• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.12 no.6
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• pp.69-77
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• 2014

System Dynamics(SD) is one of the complexity theories that has attracted attention as a computer-aided simulation methodology to analyze a dynamic problem and to develop a policy(strategy) in social science. Though there are properly unproven cases in research models which were developed in various fields by SD methodology during the last five decades, they are utilized as models to represent SD sub-theories. For this reason, this study targeted the population dynamics model which was frequently utilized to explain SD fundamentals and it proved errors of reasoning a structure of the existing causal and dominant feedback loop. Consequently, we presented a strategy to strengthen the coherence between CLD(causal loop diagram) and SFD(stocks-and-flows diagram) for improving validity of the existing model. The findings of this study contribute to the advancement of the existing SD and to the reinforcement of validation for policy research models of SD.

• Korean journal of communication and information
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• v.58
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• pp.242-261
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• 2012

This study was intended to analyze media in education policy from the governance perspective and suggested some orientations and innovative ideas to a new governance in media in Education. For these purposes, this study reviewed related literature about media in education and governance policy and drew a governance model of educational community as an analytic scheme to understand a governance approach to orientation-order-performance of Schmank. Thereafter, the study analyzed formulation and implementation processes of media in education policy, based on some criteria to operate the model, and also analyzed the policy governance in a comprehensive way. Based on the results, this study suggested recommendations to innovate current media in education governance as follows: (1) working towards an idea of operative cooperation through reforms (2) constructing a rational policy system to incorporate socio-political variables, and (3) activating cooperative governance to transform 'governing' into 'governance'.

• Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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• v.95 no.4
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• pp.381-387
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• 2006

This study tried to develop a model which can predict a long-term of forest recreation quantity corresponded with econometrics. Simultaneously this study was conducted with the aim of development of practical matrix which is able to apply forest recreation management with policy-control variables about forest supplement with some problem of former study using only a cross-section analysis. As the results of analyses, forest recreation quantity is affected (-) relation by distance, (+) relation by population of the origin area, the size of forest, and a destination's annual social expenditure. In addition, the distance variable is elastic, however, the other variables are inelastic. This results might correspond to a general gravity model theory about forest recreation quantity.

• Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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• v.23 no.5
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• pp.19-32
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• 2018

This study focuses on an M/M/1 queue with an attached continuous-type inventory. The customers arrive into the system according to the Poisson process, and are served in their arrival order; i.e., first-come-first-served. The service times are assumed to be independent and identically distributed exponential random variable. At a service completion epoch, the customer consumes a random amount of inventory. The inventory is controlled by the traditional (s, S)-inventory policy with a generally distributed lead time. A customer that arrives during a stock-out period assumed to be lost. For the number of customers and the inventory size, we derive a product-form stationary joint probability distribution and provide some numerical examples. Besides, an operational strategy for the inventory that minimizes the long-term cost will also be discussed.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.15 no.3
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• pp.387-402
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• 2008

In this thesis we propose a two-stage periodic inspection model for maintaining the reliability of a system in long-term storage. There are two types of tests available; a fallible test and an error-free test. The system is overhauled at detection of failure or when the storage reliability after inspection becomes less than or equal to the prespecified value. The expected cost per unit time until overhaul is derived and a procedure for minimizing the expected cost is suggested. The two-stage periodic inspection model is compared with the one-stage periodic inspection model for various parameters of the cost function when the failure time follows exponential and Weibull distributions. The proposed model is then applied to an existing missile system for comparison with the current inspection policy.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.18 no.11
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• pp.430-446
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• 2018

In this paper, we conducted a comparative study on the methodology for impact analysis as the economic grounds for formulating policy and investment plan concerned with utilizing spectrum resource. In order to provide numerical results for objective comparison and selection among policy and investment planning, methods to be analyzed are focused on quantitative methodology based on mathematical models, consequently the utility and limits of econometric model, input-output analysis, computable general equilibrium and system dynamics are compared from various viewpoints including analysis cost. Besides, we compared the methodologies in the standpoint of utilizing spectrum and discussed the recent findings of mixed models combining multiple methodologies to exploit the advantages of each methodology and to offset the limit. Results of the research can be used as reference indicators to select the method that conforms to the purpose and priority of analysis verifying the efficiency of execution of policies and investment plans.

• KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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• v.10 no.12
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• pp.329-342
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• 2021

The pharmaceutical industry is experiencing a productivity crisis with a low probability of success despite a long period of time and enormous cost. As a strategy to solve the productivity crisis, the use cases of Artificial Intelligence(AI) and Bigdata are increasing worldwide and tangible results are coming out. However, domestic pharmaceutical companies are taking a wait-and-see attitude to adopt AI platform for drug research. This study proposed a research model that combines the Value-based Adoption Model and the Innovation Resistance Model to empirically study the effect of value perception and resistance factors on adopting AI Platform. As a result of empirical verification, usefulness, knowledge richness, complexity, and algorithmic opacity were found to have a significant effect on perceived values. And, usefulness, knowledge richness, algorithmic opacity, trialability, technology support infrastructure were found to have a significant effect on the innovation resistance.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2008.05a
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• pp.1727-1731
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• 2008

수자원의 효율적인 관리를 위해서는 신뢰성 있는 유량자료의 획득이 대단히 중요하다. 우리나라는 양질의 유량자료를 획득하기 위해 매년 많은 시간과 돈을 투자하고 있으나 자료의 질적인 면에서 만족할 만한 성과를 얻지 못하고 있다. 현재까지 우리나라의 유량자료는 댐의 수문자료와 수량관리 부처인 건교부에서 운영하는 수위표 지점의 수위-유량곡선에서 산출된 자료에 의존하고 있다. 그러나 수위-유량 관계식을 보정하기 위한 유량측정사업이 지속적이지 못하며, 이 관계식은 유량이 적은 저수기 및 갈수기에는 부정확하다는 한계가 있다. 또한, 국립환경과학원 낙동강물환경연구소에서 오염총량관리를 위한 낙동강수계 유량측정사업을 실시하고 있지만, 목적은 낙동강수계의 오염총량관리 단위유역 말단 47개 지점에서 유량측정을 효율적으로 실시하여 수질정책의 기초자료를 제공하는데 있다. 이 자료 역시 오염총량관리를 위하여 유량측정을 실시하여 수자원의 효율적인 관리를 위한 일 유량을 알 수가 없는 한계점을 가지고 있다. 따라서 저수기 및 갈수기에 수질정책의 기초자료를 제공하기 위해서 하천을 포함한 유역의 정확한 강우-유출특성의 파악이 필요하다. 그러나 강우-유출특성 또한 유역 내 강우의 시 공간적 분포가 다르며 그 자가 비선형성이 강하고 여러 변동성을 포함하므로, 강우로부터 하천의 유출량의 정확한 해석이 불가능하다. 그러나 최근 인공지능 분야에서 신호처리, 지능제어 및 패턴인식 등의 수단으로 사용되고 있는 신경망은 학습이라는 최적화 과정을 통해 입력과 출력으로 구성되는 하나의 시스템을 비선형적으로 구축할 수 있으며 이러한 이점을 활용하여 수자원 분야에서 다양하게 적용되고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 강우-유출자료 및 댐 방류량 자료의 비선형적인 특정을 가장 잘 반영할 수 있는 신경망모형을 적용하여 수질정책의 기초자료를 제공하기 위하여 신뢰성 있는 유량자료를 산정하는 모형을 개발하는 것이다. 이를 위해서 낙동강물환경연구소에서 오염총량관리를 위한 낙동강수계 유량측정 지점 상류의 댐 방류량의 일 방류량자료와 강우자료를 입력 자료로 하여 유량을 예측할 수 있는 유량예측 신경망 모형 FFBN(Flow Forecasting By Neural)을 개발하였다. 그리고 입력 자료로서 장기유출모형인 SWAT의 모의결과를 입력 자료로 추가한 FFBNS(Flow Forecasting By Neural and SWAT)을 개발하였다. 신경망 모형의 구조는 입력층과 출력층 사이에 하나의 은닉층이 존재하는 다층 신경망으로 구성하였으며, 학습단계에서는 오류 역전파 알고리듬 학습방법 중 모멘텀법을 사용하였다. 예측된 유출량을 실측치와의 비교를 위하여 낙본D지점과 낙본 E지점에 대하여 $2005{\sim}2006$년까지의 모의 결과를 낙동 수위측정지점과 구미 수위측정지점의 실측치 통하여 복잡한 비선형성을 가지는 유출 시계열 자료에 대한 효과적인 최적의 신경망모델을 개발하여 유량을 예측하고 적용 가능성을 검토하고자 한다. 모의 결과는 수질정책의 기초자료 제공에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.12 no.3
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• pp.141-147
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• 2014

Diffusion model is popular research topic in marketing and economy particularly for the areas of model specification and market size forecasting. In particular, Bass model can explain Roger's innovation diffusion and product life cycle through easy mathematical representation and hence the model has been widely used for the explanation of adopting innovative new products and technologies. Nonetheless, there're only a couple of pioneering researches about semiconductor market, using diffusion models. Consequently, we'd utilise NLS approach diffusion model to estimate the market potential of MOSFET, major switching device for power management of system, and explain the process to industry stakeholders and policy makers for delivery of managerial implication with pragmatic purpose.

• The Proceeding of the Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.3-8
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• 2009

주파수 공유 기술의 개발 및 적용은 실질적인 주파수 공급량을 확대하는 효과를 거두게 되어 주파수 자원의 희소성을 감소시켜 주는 긍정적인 효과가 있다. 그러나 현행 전파 관리 제도는 아직까지 공유 기술 적용을 위해 최적화되어 있지 않으므로 개발된 기술이 원활히 적용될 수 있도록 정부 차원의 정책 마련에 대한 검토가 필요하다. 본고에서는 주요한 전파 관리 정책의 모형에 대해 설명하고 공유 기술 적용을 위해 전파 관리 정책 측면에서 고려해야 할 사안들을 제시하고자 한다.