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Population Projections for Busan Using a Biregional Cohort-Component Method (이지역 코호트-요인법을 이용한 부산광역시 장래 인구 추계)

  • Cho, Dae-Heon;Lee, Sang-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.212-232
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    • 2011
  • The main objective of this study is to establish a population projection method based on the biregional cohort-component method and to apply it to population projections for Busan. Some drawbacks of using the net migration cohort-component method in a regional or local level population projection are demonstrated. A biregional cohort-component method, a variant of the interregional cohort-component method, is established as an alternative where in-migration and out-migration are separately considered and then are combined to produce a projection for the migration component. Predicated on the established method, population projections for Busan are undertaken for the period of 2005~2030 under three different scenarios. Considerably different projection results are obtained between the net migration and biregional methods; among others, the trend of population decline is more severe in the former than in the latter. An investigation of the temporal trend of the projected population shows that the proposed method is highly reasonable. In conclusion, the proposed method based on the biregional cohort-component method seems not only to be theoretically more robust than the net migration cohort-component method but also to be very effective in the real world application.

Evaluative Study of Solar School Project in Kenya and Uganda (솔라스쿨 활용 교육 지원 사업 평가 연구 : 케냐와 우간다의 사례)

  • Suh, Soonshik
    • Journal of Creative Information Culture
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.245-253
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    • 2019
  • To evaluate the achievements of the Solar School Project that has been implemented in twelve African countries since 2013, a case study was implemented in Kenya and in Uganda to investigate networking activities, student accessibility to computers, the frequency of student computer use, the extent to which teaching quality was improved by the enhanced accessibility to ICT-based teaching and learning practices. The results showed the followings. First, Solar Schools have significantly improved the rates of enrollment, transferring, and school attendance. Second, Solar Schools have organized local and invitational training programs to build the capacities of teachers. Third, Solar Schools have facilitated change in neighboring schools and local communities. Fourth, the participants are required to have a clear vision, take ownership of the project, and make a commitment to continuing their individual efforts toward empowerment.

Characteristic analysis for moving in and moving out of departments - Focused on the D university example - (학과 간 전출과 전입의 특성분석 - D대학교의 사례를 중심으로-)

  • Choi, Seungbae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.105-115
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    • 2013
  • As far as the universities in south Korea are concerned, they have to meet the need of the situation as the number of the incoming students are decreasing because of the population-reducing in south Korea. The Ministry of Education Science and Technology is enforcing the restructuring of an universities by evaluating all the universities in Korea by using some indices (employment rate, supplement rate of students etc.). Most of the universities in Korea are widely permitting the changes of the major study as a method to improve the 'supplement rate of students' among some measures. These changes of major study (moving in and moving out) can give rise to difficulties in managing an university because there might be the departments with a small number of students as they moving out from low level departments to high level ones. Moreover, as raising the change rate of the major study, there is no loss from the university's point of view but a department could be in a difficult situation. The purpose of this study is to grasp the characteristics for changing major study by a general statistical analysis and graphs produced by a social network analysis with the D university's case. The results of this study are as follows; (a) category is from the engineering to humanity-society, (b) entrance level is from low to high, and (c) employment rate is from low to high as well.

Analysis of the Factors Affecting on Internal Population Migration in Seoul Metropolitan Area (수도권 도시유형별 내부 인구이동 영향요인 분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Won;Lee, Hoon-Rae
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.9
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    • pp.737-744
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    • 2016
  • Seoul Metropolitan Area has been changed by fierce internal migration during the last several decades. To determine the regional structure, we analyzed the in-and-out migration pattern and main factors affecting the intense of mobility. The migration within metropolitan city and province shows that in Seoul, Songpa and Dobong Gu gained a large population, in Incheon, Namdong Gu experienced a huge population influx, and in Gyeonggi Province, Hwasung, Yongin and Paju city gained a great population. In Seongnam, Suwon city lost a lot of population. These population gains and losses came from mainly residential redevelopment projects in the metropolitan city and new land development projects in Gyeonggi Province. The main factors affecting the intense of mobility diverse from city characters. In central type cities, house price gets the more population influx. In job-housing balanced cities, total income growth rate, housing supply rate and roads cause in-migration. In bed-town type cities, the increase of housing supply rate and parks increase the population. In suburban type cities, business density, housing supply rate, housing, subway station number and educational facilities increase population from outside the city. So, we have to prepare more detailed urban and housing policy responses.

Study on Spatial Characteristics of Student Transfer in Southern Area of Gyeonggi Province (경기도 남부지역 학생이동의 공간적 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyung-Mi;Joo, Kyung-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.679-697
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    • 2011
  • This study analyzed the characteristics of spaces to and from which middle school students transfer, especially centering around the school districts of Southern area in Gyeonggi Province such as Suwon, Osan, Yongin, and Hwaseong. This study was conducted to provide the suggestions regarding educational policies such as the positioning to appropriate school districts, improving of educational environment, and implementing of educational equity, by analyzing, based on the empirical data, the educational spaces of four cities showing rapid population growth due to recent suburbanization. The characteristics of distribution of variables such as schools for each district affecting the student transfer, housing development, and socioeconomics in the research object region are mainly analyzed through the correlation analysis, multiple regression analysis, and cluster analysis. As a result, there is shown a distinct spatial difference between school districts of the cty downtown and urban fringe, and between school districts of the conventional cities(cities that have been from the past: note of translator) and new land development regions. First, the school districts in the city downtown showed lots of transfers between neighboring school districts, while the school districts in the urban fringes showed transfer-out tendencies strongly. Second, it was the new land development regions where the transfer-in rate is the highest in the Southern area of Gyeonggi Province. Third, the said new land development regions required the supply of educational installations and educational support that can meet educational demands, since these regions have relatively lower qualitied educational environments compared to the conventional cities where the fluidity of students is lower. Fourth, in the summary of all of the said three results, the student transfer in the southern area of Gyeonggi Province was shown in the spaces centering around the multi-core area by reflecting the restructuring of suburban area.

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Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA) for Age-Specific Migration Characteristics : A Case Study on Daegu Metropolitan City (연령별 인구이동 특성에 대한 탐색적 공간 데이터 분석 (ESDA) : 대구시를 사례로)

  • Kim, Kam-Young
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.590-609
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of the study is to propose and evaluate Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis(ESDA) methods for examining age-specific population migration characteristics. First, population migration pyramid which is a pyramid-shaped graph designed with in-migration, out-migration, and net migration by age (or age group), was developed as a tool exploring age-specific migration propensities and structures. Second, various spatial statistics techniques based on local indicators of spatial association(LISA) such as Local Moran''s $I_i$, Getis-Ord ${G_i}^*$, and AMOEBA were suggested as ways to detect spatial dusters of age-specific net migration rate. These ESDA techniques were applied to age-specific population migration of Daegu Metropolitan City. Application results demonstrated that suggested ESDA methods can effectively detect new information and patterns such as contribution of age-specific migration propensities to population changes in a given region, relationship among different age groups, hot and cold spot of age-specific net migration rate, and similarity between age-specific spatial clusters.

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The Characteristics of Rural Population, Korea, 1960~1995: Population Composition and Internal Migration (농촌인구의 특성과 그 변화, 1960~1995: 인구구성 및 인구이동)

  • 김태헌
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.77-105
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    • 1996
  • The rural problems which we are facing start from the extremely small sized population and the skewed population structure by age and sex. Thus we analyzed the change of the rural population. And we analyzed the recent return migration to the rural areas by comparing the recent in-migrants with out-migrants to rural areas. And by analyzing the rural village survey data which was to show the current characteristics of rural population, we found out the effects of the in-migrants to the rural areas and predicted the futures of rural villages by characteristics. The changes of rural population composition by age was very clear. As the out-migrants towards cities carried on, the population composition of young children aged 0~4 years was low and the aged became thick. The proportion of the population aged 0~4 years was 45.1% of the total population in 1970 and dropped down to 20.4% in 1995, which is predicted to become under 20% from now on. In the same period(1970~1995), the population aged 65 years and over rose from 4.2% to 11.9%. In 1960, before industrialization, the proportion of the population aged 0~4 years in rural areas was higher than that of cities. As the rural young population continuously moves to cities it became lower than that in urban areas from 1975 and the gap grew till 1990. But the proportion of rural population aged 0~4 years in 1995 became 6.2% and the gap reduced. We can say this is the change of the characteristics of in-migrants and out-migrants in the rural areas. Also considering the composition of the population by age group moving from urban to rural area in the late 1980s, 51.8% of the total migrants concentrates upon age group of 20~34 years and these people's educational level was higher than that of out-migrants to urban areas. This fact predicted the changes of the rural population, and the results will turn out as a change in the rural society. However, after comparing the population structure between the pure rural village of Boeun-gun and suburban village of Paju-gun which was agriculture centered village but recently changed rapidly, the recent change of the rural population structure which the in-migrants to rural areas becomes younger is just a phenomenon in the suburban rural areas, not the change of the total rural areas in general. From the characteristics of the population structure of rural village from the field survey on these villages, we can see that in the pure rural villages without any effects from cities the regidents are highly aged, while industrialization and urbanization are making a progress in suburban villages. Therefore, the recent partial change of the rural population structure and the change of characteristics of the in-migrants toward rural areas is effecting and being effected by the population change of areas like suburban rural villages. Although there are return migrants to rural areas to change their jobs into agriculture, this is too minor to appear as a statistic effect.

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Various factors influencing on the satisfaction of complete denture wearers (총의치 환자의 만족도에 영향을 미치는 다양한 요인)

  • Byun, Jin-Soo;Cho, Lee-Ra;Kim, Dae-Gon;Huh, Yoon-Hyuk;Park, Chan-Jin
    • Journal of Dental Rehabilitation and Applied Science
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2014
  • Growing of number of elderly populations, which may be caused by improved quality of life and decreased the percentage of mortality. Although there is a declining rate of the edentulous patients, more patients are advancing into older age groups, and the substantial number of edentulous patients are increasing. For these edentulous patients, complete denture cannot substitute natural teeth, but it is a staple prosthetic treatment. Generally, the success of dentures has been evaluated on the basis of whether or not patients comfortable and were able to masticate with their dentures. Acceptance of complete denture is complex for patients and related to psychological factors of patients, physical state, and the technical quality of dentures. In addition to that, many factors influence to satisfaction of patients to the complete dentures. In this review article, evaluate various factors related on satisfaction of denture wearers and methods of evaluate satisfaction.

A Problem of Disqualified Fee Imposition Standard in Public Cremation Facilities on Internet Reservation of e-Haneul Funeral Total Information System and an Improvement Proposal (공설화장시설 사용료 부과기준 부적정이 e-하늘 장사종합정보시스템 인터넷 예약에 미치는 문제점 및 개선방안)

  • Choi, Jae-sil;Kim, Jeong-lae
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.163-172
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    • 2016
  • This study conducts an analysis of a problem on internet reservation of e-haneul funeral total information system by disqualified fee imposition standard in public cremation facilities through research and investigation focusing on the operational realities and an ordinance related to public cremation facilities made by each local government across the country, and then is to suggest a policy proposal to improve the drawn problem. As a result of the analysis, as a way to improve the drawn problems, this study suggests a policy proposal that prevents an illegal camouflaged move-in to reduce fee by restricting residence period in requirement of local residents inside the jurisdiction who can use public cremation facilities, raises fee of public cremation facilities of local residents inside the jurisdiction into the optimum level that is set cheaper than production cost, and unifies age norm of an object to apply adult fee in the central government about a difference of age norm of an object to apply fee of adult with the highest availability of public cremation facilities between local governments, resolving a fee difference through fee cutting of local residents outside the jurisdiction priced higher than production cost.

Military Training Schedule Optimization Model for Improving the Combat Power of Troop (부대 전투력 향상을 위한 군 교육훈련 일정계획 최적화 모형)

  • Park, Cheol Eon;Jeong, Chang Soon;Kim, Kyung Sup
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.10
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    • pp.240-247
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    • 2020
  • The Korean military is having difficulty maintaining combat power due to the insufficient troop numbers caused by a demographic cliff and the reduction of the mandatory military service period. Recently, discussions on improving the military training system have increased significantly. This paper proposes an optimization model to establish military training schedules to improve combat power. The oblivion and learning effects on training tasks were quantified through a survey and applied to the model. The objective value, combat power, was calculated based on the total task scores of the unit members and the number of task failures after four weeks. The scenarios were configured by the change in educational conditions and initial scores of some tasks. As a result of scenario experiments, combat power has increased by at least 10% and up to 77%, which is sufficient to maintain combat power considering the change in troops. In addition, the planning of combat skill tasks has a significant impact on combat power. Through this research model, it is expected that military training managers will be able to establish a training schedule that maintains or improves the combat power of troops effectively.