• Title/Summary/Keyword: 현금흐름 민감도

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The Cash Flow Sensitivity of Investment: A Switching Regression Approach Based on Korean Firm Data (기업투자의 현금흐름 민감도: 전환회귀법을 이용한 분석)

  • Koo, Jaewoon;Maeng, Kyunghee
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.56-89
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    • 2011
  • The sensitivity of investment with respect to cash flow is positive in imperfect financial markets. Using a switching regression model, cash flow sensitivity of investments in chaebol firms and large firms appears to be higher. Also, investments are found to be more responsive to cash flow during monetary contraction periods. These findings imply that monetary policy works through a credit channel. Furthermore, it appears that monetary policy exerts distributional effects as well as aggregate effects on that firms are unevenly affected by monetary changes.

The impact of cash holdings on investment-cash flow sensitivity (현금보유가 기업의 투자-현금흐름민감도에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구)

  • Tae, Jeong-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.1654-1662
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    • 2011
  • This paper investigates how does cash holdings have effect on investment-cash flow sensitivity in korea firms over the period 1981-2009. According to $\"{O}$.Arslan et al.(2006), I expect that financially constrained firms have more cash holdings. and financially constrained cash-rich firms are likely to have less investment-cash flow sensitivity especially in the financial crisis period. Using financial constraint classification variables(firm size, dividend, cash holdings), we divide whole sample firms into financially constrained firms and financially unconstrained firms, and then I compare investment-cash flow sensitivity in pre-financial crisis(1981-1996), financial crisis(1997-1998) and after-financial crisis(1999-2009) period. This paper's findings are as follows: First, under no financial constraint classification conditions, cash-poor firms exhibit greater investment-cash flow sensitivity than cash-rich firms do during 1981-2009 period except financial crisis period. These findings support the hypothesis that firms have more cash holdings less investment-cash flow sensitivity except in financial crisis period. In financial crisis period, cash holdings have no effect on investment-cash flow sensitivity. Second, this paper findings are somewhat different as $\"{O}$.Arslan et al.(2006)'s. Under the financial constraint classification conditions, financially unconstrained firms have more investment-cash flow sensitivity rather than constrained firms have. The reason is that both dividend and firm size are not a complete classification criteria variables. And there exists other possible determinants of investment-cash flow sensitivity. Finally, this paper find that there are common determinants of corporate cash holdings in all periods. This paper suggests that cash flow and market to book ratio are positive determinants of corporate cash holdings but short-term debt, investment and firm size are negative determinants of corporate cash holdings.

A study on the Effect of Cash flow on the Investment Behavior (현금흐름이 투자행위에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Chun, Yong-Soo;Im, Tae-Sun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.29-47
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    • 2000
  • 본 연구는 재벌집단의 기업과 비재벌기업으로 분류하여 이들 집단사이에 나타나는 투자행위의 차이점을 유동성제약의 틀 속에서 실증 분석한 것이다. 연구의 기간은 1986년부터 1995년도까지 10년으로 하고 연구의 대상은 연구 기간동안 연속적으로 증권거래소에 상장된 기업으로 한정하여 총 128개의 업체를 표본으로 이용하였다. 표본을 재벌규모별, 장세별, 산업별 분류에 의한 횡단면 분석결과 우리나라 비재벌기업의 경우, 전반적으로 재벌집단의 기업에 비하여 현금흐름이 투자에 대해 보다 더 민감할 것이란 충분한 근거를 얻지 못하였다. 그러나 재별의 범주를 5대재벌기업으로 한정하였을 때는 재벌기업에 비해 비재벌기업들의 투자는 현금흐름에 대하여 민감하다는 결론을 얻어 재벌기업에 비하여 비재벌기업은 정보문제나 유인문제에 직면 할 수 있음을 시사하였다. 규모에 따른 재벌기업의 분석에서는 상대적으로 규모가 작은 재벌의 기업이 규모가 큰 재벌의 기업보다 유동성이 제약되고 있음을 나타냈으며, 장세별 분석에서는 단지 주가의 상승기에 한하여 재벌집단 기업간의 비교에서 현금흐름은 30대재벌, 10대재벌, 5대재벌의 순서로 민감함을 보여 규모가 작은 집단의 재벌기업이 규모가 큰 집단의 재벌기업에 비하여 유동성이 제약됨을 나타내었다. 산업별 분류에 의한 분석에서는 통계학적으로 의미 있는 결과를 얻지 못하였다.

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Cash flow Forecasting in International Construction Projects through Categorized Risk Analysis (특성별 리스크 분석을 통한 해외건설공사 현금흐름 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yeom, Sang-Min;Han, Seung-Heon;Kim, Du-Yeon;Nam, Ha-Na;Park, Hee-Dae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.295-300
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    • 2006
  • In this research, risk factors which can raise project cost are identified in the initial stage and picked out through the decision maker's baseline. And also this probable risks are implemented to the project cash flow to estimate the contingency and to build a risk management system in the level of project. The risks that affect the projects profits were classified in two categories in the risk checklist. Firstly, financial risks derived from the external economic conditions for example exchange rate, escalation, interest rates etc. are analyzed through the stochastic methods, Monte-Carlo Simulation. Secondly, the project individual risks which are come from the project characteristics, for example country risk, clime, owner etc., are evaluated using the utility curve of the decision maker. Finally these risk analysis methods are used to forecast the actual project cash flow and final profit.

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The impact of liquidity constraints on investment expenditures: Evidences from family and non-family firms (유동성 제약이 투자지출에 미치는 영향: 가족기업과 비가족기업의 실증 비교)

  • Kim, Choong-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.674-680
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    • 2013
  • This paper investigates the impact of liquidity constraints on investment expenditures of family and non-family firms. We analyze the ownership structure of family firms to determine whether family control alleviates or exacerbates investment-cash flow sensitivity in domestic firms. To examine the impact of liquidity constraints on investment expenditures of family and non-family firms, we used a financial data of 644 Korea Exchange traded companies over the 2000 - 2010 period. We estimated a time-series and cross-sectional regression model, using samples of family firms and non-family firms. The results show that cash flow is not associated with investment expenditure in family firms, whereas cash flow has a positive impact on investment in non-family firms. Our results show that lower or no investment-cash flow sensitivities in family-controlled firms are mainly attributable to lower agency costs through strong monitoring activities of family members. Higher investment-cash flow sensitivities are observed in non-family firms with more agency problems. This suggests that investment-cash flow sensitivities would be useful measures of liquidity constraints.

Immunization Model with Non-parallel shift Term-Structure using Neural Networks (신경망을 이용한 비평형 이동 기간구조 하에서의 면역 모델)

  • 박우철;최경현
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.453-456
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    • 2000
  • 고정금리 상품의 투자에서 이자율 변동 위험을 피할 수 있는 방법으로 많이 쓰이는 것은 듀레이션을 이용한 면역 모델(Bond Portfolio Immunization Model)로, 이것은 이자율 변동에 대해 포트폴리오의 가격 민감도인 듀레이션을 이용하여 자산과 부채의 변화를 일치시키는 방법이다. 그러나 이 전략은 수익률 곡선이 평형하게 이동한다는 가정(Parallel Shift Term-Structure)을 단점으로 가지고 있어 현실에 적용될 경우 오차가 발생하게 된다. 본 연구에서는 선험적(empirical) 방법으로 평형하지 않은 움직임을 가진 기간구조의 함수(Term-Structure Function)를 정의하고 면역 모델을 부채의 현금흐름에 대해 개별적으로 적용하는 새로운 면역 전략 모델을 구성하고 실험한다

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A Study on the Sensitibities of Cashflow and Growth Opportunities to Investments (기업투자와 성장기회, 현금흐름의 민감도에 관한 실증연구)

  • Lee, Won-Heum
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.1-40
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    • 2007
  • We test a model of investment-cashflow-growth opportunities relationship in order to estimate the sensitivities to investments. In this study, we use a new proxy variable for the value of growth opportunities(hereafter "VGO"), which is based on the seminal papers of M&M(1958:1961:1963) and Lee(2006;2007). The empirical findings on the sensitivities of cashflow and growth opportunities are as follows. First, when the traditional proxy variables for the growth opportunities such as Tobin's Q, MBR and sales growth are included with the new proxy VGO in the estimation, their coefficients are turned out to be insignificant. Second, only the new proxy variable VGO shows a statistically significant positive sensitibity to investment, which can be regarded that the growth opportunities hold the positive influences to investments. Third, the Tobin's Q can be decomposed into three factors such as the value of growth opportunities(VGO), the value of asset-in-place and valuation errors. It turns out that only the VGO shows a statistically significant positive relationship with investment among others. This means that the new variable VGO is a good proxy variable for the growth opportunities in the investment-cashflow sensitivity analysis. In sum, thanks to the above findings in this study, we can say that it will not be proper to choose a proxy variable for the growth opportunities from the traditional set of proxies such as Tobin's Q, MBR, or sales growth rate.

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Listing on KOSDAQ. Does it mitigate firm's financial constraint? (코스닥 상장이 기업의 금융제약 완화에 미친 영향 : 연구개발투자에 대한 현금흐름 민감도 분석)

  • Lee, Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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    • 2017.11a
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    • pp.779-797
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    • 2017
  • 완전자본시장에서는 기업의 투자활동이 자금조달 방법과 무관하지만, 현실경제에서는 정보비대칭성으로 인해 외부자금 조달이 제약되는 금융제약 현상이 발생할 수 있다. 금융제약 현상은 기업의 규모가 작거나, 업력이 짧을수록, 그리고 하이테크 산업의 기업일수록 심화된다는 것이 일반적인 시각이다. 우리나라 코스닥 시장은 상대적으로 금융제약에 노출되는 기업들이 주로 상장되는 시장으로, 본 연구는 코스닥 상장이 개별 기업의 금융제약을 완화하는데 효과가 있었는지에 대해서 분석하였다. 분석 결과 금융제약 완화효과가 확인되었으며, 이러한 효과가 통합 증권선물거래소(현(現) 한국거래소)가 출범 후 강화된 것으로 나타났다. 이는 투자자 보호 측면의 체질개선이 거래량 및 코스닥 지수 등에는 일부 부정적이었을 수 있으나, 시장 안정화를 통해 기업의 자금조달을 도왔다는 것을 시사한다.

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A Study on Optimized Design Decision of Building Service Systems Based on a Life-Cycle Cost Analysis - A Case Study on Community Center and Congress Hall of a Local Government - (LCC분석에 의한 설비시스템의 최적화 방안에 관한 연구 - G구 구민회관 및 구의회청사 사례 -)

  • 최성호;차병주;김상민;이승복
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.134-142
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    • 2002
  • LCC (Life-Cycle Cost) analysis is a practical method and a guideline for evalua-ting the economic performance of building service systems. By using the LCC analysis, the most cost-effective design decision can be made, which has the lowest LCC during the project study period among the various design alternatives. The present case shows an example of appro-priate use of the LCC analysis, by demonstrating the procedures of decision making among at-tarnative building HVAC systems at community center and congress hall of a local government.

Techno-economic Analysis of Glycerol Steam Reforming for H2 Production Capacity of 300 m3 h-1 (300 m3 h-1급 수소 생산을 위한 글리세롤 수증기 개질반응의 기술·경제성 분석)

  • Heo, Juheon;Lim, Hankwon
    • Applied Chemistry for Engineering
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.209-214
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, the techno-economic analysis of glycerol steam reforming for $H_2$ production capacity of $300m^3\;h^{-1}$ was carried out. The process of glycerol steam reforming was constructed by using Aspen $HYSYS^{(R)}$, a commercial process simulator, and parametric studies for the effect of the operating temperature on $H_2$ production was performed. Moreover, the economic analysis was conducted through an itemized cost estimation, sensitivity analysis (SA) and cash flow diagram (CFD), and the unit $H_2$ production cost was 5.10 $ ${kgH_2}^{-1}$ through the itemized cost estimation of glycerol steam reforming for $H_2$ production capacity of $300m^3\;h^{-1}$. SA was employed to identify key economic factors and various economic indicators such as net present value (NPV), discounted payback period (DPBP), and present value ratio (PVR) were found according to $H_2$ selling price using CFD.