• Title/Summary/Keyword: 잔차분산

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Development of Marine Casualty Forecasting System (II): Implementation of Marine Casualty Prediction Model (해양사고 예보 시스템 개발 (II): 해양사고 예측 모델 구현)

  • Yim, Jeong-Bin
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.487-492
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    • 2003
  • The paper describes on the implementation of marine casualty prediction model that is one of the main part of Korean MArine Casualty FOrecasting System (K-MACFOS). In this work, Cell Distributed Linear-In-the-Parameter (CD-LIP) model is proposed and discussed its usability with comparing Baltic model and revised LIP model. As evaluation results by regression analysis of variance, it is known that the CD-LIP model gives best performance to the marine casualty numerical D/B of the target sea area.

Upper-Level Expectation in Random Coefficient Logit Model (다중 로짓 모형에서의 상위차원의 예측치 통계에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seong-Woo;Ryu, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.5 no.2 s.10
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    • pp.66-72
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    • 1999
  • 본 연구는 다음의 두 가지 목적이 있다. 첫째, 각종 실증분석에 있어서의 다중모형의 효율성에 대한 소개와, 둘째, 다중모형의 분석에 있어서 상위단계의 예측되는 가치를 측정하기 위한 새로운 통계를 소개하는 데 있다. 다중모형의 이론적 틀은 광범위하게 사용되는 기존의 1단계 모형의 통계적 문제점(이분산 등)을 보완하고, 현실을 더욱 실체적으로 파악한다는 측면에서 앞으로 지역분석의 중추적 틀로서 자리매김하리라 예상되고 있다. 본 연구는 이러한 다중모형의 효율성을 가상 자료가 아닌 실제 자료를 이용하여 검증하였으며, 특히 기존에 제시되지 않은 다중로짓모형에서의 상위수준의 잔차 또는 예측치를 계산하는 통계량을 제시하였다. 이 새로운 통계량은 실증분석에 있어서의 관찰치와의 상관관계와 그 분산의 분석에 있어서 잘 행위하고 있는 것으로 나타났다.

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Transform-domain Wyner-Ziv Residual Coding using Temporal Correlation (시간적 상관도를 활용한 변환 영역 잔차 신호 Wyner-Ziv 부호화)

  • Cho, Hyon-Myong;Eun, Hyun;Shim, Hiuk-Jae;Jeon, Byeung-Woo
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.140-151
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    • 2012
  • In Wyner-Ziv coding, key picture is encoded by conventional H.264/AVC intra coding which has low complexity. Although inter coding is more efficient than intra coding, its complexity is much higher than intra coding due to its motion estimation. Since the main feature of Wyner-Ziv coding is low complexity of encoder, inter coding is not suitable to encode key picture in Wyner-Ziv coding. However, inter picture coding with zero motion vector can be usable for Wyner-Ziv key picture coding instead of intra coding. Moreover, while current transform-domain Wyner-Ziv residual coding only utilizes temporal correlation of WZ picture, if zero motion coding is jointly used to encode key picture in transform-domain Wyner-Ziv residual coding, there will be a significant improvement in R-D performance. Experimental results show that the complexity of Wyner-Ziv coding with the proposed zero motion key picture coding is higher than conventional Wyner-Ziv coding with intra key picture coding by about 9%, however, there are BDBR gains up to 54%. Additionally, if the proposed zero motion key coding is implemented on top of the transform-domain Wyner-Ziv residual coding, the result shows rate gains up to 70% in BDBR compared to conventional Wyner-Ziv coding with intra key picture coding.

Robust Outlier-Object Detection in Image Pairs Based on Variable Threshold Using Empirical Correction Constant (실험적 교정상수를 사용한 가변문턱값에 기초한 영상 쌍에서의 강인한 이상 물체 검출)

  • Kim, Dong-Sik
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.14-22
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    • 2009
  • By calculating the differences between two images, which are captured with the same scene at different time, we can detect a set of outliers, such as occluding objects due to moving vehicles. To reduce the influence from the different intensity properties of the images, a simple technique that reruns the regression, which is based on the polynomial regression model, is employed. For a robust detection of outliers, the image difference is normalized by the noise variance. Hence, an accurate estimate of the noise variance is very important. In this paper, using an empirically obtained correction constant is proposed. Numerical analysis using both synthetic and real images are also shown in this paper to show the robust performance of the detection algorithm.

Time-series Mapping and Uncertainty Modeling of Environmental Variables: A Case Study of PM10 Concentration Mapping (시계열 환경변수 분포도 작성 및 불확실성 모델링: 미세먼지(PM10) 농도 분포도 작성 사례연구)

  • Park, No-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.249-264
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    • 2011
  • A multi-Gaussian kriging approach extended to space-time domain is presented for uncertainty modeling as well as time-series mapping of environmental variables. Within a multi-Gaussian framework, normal score transformed environmental variables are first decomposed into deterministic trend and stochastic residual components. After local temporal trend models are constructed, the parameters of the models are estimated and interpolated in space. Space-time correlation structures of stationary residual components are quantified using a product-sum space-time variogram model. The ccdf is modeled at all grid locations using this space-time variogram model and space-time kriging. Finally, e-type estimates and conditional variances are computed from the ccdf models for spatial mapping and uncertainty analysis, respectively. The proposed approach is illustrated through a case of time-series Particulate Matter 10 ($PM_{10}$) concentration mapping in Incheon Metropolitan city using monthly $PM_{10}$ concentrations at 13 stations for 3 years. It is shown that the proposed approach would generate reliable time-series $PM_{10}$ concentration maps with less mean bias and better prediction capability, compared to conventional spatial-only ordinary kriging. It is also demonstrated that the conditional variances and the probability exceeding a certain thresholding value would be useful information sources for interpretation.

TLS (Total Least-Squares) within Gauss-Helmert Model: 3D Planar Fitting and Helmert Transformation of Geodetic Reference Frames (가우스-헬머트 모델 전최소제곱: 평면방정식과 측지좌표계 변환)

  • Bae, Tae-Suk;Hong, Chang-Ki;Lim, Soo-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.315-324
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    • 2022
  • The conventional LESS (LEast-Squares Solution) is calculated under the assumption that there is no errors in independent variables. However, the coordinates of a point, either from traditional ground surveying such as slant distances, horizontal and/or vertical angles, or GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) positioning, cannot be determined independently (and the components are correlated each other). Therefore, the TLS (Total Least Squares) adjustment should be applied for all applications related to the coordinates. Many approaches were suggested in order to solve this problem, resulting in equivalent solutions except some restrictions. In this study, we calculated the normal vector of the 3D plane determined by the trace of the VLBI targets based on TLS within GHM (Gauss-Helmert Model). Another numerical test was conducted for the estimation of the Helmert transformation parameters. Since the errors in the horizontal components are very small compared to the radius of the circle, the final estimates are almost identical. However, the estimated variance components are significantly reduced as well as show a different characteristic depending on the target location. The Helmert transformation parameters are estimated more precisely compared to the conventional LESS case. Furthermore, the residuals can be predicted on both reference frames with much smaller magnitude (in absolute sense).

Comparisons of Empirical Bayes Approaches to Censored Accelerated Lifetime Data (가속수명자료에 대향 경험적 베이즈 비료연구)

  • Cho, Geon-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.183-194
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    • 1997
  • In accelerated life tests, the failure time of an item is observed under a high stress level and based on the time, the failure rates of items we estimated at the normal stress level. In this paper, when the mean of the prior distribution of a parameter is known in Weibull lifetime model with censored failure time data, we study various estimating methods to obtain the empirical Bayes estimator of a parameter from the empirical Bayes approach under the normal stress level by considering the fact that the Bayes estimator is the function of prior parameters and of the acceleration parameter representing the effect of acceleration. And we compare the performance of several empirical Bayes estimators of a parameter in terms of the Bayes risk.

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Performance Based Pay and Pay Dispersion within Firm: The Korean case (한국기업의 연봉제가 기업내 임금격차에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Jae Gu;Kim, Dong-Bae
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.29-52
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    • 2011
  • Using occupational wage structure survey(1996-2006) by Korean ministry of employment and labor, we explored the effect of performance based pay on the pay dispersion within firm. Pay dispersion is defined as the within-firm variance of wage residuals after controlling the individual characteristics in the labor market. The results show that introduction of performance-based pay system increases the level of pay dispersion significantly. However, The relationship of employees' ratio who receive performance-based pay and the level of pay dispersion is an inverted U-shaped($\bigcap$).

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Development of Finite Element Method for the Extended Boussinesq Equations (확장형 Boussinesq 방정식의 유한요소모형 개발)

  • Woo, Seung-Buhm;Choi, Young-Kwang;Yoon, Byung-Il
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2007
  • A finite element model is developed for the extended Boussinesq equations that is capable of simulating the dynamics of long and short waves. Galerkin weighted residual method and the introduction of auxiliary variables for 3rd spatial derivative terms in the governing equations are used for the model development. The Adams-Bashforth-Moulton Predictor Corrector scheme is used as a time integration scheme for the extended Boussinesq finite element model so that the truncation error would not produce any non-physical dispersion or dissipation. This developed model is applied to the problems of solitary wave propagation. Predicted results is compared to available analytical solutions and laboratory measurements. A good agreement is observed.

Characteristics of Measurement Errors due to Reflective Sheet Targets - Surveying for Sejong VLBI IVP Estimation (반사 타겟의 관측 오차 특성 분석 - 세종 VLBI IVP 결합 측량)

  • Hong, Chang-Ki;Bae, Tae-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.325-332
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    • 2022
  • Determination of VLBI IVP (Very Long Baseline Interferometry Invariant Point) position with high accuracy is required to compute local tie vectors between the space geodetic techniques. In general, reflective targets are attached on VLBI antenna and slant distances, horizontal and vertical angles are measured from the pillars. Then, adjustment computation is performed by using the mathematical model which connects measurements and unknown parameters. This indicates that the accuracy of the estimated solutions is affected by the accuracy of the measurements. One of issues in local tie surveying, however, is that the reflective targets are not in favorable condition, that is, the reflective sheet target cannot be perfectly aligned to the instrument perpendicularly. Deviation from the line of sight of an instrument may cause different type of measurement errors. This inherent limitation may lead to incorrect stochastic modeling for the measurements in adjustment computation procedures. In this study, error characteristics by measurement types and pillars are analyzed, respectively. The analysis on the studentized residuals is performed after adjustment computation. The normality of the residuals is tested and then equal variance test between the measurement types are performed. The results show that there are differences in variance according to the measurement types. Differences in variance between distances and angle measurements are observed when F-test is performed for the measurements from each pillar. Therefore, more detailed stochastic modeling is required for optimal solutions, especially in local tie survey.