• Title/Summary/Keyword: 추정적 의사

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Analysis on Socio-cultural Aspect of Willingness to Pay for Air Quality (PM10, PM2.5) Improvement in Seoul (서울지역 미세먼지 문제 개선을 위한 사회문화적 지불의사액 추정)

  • Kim, Jaewan;Jung, Taeyong;Lee, Taedong;Lee, Dong Kun
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.101-112
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    • 2019
  • Over the last few years, air pollution ($PM_{10}$, $PM_{2.5}$) in the Seoul metropolitan area (SMA) has emerged as one of the most concerned and threatening environmental issues among the residents. It brings about various harmful effects on human health, as well as ecosystem and industrial activities. Governments and individuals pay various costs to mitigate the level of air pollutants. This study aims to empirically find the willingness to pays (WTP) among the parents from different socio-cultural groups - international and domestic groups to mitigate air pollution ($PM_{10}$, $PM_{2.5}$) in their residential area. Contingent Valuation Methods (CVM) is used with employing single-bounded dichotomous choice technique to elicit the respondent's WTP. Using tobit (censored regression) and probit models, the monthly mean WTP of the pooled sample for green electricity which contributes to improve air quality in the region was estimated as 3,993 KRW (3.58 USD). However, the mean WTP between the international group and domestic group through a sub-sample analysis shows broad distinction as 3,325KRW (2.98 USD) and 4,449 KRW (3.98 USD) respectively. This is because that socio-cultural characteristics of each group such as socio-economic status, personal experience, trust in institutions and worldview are differently associated with the WTP. Based on the results, the society needs to raise awareness of lay people to find a strong linkage between the current PM issue and green electricity. Also, it needs to improve trust in the government's pollution abatement policy to mobilize more assertive participation of the people from different socio-cultural background.

Estimating Ancillary Benefits of GHG Reduction Using Contingent Valuation Method (온실가스 감축의 부수적 가치 추정)

  • Kim, Chung-Sil;Lee, Sang-Ho;Jung, Sang-Ok;Yeo, Jun-Ho;Lee, Sun-Seok
    • Journal of agriculture & life science
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2010
  • In the contingent valuation method (CVM) survey, we employed double-bounded discrete choice (DBDC) question to investigate the willingness to pay (WTP). The estimation results for the bivariate logit model show that respondents are willing to pay 329,256 won per year. The model with covariate variables suggests that the covariate effects help describe behavioral or preference tendencies. Double-bounded models increase efficiency over single dichotomous choice models, because the answers yes-no or no-yes yield clear bounds on WTP.

Contingent Valuation of Wildlife-Vehicle Collision Prevention Projects (조건부가치측정법을 이용한 야생동물 교통사고 예방사업의 경제적 가치 추정)

  • Lee, Namhyung;Park, Sang Soo;Bae, Inchul;Lee, Chung-Ki
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2016
  • With the continuous expansion of highway network and its traffics, neighboring wildlife habitats are splitted into smaller and more isolated patches. The infrastructures contribute to the wildlife-vehicle collision by creating barriers to animal movement. This kinds of traffic accidents are dangerous factors to the drivers' safety and the facilities on the highway as well as to the wildlife themselves. One of the most common ways to prevent habitat fragmentation are fauna crossings and fences. The cost of the mitigation measures to prevent wildlife-vehicle collision could be monetized. However their economic benefits are difficult to be measured. Using contingent valuation method, this study tries to estimate the economic valuation of wildlife collision prevention projects on the Korean highways. The result shows that 43.88% of Korean household had the positive willingness pay to the projects. Moreover, we found that the recognition of the project or the favourable attitude to the environmental issues could raise the willingness-to-pay. Therefore, active public relation on the project could make the friendly public opinion and increase the number of the household which has the positive willingness-to-pay on the project.

Estimating the non-use values of Gum river estuary using contingent valuation method - by Turnbull nonparametric estimation method (조건부가치측정법을 이용한 금강 하구의 비사용가치 추정 - Turnbull 비모수적 추정 방법을 적용하여)

  • Shin, Youngchul
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.11
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    • pp.479-485
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    • 2017
  • This study estimated the non-use values of the Gum river estuary which are not related to the direct or indirect use of the Gum river estuary using the contingent valuation method (CVM). The non-use values of the Gum river estuary were explained and asked to be evaluated in the CVM questionnaire and estimates of the WTPs(willingness-to-pay) were elicited using the Turnbull nonparametric estimation methods on the dichotomous choice CV data. Results found the Turnbull lower bounded mean WTP per year for non-use value of the Gum river estuary was estimated at 5,822 won (95% C.I. 5,295 ~ 6,349 won) from single dichotomous CV data, and 6,205 won (95% C.I. 5,701 ~ 6,710 won) from double dichotomous CV data. The mean of two WTP estimates, 6,014 won (95% C.I. 5,498 ~ 6,529 won), was used to calculate the annual total non-use value of the Gum river estuary. Therefore, the non-use value of the Gum river estuary was estimated at 220.3 billion won (95% C.I. 201.4 - 239.2 billion won) annually. This non-use value of the Gum river estuary was composed of the bequest value totaling 68.3 billion won (95% C.I. 62.5 - 74.2 billion won), the existence value of 58.0 billion won (95% C.I. 53.0 - 63.0 billion won), the option value of 57.7 billion won (95% C.I. 52.7 - 62.6 billion won), and the vicarious consumption value totaling 36.3 billion won (95% C.I. 33.1 - 39.4 billion won).

Development of Rainfall-Flood Damage Estimation Function using Nonlinear Regression Equation (비선형 회귀식을 이용한 강우-홍수피해액 추정 함수 개발)

  • Eo, Gyu;Kim, Kyung-Tae;Kim, Yon-Soo;Lee, Jongso;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2015.11a
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    • pp.259-260
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    • 2015
  • 재해가 발생하기 전에 피해규모와 이에 따른 영향 및 피해액을 신속하게 추정하는 것은 효율적인 재난 관리를 하는데 있어 중요하고, 더불어 정책결정자들이 의사결정을 할 때 도움이 될 수 있다. 하지만 기존의 연구는 단순 재해 피해발생 후에 그 피해액 혹은 복구액을 산정하는 수준이며, 현재 피해액 추정에 대한 연구는 전무 하며 그 기술개발에 또한 초기단계에 있다. 이에 피해액 추정에 대한 연구가 시급한 실정이다. 실질적으로 자연재해 정보에 대한 수요가 급증하고 있는 반면에 체계적이고 일관된 통계기반의 정보체계는 미흡하다. 이에 국가에서도 재해에 대한 피해액 및 복구비 산정 등 예산편성에 있어 큰 어려움을 겪고 있다. 기존통계 방식에 대한 개선의 필요성 인식과 더불어 본 연구의 목적은 재해 발생 전에 그 피해규모와 영향을 고려하여 이에 따른 피해액을 신속하게 추정하기 위함에 있다. 본 연구에서는 비선형 회귀식을 이용하여 강우-홍수피해액에 대한 함수를 제시하고자 한다.

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A GIS Based Spatial Decision Support System for Retail Center Locations (소매중심지 입지를 위한 GIS기반의 공간적 의사결정 지원시스템)

  • 백영기
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.278-291
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    • 2001
  • This paper is to build a spatial decision support system designed to solve problems relevant to the decision-making for retail center locations. For construction of the system this paper discusses the primary procedures of spatial modeling and issues of data, which are required for integrating spatial interaction models to GIS having capability of managing, analyzing and visualizing spatial data sets. Lexington, Kentucky, is selected as a case study to implement the spatial decision support system based on the spatial modeling module. This system for retail center locations is useful of estimating the catchment areas more accurately and analyzing resultant flow patterns. And this system can make spatial analysis efficiently for what-if scenarios such as an intended retail center or changing demand. The benefits of adopting this system allow the decision makers to plan the investment strategies and search for stable market structure.

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Measuring Recreation Benefits of Dam Reservoirs in Korea - A Mixed Logit Approach - (댐호수의 특성별 휴양가치 분석)

  • Kwon, Oh Sang;Kim, Won Hee;Lee, Hae Jin;Heo, Jeong Hoi;Park, Doo-Ho
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.867-891
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is estimating the recreation benefits of the largest 10 dam reservoirs in Korea. A mixed logit or random parameters log it model is constructed and estimated. Not only the recreation value of each dam lake but also the values of the main characteristics of the lakes such as the amount of water reserved, and the availability of boating and fishing are estimated. It is shown that recreation value is not less than other benefit such as irrigation, industrial, municipal use, hydro power, or even flood control benefit.

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Estimating Economic Values of Parcel Service Attributes (택배 서비스 속성별 경제적 가치 추정)

  • Han, Sang-Yong;Kim, Yong-Mi
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2010
  • The objective of this paper is to quantify economic values of parcel service attributes (safety, reliability, quickness, and kindness and customer service) using the contingent choice method and to investigate impact factors (such as sex, age, and education), which influence choice of desirable parcel services. As empirical results, the marginal willingness-to-pay for multiple attributes of parcel service is calculated as about 2,349.6 KRW for the safety attribute, about 829.3 KRW for the reliability attribute, about 588.5 KRW for the quickness attribute, and about 358.8 KRW for the kindness and customer service attribute, according to the estimation model without covariates. The overall results indicate that the safety attribute ranks highest among parcel service attributes, followed by the reliability attribute, quickness attribute, and kindness and customer service attribute. These results can be useful in the decision-making process for establishing desirable pricing policies for parcel service.

A Study on Developing a Model for Cancer Damage Cost Due to Risk from Benzene in Ulsan Metropolitan City (울산 지역에서 대기중 벤젠으로 인한 암 사망 손실비용 추정 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Yong-Jin;Kim, Ye-Shin;Shin, Dong-Chun;Shin, Young-Chul
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.49-82
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    • 2004
  • The study aimed to evaluate cancer damage cost due to risk from benzene inhalation. We performed health risk assessment based on US EPA guideline to estimate annual population risk in Ulsan metropolitan city. Also, we estimated a willingness-to-pay amount for reducing a cancer mortality rate to evaluate a value of statistical life. We combined the annual population risk and the value of statistical life to calculate the cancer damage cost. In the health risk assessment, we applied the benzene unit risk ($2.2{\times}10^{-6}{\sim}7.8{\times}10^{-6}$) in the US EPA'S Integrated Risk Information System to assess the annual population risk. Average concentration of benzene in ambient air is $7.88{\mu}g/m^3$(min: 1.16~max: $23.32{\mu}g/m^3$). We targeted an exposure population of 516,641 persons who aged over 30 years old. Using a Monte-Carlo simulation for uncertainty analysis, we evaluated that the population risk of benzene during ten years in Ulsan city is 2.90 persons (5 percentile: 0.32~95 percentile: 9.11persons). And the monthly average WTP for 5/1,000 cancer mortality reduction during ten years is 14,852 Won(95% C.I: 13,135~16,794 Won) and the implied VSL is 36 million Won(95% C.I: 30~40 million Won). Cancer damage cost due to risk from benzene inhalation during 10 years in Ulsan city is about 104 million Won(5 percentile: 13~95 percentile: 328 million Won). Health benefit cost to reduce a cancer mortality risk of benzene is about 50 million Won is Ulsan metropolitann city. But, it is very important that this cost is not for all health damage cost of cancer mortality in some area. We just recommended a model for evaluating a cancer risk reduction, so we must re-evaluate an integrated application of total VOCs damage cost including benzene.

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The effect of prioritizing big data in managerial accounting decision making (관리회계 의사결정에 있어 빅 데이터 우선순위 설정의 효과)

  • Kim, Kyung-Ihl
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.11 no.11
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    • pp.10-16
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    • 2021
  • As the implementation of smart factories spreads widely, the need for research to improve data efficiency is raised by prioritizing massive amounts of big data using IoT devices in terms of relevance and quality. The purpose of this study is to investigate whether prioritizing big data in management accounting decisions such as cost volatility estimation and recipe optimization can improve smart solution performance and decision-making effectiveness. Based on the survey answers of 84 decision makers at domestic small and medium-sized manufacturers who operate smart solutions such as ERP and MES that link manufacturing data in real time, empirical research was conducted. As a result, it was analyzed that setting prioritization of big data has a positive effect on decision-making in management accounting. became In addition, it was found that big data prioritization has a mediating effect that indirectly affects smart solution performance by using big data in management accounting decision making. Through the research results, it will be possible to contribute as a prior research to develop a scale to evaluate the correlation between big data in the process of business decision making.