• Title/Summary/Keyword: A2 시나리오

Search Result 1,556, Processing Time 0.036 seconds

A Study on the Carbon Taxation Method Using the Real Business Cycle Model (실물적 경기변동모형을 이용한 탄소세 부과방식에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, In-sup;Jung, Yong-gook
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.27 no.1
    • /
    • pp.67-104
    • /
    • 2018
  • In this paper, we compare the spread effects of the carbon tax imposition method using the real business cycle model considering the productivity and energy price shocks. Scenario 1 sets the carbon tax rate that encourages the representative firm to maintain a constant $CO_2$ reduction ratio in accordance with its green house gas reduction targets for each period. Scenario 2 sets the method of imposing the steady state value of the carbon tax rate of Scenario 1 during the analysis period. The impulse response analysis shows that the responses of $CO_2$ emissions to external shocks are relatively sensitive in scenario 2. And simulation results show that the cost of $CO_2$ abatement is more volatile in scenario 1, and $CO_2$ emissions and $CO_2$ stock are more volatile in scenario 2. In particular, the percentage changes in volatility between the two scenarios of $CO_2$ emissions and $CO_2$ stock increase as the green house gas reduction target is harder. When the green house gas reduction target is 60% and over, the percentage changes(absolute value) between the two scenarios exceed the percentage change(absolute value) of the $CO_2$ reduction cost between them.

Development of Collision Prevention Usage Scenario based on Vehicle-to-Vehicle Communication of Autonomous Vehicles (자율주행 차량의 차량 대 차량 통신에 기반한 충돌방지 활용 시나리오 개발)

  • Seo, HyunDuk;Kwon, Doyoung;Shin, Jaemin;Choi, Eunhyuk;Lim, Huhnkuk
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
    • /
    • v.26 no.2
    • /
    • pp.251-257
    • /
    • 2022
  • Self-driving vehicles are a type of smart vehicle with the help of ICT technology, which means a vehicle that operates without the intervention of a driver.Vehicles with vehicle safety communication technology (V2X) applied use information detected from various sensors or other vehicles/infrastructures to enable the smart vehicle to accurately and quickly predict the driver's potential danger situation, contributing to more stable autonomous driving. In this paper, among V2X communication technologies, a vehicle-to-vehicle communication (V2V) simulation communication technology is used to present a scenario for preventing collisions in autonomous vehicles. A vehicle collision prevention system based on V2V simulated communication was implemented and the suggested collision prevention application scenario was demonstrated. The suggested collision prevention utilization scenario can be considered as one application case of V2V communication technologies that are currently being developed/applied.

A Study of Multi-scenario in Visual Novel (비주얼 노블 멀티 시나리오 분석)

  • Lee, So-Hee
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
    • /
    • v.18 no.2
    • /
    • pp.59-68
    • /
    • 2018
  • A visual novel, a type of digital content combining novel and game, was designed as hypermedia which includes various media, for instance, image, sound, and video. The narrative of visual novel contains multimedia elements and highlights multi-scenario structures based on hypertext. Prior to creating visual novel scenario, a writer should thoroughly consider two main points. First of all, the scenario should cover the multimedia features of visual novel. Secondly, the scenario should be structured as a multi-scenario providing with performativity to players for interaction with readers. This study examines the influence of changes in platforms on visual novel scenario adjusted to mobile environment. It would provide an opportunity to understand how storytelling changes and adapts to rapid transformation of digital media contents.

A Study on the Multidimensional Service Scenario Evaluation Methodology for ITSM Considering Ubiquitous Computing Technology (유비쿼터스 컴퓨팅 기술을 고려한 ITSM구축을 위한 서비스 시나리오 다면평가방법론에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Hoon;Kim, Hyung-Jin;Kwon, Oh-Byung
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.155-194
    • /
    • 2007
  • Currently, Ubiquitous Computing Technology(UCT)-based service scenarios play an important role in estimating the potential of UCT-based service. The purpose of the study is to propose a multidimensional evaluation(ME) methodology for UCT-based service scenarios regarding their possibilities of realization for the future. Our approach contributes to extend service level management in Information Technology Service Management(ITSM) by evaluating the level of a new service in advance. ME consists of three dimensions: technological evaluations, business-oriented evaluations, and user-oriented evaluations. The three types of evaluations are mutually harmonized to check the overall possibility of realization and validity for certain UCT-based service scenarios. Theoretically, ME is developed to overcome the extant evaluation methods for UCT-based service scenarios, which are limited in the number of evaluation criterions. It is also conceived to cope with the limitation of economical evaluation methods (e.g., technological valuation, estimation of financial outcomes such as ROI, ROA, etc. that are difficult to give meaningful results because most of UCT-based services are not fully realized so far. From the practical perspectives, in addition, our approach can be applied to a variety of scenarios due to its domain-independent approach.

  • PDF

A study on the regional climate change scenario for impact assessment on water resources (수자원 영향평가에 활용 가능한 지역기후변화 시나리오 연구)

  • Im, Eun-Soon;Kwon, Won-Tae;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.39 no.12 s.173
    • /
    • pp.1043-1056
    • /
    • 2006
  • Our ultimate purpose is to investigate the potential change in regional surface climate due to the global warming and to produce higher quality regional surface climate information over the Korean peninsula for comprehensive impact assessment. Toward this purpose, we carried out two 30-year long experiments, one for present day conditions (covering the period 1971-2000) and one for near future climate conditions (covering the period 2021-2050) with a regional climate model (RegCM3) using a one-way double-nested system. In order to obtain the confidence in a future climate projection, we first verify the model basic performance of how the reference simulation is realistic in comparison with a fairly dense observation network. We then examine the possible future changes in mean climate state as well as in the frequency and intensity of extreme climate events to be derived by difference between climate condition as a baseline and future simulated climate states with increased greenhouse gas. Emphasis in this study is placed on the high-resolution spatial/temporal aspects of the climate change scenarios under different climate settings over Korea generated by complex topography and coastlines that are relevant on a regional scale.

A Study on the Improvement of Fire Evacuation Scenario Using Delphi Technique -Focus on The Mobile Application and psychology- (델파이 기법을 활용한 화재피난 시나리오 개선 연구- 모바일 어플리케이션과 재실자 심리를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Sang ki;Kim, Sung Hyun
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.23-37
    • /
    • 2022
  • Based on the service scenario proposed by the existing Kim Tae-wan (2018) who can safely evacuate inmates with the help of a mobile application linked to a fire detection system in the event of a fire, the final purpose of this study is to develop the scenario by incorporating more realistic scenarios with mobile stimuli that can help them escape or act through the Delph In addition, to make the scenarios produced more realistic considering the structure and copper lines of a typical building, expert scenario verification and Delphi technique were applied to exclude unnecessary or impractical aspects of the existing scenarios. The results of the second Delphi survey showed that the primary psychology that could be seen at the time of the fire alarm were doubts, safety concerns and alarm, and the results of the second Delphi survey were analyzed, and the satisfaction of the content adequacy (CVR), convergence, and consensus was derived. Finally, this was applied to create a scenario in which a mobile application was assisted to evacuate the fire response phase. This study will allow the use of methods to increase the evacuation rate of those who are in the event of a fire.

Generation of High Resolution Scenarios for Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources (II): Runoff Scenarios on Each Sub-basins (수자원에 대한 기후변화 영향평가를 위한 고해상도 시나리오 생산(II): 유역별 유출시나리오 구축)

  • Jung, Il-Won;Bae, Deg-Hyo;Im, Eun-Soon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.40 no.3
    • /
    • pp.205-214
    • /
    • 2007
  • The objective of this study is to generate the regional scale runoff scenarios by using IPCC SRES A2 climate change scenario for analyzing the spatial variation of water resources in Korea. The PRMS model was adopted to simulate long-term stream discharge. To estimate the PRMS model parameters on each sub-basin, the streamflow data at 6 dam sites and Rosenbrock's scheme are used for model parameter calibration and those parameters are translated to ungauged catchments by regionalization method. The other 3 dam sites are selected for the verification of the adequateness of regionalized model parameters in ungagued catchments. The statistical results show that the simulated flows by using regionalized parameters well agree with observed ones. The generated runoff scenarios by climate change are compared with observed data on 4 dam sites for the reference period. The consequences show that the selection of climate station for generating climate scenario affects the reliability of climate scenario at sub-basin. The comparison results of the stream flows between the 30-year baseline period (1971-2000) and future 90-year (2001-2030, 2031-2060, 2061-2090) show that the long-term mean annual runoff in the Han River has increasing trend, while the Nakdong, the Gum, the Youngsan and the Sumjin Rivers have decreasing trend.

A Study on the Influencing Factors of Continuous Usage Intention for a Scenario based FAQ Service regarding on Private Information Protection (개인정보보호에 관한 시나리오 기반 질의응답서비스 품질이 이용의도에 미치는 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Sang-Ug;Lee, Dae-Chul
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.223-236
    • /
    • 2014
  • The paper studies the influencing factors of continuous usage intention for a scenario based cognitive FAQ service regrading on private information protection. The research result finds that three major factors are significantly positive to the continuous usage intention for the service. First, search easiness is an essential factor and it can be improved using sophisticate categorization. Second, Scenario based FAQ service is effective on understanding and solving questioner's situation. Related information is helpful for problem solving. The research shows that the new approach to private information protection area can lead to a more acceptable and reasonable problem solving tool.

Analysis of reduction effect of non-point sources pollution facility in Juam dam watershed using HSPF model (HSPF 유역모형을 이용한 주암댐 유역 비점오염물질 저감시설 효과 분석)

  • Yi, Hye-Suk;Chong, Sun-A;Choi, Kwangsoon;Kim, Dong-Sup;Lee, Seungyoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2016.05a
    • /
    • pp.498-498
    • /
    • 2016
  • 광역상수원으로 활용되는 주암댐 저수지 및 동복댐 저수지가 위치하고 있는 유역을 대상으로 유역모형을 적용하여 비점오염 저감시설에 따른 수지개선효과를 분석하였다. 주암댐 유역은 보성강 수계에 위치하고 있으며 전체 유역면적은 약 $1,010km^2$으로 담양군, 보성군, 장흥군, 화순군 및 순천시에 걸쳐 위치하고 있다. 비점오염원 설치지점을 고려하기 위하여 소유역별 비점오염원 부하량 산정이 가능하고 BMPs 효과분석 모의가 가능한 HSPF 유역모델을 적용하여 2011~2012년을 대상으로 유량, BOD, TN, TP 재현성을 검증하였다. 29개 소유역별 비점오염원 부하량 평가를 통해 중점관리지역을 선정하였으며 비점오염원 저감시설 설치 시나리오 4개를 적용하여 수질개선 효과를 비교 분석하였다. BOD, TN, TP 모두 주암호 유역 상류에 위치하는 보성강댐 소유역에서 상대적으로 높은 비점오염원 부하량이 유출되는 것으로 분석되었으며 특히, TN에서 가장 뚜렷하게 나타났다. 비점오염 저감시설의 누적유출고와 배수면적을 고려하여 비점오염 저감시설로 저류지를 선정하였으며 누적유출고 5 mm/d와 전체유역면적을 고려한 시나리오 1, 누적유출고 5mm/d와 산림을 제외한 유역면적을 고려한 시나리오 2, 누적유출고 24.5 mm/d와 전체유역면적을 고려한 시나리오 3, 누적유출고 24.5 mm/d와 산림을 제외한 유역면적을 고려한 시나리오 4로 구분하여 적용하였다. BOD의 경우, 2011년 조건에서 시나리오 1은 각 소유역별 평균 13.1%, 시나리오 2는 3.7%, 시나리오 3은 15.8%, 시나리오 4는 4.4%의 비점오염원 부하량 저감효과가 나타났으며 2012년 조건에서는 각 시나리오별로 평균 13.1%, 3.6%, 15.7%, 4.3%의 저감효과가 나타나는 것으로 분석되었다. TN의 경우, 2011년 조건에서 시나리오별로 평균 10.9%, 3.0%, 13.0%, 3.6%, 2012년 조건에서도 유사한 범위로 비점오염원 부하량 저감효과가 분석되었다. TP의 경우, 2011년 조건에서 시나리오별로 평균 13.7%, 3.8%, 16.5%, 4.6%, 2012년 조건에서는 13.7%, 3.8%, 16.4%, 4.6%로 분석되었다. 주암댐 유역의 중점 관리지역을 선정하여 누적유출고 24.5mm/d와 전체유역면적을 고려한 저류지를 설치할 경우 효과가 가장 큰 것으로 나타났으며 평균 BOD 15.8%, TN 13.3%, TP 16.5%의 저감효과로 분석되었다.

  • PDF

Comparing climate projections for Asia, East Asia and South Korea (아시아 대륙, 동아시아, 대한민국을 대상으로 다른 공간적 규모의 기후변화시나리오 예측 비교)

  • Choe, Hyeyeong;Thorne, James H.;Lee, Dongkun
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
    • /
    • v.26 no.2
    • /
    • pp.114-126
    • /
    • 2017
  • Many studies on climate change and its impacts use a single climate scenario. However, one climate scenario may not accurately predict the potential impacts of climate change. We estimated temperature and precipitation changes by 2070 using 17 of the CMIP5 Global Climate Models (GCMs) and two emission scenarios for three spatial domains: the Asian continent, six East Asia countries, and South Korea. For South Korea, the range of increased minimum temperature was lower than for the ranges of the larger regions, but the range of projected future precipitation was higher. The range of increased minimum temperatures was between $1.3^{\circ}C$ and $5.2^{\circ}C$, and the change in precipitation ranged from - 42.4 mm (- 3.2%) and + 389.8 mm (+ 29.6%) for South Korea. The range of increased minimum temperatures was between $2.3^{\circ}C$ and $8.5^{\circ}C$ for East Asia countries and was between $2.1^{\circ}C$ and $7.4^{\circ}C$ for the Asian continent, and the change in precipitation ranged from 28.8 mm (+ 6.3%) and 156.8 mm (+ 34.3%) for East Asia countries and from 32.4 mm (+ 5.5%) and 126.2 mm (+ 21.3%) for the Asian continent. We suggest climate change studies in South Korea should not use a single GCM or only an ensemble climate model's output and we recommend to use GFDL-CM3 and INMCM4 GCMs to bracket projected change for use in other national climate change studies to represent the range of projected future climate conditions.