• Title/Summary/Keyword: 전파예측모델

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Monitoring and Prediction of Appliances Electricity Usage Using Neural Network (신경회로망을 이용한 가전기기 전기 사용량 모니터링 및 예측)

  • Jung, Kyung-Kwon;Choi, Woo-Seung
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.16 no.8
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    • pp.137-146
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    • 2011
  • In order to support increased consumer awareness regarding energy consumption, we present new ways of monitoring and predicting with energy in electric appliances. The proposed system is a design of a common electrical power outlet called smart plug that measures the amount of current passing through current sensor at 0.5 second. To acquire data for training and testing the proposed neural network, weather parameters used include average temperature of day, min and max temperature, humidity, and sunshine hour as input data, and power consumption as target data from smart plug. Using the experimental data for training, the neural network model based on Back-Propagation algorithm was developed. Multi layer perception network was used for nonlinear mapping between the input and the output data. It was observed that the proposed neural network model can predict the power consumption quite well with correlation coefficient was 0.9965, and prediction mean square error was 0.02033.

Modeling of Elastodynamic Problems in Finite Solid Media (유한 고체내 탄성동역학 문제의 모델링)

  • Cho, Youn-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.138-149
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    • 2000
  • Various modeling techniques for ultrasonic wave propagation and scattering problems in finite solid media are presented. Elastodynamic boundary value problems in inhomogeneous multi-layered plate-like structures are set up for modal analysis of guided wave propagation and numerically solved to obtain dispersion curves which show propagation characteristics of guided waves. As a powerful modeling tool to overcome such numerical difficulties in wave scattering problems as the geometrical complexity and mode conversion, the Boundary Element Method(BEM) is introduced and is combined with the normal mode expansion technique to develop the hybrid BEM, an efficient technique for modeling multi mode conversion of guided wave scattering problems. Time dependent wave forms are obtained through the inverse Fourier transformation of the numerical solutions in the frequency domain. 3D BEM program development is underway to model more practical ultrasonic wave signals. Some encouraging numerical results have recently been obtained in comparison with the analytical solutions for wave propagation in a bar subjected to time harmonic longitudinal excitation. It is expected that the presented modeling techniques for elastic wave propagation and scattering can be applied to establish quantitative nondestructive evaluation techniques in various ways.

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Numerical Analysis on Cutting Power of Disc Cutter with Joint Distribution Patterns (절리분포 양상에 따른 디스크커터의 절삭력에 관한 수치해석적 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Joong;Choi, Sung-O.
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.151-163
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    • 2011
  • The LCM test is one of the most powerful and reliable methods for designing the disc cutter and for predicting the TBM (Tunnel Boring Machine) performance. It has an advantage to predict the actual load on disc cutter from the laboratory test on the real-size large rock samples, however, it also has a disadvantage to transport and/or prepare the large rock samples and to need an extra cost for experiment. Moreover it is not easy to execute the test for jointed rock mass, and sometimes the design model estimated from the test can not be applied to the real design of disc cutter. In order to break this critical point, lots of numerical studies have been performed. PFC2D can simulate crack propagation and rock fragmentation effectively, because it is useful in particle flow analysis. Consequently, in this study, the PFC2D has been adopted for numerical analysis on cutting power of disc cutter according to the different angle of joint, the different direction of joint, and the different space of joint with jointed rock mass models. From the numerical analyses, it was concluded that the bigger cutting power of disc cutter was needed for reverse cutting direction to joint rather than for forward direction, and the cutting power of disc cutter was increased with decreasing the dip angle of joint and decreasing the space of joints in reverse cutting direction. The more precise numerical model for disc cutter can be developed from comparison between the numerical results and LCM test results, and the resonable guideline is expected for prediction of TBM performance and disc cutter.

A Study about Effectiveness and Usefulness of a FEM Slug Test Model (유한 요소기법을 이용한 Slug시험 모델의 타당성 및 유용성 연구)

  • 한혜정;최종근
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Groundwater Environment
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2000
  • Slug tests are the most widely used field method for quantification of hydraulic conductivity of porous media. Well recovery is affected by well casing, borehole radii, screened length, hydraulic conductivity, and specific storage of porous media. In this study, a new slug tests model was developed through finite element approximation and the validity and usefulness of the model were tested in various ways. Water level fluctuation in a well under slug test and cons-equent groundwater flow in the surrounding porous medium were appropriately coupled through estimation of well-flux using an iteration technique. Numerical accuracy of the model was verified using the Cooper et al. (1967) solution. The model has advantages in simulations for monitored slug tests, partial penetration, and inclusion of storage factor. Volume coverage of slug tests is significantly affected by storage factor. Magnitude and speed of propagation of head changes from a well increases as storage factor becomes low. It will be beneficial to use type curves of monitored head transients in the surrounding porous formation for estimation of specific storage. As the vertical component of groundwater flow is enhanced, the influence of storage factor on well recovery decreases. For a radial-vertical flow around a partially penetrated well, deviations between hydraulic estimates by various methods and data selection of recovery curve are negligible on practical purposes, whereas the deviations are somewhat significant for a radial flow.

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A Study on the Reliable Video Transmission Through Source/Channel Combined Optimal Quantizer for EREC Based Bitstream (EREC 기반 비트열을 위한 Source-Channel 결합 최적 양자화기 설계 및 이를 통한 안정적 영상 전송에 관한 연구)

  • 김용구;송진규;최윤식
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.25 no.12B
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    • pp.2094-2108
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    • 2000
  • 오류를 수반하는 통신망을 통한 멀티미디어 데이터의 응용은 최근 그 수요가 급증하고 있다. 하지만 그 구현은 많은 문제점들을 야기하는데, 전송된 비디오 데이터에 발생한 오류를 처리하는 문제가 그 중 하나이다. 이는 압축된 비트열에 발생한 오류가 영상의 시-공간 방향으로 심각한 전파 현상을 수반하기 때문이다. 이러한 심각한 오류 전파를 완화하기 위해 본 논문에서는 EREC라 알려진 오류 제한 기법을 적용하고, 적용된 EREC의 오류 전파 특성을 분석하였다. 이를 통해, 압축 부호화된 하나의 기본 블록 (매크로 블록)이 복호시 오류가 생길 확률을 추정하였으며, 추정된 확률의 근사를 통해 양 끝단(전송단과 수신단)에서의 비디오 화질 열화를 예측하였다. 추정 확률의 근사는 매 기본 블록에서 발생된 비트수에 대한 그 기본 블록이 복호시 오류가 생길 확률을 간단한 1차식을 통한 선형 회귀법으로 모델링 되었으며, 따라서 간단한 방법을 통해 양 끝단의 화질 열화를 효과적으로 예측할 수 있었다. 부호화된 비트열이 전송 오류에 보다 강인하게 되도록 하기 위해, 본 논문에서 개발된 화질 열화 모델을 양자화기 선택에 적용함으로써, 새로운 최적 양자화 기법을 제시하였다. 본 논문에서 제안된 최적 양자화 기법은, 기존의 양자기 최적화 기법들과는 달리, 복호단에서의 복원 영상 화질이 주어진 비트율에서 최적이 되도록 양자화를 수행한다. H.263 비디오 압축 규격에 적용한 제안 양자화 기법의 실험 결과를 통해, 제안 기법이 매우 적은 계산상의 부하를 비용으로 객관적 화질은 물론 주관적 화질까지 크게 개선할 수 있음을 확인할 수 있었다.내었다.Lc. lacti ssp. lactis의 젖산과 초산의 생성량은 각각 0.089, 0.003과 0.189, 0.003M이었다. 따라서 corn steep liquor는 L. fermentum와 Lc. lactis ssp, lactis 의 생장을 위해 질소 또는 탄소 공급원으로서 배지에 첨가 될 수 있는 우수한 농업 부산물로 판단되었다.징하며 WLWQ에 적용되는 몇 가지 제약을 관찰하고 이를 일반적인 언어원리로 설명한다. 첫째, XP는 주어로만 해석되는데 그 이유는 XP가 목적어 혹은 부가어 등 다른 기능을 할 경우 생략 부위가 생략의 복원 가능선 원리 (the deletion-up-to recoverability principle)를 위배하기 때문이다. 둘째, WLWQ가 내용 의문문으로만 해석되는데 그 이유는 양의 공리(the maxim of quantity: Grice 1975) 때문이다. 평서문으로 해석될 경우 WP에 들어갈 부분이 XP의 자질의 부분집합에 불과하므로 명제가 아무런 정보제공을 하지 못한다. 반면 의문문 자체는 정보제공을 추구하지 않으므로 앞에서 언급한 양의 공리로부터 자유롭다. 셋째, WLWQ의 XP는 주제어 표지 ‘는/-은’을 취하나 주어표지 ‘가/-이’는 취하지 못한다(XP-는/-은 vs. XP-가/-이). 이는 IP내부 에 비공범주의 존재 여부에 따라 C의 음운형태(PF)가 시성이 정해진다는 가설로 설명하고자 했다. WLWQ에 대한 우리의 논의가 옳다면, 본 논문은 다음과 같은 이론적 함의를 기닌다. 첫째, WLWQ의 존재는 생략에 대한 두 이론 즉 LF 복사 이론과 PF 삭제 이론

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Analysis on Correlation between AE Parameters and Stress Intensity Factor using Principal Component Regression and Artificial Neural Network (주성분 회귀분석 및 인공신경망을 이용한 AE변수와 응력확대계수와의 상관관계 해석)

  • Kim, Ki-Bok;Yoon, Dong-Jin;Jeong, Jung-Chae;Park, Phi-Iip;Lee, Seung-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.80-90
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    • 2001
  • The aim of this study is to develop the methodology which enables to identify the mechanical properties of element such as stress intensity factor by using the AE parameters. Considering the multivariate and nonlinear properties of AE parameters such as ringdown count, rise time, energy, event duration and peak amplitude from fatigue cracks of machine element the principal component regression(PCR) and artificial neural network(ANN) models for the estimation of stress intensity factor were developed and validated. The AE parameters were found to be very significant to estimate the stress intensity factor. Since the statistical values including correlation coefficients, standard mr of calibration, standard error of prediction and bias were stable, the PCR and ANN models for stress intensity factor were very robust. The performance of ANN model for unknown data of stress intensity factor was better than that of PCR model.

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DYNAMIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT FOR INTERPLANETARY NAVIGATION (행성탐사 항행해 결정을 위한 동역학 모델 개발)

  • Park, Eun-Seo;Song, Young-Joo;Yoo, Sung-Moon;Park, Sang-Young;Choi, Kyu-Hong;Yoon, Jae-Cheol;Yim, Jo-Ryeong;Choi, Joon-Min;Kim, Byung-Kyo
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.463-472
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, the dynamic model development for interplanetary navigation has been discussed. The Cowell method for special perturbation theories was employed to develop an interplanetary trajectory propagator including the perturbations due to geopotential, the Earth's dynamic polar motion, the gravity of the Sun, the Moon and the other planets in the solar system, the relativistic effect of the Sun, solar radiation pressure, and atmospheric drag. The equations of motion in dynamic model were numerically integrated using Adams-Cowell 11th order predictor-corrector method. To compare the influences of each perturbation, trajectory propagation was performed using initial transfer orbit elements of the Mars Express mission launched in 2003, because it can be the criterion to choose proper perturbation models for navigation upon required accuracy. To investigate the performance of dynamic model developed, it was tested whether the spacecraft can reach the Mars. The interplanetary navigation tool developed in this study demonstrated the spacecraft entering the Mars SOI(Sphere of Influence) and its velocity .elative to the Mars was less than the escape velocity of the Mars, hence, the spacecraft can arrive at the target planet. The obtained results were also verified by using the AGI Satellite Tool Kit. It is concluded that the developed program is suitable for supporting interplanetary spacecraft mission for a future Korean Mars mission.

Application of Boussinesq Equation Model for the Breaking Wave Behavior around Underwater Shoals (수중 천퇴에서의 쇄파거동 예측을 위한 Boussinesq 방정식 모델의 적용)

  • Chun, In-Sik;Kim, Gui-Dong;Sim, Jae-Seol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.154-165
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    • 2006
  • In the present study, a numerical model using Boussinesq equation is set up to predict the interacted equilibrium between waves and their induced currents in the occurrence of breaking waves over an underwater shoal, and the numerical results are compared with results of existing hydraulic experiments. A sensitivity analysis has been done to find out appropriate values of breaking wave parameters with the result (regular wave case) of Vincent and Briggs (1989)’ experiment. Then the numerical model is applied to the irregular wave cases of the experiment and the hydraulic model test of Ieodo which is a natural undersea shoal. The results show that a strong current forms in the wave direction at the downstream side of the shoals, causing the attenuation of wave heights there. The calculated wave heights generally show a similar pattern with the measured data.

Numerical modeling of debris flow in Mt. Umyeon using FLO-2D model (FLO-2D 모형을 이용한 우면산 토석류 수치모델링)

  • Kim, Seung-Eun;Paik, Joong-Cheol;Kim, Kyung-Suk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.105-105
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    • 2012
  • 최근 우리나라는 집중호우로 인한 토석류의 발생이 현저하게 증가하고 있으며, 2002년 태풍 루사와 2003년 매미 그리고 2006년 7월 집중호우 등으로 인한 피해의 규모는 여러 조사와 문헌에서도 확인할 수 있다. 2011년 7월, 서울 우면산 일대에서는 집중호우로 인한 토석류가 발생하였으며, 16명의 인명손실을 포함한 큰 피해가 있었다. 우면산 토석류는 십여 개 지역에서 동시다발적으로 발생하였으며, 토석류 발생 유역 특성과 토석류의 유동특성을 분석하기 위한 현장 조사가 진행되었다. 조사한 자료에 따르면 우면산 일대의 일일 강우량은 서초 기상측정소를 기준으로 최대 24시간 누적 324mm 그리고 시간당 최대 68.5mm/hr를 기록하였다. 상업용 소프트웨어인 FLO-2D는 유사농도의 함수로서 점성(viscous)응력, 항복(yield)응력, 난류 및 분산(dispersive) 응력항을 포함하는 2차 유변학(quadratic rheology) 모델을 기본으로 사용하여 이류(mudflow)와 토석류(debris flow)를 모의할 수 있다. FLO-2D는 흐름의 운동량 및 에너지 보존을 고려하여 격자와 시간에 관계없이 유동심도, 속도, 압력을 예측할 수 있으며, 격자 기반의 모델로서 GIS 및 기타 응용 프로그램들과 연동이 쉽다는 장점이 있다. 그러나 하상침식에 의해 유발된 토석류의 체적 증가는 고려 할 수 없으므로 토석류의 전파 및 퇴적영역에서의 토석류 모의에만 사용할 수 있는 단점이 있다. 이 연구의 목적은 FLO-2D 소프트웨어를 이용하여 우면산에서의 토석류 현상을 재현하는 것이다. 우면산 일대에서 발생한 토석류 중 서초구 방배동의 래미안 아파트 부근에서 발생한 토석류에 대하여 수치지도(DEM)와 현장조사를 통해 얻은 지형자료, 해당 지역의 강우량 및 지질 특성 자료 등을 토대로 FLO-2D 모델을 적용하여 토석류의 흐름특성을 검토한다. 토석류 유동 및 퇴적에 대한 가용한 현장관측 자료와의 비교 분석을 통하여 토석류 특성 값을 산정하고, 모델의 적용성을 검증한다.

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A prediction of the rock mass rating of tunnelling area using artificial neural networks (인공신경망을 이용한 터널구간의 암반분류 예측)

  • Han, Myung-Sik;Yang, In-Jae;Kim, Kwang-Myung
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.277-286
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    • 2002
  • Most of the problems in dealing with the tunnel construction are the uncertainties and complexities of the stress conditions and rock strengths in ahead of the tunnel excavation. The limitations on the investigation technology, inaccessibility of borehole test in mountain area and public hatred also restrict our knowledge on the geologic conditions on the mountainous tunneling area. Nevertheless an extensive and superior geophysical exploration data is possibly acquired deep within the mountain area, with up to the tunnel locations in the case of alternative design or turn-key base projects. An appealing claim in the use of artificial neural networks (ANN) is that they give a more trustworthy results on our data based on identifying relevant input variables such as a little geotechnical information and biological learning principles. In this study, error back-propagation algorithm that is one of the teaching techniques of ANN is applied to presupposition on Rock Mass Ratings (RMR) for unknown tunnel area. In order to verify the applicability of this model, a 4km railway tunnel's field data are verified and used as input parameters for the prediction of RMR, with the learned pattern by error back propagation logics. ANN is one of basic methods in solving the geotechnical uncertainties and helpful in solving the problems with data consistency, but needs some modification on the technical problems and we hope our study to be developed in the future design work.

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