• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.124-124
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• 2017

수자원 및 수도 시설과 같은 사회간접자본은 경제개발 초기 단계에 있어 매우 중요한 역할을 수행하여 왔다. 우리나라의 경제성장 과정에서 수자원 개발은 "한강의 기적"으로 불리며 한국 경제발전의 중요한 원동력 가운데 하나로 알려져 있다. 본 연구에서는 수자원개발의 경제적 효과를 정량적으로 분석하기 위하여 거시경제모형을 구축하고 실증분석하고자 한다. 이를 위해 1977-2014년 동안의 수자원 부문에 대한 자본 스톡을 추정하고 이를 바탕으로 경제성장과의 인과관계를 검정한다. 추정결과, 수자원 투자는 경제성장(GDP)으로의 단방향의 인과성이 존재함을 확인(1%유의 수준)하였다. 외생적 충격으로 수자원 투자가 감소하는 경우 국내 소득(GDP)에 부정적 영향을 미칠 수 있음을 시사하고 있다. 우리나라의 성공적인 수자원 개발과 경제 발전 경험은 많은 개도국에게 시사점을 제공할 것이다.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.37B no.9
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• pp.837-848
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• 2012

This study has conducted the economic effects of R&D investment in the IT industry using multi-regression analysis with three independent variables; capital stock, labor input and R&D stock. In this study, the IT industry has been categorized into three sub-industries; broadcasting communication appliances, information appliances and electronic components industry. Our analysis has found that auto-correlation shows considerable levels whereas figures of t-value and R-square show significant levels among all the IT sub-industries. Meanwhile, the values of R&D stock in the information appliances industry and that of labor input coefficients in the electronic components industry were minus, thus multi-collinearity was suspected. We have solved the problems regarding auto-correlation and multi-collinearity through Cochrane-Orcutt estimation and principal components analysis. This paper has derived the implications that R&D investment in the broadcasting communication industry is much more influential than any other IT sub-industry.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.23 no.4
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• pp.49-69
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• 2007

The purpose of this study is to analyze contribution factors of economic growth through growth accounting analysis in Korean port-logistics industry. Comparing with the average level of entire industry for 1990-2003, the contributions of total factor productivity and labor in port-logistics industry were high, but that of capital stock was very low. The pattern of growth in Korean port-logistics industry has greatly changed before and after Korean financial crisis. Before the 1997 financial crisis, the economic growth rate of port-logistics industry was 14.1%, which is higher than that of the whole industries, 7.7% for 1990-1998. Main contribution factors of the economic growth rate were the growth of capital stock and productivity, but ratios of their contributions were relatively low and did not come up to that for the whole industry. After the financial crisis, annualized growth rate of GDP in port-logistics industry had rapidly declined at 5.4% for 1998-2003, which did not get to that of the entire industry (10.1%). The main contribution factors of the economic growth rate over the 1998-2003 period were capital stock 13.1%, labor 57.0 %, and total factor productivity 29.9 %, Such growth pattern as excess dependence on growth of labor brought reduction of the rate of economic growth with degradation of productivity growth in the Korean port-logistics industry.

• Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.231-251
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• 2010

The numbers of SCI paper or patent in science and technology are expected to be related with the number of researcher and knowledge stock (R&D stock, paper stock, patent stock). The results of the regression model showed that severe multicollinearity existed and errors were made in the estimation and testing of regression coefficients. To solve the problem of multicollinearity and estimate the effect of the independent variable properly, principal component regression model were applied for three cases with S&T knowledge production. The estimated principal component regression function was transformed into original independent variables to interpret properly its effect. The analysis indicated that the principal component regression model was useful to estimate the effect of the highly correlate production factors and showed that the number of researcher, R&D stock, paper or patent stock had all positive effect on the production of paper or patent.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 2003.11a
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• pp.111-114
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• 2003

본 연구의 목적은 한국경제의 성장과정에서 자본, 노동, 지식, 그리고 환경질의 동태적 상호관계를 도출함에 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 경제성장에 관한 전통적인 거시경제적 시스템 다이내믹스 모형에 최근 경제학에서 대두되는 새로운 아이디어, 환경 및 지식에 관한 변수들을 가미하여 본 연구의 모델을 제시하고, 아울러 경제성장의 질적 전환기에 있어서 유효한 정책수단을 제공함으로써 이론적이며 실제적인 의의를 지닌다.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.22 no.2
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• pp.215-250
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• 2013

The term, "resource curse", is widely used to describe how countries rich in natural resources, such as oil, natural gas, and certain minerals, are unable to utilize that wealth to boost their economies. Contrary to previous research on the topic, this study has demonstrated that natural resources have a strong positive correlation with a country's economy. It likewise confirmed that this result is robust with broad sets of exogenous variables, and that the positive impact of natural resources on the economy remains significant with the inclusion of capital stock per worker. In this sense, it is doubtful that resource curse actually exists in the long-run. On the other hand, this study tested whether the quality of institutions has any relation with natural resource endowments if the positive effect of natural resource endowments on the gross domestic product (GDP) is adequately controlled for. In contrast to findings of Alexeev and Conrad (2009), if the former Soviet Union (FSU) countries are included, it seems that there might be a negative and statistically significant relationship between large endowments of natural resources and the quality of institutions. However, this negative relationship loses its significance and some positive albeit insignificant relationships are confirmed in a considerable number of cases when the FSU countries are excluded in the sample. That is, the negative relationship results from the inclusion of the FSU countries. This result is believed to happen by a temporary coincidence of events, a natural resource windfall and political and economic instability during the transition of the FSU countries. Therefore, the argument that resource abundance harms the institutional quality is confirmed to be a little groundless.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.30 no.2
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• pp.347-364
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• 2021

Carbon neutral policy in Korea pays limited attention to the concept of sustainable economic growth. This limitation can be compared with other countries' carbon neutral policies such as US, UK and China where the climate change policies are closely connected to economic policies to boost further economic growth. This paper adopts a Ramsey growth model to account for the impact of carbon neutral policy on long-term economic growth and the accumulation capital. The model incorporates the Hartwick rule to allow sustainability of economic growth by transforming resource input into other input factor for growth. The analysis provides a possibility of low accumulation of capital as a result of carbon neutral policy in the absence of effective transformation of fossil-fuel factor into growth-related productive capital. Such low capital stock can be more aggravated when there exists a rent-seeking behavior of various interest groups with voracity to exploit social capital.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.23 no.4
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• pp.689-718
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• 2014

This study analyzes the ripple effects on the national economy of the flood damage using a perfect foresight dynamic CGE model for 2010 as the base year in case that the flood damage reduces the capital of the relevant industrial sectors. The analysis is limited to the items of physical damage such as agricultural land, ships and public facilities, for which statistical data can be obtained. As flood damage scenarios we adopt the minimum, maximum and average value of flood damage's historical data over the period 1991~2010 for each item. The results show that the largest production decline happens to the industry of fishing and transport and the next largest to the agricultural and forestry industry. The GDP reduction in the base year turns out to be from 0.001 to 0.057 percent compared to the benchmark and 11 percent compared to the exogenous shock to capital stock. Dynamically, the GDP gradually decreases until the year of 2030, which shows the long-lasting impact on the national economy of flood damage via the chanel of the capital damage.

• International Area Studies Review
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.51-76
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• 2011

Since Japanese government took reformative measures of public investment in the period of 2000s, this paper investigates how the economic effects of public investments has improved in the period of 2000s. The empirical findings do not show that the output elasticity with respect to public capital has been higher in the 2000s than that of 1990s. Rather, some output elasticity estimates for 2000s has lowered after the advent of year 2000. In addition, the impact of public capital on the productivity of private capital has not improved in the 2000s compared with that of 1990s in Japan. Another major finding shows that the crowding-out effect of public investment has been stronger in the 2000s than before. Those findings imply that the reforms done by Japanese government in the 2000s regarding public investment do not spread out into the private aggregate production and investment.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.27 no.1
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• pp.81-122
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• 2005

The paper aims to establish the characteristics of the Korean firms' R&D investment and to estimate the private rate of return to R&D investment. For the empirical analysis, a balanced panel data is constructed with 695 firms on 8 year observations. The panel data enables to characterize R&D investment of the Korean firms, which is mostly conformed to the 'stylized facts' of R&D investment that found in the previous studies on foreign firms. Klette model was used to estimate the private rate of return on R&D investment and depreciation rate of R&D capital. The paper estimates that the rate of return on R&D investment is 10.5% on average or 16.4% on median for the whole industry whereas manufacturing firms show 10.4% on average or 16.4% on median. The depreciation rate was estimated about 32.9% for whole industry, where it ranges from the minimum 11.6% for metal industry and 49.5% for services. The median estimate of the rate of return for R&D investment of Korean firms is roughly two times higher than real interest rates for the same period, which implies that R&D investment allows sizable rent in addition to the opportunity cost of capital investment.