• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인구잠재력

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Analysis of Changes in the Population Potential of the Neighboring Areas of Sejong City Using the Accessibility Model (Accessibility 모델을 활용한 세종시 인접 지역의 인구잠재력 변화 분석)

  • Kim, Ho-Yong;Yun, Jeong-Mi
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.167-178
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    • 2014
  • As large-scale housing sites are being developed rapidly in Sejong City, which was launched in 2012 for resolving the adverse effects of overconcentration in the capital area, promoting balanced development of the country, and reinforcing national competitiveness, changes in spatial structure are expected in the surrounding areas. For setting the directions of urban planning, it is essential to understand changes in spatial structure. This study purposed to measure changes in the spatial structure of neighboring areas resulting from the construction of Sejong City by approaching from the aspect of spatial interaction. In the analysis, we calculated population potential for future spatial interaction using the accessibility model, and interpreted quantitatively and qualitatively the outcomes of spatial interaction among neighboring areas before and after the construction of Sejong City using population potential as an indicator. According to the results of the analysis, the impact range of the population potential of the subject areas had been shrinking continuously since 1995, and in 2013 population potential dispersed as the population concentrated on and around Cheonan City. Although Sejong City, as a new area of population potential, was not found to play the role of a pivotal point for the surrounding areas, it is probably because the analysis was made just after people began to move to Sejong City. Accordingly, along with the effort of Sejong City to reach the planned population, it is necessary to keep monitoring changes in related factors and changes in the spatial structure of the surrounding cities resulting from the growth of population.

The Spatial Variation Measurement of Multi-Centric Structure in Busan Metropolitan City (부산광역시 다핵구조의 공간적 변동성 측정)

  • Kim, Ho-Yong
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.93-103
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    • 2012
  • Recently metropolitan cities pursue multi centric urban spatial structure for sustainable development and efficient urban management. Thus, this study calculated population potential using data on population distributed among road nodes for the last 50 years, and based on the results. We measured the spatial variability of the multi centric structure of Busan Metropolitan City. According to the results, the multi centralization process has been continued up to recently in Busan Metropolitan City. As population potential is concentrated on sub centers, Hadan, Gupo and Haeundae areas were playing an increasingly powerful role as the center of the respective district, and Sasang and Dongrae had been losing their role as the center of their respective districts since 2000 and 1990, respectively. Additionally, in all the multi centric districts except Haeundae was observed the increase of oblongity, which is the change of spatial structure in an unbalanced way toward a specific area or direction.

A Study on GIS Methods for Estimating "Index for Populat ion Generator" Based on socio-economic factor (인문사회 공간정보를 활용한 유동인구지수 추정)

  • Han, Jung-Sun;Kim, Han-Gook
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 2009.04a
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    • pp.262-264
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    • 2009
  • 국내 마케팅 시장은 전체 분야에 걸쳐 출혈경쟁이 이뤄지고 있다. 이와 같은 환경에서 기업들이 올바른 의사결정을 통해 경쟁력을 확보하려면 시장의 잠재력을 정량적으로 파악하는 노력이 필요하다. 특히, 배후지의 인구, 직장인, 그리고 유동인구 규모 등은 시장의 잠재력을 판단하는 기본 정보다. 배후지의 인구와 직장인 정보는 국가통계 자료 등을 활용하거나 기타 추정방법에 의해 산정되어 활용되고 있다. 하지만, 유동인구에 관한 정보는 실제 거리에 나가 인구를 측정하여 활용하는 방안 외에는 마땅한 추정방법이 없는 실정이다. 이러한 이유로 유동인구가 매출에 직접적인 영향을 주는 기업들은 많은 시간과 인력을 투입하여 유동인구 수를 측정하고 있다. 하지만, 비용적인 측면에서 한계가 있다. 본 연구에서는 Point 기반의 인문사회 Spatial DB를 활용하여 전국단위의 유동인구를 추정하는 방법론을 제안했다. 또한, 유동인구 정보에는 연령 및 성별 비율까지 추정하여 다양한 활용이 가능하도록 하였다.

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연령구성에 기인하는 인구증가의 관성

  • Rhee, Hong Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.155-165
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    • 1977
  • 현 시점에서의 인구의 성별/연령별 구성은 과거의 출산, 사망에 의한 인구진행과정(demographic process)의 잔류효과라고 볼 수 있다. 한편 현재의 인구의 성별/연령별 구성은 장래의 인구증가에 잠재적인 영향력을 미치게 된다. 예를 들면 인구의 대부분이 45세 이상으로 구성되어 있다면 출산률은 낮고 사망률은 높아서 인구증가는 더디다. 즉 인구의 연령별 구성은 인구증가를 좌우하는 하나의 동적인 요인으로 볼 수 있다. 연령구성이 한 결과인 동시에 하나의 요인이기도 하다는, 이러한 이중적인 성격은 서로 얽히고 복잡한 것이다. 이 논문에서는 둘째 관점, 즉 연령구성을 하나의 동적요인으로 보고, 그것이 인구증가에 미치는 잠재력(potentail) 또는 관성(momentum)에 관해서 고찰하고 최근(1970, 1975)의 한국 센서스 결과에 대해서 이를 정량적으로 계측하고자 한다.

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An Empirical Study on the Effects of Fertility Rate and Female Labor Supply on Economic Potential (출산율 및 여성고용 제고 정책이 성장잠재력에 미치는 영향)

  • Ryu, Deock-Hyun
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.27-54
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of policy boosting fertility and labor participation rate on potential GDP growth rate. To do this, we employ a growth accounting approach, which decomposes per capita GDP into two parts. The first one is the change of dependency ratio and the other is the change of labor input. The labor input is again decomposed into the qualitative and quantitative parts. The quantitative part considers the change of labor participation rate and working time. The qualitative aspects is based on the trend of productivity of labor. From the scenarios of NSO(National Statistics Office), the effect of the fertility-raising policy on per capita potential GDP growth rate is calculated and projected to the year of 2050. We also forecast the policy effect inducing high labor participating rate of female labor and beyond 55-year old labor. The baseline results show that the per capita GDP growth rate will show mid 4% to the year of 2010, gradually declining to 3.94% by 2020, 3.03% by 2030, 2.41% by 2040. The high fertility rate scenario will not have effects on the potential growth by 2030, but show 0.10%p higher per capita GDP growth rate than that of baseline scenario result. By the high female labor participation policy, the per capita GDP growth rate will reach 0.04%p higher per capita GDP growth rate than that of baseline scenario. Based on the results of this paper, we conclude that the quantitative labor input cannot solely account for the trend decline of potential GDP, and the qualitative aspect, like labor productivity, is much more important element to sustain and boots the economic growth.

Defining boundaries of urban centers and measuring the impact for diagnosing urban spatial structure (도시 공간구조 진단을 위한 도시 중심지의 경계 설정 및 영향력 측정에 관한 연구)

  • Ho-Yong Kim;Jisook Kim
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.52-66
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    • 2024
  • The purpose of this study is to identify the spatial system and characteristics of the urban center by deriving the boundaries of the urban center set in the urban basic plan for Busan Metropolitan City and diagnosing the role and status of the center. To this end, four indicators representing the characteristics of the center were selected through a review of previous studies, and the boundaries of the center were derived using spatial statistical techniques with strengths in geographical boundary analysis. Then, using the indicators of center characteristics and population potential functions, we diagnosed the influence and potential of each center in the spatial structure of Busan Metropolitan City. The analysis showed that the scale of the centers varies greatly, and the unutilized areas where commercial areas are not activated and the expansion areas that spread beyond commercial areas to residential and industrial areas are different for each urban center. The results of the potential measurement, which indicates the attractiveness of the center, also showed areas with strong and weak population potential. Therefore, systematic management and strategies based on the hierarchical characteristics and influence measurement results are needed to strengthen the function of urban centers. The results analyzed in this study can be used as a resource for responding to various urban planning needs and policy changes in the future, along with station area development plans and spatial innovation zones for building a sustainable urban growth system, balanced development, and strengthening the function of centers.

An Analysis of the Spatial Structure Changes according to the Reorganization of Metropolitan City Using Population Potential : Focused on Busan Metropolitan City (인구잠재력을 이용한 광역도시 개편에 따른 공간구조변화 분석 : 부산광역시를 중심으로)

  • KIM, Ho-Yong;BAE, Eun-Sol
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.83-94
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    • 2020
  • Busan Metropolitan City, a research site of this study, was promoted to a metropolitan city in 1995 with the implementation of the local autonomy system, and the overall change was made as it absorbed the surrounding areas to address the shortage of population and space. Twenty-five years after the introduction of the local autonomy system, it is necessary to diagnose whether balanced development of the entire city is being made in accordance with the reorganization of the metropolitan city in terms of spatial structure. In this study, changes in spatial structure and regional characteristics were analyzed by applying population potential, which means potential for future spatial interaction, in time and space. According to the analysis, the development was taking place around the center area and the sub-center established by the urban master plan, but Gangseo-gu and Gijang-gun, which were incorporated in the past, remained stagnant. In addition, it was shown that the spatial expansion of the city was suppressed by the green belt surrounding the city. However, in other regions where the green belt is located, the city has been expanded, which is different from Gijang-gun or Gangseo-gu, which was incorporated into the metropolitan city. Therefore, the cause of the decline in incorporated areas should not be limited to the institutional dimension of land use regulation. Growth management and balanced development plans will be necessary for the development of declining old downtowns and underdeveloped incorporated areas.

선진낙농국순례3-아르헨티나편

  • Korea Dairy Industries Association
    • 우유
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    • s.48 spring
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    • pp.42-45
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    • 1992
  • 2백 90만㎢가 넘는 비옥한 땅을 가진 아르헨티나는 인구의 8배 이상을 먹여 살릴 수 있을 만큼 식품산업의 성장 잠재력을 가지고 있다.

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The Spatial Disparity of Opportunity Potentials in Korea (한국 도시의 경제 $\cdot$ 문화 $\cdot$ 사회 복지적 기회 잠재력의 지역적 격차)

  • Choi, Yoon-Jeong;Lee, Keumsook
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.91-105
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    • 2005
  • The assessment (or the evaluation) of spatial disparity is the main concern for the study of spatial disparities or spatial inequalities. In order to evaluate the spatial disparity, the regional differences have to be counted quantitatively. Several measurements have been introduced for evaluating the development potentials of each region. Most of them are the composite indices of the socio-economic variables rather than the real potentials of the region. This study attempts to investigate the spatial disparity in Korea. For the purpose, the levels of opportunity potentials of the cities have been calculated by the Potential Model redefined by Lee(1995). The opportunity potentials have been calculated for the educational, cultural, medical service, environmental sectors, income, and consumption sectors, and the spatial patterns of various opportunity potentials have been analyzed. The spatial patterns of opportunity potentials show the severe concentration on the Metropolitan Seoul area through all sectors. The next level concentration appears at the other end of the Keuyng-Bu axis. And the cities relatively high opportunity potential values are distributed along the Keuyng-Bu axis. Remain parts of the country show quietly low opportunity potential values. In particular, the southern-west and the northern-east parts show relatively very low values. This pattern appears for all sectors except for the opportunity potential of the environmental sector. It means that the spatial disparity in Korea have been promoted and enhanced by the national development policies concentrated the investment on the large cities along the Keuyng-Bu axis during the last 40 years.

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디파이의 금융권 제도화 패러다임 전환: 기술적 접근

  • Heesang Kim;Dohoon Kim
    • Review of KIISC
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.21-25
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    • 2024
  • 최근 몇 년 동안 탈중앙화 금융(DeFi)은 블록체인 기술의 혁신적인 사용을 통해 금융 부문의 지형을 재정의할 획기적인 세력으로 부상했다. 본 연구는 DeFi의 제도화를 향한 패러다임 전환에 대한 포괄적인 기술적 분석을 제시하며, DeFi가 전통적인 금융 시스템을 혼란에 빠뜨리고 글로벌 경제 프레임워크를 재구성할 수 있는 잠재력을 강조한다. 본 연구에서 스마트 계약, 분산형 자율 조직(DAO) 및 합의 알고리즘을 포함한 DeFi 핵심 기술의 복잡성을 조사하고 이러한 요소가 어떻게 집합적으로 보다 개방적이고 투명하며 포용적인 금융 생태계를 조성하는지 탐구한다. 주요 고려 사항에는 규제 장애물, 보안 문제, 확장성 문제, 혁신과 소비자 보호 간의 균형이 포함된다. 금융 포괄성, 특히 은행 서비스를 받지 못하는 인구와 은행 서비스를 받지 못하는 인구에게 금융 서비스에 대한 접근을 제공하는 역량 측면에서 DeFi의 혁신적인 잠재력에 대해 논의하여 일드 파밍, 유동성 채굴, 분산형 대출 등 새로운 금융 상품 및 서비스를 도입하는 데 있어 DeFi의 역할을 평가하여 소비자와 기존 금융 기관 모두에 미치는 영향을 강조한다. DeFi의 기술 기반과 기관 금융 프레임워크 내에서 급성장하는 역할에 대한 자세한 조사를 제공함으로써 본 논문은 금융의 미래 궤적과 글로벌 경제 시스템의 진화하는 역학에 대한 귀중한 통찰력을 제공하는 것을 목표로 한다.