• Title/Summary/Keyword: 통계적 사고 수준

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Analysis on Statistical Problem Solving Process of Pre-service Mathematics Teachers: Focus on the Result Interpretation Stage (예비 수학교사들의 통계적 문제해결 과정 분석: 결과 해석 단계를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Sohyung;Han, Sunyoung
    • Communications of Mathematical Education
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.535-558
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    • 2022
  • In the current society, where statistical literacy is recognized as an important ability, statistical education utilizing the statistical problem solving, a series of processes for performing statistics, is required. The result interpretation stage is especially important because many forms of statistics we encounter in our daily lives are the information from the analysis results. In this study, data on private education were provided to pre-service mathematics teachers, and a project was carried out in which they could experience a statistical problem solving process using the population mean estimation. Therefore, this study analyzed the characteristics shown by pre-service mathematics teachers during the result interpretation stage. First, many pre-service mathematics teachers interpreted results based on the data, but the inference was found to be a level of 2 which is not reasonable. Second, pre-service mathematics teachers in this study made various kinds of decisions related to public education, such as improving classes and after-school classes. In addition, the pre-service mathematics teachers in this study seem to have made decisions based on statistical analysis results, but they made general decisions that teachers could make, rather than specifically. Third, the pre-service mathematics teachers of this study were reflective about the question formulation stage, organizing & reducing data stage, and the result interpretation stage, but no one was reflective about the result interpretation stage.

The Value of a Statistical Life and Social Costs of Death due to Nuclear Power Plant Accidents and Energy Policy Implications (원자력발전소 사고 사망의 통계적 생명가치와 사회적 비용 및 에너지정책 시사점)

  • Yong-Joo, Kim
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.79-90
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    • 2023
  • The study is to estimate the social costs of premature deaths due to nuclear power plant(NPP) accidents, by resorting to the contingent valuation method(CVM) which is used to estimate the value of a statistical life(VSL). The VSL estimate is about 3.55 billion won, which is multiplied by some 1.8 million premature deaths due to the accidents in world history of NPP, to get a maximum social cost of 1,952 trillion won. This estimate is equivalent to the 2022 real GDP of Korea. The annual average number of premature deaths and the resulting average social cost is 26,000 and 28 trillion won, respectively. The social cost of premature deaths due not only to accidents, but also the air pollutants from fired power plants(FPP) during 1987~2021 is estimated to be 26,919 trillion won. This is equivalent to 2021 US GDP, and is about 3,000 times higher than that for NPP of 9 trillion won. In 2021, the estimated social costs of FPP and NPP are 1,075 trillion won and 292 billion won, respectively. For South Korea, the study suggests to adapt an energy mix of increased share of electricity production for NPP relative to FPP, given that the 2050 carbon neutrality strategy of Korea is expected to lead to an increased share of renewable energy in electricity production. The study emphasizes accumulating the number of CVM-based VSL studies to ensure efficient energy policies.

A Study on the Development of a Preventive Index Based on the Statistical Data of Ship Accidents (사고 통계기반 선박사고 예방지수 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Bae, Jun-Ki;Lee, Eun-Bang
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.247-252
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    • 2014
  • Despite the facts that navigation technology and educational programs were developed, and that maritime law has been enforced strictly, the number of maritime accidents has not dropped significantly. Accident prevention is emphasized because of the extreme life, property, and environmental losses that accompany maritime accidents. Even though there are a variety of preventive activities, their performance is not satisfactory. In order to promote preventive activities and to organize safety management, a Preventive Index of Ship Accident(PISA) and a Preventive Level of Ship Accident(PLSA) which are abstracted from the statistical data of ship accidents (2009~2013) are proposed. The survey module by which these variables can be calculated is composed of preventive domains such as education, engineering, enforcement and information, and is applied for the preventive indexes measurement of cargo, passenger, tanker, tugboat and fishery ships. We compared and analyzed measured result with statistical accident rates and cases to confirm the index utilities. It was found that there is some correlation between the index value and the ship accident rate. It is expected that this index will become useful to evaluate a preventive status for the prevention of ship accidents and for the maritime safety culture.

Probability and statistics in public secondary school teacher employment exam (확률 및 통계와 교원임용시험)

  • Oh, Kwangsik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1539-1545
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we analyze and discuss the trend of the probability and statistics problems that have been made in the public secondary school teacher employment exam for mathematics teachers. In order to properly teach the national mathematics curriculum in 2015 in terms of content and function, we investigate the probability and statistics contents that a mathematics teachers should know. We also analyze the contents and trends of the items that have been submitted for 15 years in public secondary school teacher employment exam, and discuss the contents, scope, level and direction of the future contents. In conclusion, considering the significance of the Big Data in the 4th industrial revolution, the problems of statistical thinking of data and probability, exploratory data analysis, sample survey, and statistical inference are needed more.

A Study on the Distribution Estimation of Personal Data Leak Incidents (개인정보유출 사고의 분포 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Hwang, Yoon-hee;Yoo, Jinho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.799-808
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    • 2016
  • To find the pattern of personal data leak incidents and confirm which distribution is suitable for, this paper searched the personal data leak incidents reported by the media from 2011 to 2014. Based on result, this research estimated the statistical distribution using the 'K-S Statistics' and tested the 'Goodness-of-Fit'. As a result, the fact that in 95% significance level, the Poisson & Exponential distribution have high 'Goodness-of-Fit' has been proven quantitatively and, this could find it for major personal data leak incidents to occur 12 times in a year on average. This study can be useful for organizations to predict a loss of personal data leak incidents and information security investments and furthermore, this study can be a data for requirements of the cyber-insurance.

A Study on the Concept of Sample by a Historical Analysis (표본 개념에 대한 고찰: 역사적 분석을 중심으로)

  • Tak, Byungjoo;Ku, Na Young;Kang, Hyun-Young;Lee, Kyeong-Hwa
    • School Mathematics
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.727-743
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    • 2014
  • The concepts of sample and sampling are central to the statistical thinking and foundations of the statistical literacy, so we need to be emphasized their importance in the statistics education. However, many researches which dealt with samples only analyze textbooks or students' responses. In this study, the concept of sample is addressed by a historical consideration which is one aspect of the didactical analysis. Moreover, developing concept of sample is analyzed from the preceding studies about the statistical literacy, considering the sample representativeness and the sampling variability. The results say that the historical process of developing the concept of sample can be divided into three step: understanding the sample representativeness; appearing the sample variance; recognizing the sampling variability. Above all, it is important to aware and control the sampling variability, but many related researches might not consider sample variability. Therefore, it implies that the awareness and control of sampling variability are needed to reflect to the teaching-learing of sample for developing the students' statistical literacy.

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Implementation Techniques for the Seafarer's Human Error Assessment Model in a Merchant Ship: Practical Application to a Ship Management Company (상선 선원의 인적과실 평가 모델 구축기법: 선박관리회사 적용 실례)

  • Yim, Jeong-Bin
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.181-191
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    • 2009
  • In general, seafarer's human error is considered to be the preponderant muse for the majority of maritime transportation accidents in a merchant ship. The implementation techniques for Human Error Model (HEM) to assess possible accident risk by deck officers including captain, chief officer, second mate and third mate are described in this study. The scope of this work is focused to 642 deck officers in the ship management company with 130 vessels. At first, HEM can be constructed through the statistical analysis and expert's brainstorming process with human data to 642 deck officers. Then the variables $\upsilon$ for the human factors, the evaluation level EP($\upsilon$) for $\upsilon$, the weight $\alpha$ of $\upsilon$, and the title weight $\beta$ of each deck officers can be decided. In addition, through the analysis of ship's accident history, the accident causation ratios by human error ${\gamma}_H$ and by external error ${\gamma}_B$ can be found as 0.517(51.7%) and 0.483(48.3%), respectively. The correlation coefficients to $\upsilon$ are also shown significant for a 95% confidence interval (p < 0.05) for each coefficient. And the validity of HEM is also surveyed by the analysis of normal probability distribution of risk level RL to each deck officer.

A Comparative Analysis of the Rental-car and non-Commercial Passenger Car Accident Characteristics in Jeju Island (제주지역 렌터카 및 비사업용 승용차 사고특성 비교분석)

  • KWON, Yeongmin;JANG, Kitae;SON, Sanghoon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.105-115
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    • 2017
  • Each year, a number of tourists visit Jeju Island, a popular tourist destination in the Republic of Korea. A large portion of the tourists (about 61%) use a rental car as a means of transportation. With this reason, the number of rental cars registered in Jeju was 15,517 in 2011, while the total number of the rental car has rapidly increased to 26,338 in 2015. For the same period, the number of rental car involved traffic accidents has been doubled. Thus, this study aims to analyze the rental car accidents' characteristics, clarifying primary factors related to rental car accidents in Jeju Island. To do this, 918 rental car accidents and 4,201 non-commercial passenger car accidents that occurred in Jeju island over the two years (2014-2015) were compared, using statistical methods such as chi-square test and z-test. The results show that the characteristics of rental car involved accidents are different from those caused by the passenger cars. Most of the rental car accidents in Jeju were caused by young drivers and drivers who had just obtained their driver's licenses. This study finds that driver immaturity, unfamiliar geography, and driving an unfamiliar vehicle are the main causes of the rental car accidents. Statistical analysis confirms that the characteristics of these accidents appeared significantly different from the passenger cars in terms of human and environmental factors. On the other hand, there is no clear evidence that vehicle-related characteristics are different between rental car and non-commercial passenger car accidents. The implications on transportation safety analysis and effective solutions to prevent rental car traffic accidents are discussed.

An Analysis of Causes of Marine Incidents at sea Using Big Data Technique (빅데이터 기법을 활용한 항해 중 준해양사고 발생원인 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Suk-Young;Kim, Ki-Sun;Kim, Hong-Beom;Rho, Beom-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.408-414
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    • 2018
  • Various studies have been conducted to reduce marine accidents. However, research on marine incidents is only marginal. There are many reports of marine incidents, but the main content of existing studies has been qualitative, which makes quantitative analysis difficult. However, quantitative analysis of marine accidents is necessary to reduce marine incidents. The purpose of this paper is to analyze marine incident data quantitatively by applying big data techniques to predict marine incident trends and reduce marine accident. To accomplish this, about 10,000 marine incident reports were prepared in a unified format through pre-processing. Using this preprocessed data, we first derived major keywords for the Marine incidents at sea using text mining techniques. Secondly, time series and cluster analysis were applied to major keywords. Trends for possible marine incidents were predicted. The results confirmed that it is possible to use quantified data and statistical analysis to address this topic. Also, we have confirmed that it is possible to provide information on preventive measures by grasping objective tendencies for marine incidents that may occur in the future through big data techniques.

An Investigation of Road Crossing Behaviour of Older Pedestrians at Unsignalized Crosswalk (무신호 단일로 횡단보도에서 고령 보행자의 횡단행태조사 및 분석)

  • JANG, Jeong Ah;KIM, Junghwa;CHOI, Keechoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.207-221
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    • 2016
  • In Korea, older pedestrian accounted for 57% of all pedestrian deaths although a ratio of older pedestrian accidents to total pedestrian accidents was only 25.9%. Though ageing population problem becomes more challenging for road safety, little is know about the behaviour of older pedestrian's behaviour. This study aimed to identify road crossing behaviour of older pedestrian at three-lane unsignalized crosswalks using video image analysis and to compare the behaviour of older pedestrian to younger one by indicators including approaching speed, the number of walking steps and other factors. The results showed that there was a difference of approaching time at kerb, waiting time at kerb, the number of glances at kerb, and the number of glances at crossing between two groups under the situation of car approaching to crosswalks. It also showed that older pedestrian usually spent 1.16 times more than younger pedestrian to walk across the crosswalk with only 84.4% of walking speed of younger pedestrian. The number of steps of older pedestrian for road crossing was 1.12 times higher with 90% shorter steps than younger pedestrian. It was concluded that older pedestrian usually decided to walk across in case of 1.67 times longer headway than younger pedestrian's decision. These results could be applied in road and facility design for better safety of older pedestrians.