Journal of Navigation and Port Research (한국항해항만학회지)

Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research (한국항해항만학회)
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Development of Marine Casualty Forecasting System (II): Implementation of Marine Casualty Prediction Model

해양사고 예보 시스템 개발 (II): 해양사고 예측 모델 구현

  • Yim, Jeong-Bin (Division of Maritime Transportation System, Mokpo Maritime University)
  • 임정빈 (목포해양대학교 해상운송시스템학부)
  • Published : 2003.12.01
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Abstract

The paper describes on the implementation of marine casualty prediction model that is one of the main part of Korean MArine Casualty FOrecasting System (K-MACFOS). In this work, Cell Distributed Linear-In-the-Parameter (CD-LIP) model is proposed and discussed its usability with comparing Baltic model and revised LIP model. As evaluation results by regression analysis of variance, it is known that the CD-LIP model gives best performance to the marine casualty numerical D/B of the target sea area.

이 논문에서는 해양사고 예보 시스템(K-MACFOS) 개발의 주요부분 중 하나인 해양사고 예측 모델 구현에 관해서 기술했다. 셀분할 선형 파라미터 모델(CD-LIP)을 제안하여 그 유효성을 Baltic 모델과 수정 LIP 모델과 비교하면서 검토하였다. 회귀 분산분석기법에 의한 평가결과, CD-LIP 모델이 연구대상 해역의 해양사고 수량화 D/B에 최적 성능을 나타냈다.

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