• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.38 no.4
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• pp.25-43
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• 2022

Unlike the past, efforts must be made to interpret physical distribution from a network perspective as the service area expands spatially. In addition, logistics networks are undergoing rapid changes due to various changes in the environment. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to analyze the changes in the structure of maritime cargo and the centrality of ports using social network analysis. Using the trade data of domestic maritime at five-year intervals, we investigated changes in the network structure and identified the main factors that affect the centrality of domestic ports. Ports with the highest centrality, which is seen as a port that plays the role of an intermediary, emerged in the order of Busan and Ulsan. This study predicts patterns of domestic cargo trade over the next 20 years based on changes in port centrality and understanding of maritime cargo network, and can be used as reference materials for risk preparation.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.29 no.3
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• pp.25-37
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• 2013

This study investigates the export behavior of port of Pyeongtaek-Dangjin and Daesan. The monthly data cover the period from January 2002 to December 2012. This paper tests whether the exchange rate and the industrial production are stationary or not, rejecting the null hypothesis of a unit root in each of the level variables and of a unit root for the residuals from the cointegration at the 5 percent significance level. The error-correction model is estimated to find that Daesan port is faster than Pyeongtaek-Dangjin in adjusting the short-run disequilibrium. This paper finds that the exchange rate coefficient of Daesan port is higher than that of Pyeongtaek-Dangjin port, while the industrial production coefficient of the former is much smaller than that of the latter. The industrial production coefficient is, however, much higher than the exchange rate coefficient in both ports. The rolling regression shows that the influence of exchange rate and industrial production tends to increase in Pyeongtaek-Dangjin port but tends to decrease in Daesan. The impulse response functions indicate that export volumes respond much greater to the positive shocks in industrial production than in exchange rate, and the exchange rate shock decays very fast, while the industrial production shock lasts very long.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.207-218
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• 2011

This paper investigates the determinants of trade on Southeast Asia via Korean ports using monthly data. I employ Johansen cointegration methodology since the model must be stationary to avoid the spurious results. Johansen(1988) and Johansen and Juselius(1990) propose two statistics for testing the number of cointegrating vectors: the trace and maximum eigenvalue statistics. The null hypothesis that there is no cointegrating vector should be rejected at the 5% level. The results indicate that there is a long-run relationship between trade and variables. This also suggests that these variables have a meaningful equilibrium relationship between trade and variables would not move too far away from each other, displaying a comovement phenomenon for the export and import. Apparently, the error correction term reflects market information in a state of disequilibrium that is bound to be corrected when moving toward the long-run level.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2007.12a
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• pp.219-220
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• 2007

차량화물은 국내 품목별 수출물량의 2위를 차지하는 수출화물로(현재 2007년 상반기), 한미 FTA 이후 수출물량이 점차 더 증가할 것으로 예상되어 그 중요성이 높아지고 있다. 이러한 수출 차량화물을 해상운송하는 Car Carrier업체(차량화물 운송전문 업체)의 효율적인 수출업무 처리를 위해, 실시간으로 변하는 정보를 효과적으로 표현 및 변경이 가능하고, 운송계획에 필요한 관련 정보를 제공받을 수 있는 시스템이 필요하다. 그러나 현재 대부분의 Car Carrier업체는 작업자의 경험에 의존한 수작업으로 운송계획을 수립하는 문제점이 있다. 본 연구에서는 Car Carrier업체의 해상운송계획 수립 시 의사결정을 효율적으로 지원할 수 있도록 사용자 인터페이스를 강화한 RIA(Rich Internet Application)기반의 자동차 해상운송계획시스템을 설계 및 개발하고자 한다.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.28 no.4
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• pp.149-168
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• 2012

International trade is becoming more and more important in this age of globalization. In particular, It is very important to export for South Korea economy. An important factor in export performance is logistics firms' competitiveness and resources. Nevertheless, many scholars and researchers are overlooking the role of logistics firms in the export market. Most studies have focused only on the capability of export companies without considering the capacity of logistics companies. This paper is attempted to analyze the competitiveness of logistics which affect export performance. So this study adopts the moderated regression analysis. The results analysis shows that logistics firms' resource level were statistically significant on export performance. The moderating effect of logistics firms' resource level was found in the relationship between export performance and international orientation. Lastly, the moderating effect of the logistics services level on the relationship between export firms capacity and export performance was statically significant.

• Annual Conference of KIPS
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• 2020.11a
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• pp.953-955
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• 2020

공컨테이너(Empty Container)는 적컨테이너(Full Container)와 달리, 화물이 적재되지 않은 비어있는 컨테이너로 공컨테이너 재고는 수출에 비해 수입이 많은 항만에서, 수요는 수입에 비해 수출이 많은 항만에서 발생한다. 그러나 수입과 수출은 기간, 지역에 따라 유동적이기 때문에 수요와 재고량 예측에 어려움이 있는데, 본 연구에서는 자기회귀누적이동평균(ARIMA)과 머신러닝 기법을 활용하여 이를 예측하는 방법을 제시한다. 본 연구에 활용된 데이터와 프로그램 소스코드는 Kaggle 에 공개되어 있다.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.29 no.4
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• pp.55-71
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• 2013

This study proposed a real and strategical business model from a supply chain perspective to heighten the competitiveness of agri-food export to promote export agriculture of Korea. The proposed export logistics business model can efficiently integrate and manage supply chain members in the agri-food export logistics center. The export logistics center is an integrated model to increase agri-food export which consists of product mixture that simultaneously distributes large companies' processed food and small companies' agri-food, a material and process system of export logistics, opening up foreign markets, and access to target markets on the basis of efficient agri-food export such as the construction of an export logistics system, finding overseas markets, and the launch and development of strategic goods for export.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.24 no.1
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• pp.1-10
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• 2008

This paper analyses the dynamic causal relationship between vessel export and economic growth using annual data over the period from 1977 to 2006. Tests for ADF unit-roots, the dynamic vector using Johansen's multiple cointegration procedure, dynamic vector error correction model and impulse response function are presented. The findings of the Granger test suggest that vessel export Granger-causes economic growth in the short-run and economic growth Granger-causes exports in the short and long-run. The empirical results of impulse-response analysis show that the vessel export to a shock in real GDP responds positively and the real GDP responds positively to the shocks in vessel export. Also, the results indicate that the impact of vessel export shock on the real GDP is short-lived.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.115-128
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• 2009

This study aims to identify the influence of exchange rate and national economy on Export through container ports (Busan Port, Incheon Port, Gwangyang Port, and Pyeongtaek Port) from January 2001 to October 2007. This study carried a unit root test on the results of the analysis and failed to reject the null hypothesis that level variables have a unit root at the level of 1%. However, it carried out a unit root test on the variables by the first order difference and succeeded in rejecting the null hypothesis aforementioned at the level of 1%. As a result of the cointegration test, it was found that the model is stable. When this study carried out a variance decomposition on the prediction error of export at container various container ports, it found 89% for Busan Port, 83% for Incheon Port, 86% for Gwangyang Port, and 84% for Pyeongtaek Port. These figures indicate that such variables significantly account for export at container ports. For Busan Port, Step 2 of exchange rate showed negative (-) effect, and Step 3 shows an extreme transition into a positive (+) effect. The national economy showed an extreme change from Steps 2 to Step 7, and then a positive effect has been maintained. The Incheon Port, Gwangyang Port and Pyeongtaek Port showed similar trends to Busan Port. From Step 7, it seems that they have Shifted to more stable trends.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.30 no.2
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• pp.133-143
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• 2014

The paper uses a panel gravity model to analyse the determinants of export via Gwangyang port for the period from 2000-2012. The gravity model includes export via Gwangyang port, GDP and population of trading partners, the distances between Korea and its partners, and Korea-ASEAN FTA dummy. Hausman test shows up which one is exactly appropriate between random effect estimation and fixed effect estimation to use panel dataset. It depends on whether or not existence or nonexistence of the correlation between unobserved omitted factors and variables. Fixed effect estimation is suitable for this paper by the rejection of null hypothesis. An Empirical analysis of this paper shows GDP influences positive effects and distance influences negative effects to Gwangyang port trading partners. In addition, the results strongly supported the effects of Korea-ASEAN FTA on the growth of Gwangyang port export.