• Title/Summary/Keyword: 축소추정법

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Prediction of Future Sea Surface Temperature around the Korean Peninsular based on Statistical Downscaling (통계적 축소법을 이용한 한반도 인근해역의 미래 표층수온 추정)

  • Ham, Hee-Jung;Kim, Sang-Su;Yoon, Woo-Seok
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.31 no.B
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    • pp.107-112
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    • 2011
  • Recently, climate change around the world due to global warming has became an important issue and damages by climate change have a bad effect on human life. Changes of Sea Surface Temperature(SST) is associated with natural disaster such as Typhoon and El Nino. So we predicted daily future SST using Statistical Downscaling Method and CGCM 3.1 A1B scenario. 9 points of around Korea peninsular were selected to predict future SST and built up a regression model using Multiple Linear Regression. CGCM 3.1 was simulated with regression model, and that comparing Probability Density Function, Box-Plot, and statistical data to evaluate suitability of regression models, it was validated that regression models were built up properly.

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Dimensionality Reduced Wave Transmission Function and Neural Networks for Crack Depth Estimation in Concrete Structures (차원 축소된 표면파 투과 함수와 인공신경망을 이용한 콘크리트 구조물의 균열 깊이 평가 기법)

  • Shin, Sung-Woo;Yun, Chung-Bang
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.247-253
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    • 2007
  • Determination of crack depth in filed using the self-calibrating surface wane transmission measurement and the cutting frequency in the transmission function (TRF) is very difficult due to variations of the measurement conditions. In this study, it is proposed to use the measured full TRF as a feature for crack depth assessment. A Principal component analysis (PCA) is employed to generate a basis of the measured TRFs for various crack cases. The measured TRFs are represented by their projections onto the most significant principal components. Then artificial neural networks (NNs) using the PCA-compressed TRFs is applied to assess the crack in concrete. Experimental study is carried out for five different crack cases to investigate the effectiveness of the proposed method. Results reveal that the proposed method can be effectively used for the crack depth assessment of concrete structures.

OCV Hysteresis Effect-based SOC Estimation in EKF Algorithm for a LiFePO4/C Cell (OCV 히스테리시스 특성을 이용한 확장 칼만 필터 기반 리튬 폴리머 배터리 SOC 추정)

  • Kim, J.H;Chun, C.Y.;Hur, I.N.;Cho, B.H.;Kim, B.J.
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 2011.11a
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    • pp.301-302
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    • 2011
  • 본 논문에서는 리튬 폴리머 배터리($LiFePO_4/C$)의 개방전압(OCV;open-circuit voltage) 히스테리시스 특성을 이용한 확장 칼만 필터(EKF;extended Kalman filter) 기반 state-of-charge(SOC) 추정방법을 소개한다. 배터리 등가회로의 중요 요소인 OCV 모델링을 위해 충전 및 방전 각각의 OCV 히스테리시스 특성을 고려하였고 더불어 OCV-SOC 관계의 SOC 간격을 10%에서 5%로 조정하여 EKF 기반 SOC 추정알고리즘의 성능이 향상되었다. 축소된 하이브리드 자동차용 전류프로파일을 적용했을 때 SOC 추정이 잘 이루어지지 않는 영역은 EKF의 측정방정식에 노이즈 모델 및 데이터 리젝션(data rejection)을 구축하였다. 제안된 방법을 이용하여 SOC 추정결과 전류적산법 대비 5%이내의 SOC 추정에러를 만족하였다.

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A Small Area Estimation for Monthly Wage Using Mean Squared Percentage Error (MSPE를 이용한 임금총액 소지역 추정)

  • Hwang, Hee-Jin;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.403-414
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    • 2009
  • Many researches have been devoted to the small area estimation related with the area level statistics. Almost all of the small area estimation methods are derived based on minimization of mean squared error(MSE). Recently Hwang and Shin (2008) suggested an alternative small area estimation method by minimizing mean squared percentage error. In this paper we apply this small area estimation method to the labor statistics, especially monthly wages by a branch area of labor department. The Monthly Labor Survey data (2007) is used for analysis and comparison of these methods.

Design of a Digital Robust Control Using Observer for Manipulator (관측기를 이용한 강인한 디지털 로보트제어)

  • 이보희;김진걸
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.19 no.12
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    • pp.2353-2363
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    • 1994
  • This paper is concerned with the design of a robust digital controller using reduced-order observer on a robotic manipulator under the disturbance. In most cases of robotic manipulator since all state vectors are not measurable, the unmeasurable state vectors must be estimated or reconstructed. Other problems are caused by the nonlinear element like as nondifferentiable Coulomb friction, disturbance due to the gravitational pull, and the torsional spring effect of a link between the drive motor and the manipulator arm. The controller is based on feeding back the observable variables and the estimated state variables which are generated by the observer, and augmenting the system by additional discrete integrators. The feedback gain parameters are obtained by first applying the optimal control theory and then readjusting the feedback parameters to eliminate the limit cycle by using describing Function for nonlinear hybrid system.

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MRI Artifact Correction due to Unknown Respiratory Motion (미지 호흡운동에 의한 MRI 아티팩트의 수정)

  • 김응규
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2004
  • In this study, an improved post-processing technique for correcting MRI artifact due to the unknown respiratory motion in the imaging plane is presented. Respiratory motion is modeled by a two-Dimensional linear expending-shrinking movement. Assuming that the body tissues are incompressible fluid like materials, the proton density per unit volume of the imaging object is kept constant. According to the introduced model, respiratory motion imposes phase error, non-uniform sampling and amplitude modulation distortions on the acquired MRI data. When the motion parameters are known or can be estimatead a reconstruction algorithm based on biliner superposition method was used to correct the MRI artifact. In the case of motion parameters are unknown, first, the spectrum shift method is applied to find the respiratory fluctuation function, x directional expansion coefficient and x directional expansion center. Next, y directional expansion coefficient and y directional expansion center are estimated by using the minimum energy method. Finally, the validity of this proposed method is shown to be effective by using the simulated motion images.

Image Interpolation Using Loss Information Estimation and Its Implementation on Portable Device (손실 정보 추정을 이용한 영상 보간과 휴대용 장치에서의 구현)

  • Kim, Won-Hee;Kim, Jong-Nam
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.45-50
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    • 2010
  • An image interpolation is a technique to use for enhancement of image resolution, it have two problems which are image quality degradation of the interpolated result image and high computation complexity. In this paper, to solve the problem, we propose an image interpolation algorithm using loss information estimation and implement the proposed method on portable device. From reduction image of obtained low resolution image, the proposed method can computes error to use image interpolated and estimate loss information by interpolation of the computed error. The estimated loss information is added to interpolated high resolution image with weight factor. We verified that the proposed method has improved FSNR as 2dB than conventional algorithms by experiments. Also, we implemented the proposed method on portable device and checked up real-time action. The proposed algorithm may be helpful for various application for image enlargement and reconstruction.

A Study on the Population Estimation of Small Areas using Explainable Machine Learning: Focused on the Busan Metropolitan City (해석가능한 기계학습을 적용한 소지역 인구 추정에 관한 연구: 부산광역시를 대상으로)

  • Yu-Hyun KIM;Donghyun KIM
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.97-115
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    • 2023
  • In recent years, the structure of the population has been changing rapidly, with a declining birthrate and aging population, and the inequality of population distribution is expanding. At this point, changes in population estimation methods are required, and more accurate estimates are needed at the subregional level. This study aims to estimate the population in 2040 at the 500m grid level by applying an explainable machine learning to Busan in order to respond to this need for a change in population estimation method. Comparing the results of population estimation by applying the explainable machine learning and the cohort component method, we found that the machine learning produces lower errors and is more applicable to estimating areas with large population changes. This is because machine learning can account for a combination of variables that are likely to affect demographic change. Overestimated population values in a declining population period are likely to cause problems in urban planning, such as inefficiency of investment and overinvestment in certain sectors, resulting in a decrease in quality in other sectors. Underestimated population values can also accelerate the shrinkage of cities and reduce the quality of life, so there is a need to develop appropriate population estimation methods and alternatives.

Who Gets Government SME R&D Subsidy? Application of Gradient Boosting Model (Gradient Boosting 모형을 이용한 중소기업 R&D 지원금 결정요인 분석)

  • Kang, Sung Won;Kang, HeeChan
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.77-109
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we build a gradient Boosting model to predict government SME R&D subsidy, select features of high importance, and measure the impact of each features to the predicted subsidy using PDP and SHAP value. Unlike previous empirical researches, we focus on the effect of the R&D subsidy distribution pattern to the incentive of the firms participating subsidy competition. We used the firm data constructed by KISTEP linking government R&D subsidy record with financial statements provided by NICE, and applied a Gradient Boosting model to predict R&D subsidy. We found that firms with higher R&D performance and larger R&D investment tend to have higher R&D subsidies, but firms with higher operation profit or total asset turnover rate tend to have lower R&D subsidies. Our results suggest that current government R&D subsidy distribution pattern provides incentive to improve R&D project performance, but not business performance.

Variable selection with quantile regression tree (분위수 회귀나무를 이용한 변수선택 방법 연구)

  • Chang, Youngjae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.1095-1106
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    • 2016
  • The quantile regression method proposed by Koenker et al. (1978) focuses on conditional quantiles given by independent variables, and analyzes the relationship between response variable and independent variables at the given quantile. Considering the linear programming used for the estimation of quantile regression coefficients, the model fitting job might be difficult when large data are introduced for analysis. Therefore, dimension reduction (or variable selection) could be a good solution for the quantile regression of large data sets. Regression tree methods are applied to a variable selection for quantile regression in this paper. Real data of Korea Baseball Organization (KBO) players are analyzed following the variable selection approach based on the regression tree. Analysis result shows that a few important variables are selected, which are also meaningful for the given quantiles of salary data of the baseball players.