• Title/Summary/Keyword: 하락 원인

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An analytic Study on Elementary School Students Number of increasing and decreasing Trends in Large City - Focusing on the Case in Daejeon Metropolitan City - (대도시 초등학교별 학생수 증감 추세 분석에 관한 연구 - 대전시 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Yoon, Yong-Gi
    • The Journal of Sustainable Design and Educational Environment Research
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to provide a basis for determining when a school established long term school plans accepted by analyzing the trend of increase or decrease elementary school students 30 years to target of Daejeon Metropolitan City. Most were analyzed for land development area of Yuseong-Gu, and most of the old downtown area of Dong-Gu for this purpose. Results of this study are as follows: First, the results of this research to analyze the number of students increase or decrease trend forecasting model specific case in residential development projects in the district are Model8 4 schools (11.8%) in Yuseong-Gu were compared higher than one schools (4.3%) in the Dong-Gu. This suggests the need for a cautious approach in the planning of schools accommodated in a large housing development district. Second, large-scale land development trend analysis results Students sensitized Yuseong-Gu business district is followed by a new school in 11 schools (29.7%), Old town in Dong-Gu, which is contrary 13 schools (56.5%) were in a downturn.

Economic Impact Analysis of Hydrogen Energy Deployment Applying Dynamic CGE Model (동태 CGE 모형을 활용한 수소에너지 보급의 경제적 영향 추정)

  • Bae, Jeong-Hwan;Cho, Gyeong-Lyeob
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.275-311
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    • 2007
  • Hydrogen energy is emphasized as a substitutable energy of carbon-based energy system in the future, since it is non-depletable and clean energy. Long term vision of Korean government on the national energy system is to promote hydrogen energy by 15% of final energy demand until 2040. This study analyzes economic impacts of hydrogen energy development employing a dynamic CGE model for Korea. Frontier technology such as hydrogen energy is featured as slow diffusion at the initial stage due to the learning effect and energy complementarity. Without government intervention, hydrogen energy would be produced upto 6.5% of final energy demand until 2040. However, if government subsidizes sales price of hydrogen energy by 10%, 20%, and 30%, share of hydrogen energy would increase 9.2%, 15.2%, and 37.7% of final energy demand. This result shows that the slow diffusion problem of hydrogen energy as frontier technology could be figured out by market incentive policy. On the other hand, production levels of transportation sector would increase while growth rate of oil and electricity sectors would decline. Household consumption would be affected negatively since increase of consumption due to the price decrease would be overwhelmed by income reduction owing to the increase of tax. Overall, GDP would not decrease or increase significantly since total production, investment, and export would increase even if household consumption declines.

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The Changes and Determinants of Cash Holdings of Korean Manufacturing Firms (한국제조기업의 현금보유의 변화와 결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Dong-Ryung
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.1-32
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    • 2008
  • This study examines the changes and determinants of cash to assets ratios(cash ratios) by analyzing 14,016 Korean manufacturing firms sample for the period of $1999{\sim}2004$. The major findings can be summarized as follows. First, the average cash ratios for Korean manufacturing firms have increased from 4.7 percent of 1999 to 5.2 percent of 2004. In addition, the average cash holdings per firm also have increased from 4.3 billion Won to 8.0 billion Won during the same period. However, the capital expenditures relative to cash ratios or operating cash flow have decreased significantly, confirming the notion that physical investment of Korean manufacturing sector has been shrinking recently. Second, in regression tests with panel data, the coefficients of target adjustment variables show the expected negative signs, but coefficients of the deficit of fund variables show the unexpected positive signs. Thus, the evidence seems to be supportive of static tradeoff model of cash holdings. Third, in regression tests to find the determinants of cash ratios, most of the variables show similar results as the previous studies. However, in terms of adjusted coefficient of determination and F-statistic, the firm-characteristic variables suggested by static trade-off theory have more explanatory power than the variables suggested by pecking order theory.

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A Trend Analysis on Scale Efficiency of the Port of Gwangyang: 1994-2004 (광양항의 규모효율성 추세분석: 1994-2004)

  • Park, Ro-Kyung
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.59-78
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyze the trend on scale efficiency of the Port of Gwangyang from 1994 to 2004 using CCR, BCC, and Malmquist index approaches. The main results are as follows. first, scale efficiency shows a 50% similar [5(94/95, 95/96, 97/98, 2001/2002, 2003/2004) out of 10] pattern to technical efficiency change. Second, total factor productivity increased at 48.57% rate of growth on average in 6 out of 10 periods except 96/97, 97/98, 99/2000, and 2000/2001. 2003/2004 period is the one period experiencing rapid total factor productivity changes, mainly due to technical progress. Third, the ranking order of accumulative indices is scale efficiency change, TFP change, efficiency change, technical change, and pure efficiency change. The main policy implication of this paper is that according to the CCR, BCC, and Malmquist results, the Port of Gwangyang should develop the plan for enhancing the 5 Malmquist indices with following the management way of benchmarking ports.

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The Effects of the Changes of Economic Variables on the Import Container Volume of Gwangyang Port (경제변수의 변동이 광양항 수입컨테이너 물동량에 미치는 효과)

  • Mo, Soo-Won
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.269-282
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    • 2009
  • This study investigates the difference of behavioral patterns between the import container volume of all ports and that of Gwangyang port in Korea. All series span the period January 1999 to December 2008. I first test whether the series are stationary or not. I can reject the null hypothesis of a unit root in each of the level variables and of a unit root for the residuals from the cointegration at the 5 percent significance level. I hitherto make use of variance decompositions and impulse response functions, both of which have now been widely used to examine how much movement in one variable can be explained by innovations in different variables and how rapidly these fluctuations in one variable can be transmitted to another. The variance decompositions for the import container volume show that the proportions of the forecast error variance of import container volumes explained by themselves are 30 and 26 per cent after 12 months, respectively. As a result, innovations in exchange rate and business activity explain 70 and 74 per cent of the variance in the import container volume. All in all, innovation accounting indicates that import container volumes are not exogenous with respect to exchange rate and business activity. The impulse responses indicate that container volumes decrease sharply to the shocks in exchange rate and decay very slowly to its pre-shock level, while container volumes respond positively to the shocks in the business activity and disappear very slowly, showing that the shocks last very long. Furthermore Gwangyang port is more sensitive to the change of the exchange rate and the industrial production than all ports.

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A Study on Change Orders in Overseas Construction using Feature Selection - Focus on Plant Construction in the Middle East - (Feature Selection을 활용한 해외 건설의 공사변경 관리에 관한 연구 - 중동 플랜트 건설프로젝트를 중심으로 -)

  • Hong, Sunyoung;Yeom, Chunho
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2021
  • This paper looks into how to enhance construction project management, focusing on the change order, which is often considered one of the major causes for construction delays, disputes, and claims in the middle east construction. First, this paper categorizes the major causes of change orders. It suggests a detailed classification standard for affecting factors resulting from change orders based on a case study result of an on-going construction project in the Middle East. In particular, this paper presents a method to apply a machine learning-based feature selection to quantify the importance of change order triggers and affecting factors. As a result, the case study identifies six major change order triggers and eight affecting factors. Also, a meaningful relationship between change order triggers and affecting factors by each category is presented. This paper will contribute to setting a clear guideline for change order management for the international plant construction field while helping prevent construction delays and cost run-ups by reducing the time required for change order resolution between project owners and contractors.

Marketing Strategy of Cheo-um-cheo-rum (세계 최초 알칼리수 소주, <처음처럼> - 웰빙 소주를 통한 시장 분할 -)

  • Park, Heungsoo;Kim, Donghoon;Lee, Dong-Jin
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.209-232
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    • 2007
  • 두산은 2001년에 <산> 소주 제품으로 소주시장에 진입하였지만, 2002년도에 6.7%였던 <산> 소주의 시장 점유율이 2004년도 들어서서 5.4% 로 하락하였고, 선호도 역시 매우 낮은 수준으로 조사되어, 원인분석과 함께 새로운 소주에 대한 개발 필요성이 대두되었다. 당시 두산은 시장 선도 브랜드인 <참이슬>의 충성 고객층은 감소하면서 비호감 고객층이 증가하는 등 소주에 대한 고객의 욕구가 변화하고 있다는 시장조사 결과에서 성공의 기회를 엿볼 수 있었다. 그리고 1인당 알코올 소비량은 감소하였으나 소주의 소비량은 연간 70병으로 일정한 소비를 나타나고 있었기 때문에, 소주시장의 매력도는 아직 충분히 존재한다고 판단하였다. 그리하여 두산이 목표로 삼을 표적시장 선정을 위한 시장조사를 대대적으로 시작하였는데, 소주 음용 조사에서 30~40대의 남성들은 소비량이 감소하는 반면 여성들의 소주 소비량은 전 연령대에 걸쳐 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 여기에서 두산은 새로운 소주시장에 대한 신제품 개발의 기회를 발견하고, 신제품 개발 프로젝트에 착수하게 되었다. 이를 위해 먼저 소주 트렌드의 변화와 소비자들의 라이프 스타일을 살펴보고, 이를 통해 '웰빙'을 신제품의 주요가치로 결정하게 된다. 이후 시장 세분화 조사를 통해 다량음용자(heavy user)가 많은 품질 중시 시장과 도수 및 숙취 중시 시장에 진입하기로 한다. 그 다음 소주에 대한 소비자들의 불만족 요인이 무엇인지 살펴보고 이를 해결하기 위한 대안들을 탐색한다. 그 결과 '목 넘김이 부드럽고, 몸의 산성화를 중화시키며, 숙취 해소'에 뛰어난 '알칼리수'를 신제품의 주원료로 사용한 <처음처럼>을 개발하게 된다. 소주의 주요 속성별 선호도 조사를 실시한 결과, 모든 속성에서 <처음처럼>이 경쟁사 제품보다 뛰어난 것으로 나타나 두산은 <처음처럼>을 시장에 출시하게 되었다. <처음처럼>은 24~35세를 목표 고객으로 설정하고, 유흥업소가 밀집한 중심상권을 집중적으로 공략하였다. 이를 위해 저가 정책을 실시하여 유통업체의 마진을 높였으며, 다양한 광고, 촉진 전략을 통해서 소비자 인지도를 향상시켰다. 그 결과 수도권 및 전국 지역에서 지속적으로 시장점유율이 증가하였으며, 소비자들에게 <참이슬>과 차별화된 이미지를 구축하게 되었다. <처음처럼>이 성공적으로 시장에 진입할 수 있었던 이유로는 알칼리수 사용, 감성적 브랜드명 채택, 차별화된 마케팅 전략 구사, 그리고 조직원의 강력한 성공 의지 등을 들 수 있다. 소주 시장의 독보적 존재였던 <참이슬>과의 경쟁에서 이루어진 결과라는 점에서 <처음처럼>의 사례는 많은 기업들에게 시사점을 제공할 수 있다. 하지만 현재 '대중성'이나 '친근감'같은 이미지가 <참이슬>에 비해 상대적으로 낮고, <참이슬 fresh>의 출시로 인해 목표 고객인 20대가 이탈되는 문제는 앞으로 <처음처럼>이 극복해야 할 과제이다. 이를 위해 <처음처럼>은 무엇보다 '웰빙 소주'로서의 이미지를 확고히 하기 위한 마케팅 전략을 실행하여야 할 것이다.

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Analysis of the Effectiveness of a University Affiliated Science-Gifted Educational Program: The Case of C Gifted Education Center (C 영재교육원을 통해 살펴본 대학부설 과학영재교육원 프로그램 효과성 분석)

  • Han, Ki-Soon;Yang, Tae-Youn
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.137-155
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of the present study was to analyse the effectiveness of a gifted education program. To analyse the effectiveness of an education program for the gifted affiliated with a university, the study carried out a quasi-experimental design to compare the 153 gifted students who enrolled in an education center for the gifted and the 131 potentially gifted students who were nominated by teachers for their high achievements and interests in science but without any education services for the gifted. These two groups of students were compared in the aspects of problem finding ability in science, motivation, self regulation, science-related attitudes, and science anxiety through the pre- and post-treatment settings. The results indicated that the gifted group showed a significant improvement in originality and elaboration of problem-finding ability, but the potentially gifted group showed significant decrease in most variables of problem finding. Related to motivation and self-regulated learning, gifted students showed an increase in cognitive strategy use and decrease in intrinsic value, but the potentially gifted students showed significant decreases in most variables related to motivation and self-regulation, except intrinsic value. Related to the scientific attitudes and science anxiety, there were no significant changes between pre- and post-tests in the gifted group, but significant decreases in most variables were found in the potentially gifted group. The results of paired t-test and Ancova indicate that significant differences between the gifted and the potentially gifted groups are mainly due to the significantly lowered performance in post tests in the potentially gifted group, rather than a significant increase in gifted group.

A Study on the Proxy Variable of Growth Opportunities (성장기회의 대용변수 개발에 관한 연구: 시기별, 산업별 성장기회가치의 추정을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Won-Heum
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.29-58
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    • 2007
  • We develop a model to estimate the value of growth opportunities, which is based on the seminal papers of M&M(1961, 1963) and Lee(2006). Making use of the estimation model, we estimate a new proxy variable of the growth opportunities, other than the usual proxy variables such as quasi Tobin's Q, MBR, and so on. The new proxy variable of growth opportunities can represent a necessary condition to identify whether the increase in new investments are successful or not. The empirical findings on the growth opportunities during the IMF currency crisis period and the post-IMF period are as follows; First, the overall success rate of new investments is as low as 50%, that means only half of the listed firms were increasing new investments when they had the growth opportunities. Second, during the crisis, one third of the listed firms were experiencing negative growth opportunities. However, during the post-IMF period, the growth opportunities on new investments were turned to be positive due to the turnaround efforts of listed firms. Third, the value of intangible assets, which are resulting from the investment of R&D and human capital, are becoming more important than ever. It seems to be true that larger portions of the value of growth opportunities are coming from the intangible assets, not from the increases in new investments of the physical assets.

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The Investigations on Competitive Power of Frames Industry at Daegu (대구 안경테산업 경쟁력 조사)

  • Park, Eun-Kyoo;Park, Jeong-Sik;Jang, Jun-Young
    • Journal of Korean Ophthalmic Optics Society
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.83-89
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    • 2005
  • The results that research industrial competitive power of about two hundreds frames manufactures were as follows. First, It's researched that frames industry of Daegu will be worse and worse, and 79 percent of inquiry manufactures in export and 58 percent of them in the domestic demand prospects to be worse. Second, it is analyzed that the commercial profits in 2004 was more decreased to 16.5 percent than 2002. Therefore it is studied that they will be diminished to 5---- comparing with last year by a fall in the exchange rate of the won dollar, in the export unit cost and a raise of raw material price. Third, it is researched that most competitive countries of Daegu glasses manufactures is China and the mext county is japan, ltuly and hik. Fourth, It is studied that average price of glasses of Daegu during last three years(2002~2004) was more disadvantageous than China and Hong Kong, but was more profitable than Italy and Japan by the examination that when Korea is 100, China is 82, Hong Kong 89, Italy 112, Japan 114. Fifth, It is investigated that the average of production cost in Daegu is more disadvantageous than that of China and Hong Kong but is more profitable that of Italy and Japan by the study that when average production cost of Korea is 100, that of China is 78 and that of Hong Kong 89, that of Italy 114. Sixth, It is studied that the Average personal expense of Daegu is much more disadvantageous than that of China and more profitable than Japan and Italy by the analysis that when Korea is 100, China is 74, Hong Kong 98, Japan 112, Italy 113. Seventh, It is analyzed that technique, quality, design of Daegu are more advantageous than those of China, are equal with those of Hong Kong. Eighth, It is studied that Daegu still lags behind more four and five years than developed countries and goes more oheod four years than developing countries.

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