• Title/Summary/Keyword: 최소평균자승 오차 추정

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Study on the estimation of environmental effects on milk yield in Holstein (Holstein종(種)의 유량(乳量)에 영향(影響)을 미치는 환경효과(環境效果) 추정(推定)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Yun, Doo Hag;Choi, Kwang Soo
    • Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
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    • v.9
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    • pp.37-49
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    • 1991
  • This study was conducted to estimate the effects of year, age of dam at calving, farm and lactation period on milk yield with the data of 4,008 cows' records which were collected at 32 farms by Korea Animal Improvement Association from 1985 to 1989. The results obtained in this study are summarized as follows: 1. The average performance of the dairy cattle in the study were $5,959.23{\pm}2,113.03kg$ in actual milk yield, $49.19{\pm}22.77$ months in age of dam at calving, $27.11{\pm}5.13$ months in age at first calving and $255.11{\pm}79.68$ days in lactation period. 2. The percentages of variance component for different sources were 29.39% for the residuals, 1.91% for years, 4.86% for age at calving, 8.89% for farms and 54.94% for lactation period. 3. The overall mean of least-square estimate on the milk yield was 6,229.31kg. In the effects of year, the least-square means of milk yield were estimated 6,000.76kg in 1985-1987, 6,028.11kg in 1988 and 6,659.07kg in 1989. 4. The least-square means of calving age on the milk yield were estimated 5,456.01kg in less than 24 months, 6,565.48kg in 61-66 months which were the highest least-square means. This effects were gradually increased until the 61-66months and gradually decreased after the 61-66months, with highly significant differences among different months of age at calving(p<0.01). 5. In the effects of farm, the least-square means of milk yield were estimated 4,959.50 kg in the lowest farm and 7,497.07kg in the highest farm. Among the milk yield of each farm the effects showed highly significant difference(p<0.01). 6. The least-square means of milk yield in the effects of lactation period were gradually increased with the lapse of the lactation period. Among the lactation period the effects showed highly significant difference(p<0.01).

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달 탐사선의 항행해 결정을 위한 심우주 예비 항법 소프트웨어의 개발

  • Kim, Jae-Hyeok;Song, Yeong-Ju;Park, Sang-Yeong
    • Bulletin of the Korean Space Science Society
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    • 2010.04a
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    • pp.28.4-29
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    • 2010
  • 이 연구는 심우주 추적망(Deep Space Network) 측정 시스템의 구현을 위한 한국형 심우주 항법 예비 소프트웨어(Korean Deep Space Orbit Determination Program version 1; K-DSODP ver.1)의 개발을 목표로 한다. 연구의 주 내용은 심우주 항법을 위한 기초 기술 연구로 지구로부터 달까지 진행하는 탐사선의 궤적 추정에 대한 것이며, 연구의 시작에 앞서 사용될 관측 데이터를 얻기 위해 한국형 심우주 항법 관측데이터 생성 소프트웨어(Korean Deep Space Observation Data Generation Program version 1; K-DSODGP ver.1)를 개발하여 사용하였다. 임의의 잡음이 추가된 가상의 관측 데이터를 생성한 후, 이 관측 데이터를 실제 궤도로 상정하여 기하학적인 관측 모델을 수립하였고, 일정한 시간 간격동안 모은 임의의 관측 데이터를 가지고 궤도 결정을 수행하여 추정된 궤도를 전파하였다. 궤도 결정 알고리즘을 구성하기 위해 기본적인 좌표계, 탐사선에 미치는 지구의 중력에 대한 동역학 모델, 천체력과 탐사선의 동역학 모델로 구성된 관측 모델들을 유도하였으며, 탐사선의 위치와 속도를 추정하는 과정에서 가중치 최소 자승법을 적용하여 추정 궤도와 실제 궤도의 최소화를 유도하였다. 이러한 일련의 과정을 통해 요구한 시각의 탐사선의 위치와 속도를 결정하는 궤도결정 시스템을 구현하였고, 궤도 결정 시스템의 성능을 평가하기 위해 전파된 궤도와 실제 궤도의 차이를 분석하였다. 결과적으로 300초마다 관측데이터를 받을 경우, 2일 이상의 궤도결정 시간간격을 상정했을 때 평균 오차는 각각 약 0.26km RMS(range), 6.84km/s RMS(range-rate) 이내의 결과를 얻었고, 600초마다 관측데이터를 받을 경우, 평균 오차는 각각 약 0.30km RMS (range), 6.35km/s RMS(range-rate) 이내의 안정적인 결과를 얻었다. 이 연구의 결과를 통하여 추후 심화된 심우주 항법 소프트웨어 개발을 위한 기반이 마련될 것이다.

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Extraction of Time Coherence Using Detection of Dominant Components for Underwater Acoustic Communication Channels at East Sea (동해 연근해에서 수중통신 채널의 지배응답 검출을 통한 시간 상관도의 산출)

  • Kim, Hyeonsu;Kim, Jaeyoung;Park, Gunwoo;Kim, Seongil;Chung, Jaehak
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.22-31
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we propose a method that estimates the channel response from underwater communication signals with MMSE (Minimun Mean Squared Error) and detects dominant components automatically based on power of response components using CFAR (Constant False Alarm Rate). Statistical characteristics are analyzed with variation of magnitude and phase and time coherence via experimental data obtained by drifting transmitter and receiver. We show that bit error rate has small difference, 1.2 times, compared with the case using every channel information estimated within data period when estimation and equalization is performed with extracted characteristic obtained by the proposed method.

Comparison of Multi-Static Sonar Target Positioning Performance (다중상태 소나망 위치 추정 성능 비교)

  • Park, Chee-Hyun;Ko, Han-Seok
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.166-172
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we address the target positioning performance of Multi-Static sonar with respect to target positioning method and measurement error. Based on the analysis on two candidate solution approaches, namely, Least Square (LS) using range and angular information simultaneously and Maximum Likelihood (ML) using only range information as the existing information fusion methods for possible application to Multi-Static sonar, we propose to employ ML using range and angular information. Assuming that each sensor can receive range and angular information, we conduct representative comparison experiments over the existing and proposed methods under various measurement noise scenarios. We also investigate the target positioning performance according to number of sensors, distance between transmitter and receiver. According to the experimental results, RMSE of the proposed ML with distance and direction information is found to be more superior to ML using distance alone and to LS in case distance between transmitter and receiver is longer and number of receiver is smaller.

Evaluating the Accuracy of Spatial Interpolators for Estimating Land Price (지가 추정을 위한 공간내삽법의 정확성 평가)

  • JUN, Byong-Woon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.125-140
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    • 2017
  • Until recently, regression based spatial interpolation methods and Kriging based spatial interpolation methods have been largely used to estimate land price or housing price, but less attention has been paid on comparing the performance of these spatial interpolation methods. In this regard, this research applied regression based spatial interpolators and Kriging based spatial interpolators for estimating the land prices in Dalseo-gu, Daegu metropolitan city and evaluated the accuracy of eight spatial interpolators. OLS, SLM, SEM, and GWR were used as regression based spatial interpolators while SK, OK, UK, and CK were employed as Kriging based spatial interpolators. The global accuracy was statistically evaluated by RMSE, adjusted RMSE, and COD. The relative accuracy was visually compared by three-dimensional residual error map and scatterplot. Results from statistical and visual analyses indicate that GWR reflecting the spatial non-stationarity was a relatively more accurate spatial predictor to estimate land prices in the study area than SAR and Kriging based spatial interpolators considering the spatial dependence. The findings from this research will contribute to the secondary research into analyzing the urban spatial structure with land prices.

Flood Analysis Using Distributed Runoff Model in Moutainous Watershed (산지하천 유역에서의 분포형 유출모형을 통한 홍수 해석)

  • Kim, Seung-Joo;Choi, Chang-Won;Yi, Jae-Eung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.1274-1278
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    • 2010
  • 우리나라는 국토의 60% 이상이 산지로 구성되어 있다. 현재 국내에서는 홍수유출 해석 시 집중형 모형을 주로 이용하고 있다. 집중형 모형은 대개 유역 최하류 지점의 유출구를 기준으로 홍수유출 해석 모형의 매개변수 추정 및 검증이 이루어지며, 유역의 매개변수를 소유역별로 동일하게 가정하여 입력 자료를 구성한다. 따라서 산지하천 유역의 홍수유출 해석 및 예측 시 경사가 급하고 고도가 높으며 집중시간이 빠른 산지하천의 지형적 요소 및 특징을 적절히 고려하지 못하여 정확한 예측 및 해석을 하는데 어려움이 발생한다. 분포형 모형은 하나의 유출구가 아닌 임의의 지점에서 홍수유출 해석이 가능하며, 강우자료 입력 시 유역 평균강우가 아닌 분포형 강우, 즉 역거리자승법, 크리깅 기법 등을 사용하여 분포형 강우로 변환한 지점강우와 레이더 강우를 사용하여 보다 정확한 홍수유출 해석이 가능하다. 그리고 분포형 모형은 입력하는 모든 매개변수를 지형 자료에서 추출하여 사용하기 때문에 인공적인 해석을 배제할 수 있어 인위적인 오차를 줄일 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 평창강 상류유역을 시험유역으로 선정하여 연구를 수행하였으며, 분포형 모형의 하나인 $Vflo^{TM}$를 사용하여 홍수유출해석을 수행하였다. 지형자료만을 사용하여 특정 지점이 아닌 유역 내 임의 지점의 홍수유출량과 집중시간, 홍수위를 산정할 수 있어 산지하천에서 돌발적으로 발생하는 홍수를 신속하게 예측할 수 있었다. 또한 임의의 지점에서의 설계홍수량을 손쉽게 산정하여 수공구조물 설계 시 이용할 수 있으므로 홍수에 의한 인적 물적 피해를 최소할 할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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Step Size Normalization for Maximum Cross-Correntropy Algorithms (최대 상호코렌트로피 알고리듬을 위한 스텝사이즈 정규화)

  • Kim, Namyong
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.41 no.9
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    • pp.995-1000
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    • 2016
  • The maximum cross-correntropy (MCC) algorithm with a set of random symbols keeps its optimum weights undisturbed from impulsive noise unlike MSE-based algorithms and its main factor has been known to be the input magnitude controller (IMC) that adjusts the input intensity according to error power. In this paper, a normalization of the step size of the MCC algorithm by the power of IMC output is proposed. The IMC output power is tracked recursively through a single-pole low-pass filter. In the simulation under impulsive noise with two different multipath channels, the steady state MSE and convergence speed of the proposed algorithm is found to be enhanced by about 1 dB and 500 samples, respectively, compared to the conventional MCC algorithm.

Estimation on the Distribution Function for Coastal Air Temperature Data in Korean Coasts (한반도 연안 기온자료의 분포함수 추정)

  • Jeong, Shin Taek;Cho, Hongyeon;Ko, Dong Hui;Hwang, Jae Dong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.278-284
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    • 2014
  • Water temperature due to climate change can be estimated using the air temperature because the air and water temperatures are closely related and the water temperatures have been widely used as the indicators of the environmental and ecological changes. It is highly necessary to estimate the frequency distribution of the air and water temperatures, for the climate change derives the change of the coastal water temperatures. In this study, the distribution function of the air temperatures is estimated by using the long-term coastal air temperature data sets in Korea. The candidate distribution function is the bi-modal distribution function used in the previous studies, such as Cho et al.(2003) on tidal elevation data and Jeong et al.(2013) on the coastal water temperature data. The parameters of the function are optimally estimated based on the least square method. It shows that the optimal parameters are highly correlated to the basic statistical informations, such as mean, standard deviation, and skewness coefficient. The RMS error of the parameter estimation using statistical information ranges is about 5 %. In addition, the bimodal distribution fits good to the overall frequency pattern of the air temperature. However, it can be regarded as the limitations that the distribution shows some mismatch with the rapid decreasing pattern in the high-temperature region and the some small peaks.

Voice Personality Transformation Using a Probabilistic Method (확률적 방법을 이용한 음성 개성 변환)

  • Lee Ki-Seung
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.150-159
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    • 2005
  • This paper addresses a voice personality transformation algorithm which makes one person's voices sound as if another person's voices. In the proposed method, one person's voices are represented by LPC cepstrum, pitch period and speaking rate, the appropriate transformation rules for each Parameter are constructed. The Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) is used to model one speaker's LPC cepstrums and conditional probability is used to model the relationship between two speaker's LPC cepstrums. To obtain the parameters representing each probabilistic model. a Maximum Likelihood (ML) estimation method is employed. The transformed LPC cepstrums are obtained by using a Minimum Mean Square Error (MMSE) criterion. Pitch period and speaking rate are used as the parameters for prosody transformation, which is implemented by using the ratio of the average values. The proposed method reveals the superior performance to the previous VQ-based method in subjective measures including average cepstrum distance reduction ratio and likelihood increasing ratio. In subjective test. we obtained almost the same correct identification ratio as the previous method and we also confirmed that high qualify transformed speech is obtained, which is due to the smoothly evolving spectral contours over time.

Encounter of Lattice-type coding with Wiener's MMSE and Shannon's Information-Theoretic Capacity Limits in Quantity and Quality of Signal Transmission (신호 전송의 양과 질에서 위너의 MMSE와 샤논의 정보 이론적 정보량 극한 과 격자 코드 와의 만남)

  • Park, Daechul;Lee, Moon Ho
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.50 no.8
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    • pp.83-93
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    • 2013
  • By comparing Wiener's MMSE on stochastic signal transmission with Shannon's mutual information first proved by C.E. Shannon in terms of information theory, connections between two approaches were investigated. What Wiener wanted to see in signal transmission in noisy channel is to try to capture fundamental limits for signal quality in signal estimation. On the other hands, Shannon was interested in finding fundamental limits of signal quantity that maximize the uncertainty in mutual information using the entropy concept in noisy channel. First concern of this paper is to show that in deriving limits of Shannon's point to point fundamental channel capacity, Shannon's mutual information obtained by exploiting MMSE combiner and Wiener filter's MMSE are interelated by integro-differential equantion. Then, At the meeting point of Wiener's MMSE and Shannon's mutual information the upper bound of spectral efficiency and the lower bound of energy efficiency were computed. Choosing a proper lattice-type code of a mod-${\Lambda}$AWGN channel model and MMSE estimation of ${\alpha}$ confirmed to lead to the fundamental Shannon capacity limits.