• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.38-45
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• 2015

The risk analysis phase of construction risk management process is subdivided into the qualitative risk analysis that plays a major role, and the quantitative risk analysis acting as a supportive role. The traditional calculation method for quantifying a risk value that has been applied so far is an equation to multiply a probability by an impact simply, but its result shows the low risk value biased distribution. Although another equation that shows the high risk biased distribution as an alternative of traditional method was proposed, both of the low or high risk biased equations do not match with the statistical general knowledge that most natural phenomenons are close to the normal distribution. This study proposes a new risk value calculation method that is concentrated to the moderate risk value. Because the risk value distribution by a new method shows a normal shape similar to natural phenomenon, it helps to choose a middle level not biased to the low or high levels when choosing the level of risk response. Furthermore, it could contribute to improve the flexibility and rationality of risk analysis method by providing additional options for the risk value calculation.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.8 no.4
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• pp.99-109
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• 2007

Risk elements of highway safety facilities are affected by complex environments. Thus, risk-based approach for traffic safety facilities is needed. For this, in this study, qualitative and quantitative risk assessment methodology and procedure for highway safety facilities is proposed, which can be used as risk-based approach incorporating VE process. Also, for the quantitative risk assessment, event tree using EPDO(Equivalent Property Damage Only) with respect to frequency and magnitude of risk events is introduced. As a result, risk index of alternative 1(140cm) and 2(127(cm) which can be used as performance factor in VE approach are estimated.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2022.11a
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• pp.385-387
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• 2022

근래에 들어, ICT (Information and Communication Technologies) 기술을 비롯한 첨단 디지털 기술의 발전으로, 선박/해양 산업에서 운용되는 시스템들은 더욱 복잡하고 다양해지는 경향을 보이고 있으며, 첨단 시스템 운용의 증가는 기존에 경험하지 못한 새로운 위험에 대한 불안과 함께 더욱 체계적인 방식으로 이러한 위험을 분석 및 제어할 수 있도록 하기 위한 발전된 위험도평가 방법론 적용의 필요성을 야기하고 있다. 이 논문에서는 첨단 디지털 기술이 적용되는 자율운항선박에 대한 위험도평가 절차 및 방법론과 정성적 위험도평가(Qualitative Risk Assessment) 적용 사례를 소개하고자 한다. 자율운항선박의 정성적 위험도평가를 위하여 자율운항 시스템들이 탑재된 자율화 등급 3 수준의 가상 자율운항선박을 선정하고, 기존 유인선박의 운용에 필요한 다양한 기능들과 자율운항선박 운용에 필요한 기능들을 식별하여 비교분석 하였다. 또한, 자율운항선박의 운용에 필요한 다양한 기능들의 실패로 인하여 발생 가능한 위험시나리오들을 식별하고, 식별된 위험시나리오를 바탕으로 자율운항선박의 운용 안전성 향상을 위하여 추가 고려되어야 할 안전조치들을 식별하였다. 본 연구 결과는, 이후 연구 수행 계획인 자율운항선박에 대한 정량적 위험도평가 (Quantitative Risk Assessment) 방법론 개발을 위한 자료로 활용될 예정이다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.35 no.6
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• pp.1287-1295
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• 2015

This research is the study on the comparative evaluation of SPC (Staggered Pedestrian Crossings) vs PC (Pedestrian Crossings) using risk analysis. Accident factor was elicited by survey of driver's and pedestrian's at SPC & PC. I estimated the weight of a risk of violation and a mental burden by AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) and compared degree of risk at SPC AND PC. In conclusion, a new alternative plan of a pedestrian crossing system, staggered pedestrian crossing which plays an important role in traffic flow, pedestrian's crossings which plats an important role in traffic flow, pedestrian's convenience and traffic safer is sager than pedestrian crossings the degree of risk used this study doesn't imply an measure of the number of accident and the rate of accident, in estimating the degree of risk of pedestrian crossings, we should analyze more data of accident, behaviors, and road circumstance to include driver's and pedestrian's violation behavior in an estimate index.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.22-32
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• 2013

Generally, asset management procedure consists of exact information collection, decision of service level, analysis of aspiration level, analysis of financial condition and available budget, preparation of asset management plan, and value of modified asset. In this study, for the risk-based asset management, condition assessment and performance measuring, assessment of failure modes and risks, evaluation/selection of treatment options, and implementation of optimum solution are additionally included. For this, bridge inventory and performance measure considering risks are classified and method of quantitative/qualitative performance measure is suggested. Also, evaluation method of risk analysis for bridge asset management is suggested and basic research is carried out for applicable method of risk-based asset management. Using suggested risk procedure and method of risk-based bridge service level evaluation, it is possible to perform resonable asset management. Moreover, it is concluded that the proposed applicable method of risk-based asset management will provide a solution to contribute the development of systematical asset management for optimal decision making and prototype asset management system.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.19 no.4
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• pp.375-381
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• 2013

To assess the risk of marine traffic environments, with high confidential level, the risk factors comprising it should be identified and the risk acceptance criteria should be also provided. Furthermore, the relative importance of each risk factor(the weight of each risk factor on total risk) should be analyzed because the risk is expressed as the sum of risk factors comprising it. The twenty kinds of risk factors and its assessment criteria were suggested for the domestic marine traffic environments by an examination of the existing risk assessment models on the previous studies. The relative importance of each risk factor was also analyzed through the questionnaire using analytic hierarchy process by the marine traffic experts on the same studies. Based on these previous studies, the risk was evaluated at the port of Mokpo and its approaches on this study. The port of Mokpo and its approaches were divided into four sectors for the comparative evaluation, the result of the comparative evaluation on four sectors showed that the risk of the Jeongdeung-hae passage is the highest due to higher risk level of some risk factors(water movements, complexities, tug boats, pilotage, VTS) than the other sectors. The result of this evaluation is in accord with the analysis results of the other studies using various qualitative or quantitative risk analysis methods at the same sea areas.

• Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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• 2013.11a
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• pp.9-23
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• 2013

건설공사는 인력의존도가 가장 높으며 타 산업에 대비하여 자동화가 매우 낮고 외기에 노출된 작업 환경으로 추락 등의 중대재해 위험이 가장 높은 산업이다. e-나라지표에 의하면 2006년부터 2012년까지 전체 산업의 약 21.9%를 차지하는 건설 근로자가 생산 활동에 종사하고 있으며, 이직 및 인력의 이동이 매우 잦은 특성을 갖고 있다. 2006년~2012년까지의 재해발생 통계에 따르면 전체적으로 타 산업은 매년 다소간의 증감은 있으나 재해가 감소하는 추세이지만, 건설공사의 경우는 지속적으로 증가하고 있다. 특히, 사고성 사망재해의 경우는 7년간 전체 산업에서 발생하는 사고성 사망재해의 평균 40.9%를 건설업이 차지하고 있어 가장 높아 매우 심각한 수준이다. 또한 건설현장과 건설회사의 안전보건경영의 운영방법 및 제도가 매우 단순하고 정성적인 수준으로 타 산업에 비하여 안전경영의 정량화에 대한 노력이 매우 미약하다. 과거 재해사례 및 통계를 분석하여 앞으로의 재해 위험 요소를 제거하거나 안전한 상태로 형성하여야 하나, 발표되는 재해사례나 통계를 구호 또는 슬로건으로 전파, 교육하는 수준에 머물고 있다. 본 연구에서는 아파트공사를 대상으로 2006년~2011년의 과거 재해통계(8,687건)를 분석하여 데이터베이스화하고, 실제 공사한 아파트공사 샘플현장의 자료(89,375명)를 데이터베이스화하여 현 실정에 부합한 정량적 직종별 위험도를 산정하는 연구를 진행하였다. 따라서 아파트공사의 직종별 위험도를 정량적인 데이터로 산출하고, 과학적인 방법으로 현장 위험수준을 실시간 모니터링 함으로써 건설현장의 주된 생산력인 근로자의 생명과 건강을 보호할 수 있는 효과적인 재해예방이 이루어 질 것으로 기대된다.

• The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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• v.15 no.6
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• pp.267-273
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• 2015

For newly incoming technologies owing to the advancements in information and communications technology, the new form of information occurs due to the combination form of personal information. In turn, personal information which is combination with existing personal information is on the increase. It is difficult to equalize the method in order to analysis the degree of risk for personal information because it is qualitative method which is defined on the current Personal Information Protection Law. This dissertation presents the model to assess the degree of risk by using the IPA(Importance-Performance Analysis) after measuring the importance and the weighted value for the personal information based on the existing the method of risk assessment. Through the model suggested in this dissertation, the subjective judgement can be excluded, the combination of personal information can be assessed and the standard criteria which is used as the objective indicators from the quantitative degree of risk can be suggested.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.97-105
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• 2011

As many stakeholders are taking part in the Housing Redevelopment Project, their opinion mediation is considering very important issues. Thus disputes on projects are inevitable due to complexity of interest. To effectively progress the project, this paper analyze the risk factors by phase in implementation phase that the association participates in person. We identify 50 of risk factors in implementation phase by reviewing and analyzing related studies and actual cases of disputes, then we present 26 of risk factors through experts interview. Also, we calculate weights of risk factors by using AHP for quantitatively analyzing them and present final weights and priorities of risk factors by summing weights of risk factors by phase. In results, it is found that 'the inappropriateness of the Management Disposal Plan' in management disposal plan phase and 'the inappropriateness of the Project Implementation Plan' are the most significant risk factors. To maximize the utilization of risk factors analyzed, we present the checklists that can be aware of these risks in advance and prevent these risks. Based on these findings, if risk factors in implementation phase are managed actively, the housing redevelopment project will be performed more effectively.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2012.06a
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• pp.143-145
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• 2012

해상교통안전성평가는 크게 해양 안전 및 환경측면에서, 세부적으로는 해당해역의 특성을 파악하여 항로수립, 해상교통안전진단 및 해상교통영향평가 등을 수행 하는 측면에서 중요하다. IWRAP은 IALA Waterway Risk Assessment라는 평가도구로 항만수로의 위험도(선박의 충돌 및 좌초확률)를 분석하는 정량적인 평가모델이다. 정량적인 해상안전 평가방법은 통항량, 선속, 길이, 선박의 통항분포로부터 해상에서 통항의 위험도를 평가하므로 인적, 지리적, 환경적 등 주관적인 요소들이 많은 정성적인 평가방법에 비해 적용이 간단하다. 본 연구에서는 IWRAP을 해상교통안전진단제도로의 활용을 위해 목포항 진입수로를 대상으로 IWRAP분석을 하여 그 실효성을 평가 하고자 한다.