• Title/Summary/Keyword: 평활

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Performance for simple combinations of univariate forecasting models (단변량 시계열 모형들의 단순 결합의 예측 성능)

  • Lee, Seonhong;Seong, Byeongchan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.385-393
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we consider univariate time series models that are well known in the field of forecasting and we study on forecasting performance for their simple combinations. The univariate time series models include exponential smoothing methods and ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) models, their extended models, and non-seasonal and seasonal random walk models, which is frequently used as benchmark models for forecasting. The median and mean are simply used for the combination method, and the data set used for performance evaluation is M3-competition data composed of 3,003 various time series data. As results of evaluating the performance by sMAPE (symmetric mean absolute percentage error) and MASE (mean absolute scaled error), we assure that the simple combinations of the univariate models perform very well in the M3-competition dataset.

Performance Evaluation of Battery Remaining Time Estimation Methods According to Outlier Data Processing Policies in Mobile Devices (모바일 기기에서 이상치 데이터 처리 정책에 따른 배터리 잔여 시간 예측 기법의 평가)

  • Tak, Sungwoo
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.26 no.7
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    • pp.1078-1090
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    • 2022
  • The distribution patterns of battery usage time data per battery level are able to affect the performance of estimating battery remaining time in mobile devices. Outliers may mainly affect the estimation performance of statistical regression methods. In this paper, we propose a software framework that detects and processes outliers to improve the estimation performance of statistical regression methods. The proposed framework first detects outliers that degrade the estimation performance. The proposed framework replaces outliers with smoothed data. The difference between an outlier and its replaced data will be properly distributed into individual data. Finally, individual data are reinforced to improve the estimation performance. The numerical results obtained by experimenting the proposed framework confirmed that it yielded good performance of estimating battery remaining time.

Research of Dry Reduction Process of Waste Tin Oxide using Methane (메탄가스를 이용한 폐주석산화물의 건식환원시스템)

  • Hyun-Chul Jung;Se-Kwon Kim;Sang-Yeol Kim
    • Resources Recycling
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.18-24
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    • 2022
  • Dry reduction using natural gas was proposed to recover tin from waste tin oxide generated in a tin bath that was used for controlling the smoothness of architectural glass during production, and the reduction behavior was investigated. The utilized vertical natural gas dry reduction system is capable to process 4 L or 20 kg depending on input raw materials. The system was established by applying the upper intake and lower discharge method. The recovery rate was 97.2% at 800 ℃ and 4 sccm flow rate and increased with the amount of input gas. Hydrogen accounted for 23% of the discharge gas, showing a 16.6% hydrogen conversion rate. The reaction behavior of tin recovered via natural gas reduction provides basic data on the new waste resource reduction/recovery technology.

Prioritization of locations for permeable pavement considering future climate scenarios (미래 기후시나리오에 따른 투수성포장 시설 우선순위 선정)

  • Chae, Seung Taek;Choi, Hyuk Su;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.364-364
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    • 2021
  • 최근 지구온난화에 따른 홍수 및 가뭄 재해의 피해는 심각해졌다. 그러므로 미래 재해로 인한 피해를 완화시키기 위한 수자원 계획 수립 및 관리의 중요성이 높아지고 있다. 전지구모형(General Circulation Model, GCM)은 기후 변화 연구에서 기후 요인의 변동을 조사하는데 널리 사용되어지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기후 변화 시나리오를 고려하여 도시유역의 소유역 별 투수성포장 시설의 우선순위를 산정했다. 기후 변화 시나리오에는Representative Concentration Pathway(RCP)와 Shared Socioeconomic Pathway(SSP) 시나리오가 사용되었으며 CMIP5와 CMIP6의 GCM을 고려하였다. GCM을 이용하여 산정된 미래 월 강수량은 분위사상(Quantile Mapping)법의 비모수변환(Non-Parametirc Transformation)법 중 하나인 스플라인 평활(Smoothing Spline) 방법을 사용하여 편이보정 되었다. 연구대상지는 목감천 유역이 선정되었으며, 27개의 소유역에 대해 투수성포장 시설의 우선순위를 산정되었다. 우선순위 산정을 위한 평가 기준들은 Driving force-Pressure-State-Impact-Response(DPSIR) 모형을 기반으로 산정 되었다. 평가기준에 따른 27개의 소유역에 대한 값들은 통계청 및 국가수자원관리종합정보시스템(WAMIS), 편이보정 된 미래 강수량과 Storm Water Management Model(SWMM)을 이용한 유출분석 결과를 통해 도출했다. 평가기준들의 객관적 가중치 산정을 위해 엔트로피 방법을 이용했다. 최종적으로 목감천 소유역 별 투수성포장 시설의 우선순위 산정에는 다기준의사결정기법 중 하나인 TOPSIS방법을 사용했다. 산정 결과 DPSIR 모형을 기반으로 수문학적 요소에 큰 가중치를 부여한 경우 하류보다는 상류 유역에서 높은 우선순위를 확인했으며, 각 요소별 동일한 가중치를 주었을 때 하류 유역에 높은 우선순위가 집중되었다.

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Extremely Rare CT and MRI Findings of Peritoneal Leiomyoma Mimicking Hepatic Mass: A Case Report (매우 드문 간종괴로 오인된 복막 평활근종의 CT 및 MRI 소견: 증례 보고)

  • Jonghun Woo;Seo-Youn Choi;Hee Kyung Kim;Ji Eun Lee;Min Hee Lee;Sanghyeok Lim
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.84 no.4
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    • pp.946-951
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    • 2023
  • Leiomyoma is a common benign tumor from smooth muscle cells, mostly in the uterus. Peritoneal leiomyomas (PLs) are extremely rare and mostly reported as disseminated peritoneal leiomyomatosis. However, to the best of out knowledge, radiologic findings of isolated PL are not reported in English literature. Herein, we introduce the radiologic findings of PL mimicking hepatic mass in a 34-year-old female. CT showed a mass with curvilinear heterogeneous enhancement at the liver's peripheral area. On MRI, the mass showed gradual and heterogeneous enhancement on gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI and diffusion restriction. The radiologic diagnosis was a benign hepatic tumor, such as degenerated hemangioma, adenoma, and inflammatory myofibroblastic tumor; however, the mass was diagnosed as PL pathologically.

Extracellular $K^+$ Effects on the Mouse Aortic Endothelial Cell Contractility (쥐 대동맥 혈관 내피세포에서 세포 외 $K^+$에 의한 혈관 수축선 조절 기전)

  • 안재호;유지영
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.36 no.12
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    • pp.887-893
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    • 2003
  • External stimuli increases intracellular (IC) $Ca^{2+}$, which increases extracellular (EC) $K^{+}$. To verify $K^{+}$ effects on the vascular contraction, we performed an experiment using mouse aortic endothelial cell. Meterial and Method: We examined the mouse aortic contractility changes as we measured the IC $Ca^{2+}$ change and ionic current by using the voltage clamp technique under different conditions such as: increasing EC $K^{+}$, removing endothelial cell, giving L-NAME (N-nitro-L-arginine methyl ester) which suppress nitric oxide formation, Ouabain which control N $a^{+}$ - $K^{+}$ pump and N $i^{2+}$ which repress N $a^{+}$-C $a^{2+}$ exchanger Result: When we increased EC $K^{+}$ from 6 to 12 mM, there was no change in aortic contractility. Aorta contracted with more than 12 mM of EC $K^{+}$. Ace-tylcholine (ACh) induced relaxation was inhibited with EC $K^{+}$ from 6 to 12 mM, but was not found after de-endothelialization or L-NAME treatment. ATP or ACh increased IC $Ca^{2+}$ in cultured endothelium. After maximal increase of IC $Ca^{2+}$, increasing EC $K^{+}$ from 6 to 12 mM made IC $Ca^{2+}$ decrease and re-decreasing EC $K^{+}$ to 6 mM made IC $Ca^{2+}$ increase. Ouabain and N $i^{2+}$ masked the inhibitory effect of endothelium dependent relaxation by increased EC $K^{+}$. Conclusion: These data indicate that increase in EC $K^{+}$ relaxes vascular smooth muscle and reduces $Ca^{2+}$ in the endothelial cells which inhibit endothelium dependent relaxation. This inhibitory mechanism may be due to the activation of N $a^{+}$- $K^{+}$ pump and N $a^{+}$-C $a^{2+}$ exchanger. $a^{+}$-C $a^{2+}$ exchanger.r.

Mechanism of Inhibitory Effect of Imipramine on Isolated Rat Detrusor Muscle in Relation to Calcium Modulation (흰쥐 적출 방광 배뇨근의 수축성에 대한 Imipramine의 작용과 Calcium동원 기전과의 관계)

  • Lee, Jong-Bum;Yoo, Kae-Joon;Ha, Jeoung-Hee;Kwon, Oh-Cheol;Lee, Kwang-Youn;Kim, Won-Joon
    • The Korean Journal of Pharmacology
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.81-89
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    • 1992
  • Enuresis is a common voiding disorder among children. There are several therapeutic regimens for the disorder available today; behavioral therapies, psychotherapy, bladder training, sleep interruption, hypnosis and drug therapy. Recently, the efficacy of drug therapy has been acknowledged, particularly of antidepressants. Among the tricyclic antidepressants, imipramine is most frequently employed for the treatment of enuresis. Present study was undertaken to investigate the mechanism of imipramine on the contractility of urinary bladder in relation to the calcium modulation using isolated strips of rat detrusor urinae. 1. The electric fileld stimulation-induced contraction was abolished by imipramine, but partially inhibited by atropine. 2. Imipramine reduced the basal tone and diminished the phasic activity of detrusor muscle concentration-dependently, which was similar to that of diltiazem, a calcium channel blocker. 3. Imipramine suppressed the maximal responses and shifted the concentration-response curves of bethanechol and ATP to right. 4. Imipramine inhibited the calcium-induced recovery of tension in calcium-free physiologic salt solution (PSS) with a mode of action similar to that of diltizaem. 5. A23187, a calcium ionophore recovered the basal tone which had been reduced by imipramine in normal PSS. 6. In calcium-free PSS, A23187 could recover the abolished basal tone with the pretreatment of imipramine, but it exerted a partial recovery with the pretreatment of TMB-8, an inhibitor of intracellular calcium release. Based on these results, it is suggested that the inhibitory action of imipramine on the detrusor muscle exerted in part by blockade of the muscarinic and purinergic receptors, and interference with the influx of extracellular calcium, but not with the release of intracellular stored calcium, is involved in its mechanism of action.

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Effect of pH Change on Vascular Smooth Muscle Contractility in Rat Superior Mesenteric Artery and Its Branches (쥐 상장간막 동맥과 그 분지에서 pH 변화가 혈관평활근 수축성에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Soo-Seung
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.345-355
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    • 2010
  • Background: Extracellular and intracellular pH ($pH_o$ and $pH_i$), which can be changed in various pathological conditions such as hypoxia, affects vascular contractility. To elucidate the mechanism to alter vascular contractility by pH, the effects of pH on reactivity to vasocontracting agents, intracellular $Ca^{2+}$ influx, and $Ca^{2+}$ sensitivity in vascular smooth muscle were examined. Material and Method: Isometric contractions in rat superior mesenteric arteries (SMA) were observed. Intracellular $Ca^{2+}$ concentration ($[Ca^{2+}]_i$) was recorded by microfluorometer using Fura-2/acetoxylmethyl ester in muscle cells. $pH_o$ was increased from 7.4 to 7.8 or decreased to 6.9 or 6.4. $pH_i$ was decreased by applying $NH_4^+$ or propionic acid or modulated by changing $pH_o$ after increasing membrane permeability using $\beta$-escin. Result: Decreases in $pH_o$ from 7.4 to 6.9 or 6.4 shifted concentration-response curve by norepinephrine (NE) or serotonin (SE) to the right and significantly increased half maximal effective concentration (EC50) to NE or SE. Increase in $pH_o$ from 7.4 to 7.8 shifted concentration-response curve by norepinephrine (NE) or serotonin (SE) to the left and significantly reduced EC50 to NE or SE. NE increased $[Ca^{2+}]_i$ in cultured smooth muscle cells from SMA and the increased $[Ca^{2+}]_i$ was reduced by decreases in $pH_o$. NE-induced contraction was inhibited by $NH_4^+$, whereas the resting tension was increased by $NH_4^+$ or propionic acid. When the cell membrane of SMA was permeabilized using ${\beta}$-escin, SMA was contracted by increasing extracellular $Ca^{2+}$ concentration from 0 to $10{\mu}M$ and the magnitude of contraction was decreased by a decrease in $pH_o$ and vice versa. Conclusion: From these results, it can be concluded that a decrease in $pH_o$ might inhibit vascular contraction by reducing the reactivity of vascular smooth muscle to vasoactive agents, $Ca^{2+}$ influx and the sensitivity of vascular smooth muscle to $Ca^{2+}$.

Development of Measuring Technique for Milk Composition by Using Visible-Near Infrared Spectroscopy (가시광선-근적외선 분광법을 이용한 유성분 측정 기술 개발)

  • Choi, Chang-Hyun;Yun, Hyun-Woong;Kim, Yong-Joo
    • Food Science and Preservation
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.95-103
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    • 2012
  • The objective of this study was to develop models for the predict of the milk properties (fat, protein, SNF, lactose, MUN) of unhomogenized milk using the visible and near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopic technique. A total of 180 milk samples were collected from dairy farms. To determine optimal measurement temperature, the temperatures of the milk samples were kept at three levels ($5^{\circ}C$, $20^{\circ}C$, and $40^{\circ}C$). A spectrophotometer was used to measure the reflectance spectra of the milk samples. Multilinear-regression (MLR) models with stepwise method were developed for the selection of the optimal wavelength. The preprocessing methods were used to minimize the spectroscopic noise, and the partial-least-square (PLS) models were developed to prediction of the milk properties of the unhomogenized milk. The PLS results showed that there was a good correlation between the predicted and measured milk properties of the samples at $40^{\circ}C$ and at 400~2,500 nm. The optimal-wavelength range of fat and protein were 1,600~1,800 nm, and normalization improved the prediction performance. The SNF and lactose were optimized at 1,600~1,900 nm, and the MUN at 600~800 nm. The best preprocessing method for SNF, lactose, and MUN turned out to be smoothing, MSC, and second derivative. The Correlation coefficients between the predicted and measured fat, protein, SNF, lactose, and MUN were 0.98, 0.90, 0.82, 0.75, and 0.61, respectively. The study results indicate that the models can be used to assess milk quality.

Study on the Clonality of Endothelial Cell Proliferation in Plexiform Lesions in Patients with Pulmonary Hypertension Associated with CREST Syndrome (CREST 증후군에 동반된 폐고혈압 환자에서 총상병변내 내피세포 증식의 클론성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Do;Jeon, Yong-Gam;Lee, Ji-Hyun;Shim, Tae-Sun;Lim, Chae-Man;Koh, Yun-Suck;Kim, Woo-Sung;Kim, Dong-Soon;Kim, Won-Dong;Tuder, Rubin M.
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.150-160
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    • 1999
  • Background: The CREST syndrome is an indolent form of progressive systemic sclerosis. Although its clinical progress is indolent, pulmonary hypertension(PH) associated with CREST syndrome have grave prognosis with over 40 percent mortality rate at 2 year follow-up. But the pathogenesis of pulmonary hypertension in this disease is not known, and classified as either primary or secondary PH. Clonality of endothelial cell proliferation in plexiform lesion is a molecular marker which allows distinction between primary and secondary PH. We performed this study to know whether the PH associated with CREST syndrome is a variant of primary PH or is a secondary PH. Methods: We assessed the X-chromosome inactivation based on the methylation pattern of the human androgen-receptor gene by PCR(HUMARA). Endothelial cells in plexiform lesions from female patients(n=3) with PH associated with CREST syndrome were microdissected from paraffin blocks. Vascular smooth muscle cells and lung parenchyma were also microdissected for clonality studies. Results: The proliferating endothelial cells in 14 plexiform lesions were all polyclonal. Similarly proliferated smooth muscle cells from 5 vessels with medial hypertrophy were also polyclonal. Conclusion: These results suggest that the pulmonary hypertension associated with CREST syndrome has different pathogenesis from primary PH and to be classified as secondary PH.

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