• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인구유출

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Priority assessment and estimation of annual power generation for potential development site of hydroelectric dam in North Korea (북한지역 수력발전댐 개발가능지점에 대한 연간가능발생전력량 분석 및 개발 우선순위 평가)

  • Kwon, Minsung;Kim, Tae-Woong;Ahn, Jaehyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.10
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    • pp.929-939
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    • 2018
  • In North Korea, hydropower which occupies about 63% of power generation is a major electric power source, and North Korea has many advantages in the geographical for developing hydroelectric power. In this study, Information on the basin and dam capacity for 33 potential development site of hydroelectric dam was analyzed using DEM, and potential annual power generation was estimated by applying results of long-term runoff simulation with MWSWAT model for recent 30-year. The potential annual power generation at 33 dam was estimated to be about 28% of the current hydroelectric power in North Korea. In addition, a priority of dam development in each province was assessed by estimating the scale of an industry and prospecting the population change in the future. And a priority for dam development within the province was estimated based on the dam capacity and the potential annual power generation. The priority of each province was ranked in order of Pyeongannamdo, Hamgyungnamdo, Hamgyungbukdo, Hwanghaebukdo, Pyeonganbukdo, Jagangdo, Ryanggangdo, Hwanghaenamdo, and Gangwondo. The results of this study can be used as an initial review data for advancing to hydropower development project in North Korea.

Development of Water Risk Management Platform for Indonesia Area (인도네시아 물 재해 관리 플랫폼 개발과 적용성 평가)

  • Park, Dae Hee;Park, Joo Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.381-381
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    • 2019
  • 동남아시아의 급격한 도시인구 증가는 도시화로 파생되는 제반문제를 유발하고 있으며 특히 집중호우와 홍수배제 시설의 부족 및 유관시설의 정보관리체계 부재는 홍수 피해규모를 가중시키고 있다. 인도네시아의 경우 물 재해 관리기관 간의 정보공유체계 부재로, 홍수로 인한 문제해결에 대하여 효과적인 대응이 어려운 실정이다. 주요 물 관리 기관인 유역관리청(BBWS)의 경우 조기홍수경보시스템을 보유하고 있으나 단순 수문현황 모니터링에 국한되어 운영되고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 홍수피해를 최소화 할 수 있는 동남아시아 맞춤형 물 재해 관리 클라우드 플랫폼을 개발하여 비구조적 홍수 문제해결의 매개체로 활용하고자 한다. 기본적인 유역 수문현황 모니터링과 함께 댐, 보, 배수문 및 펌프장 등 홍수방어시설물의 운영현황 정보, 홍수상황분석, 홍수위험지도 등 종합적인 물 재해 정보를 제공하고 사전에 홍수위험 지역을 분석하여 유관기관과 공유할 수 있는 물 재해 관리 의사결정지원시스템을 개발하고자 한다. 기본적인 정보관리 체계화를 위하여 인도네시아의 다양한 물 재해 관련기관에서 보유하고 있는 자료들의 통합 클라우드 DB관리 시스템을 구축하였다. 연구대상지역은 인도네시아 수도인 자카르타의 Pesanggrahan유역과 인근 Batam섬 Baloi유역을 선정하였으며 대상 유역의 수문, 기상자료 및 GIS 정보수집은 공동연구기관인 인도네시아 공공사업부 수자원청(MPWH)과 주요 물 관리기관인 유역관리청(BBWS)의 협조를 통하여 진행하였다. 수집된 자료들은 관계형 데이터베이스 관리시스템인 MySQL을 사용하여 통합 물 재해 정보 데이터베이스를 구축하였으며 완성된 데이터베이스의 정보제공 및 공유시스템은 웹기반 인터페이스를 통해 관리되도록 설계하였다. 홍수유출 해석을 위한 분석 엔진은 K-water의 홍수분석 시스템인 FAS를 이용하였다. FAS의 홍수분석모형인 COSFIM과 수리모형인 Fldwav를 연계하는 데이터 분석 플랫폼을 완성하였으며 인도네시아 현지 조건에 부합하는 홍수분석 시스템으로 Customizing과정을 수행하였다. 또한 FAS의 PC기반 시뮬레이션 형식을 DB 연계형 웹서비스 방식으로 연동되도록 개량하였으며 추후 SaaS형 물 재해 분석시스템으로 전환할 수 있는 개발환경을 확보하였다. 개발된 물 재해 분석 플랫폼(WRMP)을 활용하여 인도네시아 공동연구기관과의 협의를 통해 물 재해 관리 시나리오를 수립하고 그 대안을 제시하였으며, 적용 시나리오별 홍수피해 저감 효과를 분석하였다. 또한 향후 방재시설물까지 연계하여 운영효과를 분석할 수 있도록 구조화하였다. 개발된 물 재해 관리 시스템은 개선된 정보처리 및 분석시스템을 활용하여 종합적인 물 재해정보를 제공하고, 사전에 홍수위험 지역을 분석하여 유관기관과 공유할 수 있는 물 재해 관리 의사결정 지원시스템으로써 유용하게 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

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Housing Choice Determinants of the Youth and Newlyweds Households: A Case Study of Incheon (청년·신혼부부의 주거선택요인에 관한 연구: 인천시를 중심으로)

  • Key, Yunhwan
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 2022
  • This study analyzes housing choice determinants of the youth and newlyweds households by using housing survey data in Incheon. A multinomial logit model is employed for analysis with the following variables: housing characteristics, housing market characteristics, and residential and neighborhood environment characteristics. The findings from the analysis are as follows. First, for the continued residence of the youth, the important factors were the relief assistance of housing maintenance costs. For the newlyweds, the important factors were the quality improvement of residential environments to ensure residential stability. Second, the housing choice factors to attract the youth were residential support for rent, maintenance costs, and relocation, and the improvements of residential environments such as security, noise levels, and medical facilities. For the newlyweds, the important factors were housing loan assistance for a home purchase or a cheonsei deposit and residential quality improvements for air pollution and parking facilities. Third, the youth were likely to move out due to high rental costs, and the newlyweds were likely to move out for the purchase of a new apartment or higher-quality housing.

A study on prediction method for flood risk using LENS and flood risk matrix (국지 앙상블자료와 홍수위험매트릭스를 이용한 홍수위험도 예측 방법 연구)

  • Choi, Cheonkyu;Kim, Kyungtak;Choi, Yunseok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.9
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    • pp.657-668
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    • 2022
  • With the occurrence of localized heavy rain while river flow has increased, both flow and rainfall cause riverside flood damages. As the degree of damage varies according to the level of social and economic impact, it is required to secure sufficient forecast lead time for flood response in areas with high population and asset density. In this study, the author established a flood risk matrix using ensemble rainfall runoff modeling and evaluated its applicability in order to increase the damage reduction effect by securing the time required for flood response. The flood risk matrix constructs the flood damage impact level (X-axis) using flood damage data and predicts the likelihood of flood occurrence (Y-axis) according to the result of ensemble rainfall runoff modeling using LENS rainfall data and as well as probabilistic forecasting. Therefore, the author introduced a method for determining the impact level of flood damage using historical flood damage data and quantitative flood damage assessment methods. It was compared with the existing flood warning data and the damage situation at the flood warning points in the Taehwa River Basin and the Hyeongsan River Basin in the Nakdong River Region. As a result, the analysis showed that it was possible to predict the time and degree of flood risk from up to three days in advance. Hence, it will be helpful for damage reduction activities by securing the lead time for flood response.

Assessment of the Non-point Source Pollution Control Strategies for Water Quality Improvement in the Haeban Stream of West Nakdong River Watershed (서낙동강 유역 해반천의 수질 개선을 위한 비점오염관리대책 효과 분석)

  • Yejin Kim
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2024
  • In this study, a HSPF model was developed to simulate runoff and water quality in the Haebancheon watershed, which has a high land area ratio and population density among the West Nakdong River watersheds. Various non-point source pollution control strategies were applied, and the reduction in pollutant loads and the exceedance rate of water quality standards were analyzed. The scenarios included basic road cleaning for reducing pollutant loads, runoff reduction measures considering extensive low-impact development techniques, and inflow reduction measures to mitigate non-point source pollution entering the river. In the first step, practical conditions such as the number of vehicles for road cleaning in Kimhae City were considered, while for the second and third steps, it was assumed that 50% of the applicable land use area was used to be applicable for the LID techniques. As a result of applying all three measures, it was analyzed that the BOD pollutant load could be reduced by 58.28%, T-N by 58.49%, and T-P by 51.56%. Furthermore, the 60th percentile of water quality measurements accumulated over 5 years was set as the target water quality, and a flow-duration curve was constructed. The exceedance rate of the flow-duration curve before and after applying non-point source pollution reduction measures was analyzed. As a result, for BOD, the exceedance rate decreased from 41.57% before applying the measures to 16.32% after, showing a 25.25% reduction in the exceedance rate. For T-N, the exceedance rate decreased significantly from 40.31% before the measures to 22.84% after, and for T-P, it decreased significantly from 62.43% to 27.22%.

The application of GIS and RS for extracting Sumjin Watershed hydrologic-parameter (섬진강 유역 수문인자 추출을 위한 GIS와 RS의 활용)

  • 김지은;이근상;조기성;장영률
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.257-274
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    • 2000
  • Recently, natural environment is being forced by the quick increasing of population and industrialization, and especially, capacity and pollution of water resource is being come to the front. It needs to extract the accurate topological and hydrological parameters of watershed in order to manage water resource efficiently. But, these data are processed yet by manual work and simple operation in hydrological fields. In this paper, we presented algorithm that could extract topological any hydrological parameters over Sumjin watershed using GIS and RS and it gives the saving of data processing time and the confidency of data. The extraction procedure of topological characteristics and hydrological parameters is as below. First, watershed and stream are extracted by DEM and curve number is extracted throughout the overlay of landcov map and soil map. Also, we extracted surface parameters like watershed length and the slope of watershed length by Grid computation into watershed and stream. And we gave the method that could extract hydrologic parameters like Muskingum K and sub-basin lag time by executing computation into surface parameters and average SCS curve number being extracted.

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Survey and Analysis of Impact of Hebei Spirit Oil Pollution Incident on Surrounding Environment (허베이스피리트호 유류오염사고가 주변환경에 미치는 영향조사 및 분석)

  • Chung, Kwang-Yong;Lee, Seung-Hwan
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.205-211
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    • 2012
  • According to the Hebei Spirit incident, 12,547kl of crude oil was spilled into the sea and a total of approximately 40,000 households was damaged. Also, eleven cities and counties including "Taean" were designated as a Special Disaster District by government. Large oil pollution incidents cause severe impact on the change of the surrounding environment as well as destruction of the natural environment of damaged areas. This study analyzes the impacts on the surrounding environment of damaged areas caused by Hebei Spirit oil pollution incident, focusing on the largest damaged county called Taean. Survey was performed with items which are changes in population and local economy, effects on public health, social conflicts and etc. The result of analysis can be used as an important factor to forecast the impact on a damaged area in case of future oil pollution incidents and to establish effective policy of government.

Analysis of the Watershed Information and Pollutants Load using GIS in Mankyung and Dongjin Rivers (지리정보체계를 이용한 만경강.동진강의 유역정보 및 오염부하량 분석)

  • Ko, Jae-Won;Jeong, Shin-Taek;Kim, Chul;Cho, Hong-Yeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.237-244
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    • 2001
  • The watershed information of the Mankyung River and Dongjin River is obtained and analysed using the GIS tool. The informations i.e., digital map, land use, point sources, weather station, water quality measurement station, and pollutants load unit are managed by DB system. The slope, rainfall, and generated pollutants loads of COD, TN and TP which are the input data of the rainfall-runoff-pollutants load model are estimated. From the analysis of the collected and generated data, the almost watershed area is composed of agricultural lands except the upstream regions. The population and industrial area are densely located in Cheonju City and Iksan City, whereas the farming areas are widely distributed.

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A Study on the Equilibrium Flow Area of Tidal Inlets in the Western Coasta of Korea (우리나라 서해안해변형성의 평형 관한 연구)

  • 지정환;고재웅
    • Water for future
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.43-56
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    • 1982
  • The Purpose of this study deal with some functional realationships in tidal of the Western Coast of Korean Peninsula under equilibrium conditions. The study was carried out by using actual field data meausred at 11 bay observation stations along the Western Coast. The minimum cross section versus the max. tidal prism of mean high water(Ps), the mean tital prism of mean high water(Pm), and the mean tidal prism of mean low water tide (Pn) are correlated. The most dominant results are attained at the A-Ps correlations. Furthermore it is well agreed with O'Briens results for the Pacific Coast of the United Stated. The results derived are as follows. $$A=9.078{\times10^{-4} P_n^{0.865}$$ $$A=3.048{\times10^{-3} P_n^{0.808}$$ $$A=2.30{\times10^{-2} P_n^{0.730}$$ By using those relationships if we know the minimum cross sectional area of the bay, we can easily estimate the tidal prism of the bay.

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The Future Requirements and Supply of Opticians in Korea (우리나라 안경사 인력의 수급전망과 정책방향)

  • Oh, Youngho
    • Journal of Korean Ophthalmic Optics Society
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.398-404
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: Concerns had been voiced about an oversupply of optometrists in Korea. So, this study aimed to forecast the supply and demand for opticians for policy implications. Methods: Baseline Projection model combined with demographic method was adopted as the supply forecasting method and so was a ratio method using the number of physician and population using weight of healthcare utilization. Results: Under the 'physician to optician ratio', there would be a surplus of 83~700 opticians in 2010 and an undersupply of 15 to surplus of 6,118 opticians in 2025. Under the 'population to optician ratio', there would be a surplus of 1,055 opticians in 2010 and surplus of 9,376 opticians in 2025. Conclusions: We concluded that there would be oversupply for opticians until 2025, although the shortage and surplus of opticians might depend on the ratio's criteria. Hence, policies would need to be developed that could solve the imbalance in requirements and supply for opticians.