• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.37 no.2
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• pp.255-263
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• 2024

GDP represents the total market value of goods and services produced by all economic entities, including households, businesses, and governments in a country, during a specific time period. It is a representative economic indicator that helps identify the size of a country's economy and influences government policies, so various studies are being conducted on it. This paper presents a GDP growth rate forecasting model based on a dynamic factor model using key macroeconomic indicators of G20 countries. The extracted factors are combined with various regression analysis methodologies to compare results. Additionally, traditional time series forecasting methods such as the ARIMA model and forecasting using common components are also evaluated. Considering the significant volatility of indicators following the COVID-19 pandemic, the forecast period is divided into pre-COVID and post-COVID periods. The findings reveal that the dynamic factor model, incorporating ridge regression and lasso regression, demonstrates the best performance both before and after COVID.

• Water for future
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• v.47 no.1
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• pp.40-47
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• 2014

기후변화-수자원 적응과제들의 성공적인 수행과 결과물의 활용을 위해서는 안전행정부, 환경부, 농림축산식품부 등 물관련 정부부처간의 긴밀한 협조체계가 이루어져야 할 것이다. 이를 위해서는 (1)안전행정부의 재난관련 방재패러다임 전환 및 위기관리 체계강화를 위한 추진과제(자연재해 지자체 방재시스템), (2)환경부의 기후변화에 따른 물환경관리 대책 추진과제(비점오염, 수질, 수생태, 습지), (3)농림축산식품부의 농업수자원 및 산림자원 확보 추진과제(농업용수, 산림재해) 등의 진행상황 및 결과의 공유체계 및 공동활용을 위한 채널구축이 필요하다. 포럼에서의 의견으로서, 타분야 특히 산업일선에서는 이미 기후변화에 따른 적응정책과 더불어 관련기술의 개발이 진행되어 우리 수자원분야는 많이 늦은 감이 있다는 지적, 그리고 제시된 기획과제 중에서 제4세부과제인 수자원의 가치를 평가하는 기술개발이 매우 중요하다는 언급이 많았다. 이에 저자들은 수자원의 가치를 높이기 위해서는 농업 그리고 에너지 분야의 전문가들과의 협력연구(Water-Food-Energy Nexus)를 통하여 세 분야의 통계기반, 정보공유, 융합가치 등의 제반연구는 매우 중요한 미래과제라고 강조하였다.

• Journal of Korean Institute of Fire Investigation
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.127-137
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• 2007

In our country, a number of fire outbreaking had been increased suddenly for 20 years from beginning of 1980's to 2001. That was related with the focus of economic policy, the rapid increasing of fire fighting objects, the change of life environment, and the increasement of usage of energy. Accordingly, we tried to enforce the function of feedback effect of fire prevention policies with analysing the trends of fire occurring from 1950's to 2006 and the correct statistical analysis.

• Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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• 2017.11a
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• pp.249-249
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• 2017

본 연구는 신 국제무역이론(Meltzer, 2012, 2014, 2015)에 대한 실증분석을 목적으로 한다. 신국제무역이론은 기술혁신역량에 대한 이질적 기업분포가 국제무역에 미치는 영향을 중심으로 전개된다. 이 새로운 국제무역이론은 기술혁신분포형태가 국제무역효과를 결정한다는 핵심가정에서 출발하기 때문에 실증적으로 우리나라 제조 기업 기술혁신분포를 추정하고, 기술혁신분포형태 즉 우리나라 기업의 기술혁신과 기술모방분포에 대한 통계적으로 검증하여, 신 국제무역이론기반에 대한 적정성을 평가하였다. 본 분석결과를 바탕으로 기술정책 및 산업정책 방향을 간단하게 제언하였다.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.19 no.6
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• pp.355-362
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• 2021

This study was attempted to examine the effectiveness of mobile-based military WithYou programs. The research design was a quasi-experimental study with one group pretest-posttest design. Data were collected from 17 December to 23 December 2020. 42 and 37 members of the Air base in City C participated in the pretest and posttest, respectively. A video education program developed to inspire bystander intervention efficacy and the intention of helping peers and strangers was provided on mobile. The data collected before and after attending the program were analyzed using descriptive statistics and t-test. The results showed that mobile-based military WithYou program was effective in increasing the intention to help friends and others. Attempts to develop and apply educational content using mobile devices for military personnel will be meaningful.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.20 no.4
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• pp.443-447
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• 2022

The purpose of this study attempted to investigate academic achievement and cooperative ability as problem-based learning to strengthen communication in Spanish courses. 70 learners taking Spanish at A University from September to December, 2021 were divided into an experimental and a control class to examine their academic achievement and cooperate ability. Academic achievement was not statistically significant, but the sub-area of communication was significant as 0.031 (*p<.05) and the cooperative ability of the experimental group, the average was increased, but it was not statistically significant. Based on this study, continuous follow-up research to develop teaching methods and teaching and learning models suitable for strengthening Spanish communication through various learner-centered convergence teaching methods will contribute to fostering talent desired by the 21st century.

• Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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• v.9 no.9
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• pp.69-81
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• 2018

The ultimate intention of this research is to identify the factors that have a significant effect on the perceived importance of information security as the antecedent of intention to information security policy compliance. We found that the effectiveness of information security training program did not have statistically significant effect on the perceived cost of policy compliance. Second, the effectiveness of information security policy has significant influence on the perceived cost of policy compliance. Third, perceived vulnerability has a significant effect on the perceived cost of policy compliance. Fourth, perceived cost of policy compliance has a significant effect on perceived importance of information security. Fifth, supervisor's attitude toward information security silence has a significant effect on employee silent behavior towards information security. Sixth, communication opportunities towards information security has a significant influence on employee silent behavior towards information security. Finally, it was shown that employee silent behavior towards information security had a significant influence on the perceived importance of information security.

• Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.1-12
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• 2020

The Government provides a financial assistance to stimulate firm R&D and innovation activities. Previous papers on the impact of public subsidies on firm R&D investments mainly had a focus on an individual policy tool regardless of potential impacts of other policy instruments. This study addresses this gap by examining the effects of policy mix regarding a subsidy and a tax credit. The empirical analyses from fixed effect model using Survey on Technology of SMEs 2015-2017 revealed valuable points. First, policy mix induces more R&D investment of SMEs, which in turn, shows a complementary relationship between two instruments. Second, even if impact of tax credit controlled, subsidy is positively associated with SMEs R&D investment. These findings justify policy mix interventions to promote SME R&D activity. Moreover, grants can be applied as a more useful policy tool for SMEs that are constrained by resources and capabilities.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.34 no.5
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• pp.823-835
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• 2021

Identification of factors influencing regional population is critical for establishing government's population policies as well as for improving residents' social, economic and cultural well-being in the region. In this study we analysed the data from 2019 Population Housing Survey in Korea to identify the factors affecting the population size in each of the three regions: Seoul, metropolitan cities, and provincial regions. We applied a Bayesian quantile regression to account for asymmetry and heteroscedasticity of data. The analysis results showed that the effects of factors vary greatly between the three regions of Seoul, metropolitan cities, and provincial regions as well as between sub regions within the same region. These results suggest that population-related variables have very heterogeneous characteristics from region to region and therefore it is important to establish customized population policies that suit regional characteristics rather than uniform population policies that apply to every region.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.24 no.1
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• pp.109-139
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• 2015

Referring to many previous research on the statistical differences in the figures of energy balance table between that of KEEI and IEA, a study is conducted to provide with a framework for proper comparison, followed by the actual calculation of the differences. Major differences are found for energy oil with its size of over 32% differences in primary energy supply and in energy transformation sectors. In final energy consumption sector, naptha consumption for petro-chemical industry shows 14.58% differences. Overall final energy consumption figure of KEEI after its adjustment to net calorific value as is the case of that of IEA is 3.58% larger than that of IEA. Considering the fact that energy balance table provides the basic information for the understanding of energy sector, further studies seem to be necessary for proper adjustment of current status.