• Title/Summary/Keyword: 합리적기대

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Analysis of water quality trends before and after the construction of the Yeongsan River Low Dam using RTWQI (통합수질지수를 이용한 영산강 보건설 전·후의 수질 경향분석)

  • Kang, Ji Eun;Park, Soo Ho;Lee, Ga Yeong;Park, Sung Chun;Lee, Woo Bum
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.480-480
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    • 2022
  • 4대강 살리기 사업 중 영산강 살리기 사업의 일환으로 건설된 보의 영향을 파악하기 위해 수질에 대해 통계분석과 통합수질지수를 이용한 수질변화 분석 및 경향성을 파악하여 합리적인 수질관리를 위한 기초 자료를 제공하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 영산강 본류의 3개 지점, 20년간 자료를 이용하여 보 건설 전·후로 구분하여 수질변화와 통합수질지수를 산정하고 경향성을 분석하였다. 통합수질지수 경년별 평가는 3개 지점 모두 보 건설 후에 수질이 다소 개선되는 것으로 나타났으며, 광산지점의 수질등급은 대부분 불량으로 거의 변화가 없었다. 영산포지점의 수질등급은 보 건설 전 주의~불량에서 보 건설 후 대부분 주의로 개선되었다. 무안2지점의 수질등급은 보 건설전 양호~주의에서 보 건설 후에는 양호로 개선되었다. 통합수질지수 월별평가는 3개 지점 모두 보 건설 후 전반적으로 수질이 개선되었으며, 광산지점의 수질등급은 보 건설 전보다 악화되었다. 영산포지점의 수질등급은 전반적으로 개선되었다. 무안 2지점의 수질등급은 대부분 보통 및 주의에서 보 건설 후에 우수 및 양호로 변화되었다. 통합수질지수 경향성 분석은 보 건설 후 영산포 지점을 제외하고 모두 증가 경향을 나타냈고, 전반적으로 수질이 개선되고 있는 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구는 영산강 4대강 사업의 일환으로 건설 된 보로 인한 수질변화를 수질항목에 대하여 분석하고 통합수질지수를 산정하여 평가하였다. 전반적으로 BOD, T-N, T-P는 수질이 개선되었고, COD 및 Chl-a는 수질이 악화되었으나, 총인고도처리시설 설치와 총질소 처리효율 개선등의 영향으로 보의 영향을 정확히 파악하는데 한계가 있었으나, 영산강 수질관리를 위한 기초자료로서 활용될 것이라 기대된다.

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Drought Countermeasures against Climate Change considering Regional Characteristics - Focused on the Irrigation Water - (지역특성을 고려한 기후변화대비 가뭄대책 마련 - 농업용수를 중심으로 -)

  • Jang, Yu seon;Baek, Chang Hyun;Lee, Min Ho;Lee, Bae sung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.222-222
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    • 2022
  • 최근 기후변화로 인해 지역 및 시기별로 강수량이 편중되면서 가뭄(0.72회/년) 등 물 관련 재해가 빈번하게 발생하고 있으며, 가뭄의 강도 또한 심화되는 추세이다. 본 연구대상 지역인 태안군과 괴산군의 경우 기후변화 시나리오(RCP 4.5)를 적용, 미래(~2100년) 기상조건에 대하여 기존 농업용 저수지의 용수공급능력을 평가한 결과, 가뭄대응(내한) 능력이 감소하는 것으로 분석되었다. 한편, 농업가뭄의 경우 주로 영농기에 발생하여 장마가 시작되면서 해소되었으나, 최근 기후변화로 인해 지속기간이 점차 증가하여 가뭄피해가 매년 반복되고 있다. 그러나, 현재까지 추진된 가뭄대책의 경우 관정개발, 저수지 준설 등 단기·사후처방 중심의 대책이 마련되어 지속적인 재해관리와 예방에 많은 어려움을 겪고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 지역 맞춤형 가뭄대응 종합대책을 마련하여 기후 변화대비 안정적인 영농기반을 구축하고자 하였다. 기존시설 개선, 수요관리 등 최근 정부정책 방향과 재원조달 방안을 고려, 법적근거(농어촌정비법 등)에 의한 실현 가능한 사업계획을 수립하는 한편, 다목적 농촌용수 개발, 용수이용체계 재편 등 사업유형을 구분한 후 단계별(장·단기) 가뭄대책을 마련하였다. 가뭄대책 수립 시 한국농어촌공사에서 개발한 '수리수문 설계 시스템(K-HAS)'을 이용하여 용수 수요량을 산정하였고, 기존 수리시설물별 물 수지 분석을 통해 여유수량이 확보된 수원을 최대한 활용코자 하였다. 저수지 개발 등 신규 수자원 확보가 용이한 내륙·산간지역의 경우 중·대규모 저수지(유효저수량 1백만m3, 유역면적 200ha이상) 개발계획을 수립하는 한편 지역특성(형상, 표고차 등), 개발여건 및 경제성 등을 고려하여, 적정 개발범위(수혜면적 20ha이상)을 설정하였다. 한편, 신규 수자원개발이 어려운 도서·해안지역의 경우 용수 재이용(회귀수 활용) 및 담수호 내 염해방지시설을 도입하는 등 지역 맞춤형 가뭄대책을 수립하였다. 본 연구에서 제시한 단계별(장·단기) 가뭄대책이 차질없이 시행될 경우 기후변화 대비 안정적인 농업용수공급이 가능하고, 상습가뭄 발생(물 부족) 지역에 대하여 효율적이고 합리적인 물(수요·공급)관리가 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

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2D Analytical Model to Evaluate Behavior of Pipeline in Lowering Phase (자원 이송용 파이프라인의 내리기 단계에서 평면 거동 평가를 위한 해석 모델)

  • Jung Suk Kim;Ki Yong Ann
    • Journal of the Korean Recycled Construction Resources Institute
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.467-475
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    • 2023
  • To ensure the safety of the pipeline against large deformation of the pipeline during lowering construction, the analysis for pipeline becomes emphasized. The FE analysis has a lower efficiency at calculating time, while it could be obtained high accuracy. In this paper, a reasonable analytical model for analysis of pipeline is proposed during lowering-in. This analytical model is partitioned considering the geometrical characteristics and modeled as two parameters Beam On Elastic Foundation and Euler-Bernoulli beam considering the boundary condition. This takes into account the pipeline-soil interaction and the axial forces acting on the pipeline. Previous model can only be applied to standardized conditions, whereas the proposed model defined as Segmented Pipeline Model can be considered for the majority of construction conditions occurred during lowering-in. In addition, minimized assumptions and segmented elements lead to improve the convenience and applicability of modeling. Nevertheless, the model shows accurate results compared to the FE model. Accordingly, it is expected that it will be used efficiently for configuration management as well as safety assessment of pipeline during lowering-in.

Privacy Paradox: A Literature Review and Future Direction (프라이버시 역설에 관한 문헌적 고찰 및 향후 연구방향: 국내 연구를 대상으로)

  • Sanghee Kim;Jongki Kim
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.115-135
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    • 2018
  • The growing interest in the privacy paradox involving discussions about discrepancy between attitude and behavior led to an increase in the number of studies on the topic. An in-depth theoretical review of the privacy paradox is essential to promote qualitative growth of domestic research in the privacy paradox. In this study, we conducted literature review of existing domestic studies in the privacy paradox. The results of this study showed that the quantity and the quality of research showed marked improvement. Earlier studies primarily focused on the existence of the privacy paradox phenomenon, but existing studies on the causes of the phenomenon gradually increased. Despite the use of various methodologies and analytical tools to investigate the causes of the privacy paradox, research in privacy paradox remains in its infancy. Further efforts are needed to achieve qualitative growth, and further studies should be conducted to introduce the behavioral economic approach. This approach posits that bounded rationality could contribute to a clear understanding of the privacy paradox and the academic development of the privacy field.

Flood Damage Reduction Plan Using HEC-FDA Model (HEC-FDA 모형을 이용한 홍수피해 저감계획)

  • Lee, Jongso;Kim, Duckhwan;Kim, Jungwook;Han, Daegun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.237-244
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    • 2015
  • This study is estimated the flood damage probability of the flood discharge, the flood stage estimation and Economic Analysis for Flood Control about considering of uncertainty. Sum River Basin has chosen and the probability precipitation is estimated by using the concept of critical rainfall duration depending on the frequency of each flood stage estimation point. For calculating the expected annual damage, the functions of long term hazard, discharge-frequency, stage-discharge and depth-damage are established for 8 areas in Sum River Basin. The expected annual damaged is obtained which is based on the sampling informations through more than 500,000 simulation from the functions of considered uncertainty. The result about the optimum frequency and Investment Priorities are estimated by conducting the evaluation about planning the levee of various of Design Frequency. In analysis result, 12% of B/C value has increased if the uncertainty has concerned. Also the optimum frequency or Investment Priorities are possible to be changed. If the political and social analysis perform together it would be helpful to have a reasonable decision other than only the economical analysis as actual Flood damaged reduction planning.

Acquisition of Watershed-based Pollution Source Information using Spatial Distributed Geo-Information (분포형 공간정보를 이용한 유역단위 오염원정보 구축)

  • Bae, Myoung-Soon;Ha, Sung-Ryong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.215-223
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    • 2006
  • The Total Maximum Daily Load(TMDL) Act just implemented as a new tool of watershed based water quality management, in Korea. Thus, there are a number of pending questions to resolve for successful settlement of the TMDL. The allocation of pollution source is a exceedingly sensitive issue on local development planning. The simple area-based allocation (SAA) is conventional method to allocate the administrational pollution information to watershed based information. The SAA has a limitation that it can't consider the characteristics of spatial distribution of pollution source and it has caused more uncertainty of TMDL. This study was performed to reduce the uncertainty of watershed-based pollution information using the spatial distribution-based allocation(SDA). In the specific area where pollution source is concentrated such as urbanized region, it has been certified that SDA could reduce a tolerance of pollution information dramatically. As a result of study, SDA is expected a effective tool for TMDL and to solve the conflict between development and protection.

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A study on the product liability for defects of unmanned aerial vehciles (무인항공기 결함에 대한 제조물책임의 적용 연구)

  • Kim, Sun-Ihee
    • The Korean Journal of Air & Space Law and Policy
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.151-180
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    • 2015
  • South Korea is advancing the unmanned aircraft private commercial business. Unmanned aerial vehciles industry has been developing for several years also abroad. However, unmanned aerial vehciles industry, can be an accident occurs. Accident of unmanned aerial vehciles to occur material damage and casualties. Particularly if an accident because of a defect in the unmanned aerial vehciles has occurred, it is necessary to analyze the liability for this. The defect accidents unmanned aerial vehciles has been the different manufacturing and design product is intended, whether it is important how to prove to this. This is because, unmanned aerial vehciles are designed in any intent of the original, it is impossible to victims know. So imposing a responsibility to prove the design by the manufacturer intended consumer is not fair. Moreover, the consumer, it is necessary to prove only that the product is one that normally dangerous lacked safety can be expected. This is a detailed issue of judgment of defects of unmanned aerial vehciles, the manufacturer to bear the accountability. In the case where the defect on the display of the unmanned aircraft is a problem, and if it reasonable indication, it is not appropriate to be required to prove that it was possible to prevent damage to the victim.

Development of Model for Optimal Concession Period in PPPs Considering Traffic Risk (교통량 위험을 고려한 도로 민간투자사업 적정 관리운영기간 산정 모형 개발)

  • KU, Sukmo;LEE, Seungjae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.421-436
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    • 2016
  • Public-Private-Partnerships tend to be committed high project development cost and recover the cost through future revenue during the operation period. In general, long-term concession can bring on more revenue to private investors, but short-term concession less revenue due to the short recovering opportunities. The concession period is usually determined by government in advance or by the private sectors's proposal although it is a very crucial factor for the PPPs. Accurate traffic forecasting should be most important in planing and evaluating the operation period in that the forecasted traffic determines the project revenue with user fees in PPPs. In this regards, governments and the private investors are required to consider the traffic forecast risk when determining concession period. This study proposed a model for the optimal concession period in the PPPs transportation projects. Monte Carlo simulation was performed to find out the optimal concession period while traffic forecast uncertainty is considered as a project risk under the expected return of the private sector. The simulation results showed that the optimal concession periods are 17 years and 21 years at 5.5% and 7% discount level, respectively. This study result can be applied for the private investors and/or any other concerned decision makers for PPPs projects to set up a more resonable concession period.

Efficiency analysis of the community welfare centers for people with disabilities using data envelopment analysis (자료포락분석을 활용한 장애인복지관의 효율성 분석)

  • Choi, Kyoungho;Shin, Hyun-Uk
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.111-121
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    • 2015
  • Until now, the operation of community welfare centers for people with disabilities has brought a positive or a generous awareness. Nevertheless, in order to obtain a wide range of welfare outcomes efficiently, the imperative step in rehabilitation researches is to determine whether reasonable and scientific services are being provided to people with disabilities in rehabilitation centers. The purpose of this study was to analyze efficiency and productivity of 176 community welfare centers for people with disabilities. As a result, average technical efficiency for community welfare centers for people with disabilities was 0.4488; pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency was 0.6040 and 0.7080, respectively. The major conclusions of this study were as follows. First, applying the technical efficiency analysis, DMU2, DMU3, DMU8, DMU9, DMU11, DMU13, DMU14 were shown above average. It seems to have a regard for political elements in accordance with the regional social and economic differences. Second, as a result of scale efficiency analysis, the inefficient community welfare centers for people with disabilities such as DMU1, DMU5, DMU12, DMU16 are required to improve the number of employees, revenue, facility area. Finally, this study is expected to be an effectiveness analysis and performance evaluation for the rehabilitation services.

A Study of Driver's Response to Variable Message Sign Using Evolutionary Game Theory (진화 게임을 이용한 VMS 정보에 따른 운전자의 행태 연구)

  • Kim, Joo Young;Na, Sung Yong;Lee, Seungjae;Kim, Youngho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.554-566
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    • 2014
  • An objective of VMS(Variable Message Signs) is to make transportation system effective specifically for driver's path selection. The traffic solutions including a VMS problem can be modeled through Game Theory, however, the majority of the studies can not model various driver's response according to VMS information in game theory. So, this paper tries to analyze a driver's response according to VMS traffic informations through evolutionary game theory. We apply a behavior characteristics of driver to evolutionary game theory, then finds drivers are only accepting in case of the biggest pay-off, and if a traffic flow finds a balance over time, ratio of accepting information is converged as an evolutionary stable state gradually. Consequently, the strategy of the other drivers such as traffic problems can not be predicted accurately. In case, drivers repeat between groups and reasonable judgment by the experience, we expect that VMS can provide strategic information through evolutionary game theory.