• Title/Summary/Keyword: 제프리 조건화

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Updating Higher Order Credences by Conditionalization (조건화와 고차 믿음 갱신)

  • Park, Il-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Logic
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.27-59
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    • 2011
  • This paper concerns several versions of conditionalization. In particular, I will examine the relationship between Jeffrey conditionalization and the second order conditionalization concerning updating higher order credences. In section 2, I suggest explicitly what Jeffrey conditionalization and the second order conditionalization are. I will argue in section 3 that Jeffrey conditionalization conflicts with van Fraassen's Reflection Principle while the second order conditionalization doesn't. And I will also argue in section 4 that under some situations, Jeffrey conditionalization may lead agents to Moorean absurdity while the second conditionalization may not. As a result, I will claim that Jeffrey conditionalization is better than the second order contionalization at updating our higher order credences.

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Higher Order Conditionalization and Undermining (고차 조건화와 믿음 기반 약화)

  • Park, Ilho
    • Korean Journal of Logic
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.167-195
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    • 2015
  • This paper aims to respond to Weisberg's claim that the standard Bayesian epistemology cannot model an agent's belief updating that is triggered by some undermining evidence. Our epistemological intuition seems to require that the undermining evidence decreases some particular relevant credences. According to Weisberg, however, such a belief change cannot result from the standard Bayesian belief updating rules-i.e., (Jeffrey) Conditionalization. This is because probabilistic independence between some propositions is preserved under (Jeffrey) Conditionalization on the relevant evidence. Yet I will show in this paper that this conclusion is somewhat hasty. In particular, I will show that there is another version of Conditionalization and that when one updates her credences by means of such a version, the belief updating originated in undermining evidence can be well modeled in the Bayesian framework. Some authors often call the version Higher Order Conditionalization.

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Study on Synthesis and Properties of Water-born Polyurethane (수분산성 폴리우레탄의 합성 및 물성에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Ur-Ryong;Choi, Seo-Yoon
    • Elastomers and Composites
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.249-257
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    • 2005
  • Polyurethane(PU) prepolymers were prepared from polyol and diisocyanate. Unionized PU prepolymers were synthesized from poly(propylene glycol)(PPG, MW: 1000), 2,2-bis (hydroxymethyl) propionic acid(DMPA), and isophorone diisocyanate(IPDI) by prepolymer syhthesizing process. After PU prepolymers were dispersed into water, the physical properties were investigated by changing the molar ratio of polyol and diisocyanate. The results showed a stable state with the best physical properties when the prepolymer was composed of PPG/DMPA with hard segment=40%, NCO%=3.43%, [NCO]: [OH]=1.5: 1.0 in molar ratio, and was dispersed into water with 30% solid content. PU prepolymers also were synthesized with various molar ratio of PPG and DMPA. Upon higher molar ratio of DMPA, particle size of polyurethane dispersion(PUD) gradually decreased. PU-prepolymers prepared from the various blocking agents represented characteristic initial deblocking temperatures that depended on the blocking agents, and the beginning of deblocking occured within 30 mins on all the blocking agents used.

Radical Probabilism and Bayes Factors (원초적 확률주의와 베이즈 인수)

  • Park, Il-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Logic
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.93-125
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    • 2008
  • The radical probabilitists deny that propositions represent experience. However, since the impact of experience should be propagated through our belief system and be communicated with other agents, they should find some alternative protocols which can represent the impact of experience. The useful protocol which the radical probabilistists suggest is the Bayes factors. It is because Bayes factors factor out the impact of the prior probabilities and satisfy the requirement of commutativity. My main challenge to the radical probabilitists is that there is another useful protocol, q(E|$N_p$) which also factors out the impact of the prior probabilities and satisfies the requirement of commutativity. Moreover I claim that q(E|$N_p$) has a pragmatic virtue which the Bayes factors have not.

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A Study on the Quantification of PrP 106-126 Peptide by Fluorescamine and Alpha-imager (플로래스카민과 알파이미저를 이용한 PrP 106-126 펩타이드 정량에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Keunhong;Chung, Woo Young;Kye, Young Sik
    • Applied Chemistry for Engineering
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.628-631
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    • 2009
  • Recent social interests on mad cow disease and Creutzfelt-Jacob disease lead researcher' focus onto pathogenic prion proteins causing those diseases. The purpose of this study is to introduce a novel method for micromolecular level quantification of PrP 106-126 peptide, which is a part of prion protein. Fluorescamine has been chosen due to its fluorescence emission characteristics upon reaction with primary amines and Alpha-imager is used to detect the intensity of fluorescence. We succeeded in setting optimal conditions for quantification of PrP 106-206, amyloidogenic prion peptide, at micromolecular level. This study will contribute to identify prion protein aggregation inhibitor and develop new prion protein drug.

Preparation and Properties of Polyurethane Dispersions with Aromatic/Aliphatic Mixed Diisocyanate (방향족/지방족 혼합 Diisocyanate를 포함하는 Polyurethane 분산체의 제조와 성질)

  • Kim, Hyoung Sug;Noh, Si Tae
    • Applied Chemistry for Engineering
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.258-265
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    • 2009
  • An anionic polyurethane dispersions (PUDs) were synthesized from the poly (tetramethylene glycol) (PTMG, Mw = 2000 g/mol), mixed isocyanate of dicyclohexylmethane-4,4'-diisocyanate $(H_{12}-MDI)$ and 4,4'-diphenylmethane diisocyanate (MDI), and dimethylol propionic acid (DMPA) as anionic site, following a prepolymer mixing process. Triethylamine (TEA) was used as a neutralization agent and the ethylenediamine (EDA) as the chain extender of the prepolymer. The effects of the DMPA molar ratio and aromatic diisocyanate content in the mixed isocyanate on the particle size and viscosity of PUD were studied. Also, the mechanical and thermal properties of the PUD cast films were discussed according to the molar ratio of DMPA and aromatic isocyanate content. It was found that the particle size and the viscosity of an anionic PUD decreased with increasing DMPA molar ratio but increased with increasing aromatic isocyanate (MDI) content in the mixed isocyanate at the constant DMPA content. Tensile strength of the PUD cast films increased and elongation at break decreased with increasing DMPA content at the constant mixed isocyanate molar ratios. In thermal degradation temperature of PUD cast films, the effect of DMPA contents was great but the effect of aromatic isocyanate contents at the low DMPA content was very slight respectively.

A Study on the Cure Behavior of Epoxy Molding Compound (Epoxy Molding Compound의 경화거동에 관한 연구)

  • 윤상영;오명숙;박내정
    • Polymer(Korea)
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.837-844
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    • 2000
  • The cure behavior of commercial epoxy molding compounds (EMC) commonly used for IC package was studied at constant cure temperatures as well as at constant heating rates using differential scanning calorimetry (DSC), rheometer, and dielectric analyzer (DEA). The cure kinetics were obtained using autocatalytic reaction model according to the Ryan Dutta method after assuming m+n equal to 2. The prediction of reaction rates by the model equation corresponded well to experimental data at all temperatures except for 10$0^{\circ}C$. The phase transitions such as gelation and vitrification occurred during network formation. At each isothermal cure temperature, $T_{g}$ was measured in accordance with cure time, and the vitrification point was attained when $T_{g}$ was equal to $T_{cure}$. The temperature dependence of gel points and vitrification points showed good agreement with Arrhenius relation. DEA using parallel plate electrode was effective for the monitoring of EMC cure. we knew that if the resin systems are materials of comparable quality, $_{gel}$$T_{g}$ is constant regardless of accelerator concentration in TTT (Time-Temperature-Transformation) diagram.

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