• Title/Summary/Keyword: 항만 정책

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Empirical Analysis on Rational Bubbles in Ship Prices (선박가격의 합리적 거품에 대한 실증 분석)

  • Choi, Young-Jae;Park, Sung-Hwa;Kim, Hyun-Sok
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.183-200
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    • 2018
  • This study empirically tests the presence of rational bubbles in the ship prices using time series data from October 1996 to April 2017. To detect the existence of ship prices' rational bubbles, we use integration and cointegration tests, which were proposed by Campbell and Shiller(1987) and Diba and Grossman(1988), for circumventing misspecification of ship price model and applying the bubble test to nonstationary time series. The result of integration test supports existence of tanker price's rational bubble. The co-integration test also shows that drybulk ship and containership prices have been overvalued relative to the market fundamental, drybulk and container freight rates, due to non-stationary rational bubbles. These results provide Korean shipping industry and authorities implications that anticyclical ship investment and long-term and steady fleet capacity expansion policy are needed.

Optimal route generation method for ships using reinforcement learning (강화학습을 이용한 선박의 최적항로 생성기법)

  • Min-Kyu Kim;Jong-Hwa Kim;Ik-Soon Choi;Hyeong-Tak Lee;Hyun Yang
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2022.06a
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    • pp.167-168
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    • 2022
  • 선박을 운항함에 있어 최적항로를 결정하는 것은 항해시간과 연료 소모를 줄이는 중요한 요인 중의 하나이다. 기존에는 항로를 결정하기 위해 항해사의 전문적인 지식이 요구되지만 이러한 방법은 최적의 항로라고 판단하기 어렵다. 따라서 연료비 절감과 선박의 안전을 고려한 최적의 항로를 생성할 필요가 있다. 연료 소모량 혹은 항해시간을 최소화하기 위해서 에이스타 알고리즘, Dijkstra 알고리즘을 적용한 연구가 있다. 하지만 이러한 연구들은 최단거리만 구할 뿐 선박의 안전, 해상상태 등을 고려하지 못한다. 이를 보완하기 위해 본 연구에서는 강화학습 알고리즘을 적용하고자한다. 강화학습 알고리즘은 앞으로 누적 될 보상을 최대화 하는 행동으로 정책을 찾는 방법으로, 본 연구에서는 강화학습 알고리즘의 하나인 Q-learning을 사용하여 선박의 안전을 고려한 최적의 항로를 생성하는 기법을 제안 하고자 한다.

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격자별 선박 점유율을 고려한 해상교통량 분석 및 예측 모델 개발

  • 노유나;최충정;백연지;임광현;양지민
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.144-145
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    • 2023
  • 육상, 철도, 항공 등 타 교통분야에서 지속적으로 사고와 인명피해가 줄어든 반면, 해양분야는 해양사고가 증가하며 실효적 해양교통안전관리에 대한 필요성이 대두되고 있다. 최근 3년간 국내 해상에서 발생한 충돌사고 중 어선을 포함한 충돌사고가 전체의 약 84%를 차지하며, 해상교통의 주요 변수인 어선을 포함한 국가의 해상교통량 파악은 반드시 필요한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 현 정부 국정과제인 '디지털 해상 교통망 구축'과 더불어 해양교통안전관리체계 마련의 일환으로 국내 전체 선박위치발신장치(AIS, V-PASS) 데이터를 활용하여 해상교통량을 분석하고 예측 모델을 개발한다. 이를 위해 선박 밀집도를 통한 그리드별 공간가산분석과 항적 데이터 전처리 및 선형화, 선박 길이에 따른 점용면적 산정을 통한 단위 그리드별 해상교통량을 분석한다. 또한, 과거 교통량 데이터는 딥러닝 기반의 시계열 특성을 지닌 RNN과 LSTM 모델을 활용하여 교통량 예측 모형을 개발한다. 본 연구의 결과는 해상교통량과 해양사고의 연관성 분석 및 속력제한구역 등 해상정책 수립의 정량적 근거를 제공하며, 국민에게 해상교통정보 제공을 통해 교통복지 증진에 기여할 수 있다.

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A Study on the Efficiency Measurement of Regional Maritime Affairs and Fisheries Office by DEA Method (DEA에 의한 지방해양수산청 효율성 비교 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Nam-Kyu;Kim, Si-Hwa
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this paper is to measure the productive efficiency and competitive strength of Regional Maritime Affairs and Fisheries Office using the DEA. Using EMS(Efficiency Measurement System) which is LP solver, quantifies in one way or another a "distance" to the efficient frontier of the technology. An input oriented measure quantifies the input reduction which is necessary to become efficient holding the output constant. Symmetrically, an output oriented measure quantifies the necessary to become efficient holding the inputs constant. A non-oriented measure quantifies necessary improvements when both inputs and outputs can be improved simultaneously. According to the analysis result of the DEA method, inefficient Regional Maritime Affairs and Fisheries Office should recommend benchmarking reference Regional Maritime Affairs and Fisheries Office in order to enhance the productive efficiency of port administration and a public institution. Besides data on productive efficiency serves as a tool for policy-makers at all levels of activity and is essential for improving the efficiency with which the various systems operate.

A Study on the Evaluation of the Media Diversity Index of Korea (미디어다양성 지수에 대한 평가와 정책 제언)

  • Jung, In-Sook
    • Korean journal of communication and information
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    • v.61
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    • pp.98-117
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    • 2013
  • In 2009, Korea Communications Commission(KCC) added a new clause which regulates the protection of the media diversity to the Broadcasting Act. Specifically, the provision, Article 35-4, contains the creation of the Media Diversity Committee which is responsible for (1) the measure of TV audience share by media company; and (2) the development of summing up index of the different media influence by the end of 2012. Although the Korean version of diversity index as German KEK was made after a careful consideration based on the necessity to devise a criterion to determine the appropriate level of ownership regulation for the media companies, several issues including the measurement method have been raising the consistent controversy among experts. This study focuses on the evaluation of the media diversity policy by indicating the problems of the devised index and showing the concrete issues of the contention. As the result of the policy delphi-analysis targeted 10 media experts, this study suggest that the Article 35-4 of Broadcasting Act needs to be amend into the realistic and rational directions in well with the tenets of the law.

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An Estimation of Port Traffic and the Policy of Port Development;Based on the Busan New Port (해상물동량 예측과 항만개발정책;신항을 중심으로)

  • Yang, Hang-Jin;Chiang, Bong-Gyu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Port Economic Association Conference
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    • 2007.07a
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    • pp.255-270
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    • 2007
  • In North-East Asia, Port traffic in Asia-North America sea route has been rapidly increasing due to economic growth in China and ASEAN. Furthermore, the major shipping companies directly call at northern chinese ports like Qingdao, Dalian and Tianjin without passing through Korean ports on Asia-North America sea route. To acquire a port traffic and develop a hub port, governments in North-East Asia have intensively invested in the development of port. Therefore, Busan new port and Gwangyang port have been developed in Korea. According to the medium-long term development planning, the port should give a enormous budget investment for the port facilities construction. So the inaccurate estimation may lead to the unreasonable port development policy. Firstly, based on the estimation of Chiang Bong-Gyu & Yang Hang Jin(2005), this study gave a comparison with the estimation of Ministry of Maritime Affairs and Fisheries(2001) and OSC/Glori(2005). Secondly, taking into account the influence factors for port traffic, this study made an estimation of port traffic for Busan new port. On the basis of this estimation, this study is compared with the estimation of Ministry of Maritime Affairs and Fisheries(2001) and OSC/Glori(2005). In conclusion, in case of the development of Busan new port, based on the estimation of Ministry of Maritime Affairs and Fisheries(2001), this study should the high possibility that the Busan new port will be serious lack of the port facilities in the year of 2011. And according to the OSC/Glori(2005)'s estimation result, there is a lack of the port facilities, though we have modified the port investment plan.

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A Study on the Analysis of Relative Efficiency of Logistics Facilities in Korea (DEA기법을 이용한 한국 물류시설의 효율성 분석)

  • Lee, Kwangbae;Choi, Yongseok
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.159-171
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    • 2013
  • This paper aims to analyse the relative efficiency of logistics facilities and suggest the policy alternatives for exploring and activating them. This study also divides the logistics facilities into airport terminals, logistics complexes, container terminals, and trucking freight terminals. For this purpose, the CCR-DEA as well as the BCC-DEA techniques are employed to show which part explains the primary cause of inefficiencies of each DMU(Decision Making Unit). The empirical results indicate that the efficiency of logistics complex is the lowest of all, while freight trucking terminal has the highest efficiency. This study also reveals that operation inefficiency is greater than scale inefficiency in most of DMUs, showing that much more effort be done for alleviating the cost resulting from irrational management.

A Study on Development of PHC pile driving force increase device on soft ground (연약지반상 PHC파일 항타력 증대장치 개발에 관한연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Gil;Lee, Young-Joo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.10
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    • pp.219-224
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a device to replace the pre-boring method, which is generally constructed, to prevent pile damage caused by tension cracks that reason from tension waves generated during PHC pile construction on soft ground. Tension cracks are caused by tension waves from the hammer striking during the PHC pile hitting on the soft ground, which in turn leads to faulty construction. In order to prevent the occurrence of tension waves generated during driving, apply separate driving force increasing device to prevent the generation of tension waves, and pile damage as well. Also, it is an eco-friendly construction method that reduces smoke and noise by improving construction speed, reducing construction costs, and able to small equipment when developing equipment. This development equipment is a piece of effective equipment that can pioneer the Saemangeum reclamation area, the South-east Asian construction market, where the Deep soft ground is distributed.

Status and Futuristic Strategy of Cruise Tourism Industry in Korea (한국 크루즈관광의 현황과 미래전략)

  • Jang, Jun-Ho;Huh, Bum-Young;Chung, Ik-Joon
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.109-127
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study was to promote the growth and development of South Korea's cruise tourism industry by pointing out current issue and presenting solutions in South Korea's cruise tourism industry. The study analyzed issues such as status, the advantages and disadvantages of cruise tourism industry to Korea, the capacity of cruise ships and port facilities, the immigration procedures for cruise passengers, and presented effective solutions. This study propose 8 futuristic strategies for cruise tourism industry in Korea that include the establishment of mid-and long-term master plan, the expansion of cruise expert wharf, the composition of the foundation for development of domestic cruise companies, simplification of immigration. Moreover, Korea has to strengthen its promotional activities for cruise companies, the expansion of cruise routes and development of linking tourism belt, activation of cruise specialists training program, and development of associated cruise product with China and Japan.

Alternatives for Strengthening the Function of Free Trade Zone in Gwangyang Bay Area (광양만권 자유무역지역의 기능 강화 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyun-Duk
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.533-538
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    • 2011
  • Recently, Free Trade Area generally moves toward a complex and total zone carrying out the logistics and production function simultaneously. Nevertheless, Free Trade Area of Gwangyang Bay Area performs a traditional logistics function only without a introduction of production function. Therefore, the purpose of this research is to suggest alternatives for strengthening the function of Free Trade Area of Gwangynag port. The main findings of this research is summarized as followings. First, a complex and total Free Trade Area through enhancing a production function is to be established. Second, for an efficient management & operation of Free Trade Area, a cooperative system establishment between Free Trade Areas and a single operation system is necessary.