• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지수함수분포

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Analysis of the Variation Pattern of the Wave Climate in the Sokcho Coastal Zone (속초 연안의 파랑환경 변화양상 분석)

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon;Jeong, Weon-Mu;Baek, Won-Dae;Kim, Sang-Ik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.120-127
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    • 2012
  • Exploratory data analysis was carried out by using the long-term wave climate data in Sokcho coastal zone. The main features found in this study are as follows. The coefficient of variations on the wave height and period are about 0.11 and 0.02, respectively. It also shows that the annual components of the wave height and period are dominant and their amplitudes are 0.24 m and 0.56 seconds, respectively. The amount of intra-annual variation range is about two times greater than that of the inter-annual variation range. The distribution shapes of the wave data are very similar to the log-normal and GEV(generalized extreme value) functions. However, the goodness-of-fit tests based on the KS test show as "rejected" for all suggested density functions. Then, the structure of the timeseries wave height data is roughly estimated as AR(3) model. Based on the wave duration results, it is clearly shown that the continuous and maximum duration is decreased as a power function shape and the total duration is exponentially decreased. Meanwhile, the environment of the Sokcho coastal zone is classified as a wave-dominated environment.

The Assessment of Various Index Flood Models for Nonstationary Regional Frequency Analysis (비정상성 지역빈도해석을 위한 홍수지수법의 형태에 따른 성능 평가)

  • Kim, Hanbeen;Kim, Sunghun;Joo, Kyungwon;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.80-80
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    • 2017
  • 최근 수문자료에 비정상성이 관측됨에 따라 비정상성 지역빈도해석에 대한 연구가 진행되고 있다. 홍수지수법 (index flood method)은 지역빈도해석에서 가장 널리 사용되는 방법으로 각 지점의 특성을 반영하는 홍수지수 (index flood)와 지역적 특성을 대표하는 성장곡선 (growth curve)을 통해 확률수문량을 산정하며, 비정상성 지역빈도해석의 경우 홍수지수법 내의 요소들을 시간에 대한 함수로 정의함으로써 비정상성을 반영한다. 본 연구에서는 다양한 형태의 비정상성 홍수지수법을 통해 비정상성 지역빈도해석을 수행하고 각 방법에 따른 성능을 비교하였다. 이를 위해 경향성을 가지는 매개변수를 포함하는 비정상성 분포형을 모분포로 가지는 자료를 생성하였으며, 이를 기반으로 다양한 경향성을 가지는 자료들로 지역을 구성하였다. 구성된 지역에 대해 동질성 검토를 수행하여 비정상성 자료들이 포함된 지역의 동질성을 확인하였으며, Monte Carlo 모의실험을 통해 각 비정상성 홍수지수모형에 대한 확률수문량의 RRMSE와 RBIAS를 산정하여 성능을 평가하였다.

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Analysis of Spatial-temporal Variability of NOAA/AVHRR NDVI in Korea (NOAA/AVHRR 정규식생지수의 시공간 변화도 분석)

  • Kim, Gwangseob;Kim, Jong Pil
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.3B
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    • pp.295-303
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    • 2010
  • The variability of vegetation is strongly related to the variability of hydrometeorological factors such as precipitation, temperature, runoff and so on. Analysis of the variability of vegetation will aid to understand the regional impact of climate change. Thus we analyzed the spatial-temporal variability of NOAA(National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)/AVHRR(Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer) NDVI(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index). In the results from Mann-Kendall test, there is no significant linear trend of annual NDVI from 1982 to 2006 in the most area except the downward trend on the significance level 90% in the Guem-river basin area. In addition, using EOF(Empirical Orthogonal Function) analysis, the variability of NDVI in the region of higher latitude and altitude is higher than that in the other region since the spatial variability of NDVI follows the latitudinal gradient. Also we could get higher NDVI in June, July, August and September. We had the highest NDVI in Han-river basin area and the lowest in Je-Ju island.

Bayesian estimation of ordered parameters (순서화 모수에 대한 베이지안 추정)

  • 정광모;정윤식
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.153-164
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    • 1996
  • We discussed estimation of parameters using Gibbs sampler under order restriction on the parameters. Two well-knwon probability models, ordered exponential family and binomial distribution, are considered. We derived full conditional distributions(FCD) and also used one-for-one sampling algorithm to sample from the FCD's under order restrictions. Finally through two real data sets we compared three kinds of estimators; isotonic regression estimator, isotonic Bayesian estimator and the estimator using Gibbs sampler.

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The Gauss, Rayleigh and Nakagami Probability Density Distribution Based on the Decreased Exponential Probability Distribution (감쇄지수함수 확률분포에 의한 가우스, 레일레이, 나카가미 확률 밀도 분포)

  • Kim, Jeong-Su;Lee, Moon-Ho
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.59-68
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    • 2017
  • Random process plays a major role in wireless communication system to analytically derive the probability distribution function of the various statistical distribution. In this paper, we derive the decreasing function of the exponential distribution under the given condition which is expressed as wireless channel condition. The probability distribution function of Gaussian, Laplacian, Rayleigh and Nakagami distribution are also derived. Extensive simulation results of these statistical distributions are provided to prove that random process has a significant role in the wireless communications. In addition, the Rayleigh and Rician channels show specific examples of visible distance communication and invisible distance channel environment. This paper is motivated by that we assume a block fading channel model, where the channel is constant during a transmission block and changes independently between consecutive transmission block, can achieve a better performance in high SNR regime with i.i.d channel. This algorithm for realizing these transforms can be applied to the Kronecker MIMO channel.

Derivation of the Basin Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph Considering the Network Geometry and Hillslope of Small Basin (소유역의 수로기하학적특성과 사면을 고려한 유역순간단위도의 유도)

  • Kim, Jae Han;Yoon, Seok Young
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.161-171
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    • 1993
  • The basin instantaneous unit hydrograph was derived by considering the network geometry and hillslope. The network geometry is quantified in a function, termed the width function, that reflects the distribution of runoff with flow distance from the outlet. The model using the derivation of the basin IUH consists of two components: the routing component of the initial distribution through the network by means of a simplified diffusion approximation and the hillslope component by means of a exponential distribution that is the probability density function of the travel time in the hillslope. The application of this method was tested on four observed flood data of Bocheong stream and Wi stream. The results show that the proposed method can be used for the analysis of the basin IUH.

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The ex-Gaussian analysis of reaction time distributions for cognitive experiments (ex-Gaussian 모형을 활용한 인지적 과제의 반응시간 분포 분석)

  • Park, Hyung-Bum;Hyun, Joo-Seok
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.63-76
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    • 2014
  • Although most behavioral reaction times (RTs) for cognitive tasks exhibit positively skewed distributions, the majority of studies primarily rely on a measure of central tendency (e.g. mean) which can cause misinterpretations of data's underlying property. The purpose of current study is to introduce procedures for describing characteristics of RT distributions, thereby effectively examine the influence of experimental manipulations. On the basis of assumption that RT distribution can be represented as a convolution of Gaussian and exponential variables, we fitted the ex-Gaussian function under a maximum-likelihood method. The ex-Gaussian function provides quantitative parameters of distributional properties and the probability density functions. Here we exemplified distributional analysis by using empirical RT data from two conventional visual search tasks, and attempted theoretical interpretation for setsize effect leading proportional mean RT delays. We believe that distributional RT analysis with a mathematical function beyond the central tendency estimates could provide insights into various theoretical and individual difference studies.

On the Variations of Spatial Correlation Structure of Rainfall (강우공간상관구조의 변동 특성)

  • Kim, Kyoung-Jun;Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.12
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    • pp.943-956
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    • 2007
  • Among various statistics, the spatial correlation function, that is "correlogram", is frequently used to evaluate or design the rain gauge network and to model the rainfall field. The spatial correlation structure of rainfall has the significant variation due to many factors. Thus, the variation of spatial correlation structure of rainfall causes serious problems when deciding the spatial correlation function of rainfall within the basin. In this study, the spatial rainfall structure was modeled using bivariate mixed distributions to derive monthly spatial correlograms, based on Gaussian and lognormal distributions. This study derived the correlograms using hourly data of 28 rain gauge stations in the Keum river basin. From the results, we concluded as following; (1) Among three cases (Case A, Case B, Case C) considered, the Case A(+,+) seems to be the most relevant as it is not distorted much by zero measurements. (2) The spatial correlograms based on the lognormal distribution, which is theoretically as well as practically adequate, is better than that based on the Gaussian distribution. (3) The spatial correlation in July exponentially decrease more obviously than those in other months. (4) The spatial correlograms should be derived considering the temporal resolution(hourly, daily, etc) of interest.

The Frequency Distribution of Void Ratio of Granular Materials (입상체시료의 공극비의 빈도분포)

  • Do, Deok-Hyeon;Go, Jae-Man;O, Gyu-Tae
    • Geotechnical Engineering
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.5-18
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    • 1988
  • This study aims at scrutinizing the relationships among the frequency distribution of voids the relative density and the shear strength for the three types of different granular materials. The main results summarized are as follows: (1) The frequency distribution of void ratio of glass beads can be approximated by the negative exponential distribution proposed by Shahinpoor (1981), while as the particle shape changes from spherical to angular the frequency of the denser voids decreases and the distributions are well presented by the beta distribution. (2) For all materials, the standard deviation of void ratio increases with decreasing both the relative density of the material and sphericity of particle. (3) It was found that shear strength of the material was a function of not only the mean void ratio and its standard deviation, but also of the shape of the probability density function of the distribution of void ratio. The more the frequency distribution of void inclines towards the denser voids, the higher the shear strength of the material and vice versa.

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Bayesian model selection in exponential survival models (지수 생존 모형에서의 베이지안 모형 선택)

  • 정윤식;김미숙
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.57-71
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    • 2002
  • We introduce three types of exponential survival models, such as simple model, change-point model and finite mixture model in this paper. Among these models, in order to choose the best model, the model choice method is proposed using Gelfand and Ghosh(1998)'s idea. Then to avoid the computational difficulties, data augmentation method (Tanner and Wong, 1987) and Gibbs sampler (Gelfand and Smith, 1990) are employed. Our methodology is applied to both simulated data and Stangl (1991)'s On-impramint Hydrochloride data.