance within a 3% relative error at trained epicenters in drastically reduced time. In addition, the accuracy of the surrogate model was estimated to within 3% relative error (5% for network performance lower than 0.2) at different epicenters to verify the robustness of the epicenter location. Therefore, it is concluded that ANN-based surrogate model can be utilized as an alternative model for efficient seismic risk assessment to within 5% of relative error.

평균-분산 가속화 실패시간 모형에서 벌점화 변수선택 (Penalized variable selection in mean-variance accelerated failure time models)

  • 권지훈;하일도
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제34권3호
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    • pp.411-425
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    • 2021
  • 가속화 실패시간모형은 로그 생존시간과 공변량간의 선형적 관계를 묘사해 준다. 가속화 실패시간모형에서 생존시간의 평균뿐만 아니라 변동성에도 영향을 미치는 공변량 효과를 추론하는 것은 흥미가 있다. 이를 위해 생존시간의 평균뿐만 아니라 분산을 모형화 하는 것이 필요하며, 이러한 모형을 평균-분산 가속화 실패시간모형이라 부른다. 본 논문에서는 벌점 가능도함수를 이용하여 평균-분산 가속화 실패시간모형에서 회귀모수에 대한 변수선택 절차를 제안한다. 여기서 벌점함수로서 LASSO, ALASSO, SCAD 그리고 HL (계층가능도)와 같은 네 가지 벌점함수를 연구한다. 제안된 변수선택 절차를 통해 중요한 공변량의 선택 뿐만 아니라 회귀모수의 추정을 동시에 제공할 수 있다. 제안된 방법의 성능은 모의실험을 통해 평가하고, 하나의 임상 예제자료를 통해 제안된 방법을 예증하고자 한다.

철근의 부식 예측 모델에 관한 연구 (Prediction Models for Corrosion of Reinforcing Bars)

  • 김도겸;이종석;고경택;이장화;송영철;조명석
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 1999년도 학회창립 10주년 기념 1999년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.739-742
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    • 1999
  • A reinforcement corrosion prediction model was proposed using the results from accelerated testing and mathematical equation from the Fick's 2nd law for chloride-induced corrosion of reinforcement in concrete. The input data included the chloride concentration, mix characteristics of concrete, and environmental conditions. This model can be used to predict the chloride concentration pertaining to corrosion time and loading age for marine concrete structures. This model can also be used to predict the service life.

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3차원 수치모형을 이용한 방조제 끝막이 구간의 수리특성분석(수공) (An Analysis of Hydraulic Characteristics in Sea Dike Closure Gap Using a Three Dimensional Numerical Model)

  • 강민구;박승우;임상준
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 2000년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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    • pp.405-411
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    • 2000
  • This study reviews qualitatively the flow characteristics around th tidal gap during seadike closures using a three-dimensional model for shallow water equations. The Princeton Ocean Model(POM) was adapted and applied to the Sihwa Seadike which was closed in 1994. The simulated flow patterns around the gap showed that tidal velocities increase with the cross-sectional area during ebb tide. The accelerated flow extended to wider zones passing the gap, and shock waves were generated. Vertical tidal velocity profiles were affected as the bottom scours developed beyond normal conditions.

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PWN SED modeling: stationary and time-dependent leptonic scenarios

  • Kim, Seung-jong;An, Hong-jun
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제43권2호
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    • pp.43.3-43.3
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    • 2018
  • We develop a model for broadband spectral energy distribution (SED) of Pulsar Wind Nebulae (PWNe). The model assumes that electrons/positrons in the pulsar wind are injected into and stochastically accelerated in the pulsar termination shock. We consider two scenarios: a stationary one-zone case and a time-evolving multi-zone case. In the latter scenario, flow properties in the PWNe (magnetic field, bulk speed) are modeled to vary in time and space. We apply the model to the broadband SED of the pulsar wind nebula 3C 58. From the modeling, we find that a broken power-law injection is required with the maximum electron energy of ~200 TeV.

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Tan Delta 측정을 이용한 유침 절연지의 열화특성 분석 (Analysis of Degradation Characteristics for Oil-Paper Insulation using Tan Delta Measurement)

  • 김정태;김우빈
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제65권9호
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    • pp.1518-1523
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    • 2016
  • In this study, in order to understand the degradation characteristics of oil-paper insulation for power transformers and OF cables, tan delta was measured using cable model specimens with long-term accelerated thermal and electrical aging. In addition, to find out the degradation level due to the accelerated aging, tensile strengths of aged papers were measured. As a result, tan ${\delta}$ showed the characteristics of slight decrease at the first stage and then increase with the aging time, which could be analyzed due to the evaporation of remaining moisture and the change of aging rate with time. Also, the trend of tensile strengths with aging temperature and time was appeared to be exponentially decreased and by use of these data equivalent calculated lifetimes and accelerated aging factors were derived for each aging temperatures. After then, tan ${\delta}$ was analyzed with the equivalent operating years. For all different aging temperatures, the aged data were very well fit to the equivalent operating years and it is shown that tan ${\delta}$ was increased with the decrease of tensile strength.