• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지상피해분석

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Real-time blending method development of radar-based QPF and numerical weather prediction models for hydrological application (수문학적 활용을 위한 레이더와 수치예보모델 예측강우의 실시간 병합 기법 개발)

  • Yoon, Seong-Sim;Lee, Dong-Ryul
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.99-99
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    • 2018
  • 기상이변으로 인해 국지성 호우의 발생 증가와 그로 인한 수재해 피해가 증가하고 있다. 따라서 수재해를 사전에 예측하고 저감하기 위해 비구조물적 대책인 실시간 홍수예보시스템 개발 및 운영에 관한 연구들이 수행되고 있다. 일반적으로 홍수예보시스템은 대피선행시간 확보를 위해서 초단시간 혹은 단기 수치예보모델을 수문해석모형이나 예보기법의 입력으로 활용하고 있다. 초단시간 예측은 기상레이더를 기반으로 외삽, 이류, 셀 추적 등의 기법을 활용하여 0~3시간 이내의 강수예측을 수행한다. 그러나 역학이나 물리적 과정이 동반되지 못하여 0~ 2시간 이내에서의 예측성은 높은 반면, 예측시간이 길어질수록 예측력이 낮아진다. 단기수치예보모델은 종관관측에 의존하면서 역학이나 물리과정을 동반하므로 0~6시간 혹은 12시간 이상의 예측을 수행하지만, 수치모델의 고유특성인 스핀업 등의 예측 불확실성이 내재되어 있어 예측 초기시간에서의 예측력이 낮은 한계가 있다. 따라서 강수예측의 정확도 향상을 위해 레이더와 수치예보모델의 병합기법이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 통계분석을 통해 경험적으로 산출된 시간적 가중치를 이용한 기존 병합기법의 한계를 극복하면서 호우에 따른 가변성을 반영하는 실시간 병합기법을 개발하고, 수문학적인 활용성을 평가하고자 하였다. 사용된 예측강우 자료는 레이더 기반인 MAPLE, KONOS, 공간규모분할 예측강우와 수치예보모델 기반인 UM와 ASAPS의 예측강우이며, 제시한 가중치 산정기법은 직전 예측강우의 오차가 현 시점의 예측강우의 오차와 유사하다는 가정하에 오차항을 포함한 과거 1시간 예측강우들간의 가중치 조합이 과거 지상관측강우와의 평균제곱근오차가 최소가 되도록 화음 탐색법을 이용하여 찾는 것이다. 가중치 조합은 예측강우의 생산 시간 간격을 고려하여 매 10분마다 산정하며, 미래 3시간 예측까지 산정된 가중치를 적용한다. 수도권 영역을 대상으로 병합된 예측강우와 레이더 관측강우를 비교한 결과, 정량적 정확도가 향상됨을 확인할 수 있었다. 또한, 예측강우의 수문학적 활용성은 도시유출해석모의를 통해 평가하였다. 그 결과, 병합된 예측강우로 모의된 수심이 관측수심과 유사하여 수문학적 활용성 확인할 수 있었다.

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A Study on Vulnerability of Cyber Electronic Warfare and Analysis of Countermeasures for swarm flight of the NBC Reconnaissance Drones (화생방 정찰 드론의 군집비행 시 사이버전자전 취약점 및 대응방안 분석)

  • Kim, Jee-won;Park, Sang-jun;Lee, Kwang-ho;Jung, Chan-gi
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.133-139
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    • 2018
  • The 5 Game changer means the concepts of the army's operation against the enemy's asymmetric threats so that minimize damage to the public and leads to victory in war in the shortest time. A study of network architecture of Dronebot operation is a key study to carry out integrated operation with integrated C4I system by organically linking several drones battle groups through ICT. The NBC reconnaissance drones can be used instead of vehicles and humans to detect NBC materials and share situations quickly. However, there is still a lack of research on the swarm flight of the NBC reconnaissance drones and the weaknesses of cyber electronic warfare. In this study, we present weaknesses and countermeasures of CBRNs in swarm flight operations and provide a basis for future research.

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Research on the prediction of stream water level using Samcheok electromagnetic precipitation observation station (삼척 전파강수관측소 추정강우를 활용한 하천 수위 상승 예측 연구)

  • Yoon, Seong Sim;Lim, Sanghun;Jeong, Hyeon Gyo;Cho, Yo Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.11-11
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    • 2021
  • 2018년부터 삼척지역에는 전파강수관측소(X-band 이중편파레이더)가 설치되어 현업 운영 중에 있다. 해당 지역은 영동지역은 산지로 둘러싸여 있어 지형적인 여건으로 지상강우관측망과 기존 대형 강우레이더로도 정확한 강우관측에 한계가 있었다. 설치 이후 전파강수관측소의 품질관리와 최적 관측전략 수립, 분포형 비차등위상차 기반의 강우추정 기법의 적용으로 정량적 추정강우의 정확도가 확보되어 75m의 고해상도 격자강우 정보가 제공되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 전파강수관측소의 정량적 추정강우를 홍수예보에 활용하기 위해서 강우기반의 하천 수위 예측 기법인 하천흐름계산도표를 개발하였다. 하천흐름계산도표가 개발된 지역은 삼척 전파강수관측소의 관측 반경에 포함되는 삼척오십천 유역이며, 해당지역은 수변공원으로 조성되어 있어 시민의 접근이 용이하여 하천 수위 급상승으로 인해 피해가능성이 높은 지역이다. 2019년과 2020년 호우사례를 대상으로 개발된 하천흐름계산도표에 전파강수관측소의 정량적 추정강우를 적용하여 하천수위 상승 예측성을 평가하였다. 또한 비교대상으로 강우관측소 강우자료와 환경부 대형 강우레이더 강우자료의 적용결과를 함께 비교하였다. 비차등 위상차 기반의 강우추정 기법을 적용하여 산정된 삼척 전파강수관측소의 정량강우는 기존의 강우추정 결과(SRI, CMP_HFC)보다 강우추정 정확도가 향상된 것을 확인하였다. 특히, 10km 관측 반경을 기준으로 분석하면 정확도가 상대적으로 높았다. 삼척 전파강수관측소 추정강우를 하천흐름 계산도표에 적용한 결과, 2020년 9월 7일 호우에 의해 삼척오십천 유역에서 관심수위 초과(10:20), 주의수위 초과(11:20)가 발생하였는데, 삼척 전파강수관측소 추정강우가 관심수위 초과 1시간 50분 전에 수위상승을 예측하였고, 주의수위 초과 30분전에 수위상승을 예측하였다. 이를 통해 개발된 하천흐름계산도표와 삼척 전파강수관측소의 홍수예보 활용 가능성을 확인하였다.

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A Study on the 3rd Party Liability for the Damages Caused by the Aircraft - With respect to the 2009 Montreal Conventions (New Rome Convention) - (항공기에 의한 제3자 피해보상에 관한 고찰 - 2009 몬트리올 신로마협약을 중심으로 -)

  • Hong, Soon-Kil
    • The Korean Journal of Air & Space Law and Policy
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.3-17
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    • 2009
  • The Rome Convention System (1933, 1952, 1978) which deal the third party lability relating to damage caused by aircraft to third parties on the surface have not been so effective and successful like the Warsaw Convention System. This paper briefs the development of the Rome Convention System and the reasons of their failure which are the low level of the limit of liability and non-parties of major civil aviation states such as the United States, the United Kingdom, Japan, Germany and etc. The Diplomatic Conference hosted by ICAO at Montreal during April 20 to May 2 has successfully produced two Conventions; One is Convention on Compensation for Damage Caused by Aircraft to Third Parties (General Risk Convention), the other is Convention on Compensation for Damage to Third Parties, Resulting from Acts of Unlawful Interference involving Aircraft (Unlawful Interference Convention). The major contents and some problems of these two Conventions are reviewed in comparison with the exisiting Rome Convention System and other legal system. Particularly, the entrance into force of the Unlawful Interference Convention may take some time, at least more than 5 years, due to the realistic problems arising from the operation of International Civil Aviation Fund.

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Growth environment and nutritional evaluation of native Allium victorialis var. platyphyllum in Ulrung island (야생 산마늘의 생육 환경과 영양 평가)

  • Choi, Sang-Tai;Lee, Joon-Tak;Park, Woo-Churl
    • Applied Biological Chemistry
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.502-509
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    • 1993
  • In Ulrung floral community the growing environments and nutritive values of wild garlic was investigated. The wild garlic, grown for $3{\sim}4\;years$ in community area, were able to develope bulbs. The bulbs with 2 leaves had the highest ratio of propotion as 75.1% of share among the distribution of bulbs with completely developed leaves and 1 leaf-bulbs and 3 leaves-bulbs had 19.6% and 5.3%, respectively. Also the 2 or 3 leaves-bulbs indicated the better growth states in the part of shoot and bulbs than 1 leaf-bulbs, and there was a significant defferences in each growth between 2 leaves-and 3 leaves-bulbs. On the wild garlics we cannot find out insect injuries. However, there was deseases with symptoms of leaf-spots and lesion from May to June. At first it made a small spots on the leaves, followed by senescence at arrounding area of spots, and then it expanded to whole leaf. This pathogenic bacterium was supposed to be a member of Aristastoma. The contents of crude protein, fat, and carbohydrate in each portion of wild garlics decresed in the order of shoot, expanded leaves and bulbs. On the contrary, crude fibers increased in the same order and so it is not suitable for human consumption nutritional value. However, because the shoots of wild garlics have more than the other Allium sp., the shoots will be a good quality food stuff.

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Agricultural drought monitoring using the satellite-based vegetation index (위성기반의 식생지수를 활용한 농업적 가뭄감시)

  • Baek, Seul-Gi;Jang, Ho-Won;Kim, Jong-Suk;Lee, Joo-Heon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.305-314
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    • 2016
  • In this study, a quantitative assessment was carried out in order to identify the agricultural drought in time and space using the Terra MODIS remote sensing data for the agricultural drought. The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) were selected by MOD13A3 image which shows the changes in vegetation conditions. The land cover classification was made to show only vegetation excluding water and urbanized areas in order to collect the land information efficiently by Type1 of MCD12Q1 images. NDVI and EVI index calculated using land cover classification indicates the strong seasonal tendency. Therefore, standardized Vegetation Stress Index Anomaly (VSIA) of EVI were used to estimated the medium-scale regions in Korea during the extreme drought year 2001. In addition, the agricultural drought damages were investigated in the country's past, and it was calculated based on the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) using the data of the ground stations. The VSIA were compared with SPI based on historical drought in Korea and application for drought assessment was made by temporal and spatial correlation analysis to diagnose the properties of agricultural droughts in Korea.

Effects of Biological and Environmental Factors on the Occurrence of Chestnut Blight in Chestnut Tree Plantations (밤나무 재배지에서의 생물적, 환경적 요인이 밤나무 줄기마름병 발생에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Sang-Hyun;Kim, Kyung-Hee;Byun, Jae-Kyung;Lee, Jong Kyu;Moon, Byung-Ju
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.95 no.1
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    • pp.139-144
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    • 2006
  • Chestnut trees have been severely damaged by the various cankers in Korea. Field surveys for elucidating the relationships between disease occurrence and environmental factors, i.e., tree age, temperature, rainfall precipitation, direction, degree of slope, chemical properties of soils, and so on, were carried out in the chestnut tree plantations located at Gyeongnam, Jeonnam, Chungnam, and Gyeonggi-Do Province. Totally, one thousand and one hundred thirty seven trees from 36 experiment plots were investigated. Trees infected by at least one of the canker fungi were estimated up to 66%. The most severely infested area was Sunchon in Jeonnam Province with the rate of 80%, while the most lightly infested area was Kongju in Chungnam Province with 39%. Disease occurrence was found to be highly correlated with tree age. The disease occurred most frequently on trees ranged from 7 to 12 years old, while it was relatively low on trees below 5 years old or above 25 years old. Canker positions on the tree formed by the pathogenic fungi were most often at 1.6-2.0m above the ground. Over five hundreds bark samples from the canker area on the tree were collected and the pathogenic fungi were isolated. The most commonly isolated fungus was identified as Cryphonectria parasitica, the chestnut blight fungus.

Effect of High-Humidity and High Temperature at Kentucky Bluegrass Growth in Summer (하절기 한지형 잔디 재배 시 침수 및 고온으로 인한 잔디의 생육 불량 현상)

  • Lee, Jeong-Ho;Choi, Jun-Yong;Lee, Song-Ho;Joo, Young-Kyoo
    • Asian Journal of Turfgrass Science
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.133-140
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    • 2008
  • The growth of root and shoot normally decline dramatically in mid-summer of Korea, moreover the cool-season turfgrassgrass eventually wither to death over $30^{\circ}C$. The increase of air temperature also drives the heat of soil, that makes stress on root system. The heat stress affects physiological mechanisms of hormonal unbalance that stimulates shoot growth, photosynthesis, and transpiration. To solve those problems, many studies have been carried out to control soil moisture and OM content to decrease soil temperature for dissolving the growth retardant by heat stress. This study initiated to analyze the change of soil temperature with soil moisture, and the effect of soil depth and moisture content on heat transmit and thermal changes on turfgrass growth(productivity, green color, and damage by dryness and high temperature). Kentucky bluegrass plots prepared with 25%, 33%, 40% soil moisture treatments. Soil temperature was measured every five min. with four thermo-sensors at 12 and 2 cm soil depth. The most acceptable growth showed at 33% soil moisture, but the worst result showed at 40%. The soil moisture seriously affected on the growth of Kentucky bluegrass, however the quality of turfgrass may acceptable if we can control soil moisture down to 33% when the flooding season of monsoon.

The Applicability Assesment of the Short-term Rainfall Forecasting Using Translation Model (이류모델을 활용한 초단시간 강우예측의 적용성 평가)

  • Yoon, Seong-Sim;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.8
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    • pp.695-707
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    • 2010
  • The frequency and size of typhoon and local severe rainfall are increasing due to the climate change and the damage also increasing from typhoon and severe rainfall. The flood forecasting and warning system to reduce the damage from typhoon and severe rainfall needs forecasted rainfall using radar data and short-term rainfall forecasting model. For this reason, this study examined the applicability of short-term rainfall forecast using translation model with weather radar data to point out that the utilization of flood forecasting in Korea. This study estimated the radar rainfall using Least-square fitting method and estimated rainfall was used as initial field of translation model. The translation model have verified accuracy of forecasted radar rainfall through the comparison of forecasted radar rainfall and observed rainfall quantitatively and qualitatively. Almost case studies showed that accuracy is over 0.6 within 4 hours leading time and mean of correlation coefficient is over 0.5 within 1 hours leading time in Kwanak and Jindo radar site. And, as the increasing the leading time, the forecast accuracy of precipitation decreased. The results of the calculated Mean Area Precipitation (MAP) showed forecast rainfall tend to be underestimated than observed rainfall but the correlation coefficient more than 0.5. Therefore it showed that translation model could be accurately predicted the rainfall relatively. The present results indicate that possibility of translation model application of Korea just within 2 hours leading forecasted rainfall.

The Air Space System and UVA's Regulation in Japanese Civil Aeronautics Act (일본 항공법상의 공역체계와 무인항공기 규제)

  • Kim, Young-Ju
    • The Korean Journal of Air & Space Law and Policy
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.115-168
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    • 2018
  • An amendment to Japanese Civil Aeronautics Act came into effect December 10, 2015. The Act prohibits flying drones over residential areas or areas surrounding an airport without permission from the Minister of Land, Infrastructure and Transportation. Flying drones during night time and during an event is also prohibited. The term "UAV" or "UA" means any aeroplane, rotorcraft, glider or airship which cannot accommodate any person on board and can be remotely or automatically piloted (Excluding those lighter than a certain weight (200 grams). Any person who intends to operate a UAV is required to follow the operational conditions listed below, unless approved by the Minister of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism; (i) Operation of UAVs in the daytime, (ii) Operation of UAVs within Visual Line of Sight (VLOS), (iii) Maintenance of a certain operating distance between UAVs and persons or properties on the ground/water surface, (iv) Do not operate UAVs over event sites where many people gather, (v) Do not transport hazardous materials such as explosives by UAV, (vi) Do not drop any objects from UAVs. Requirements stated in "Airspace in which Flights are Prohibited" and "Operational Limitations" are not applied to flights for search and rescue operations by public organizations in case of accidents and disasters. This paper analyzes some issues as to regulations of UAVs in Korean Aviation Safety Act by comparing the regulations of UAVs in Japanese Civil Aeronautics Act. This paper, also, offers some implications and suggestions for regulations of UAVs under Korean Aviation Safety Act.