• Title/Summary/Keyword: 합리적기대

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Improvement of Integrated Water Resources Evaluation and Planning System (통합수자원평가계획 모형 개선)

  • Choi, Si Jung;Kang, Seong Kyu;Lee, Dong Ryul
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.485-485
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    • 2017
  • 현재까지 국내에서는 미래에 발생할 수 있는 물 부족을 전망하고 이를 해소할 수 있는 여러가지 방안을 제시하는 수자원계획을 수립하고 있다. 대표적인 예로 국가수자원장기종합계획을 들 수 있으며 목표연도에 대한 사회 경제적 요인의 변화를 전망함으로써 용도별 수요량을 산정하고 공급가능량을 함께 고려하여 물 수급 전망을 수행하고 있다. 이 때 주요공급원으로는 하천유출량과 함께 건설되어 운영 중이거나 계획 중인 댐과 광역 및 공업용수도를 고려하고 있으며 산정된 수요량과 공급량을 통해 물수지 분석을 수행한 후 지역공급원으로 지하수 및 농업용저수지를 추가로 고려하고 있는 실정이다. 다시 말해 지하수에 대한 고려는 최근 이용하였던 암반지하수량을 미래에도 동일하게 이용가능하다는 가정 하에 분석을 수행한다는 것이다. 하지만 기후변화, 물이용패턴, 하천수질변화 등으로 인해 지하수량의 변화가 예상되고 있어 현재와 동일하게 이용할 수 있다는 지하수 관련 가정은 현실성이 떨어진다고 할 수 있다. 따라서 미래에 대한 물 수급 전망에 있어 지하수를 중요한 공급원으로 고려하여 분석할 필요가 있으며 이를 평가하고 분석할 모형의 개발이 절실한 상황이다. 본 연구에서는 기존의 수자원평가계획 모형인 K-WEAP모형과 지하수 모의 모형인 MODFLOW를 연계하여 지표수-지하수를 통합적으로 분석할 수 있는 K-WEAPccia ver 2.0을 개발하였다. 이 모형에서는 지표수-지하수 상호작용을 모의하기 위해 4가지 옵션을 개발하였으며 하천 또는 하도구간에 대한 지하수 유입량과 유출량을 직접 입력하는 방법, 모형 자체적으로 직접분석할 수 방법(토양수분방법 또는 하천과 지하수간의 관계 규명 방법) 및 MODFLOW와의 연결을 통해 지하수를 모의할 수 있도록 하였다. 개발된 모형을 통해 향후 물 수급 전망에 있어 주요한 공급원인 지하수를 함께 모의할 수 있도록 함으로써 보다 현실적이고 합리적인 수자원계획을 지원할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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A study on the Success Factors in Small Hair Salon Management (소규모 헤어살롱 경영 성공요인에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Yonghee;Kim, Sanghoon
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.91-105
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    • 2016
  • Today the beauty industry has reached a point of saturation, and competition has become fiercer than ever. Furthermore, customer needs and expectations have become increasingly sophisticated and diversified. In particular, it has become more difficult for small beauty salons to maintain customer loyalty by staying competitive and satisfying customer needs and demand. In fact, beauty salon customers want to get individualized services as well as a wide variety of hairstyles. Therefore, this study attempted to analyze the sustainability management of beauty salons. It looked at how an increase in sales and in customer loyalty can be achieved by enhancing awareness of the fact that small beauty salons' competitiveness stems from strenuous efforts for the best customer service, individualized hairstyling services, professional skills and customer trust. The study results found that beauty salons need to keep promoting development and improvement for the following: advanced skills, excellent services, reasonable price, convenient locations, advertisement and PR, development of an exclusive manual, intensive staff training and character education plan, complaint management and follow-up and decrease in customer migration.

A Study on the Forecasting of Bunker Price Using Recurrent Neural Network

  • Kim, Kyung-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.26 no.10
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    • pp.179-184
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we propose the deep learning-based neural network model to predict bunker price. In the shipping industry, since fuel oil accounts for the largest portion of ship operation costs and its price is highly volatile, so companies can secure market competitiveness by making fuel oil purchasing decisions based on rational and scientific method. In this paper, short-term predictive analysis of HSFO 380CST in Singapore is conducted by using three recurrent neural network models like RNN, LSTM, and GRU. As a result, first, the forecasting performance of RNN models is better than LSTM and GRUs using long-term memory, and thus the predictive contribution of long-term information is low. Second, since the predictive performance of recurrent neural network models is superior to the previous studies using econometric models, it is confirmed that the recurrent neural network models should consider nonlinear properties of bunker price. The result of this paper will be helpful to improve the decision quality of bunker purchasing.

Development of Construction Cost Estimation Model for Elementary, Middle and High School Facilities (초·중·고등학교 시설물별 추정공사비 산정모델 개발)

  • Jung, Eui-Hyun;Yeom, Dong-Jun;Kim, Jun-Sang;Kim, Young Suk
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2021
  • Estimated construction cost is an important index to secure an optimal budget which needs to go into construction projects in the previous of basic design phase. In order for public institutions to calculate the estimated construction cost, the cost per unit area of public buildings is used. However, the current calculation method of the estimated construction cost in public buildings is impossible to reflect the characteristics of many facilities and combinations. The purpose of this study is to develop an estimation model in the previous of basic design phase for the elementary, middle and high school facilities. it is expected that it is possible to estimate the construction cost of the elementary, middle and high schools in a reasonable and reliable manner through the estimation model developed in this study.

The Transmission of Foreign Disturbances into a Small Country (해외경제교란이 소국경제에 미치는 영향)

  • Son, Il-Tae
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.3-29
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine the transmission of domestic and foreign real and monetary disturbances into a small country with heavy imports of intermediate goods, and to analyze how the wage indexation in a small country affects the transmission of foreign disturbances into a small country. We consider the two countries, a small country and the rest of the world, two goods, and rational expectations world model under flexible exchange rate system with perfect capital mobility. We find out that foreign disturbances are transmitted into a small country through the price channel, the foreign output multiplier channel, and the nominal interest rate channel, and the foreign real balance channel. We have conducted an empirical investigation by using the Korean data for a small country and the U.S. data for a large country to see how real and monetary disturbances originating from the US affects the Korean economy with wage indexation.

A study of Establishment and Acquisition for Disaster Collections on The National September 11 Memorial & Museum (미국 9/11 메모리얼의 설립과 재난컬렉션 수집에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Hye-ji;Lee, Seung Hwi
    • The Korean Journal of Archival Studies
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    • no.55
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    • pp.235-273
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    • 2018
  • The National September 11 Memorial is the institution that collects, assesses, arranges, uses, exhibits, and preserves collections related to the terror attack on September 11, 2001 (9/11), and the explosion incident at the World Trade Center (WTC) on February 26, 1996. After the 9/11 incident, various groups, including the LMDC and the PANYNJ, have participated in the establishment of this organization. Since its initial establishment, the necessity for memorial institutions and detailed characteristics had been discussed in meetings to gather citizens' opinions. Furthermore, the enactment of the 9/11 Memorial Act has secured the institution's stable operation and management. To properly manage disaster-related collections, a just agreement among the citizens and the government should be made to arrive at rational decision-making. This instution can provide answers regarding those ways. Moreover, managing disaster-related collections should be discussed as an important means of remembering, preserving memories, educating, revealing the truth, and preparing academic information and sources. As a result, collaborative governance in records management after a disaster is expected.

Application of Genetic Algorithm for Railway Crew Rostering (철도 승무교번 배치를 위한 유전알고리즘 적용방안)

  • Park, Sang mi;Kim, Hyeon Seung;Kang, Leen Seok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.9
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2019
  • Crew rostering in railway operations is usually done by arranging a crew diagram in accordance with working standards every month. This study was done to identify the problems related to the creation of crew rosters in railway operations and to suggest an optimum crew rostering method that can be applied in railway operations planning. To do this, the work standards of a railway company were identified, and a genetic algorithm was used to develop an optimal roster with equal working time while considering actual working patterns. The optimization process is composed of analysis of the input data, creation of work patterns, creation of a solution, and optimization steps. To verify the method, the roster derived from the proposed process was compared with a manually created roster. The results of the study could be used to reduce the deviation of business hours when generating a roster because the standard deviation of working time is the objective function.

Design of a New IoT Management System for Efficient Recovery of Shared Electric Kickboards (공유형 전동킥보드의 효율적 회수를 위한 새로운 IoT 관리시스템 설계)

  • Jang, Eun-Jin;Shin, Seung-Jung
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.189-194
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    • 2021
  • With the recent increase in the proportion of single-person households, starting in 2016, the domestic shared personnel mobility market such as electric kickboards and electric wheels has grown rapidly. Personal transportation means such as electric kickboards are power devices using electricity and are eco-friendly, lightweight, and do not occupy a separate parking space. Above all, it has the advantage of being convenient to travel short and medium distances, so it has been able to obtain a lot of demand from younger users who pursue reasonable consumption, and accordingly, the related market has grown rapidly. However, as absence of the charging station for electric kickboards, electric kickboards are left everywhere on the road, and are emerging as a threat to safety as well as aesthetics. Therefore, this paper aims to research and propose a new IoT management system for efficient recovery of shared electric kickboards. Through this system, it is expected that the high recovery rate of the electric kickboard can be maintained, and in conclusion, the safety of the user and the surrounding environment can be improved.

Information Security Professionals' Turnover Intention and Its Causes (정보보호 전문인력의 직무전환 의도와 전환사유)

  • Yoo, Hye-Won;Kim, Tae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.95-104
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    • 2010
  • As the information security industry has developed and its proportion in the national economy has increased, the demand for the information security manpower also has expanded. With the frequent turnovers of the information security professionals within the industry and between other industries, it is essential to investigate the causes of turnovers for the efficient human resource management and furthermore the sustainable growth of the industry. This study aims to analyze the factors affecting the information security professionals' turnover intention. We reviewed related researches to select the turnover causes that affect the turnover intention and tested the relationships between the turnover causes and the turnover intention. Human resource managers can use the results of this study to maximize the performance of the organization through the reasonable turnover management of information security professionals.

Study on Justification of the Legislation of Multimedia -Literacy Education to Solve Side Effects of Improving Social Functions of SNS in the knowledge Information Society (Based on Ajzen's Theory of Planned Behavior) (지식정보화사회에서 SNS의 사회적 기능 향상에 따른 부작용 해결방안을 위한 멀티미디어 -리터러시 교육 법제화의 당위성에 관한 연구(Ajzen의 계획된 행위 이론을 기반으로))

  • Shin, Seungyong
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.89-94
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    • 2021
  • Recently, the boundaries between people who produce and consume digital contents disappears due to the massive developments in information and communications technology (ICT) and the rapidly increasing spread of smartphones unlike in the traditional mass media (e.g., newspapers, radios, and TVs). Through the open service platform, the problem perception for each individual remains the same, but the problem solving methods varies as the service types have been diversified. The creation of added value through the growth of the new media platform industry is expected to enrich our lives, but it can also cause severe social side effects. For example, communication problems between social classes due to the information gap have led to generational conflict, and if such problems persist, it can cause national and social losses. Therefore, this paper analyzes the policy efforts to resolve the information gap and the necessity of the legalization of multimedia literary education to maximize the synergy effect through psychological model.