• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인구감소 도시

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Fertility Differentials by Demographic and Socioeconomic Characteristics: Analysis of Korean Population Census Data (인구 및 사회경제적 차별출산력 - 인구센서스 자료분석을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Sam-Sik;Kim, Dong-Hoy;Kim, Tai-Hun
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.1-23
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구는 한국 기혼여성의 차별출산력 분석으로 인구학적 특성으로 연령, 초혼연령, 혼인상태 및 가족유형(가구구성)을 포함하구 사회경제적 특성으로 거주지역, 교육정도, 경제활동상태, 직업 및 주택 점유형태를 포함하였다. 통계청의 인구주택총조사를 원자료로 하여 인구 및 사회경제적 변인들이 출산력에 미친 영향을 파악하기 위하여 다변량 분석기법을 이용하였다. 초혼연령이 높아지면서 출산수준은 현저히 낮아졌으며, 배우자와 동거하는 기혼부인의 출생아수가 가장 많았으며, 이혼한 경우 가장 적었다. 자녀양육을 위한 부모의 도움을 받을 수 있는 3세대 이상 가족이 동거하는 가구의 경우 출산수준이 상대적으로 높았다. 그러나 최근 이혼이 급증하면서 유배우 상태가 빠르게 감소하구 1세대나 독신가구의 증가와 3세대 이상 가구의 감소는 앞으로의 출산수준을 더욱 빠르게 할 것이다. 사회경제적 특성별 차이에서도 유사한 현상을 발견할 수 있었다. 도시규모가 클수록, 학력수준이 높을수록, 전문사무직종에 근무할 경우, 그리고 전월세로 거주할 경우에 출산수준이 낮았다. 사회경제적 특성별 출생아수의 차이는 1980년에 가장 컸으며, 그 후 지속적으로 감소하고 있다. 더욱이 출산수준이 높은 농촌인구의 급감, 교육수준의 향상으로 교육간 차이의 감소 농어업직에 종사하는 기혼여성의 감소 등은 전체적인 출산수준을 빠르게 감소시키는 요인으로 작용하였다. 기혼부인의 특성별 출생아수의 차이는 여전히 뚜렷하였으나 그 차이는 점차 감소하고 있다. 또한, 출생아수가 많은 집단의 구성비가 빠르게 줄어드는 것을 감안하면 전체적인 출산수준의 감소는 더욱 빨라질 수 있다. 앞으로 2005년 인구주택총조사의 결과가 발표될 때 그 간의 특성별 출생아수의 차이와 인구구성비의 변화를 분석하면 대체출산수준에 근접한 1980년 이후 빠른 출산력의 감소원인을 이해하고 출산력의 장래 변화를 효과적으로 예측하는데 도움이 될 것이다.

Measuring the changes in the trend of urban and rural migration in Korea (최근 인구이동 추세의 변동)

  • 김남일
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.221-232
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    • 1998
  • There was a large reform in administrative districts during 1990-95, which might influence the estimates of migration according to the definition of migration. An indirect method has been worked out in this paper to measure the influence of the district reforms on migration estimation and to provide more accurate recent trend of migration. The district reform during 1950-95 tended to decrease the estimate of total migrants and influenced substantially the estimates of migrants between urban and rural. When the influences of district rewarm were removed, it was found that total migrations increased by 8.5%, between two periods 1985-'90 and 1990-'95, and the net migrants in the rural areas reduced drastically. It was also found that the change in migration trend between urban and rural was no more a local but a nation wide phenomenon.

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The Pattern and Characteristics of Population Movement in Kangwon Province (강원도의 인구이동 유형과 특성)

  • Chung, Sung-Ho
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.133-155
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the pattern and characteristics of population movement in Kangwon province. The data for this study were drawn from in- out- migration data established by Korea National Statistical Office(KNSO) between 2000 and 2007. Sample survey and depth interview were also used. The results showed that the population of all Si and Gun except Choonchun and Wonju declined. This decline of population in Kangwon province persisted during the last decades. The decline started with the industrialization in the 1960s and 1980s. The decline of population in Kangwon province continued in the 1990s and 2000s with the open agriculture policy rooted in UR and FTA. All Si and Gun can be classified into five groups in terms of population movement in Kangwon province between 2000 and 2007. The first group(Group B) is where in-migration from other Si and Gun and out-migration to Seoul and Kyunggi continues in the period. Choonchun, Wonju, and Sokcho belong to this category. The second group(Group C) is where out-migrarion to Seoul and Kyunggi is larger the in-migration. It includes Cholwon, Taebaek, Donghae, and Samchok. The third group(Group D) is where out-migration to Group B is larger than that of other places. Hwachun, Pyungchang, Hoegsung, Gosung, and Hongchun are included in this group. The fourth group(Group E) is where out-migration to both Group B and Seoul & Kyunggi is large. Youngwol, Gangnung, and Chungsun belong to this category. The fifth group(Group F) is where few population movement occurs. It includes Yangyang, Yanggu, and Injae. The findings also shows that the extent of population movement to Choonchun and Wonju is larger than that of Seoul and Kyunggi in recent period. This finding indicates that the effect of base city like Choonchun and Wonju has become in recent years.

Changes in Demographic and Housing Characteristics of New Towns in Korea: Focused on Five New Towns in Seoul Metropolitan Area (우리나라 신도시의 인구 및 주거특성 변화: 분당, 일산 등 1기 신도시를 중심으로)

  • Yoon, Jeong-Joong;Kim, Eun-Mi
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.235-246
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    • 2014
  • In the late 1980s, 5 new towns such as Bundang, Ilsan, Pyeongchon, Sanborn, Jungdong were constructed to solve housing problems and to disperse functions concentrated within Seoul. As the city got matured, it began to appear the initial signs of urban problems such as aging of high rise-density apartment sites, traffic congestion, lack of parking spaces and aging of infrastructure. Therefore, in order to cope with urban problems, it is very important to apprehend the process of urban growth, its change and the feature of physical/human elements. So, the purpose of this thesis is to analyze the changes in housing and population characteristics for past 20 years by use of Census data from 1995 to 2010. First, the new town's goal of population and housing plan at the time of construction was analyzed how it was achieved, and it is close to the performance of the goal. And the trend of changes in the population and household characteristics was analyzed by every five year's data. As the result of analysis, it shows socio-demographic changes such as aged and elderly population growth, rapid increase in one generation's household and single person household, highly educated city, monthly rent household's increase and charter household's reduction. Results of this analysis can be utilized to aforethought management of new towns. But it is required more sustained and systematic urban monitoring and data analysis because the one-off analysis of the city's characteristics alone is difficult enough to grasp them.

Variability in the Effective Spatial Range of the Population Centripetal Force of CBD (도심 인구구심력의 유효범위 변동성 측정)

  • Nam, Kwang-Woo;Kang, In-Joo;Im, Doo-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.120-131
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    • 2009
  • This study measured the centripetal force and effective scope of the population spread from urban center and subcenters in order to diagnose the urban spatial structure of the formation of a multicentric city structure in Busan. The study analyzed the variability of the determination coefficient value (R square) with a negative exponential function derived from the population density model by extending the circular region into 5-km units. The aim of this study was to measure changes in the effective scope of the population centripetal force of the urban center and subcenter in 5-year intervals from 1995 to 2005 using census data. The explanatory adequacy of the population density function was examined with the bias of the function to calculate the distance error between the real location of the urban center and the optimal location, according to the population density function. To summarize the results, the value for the area of Jungangdong showed a continuous reduction, whereas Seomyeon (Bujeondong) maintained explanatory adequacy without a large change. As a whole, Busan was in the process of continuous diversification, in spite of its reduced population. Therefore, it appears necessary to strengthen the function of the urban center and subcenter and to supply adequate dwelling zones close to downtown to form a more efficient urban spatial structure. The results of the present study will be utilized as basic data for the formulation of a political approach to the efficient reorganization of spatial structure by correlating concrete spatial information with the population variability of Busan's urban center and subcenter.

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Spatial Patterns of Migration in the Busan Metropolitan Area (부산권 인구이동의 공간적 패턴에 관한 연구)

  • Koo, Dong-Hoe
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.930-939
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    • 2007
  • This study intends to demonstrate that the population decrease in the City of Busan has been resulted from the move of the city's population towards suburbs as well as the out-migration towards the Seoul metropolitan area. To grasp the pattern in the spatial shift of the Busan's population, I analyze the change of population and households within the city and the migration at the inter-regional and intra-metropolitan scales. The major findings of the study are as follows: First, Busan has experienced population decline since 1995, as other large cities, such as Seoul and Daegu have done. Second, despite the population decrease, the number of households has been increased in Busan. Third, the residents of Busan have mostly moved not only to the Seoul metropolitan area but also to the suburban region of Busan. This finding may well contradict the long-standing belief that the continued decrease in the Busan population could be the result of the out-migration toward the Seoul metropolitan area. Fourth, the residential suburbanization in Busan can be interpreted as the extensive intra-metropolitan dispersion, which means the growth of the Busan metropolitan area.

Estimation of Employment Creation Center considering Spatial Autocorrelation: A Case of Changwon City (공간자기상관을 고려한 고용창출중심지 추정: 창원시 사례를 중심으로)

  • JEONG, Ha-Yeong;LEE, Tai-Hun;HWANG, In-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.77-100
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    • 2022
  • In the era of low growth, many provincial cities are experiencing population decline and aging. Population decline phenomena such as reduction of productive manpower, reduction of finances, deterioration of quality of life, and collapse of the community base are occurring in a chain and are being pushed to the brink of extinction of the cities. This study aims to propose a methodology to objectively estimate the employment creation centers and setting the basic unit of industrial-centered zoning by applying spatial statistical techniques and GIS for the application of the compact city plan as an efficient spatial management policy in a city with a declining population. In details, based on reviewing previous studies on compact city, 'employment complex index(ECI)' were defined considering the number of workers, the number of settlers, and the area of development land, the employment creation center was estimated by applying the 'Local Moran's I' and 'Getis-Ord's Hot-Spot Analysis'. As a case study, changes in the four years of 2013, 2015, 2017, and 2019 were compared and analyzed for Changwon City. As a result, it was confirmed that the employment creation center is becoming compacted and polycentric, which is a significant result that reflects the actual situation well. This results provide the basic data for functional and institutional territorial governance for the regional revitalization platform, and provide meaningful information necessary for spatial policy decision-making, such as population reduction, regional gross domestic product, and public facility arrangement that can respond to energy savings, transportation plans, and medical and health plans.

Changes of Spatial Structure in Busan Metropolitan using GIS - with Special Reference to Population, Employment and Land Prices - (GIS를 활용한 부산시공간구조변천에 관한 연구 - 인구, 고용, 지가분포를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Heung-Kwan
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.204-214
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    • 2006
  • The necessity of a management for a metropolitan has long intrigued many urban scholars and researchers who are interested in Busan metropolitan spatial structure and its problems. The purpose of this study is to investigate the dynamic changes of spatial structure in Busan Metropolitan by analyzing the population, employment and Land prices, for the period of 1993, 2001. The major results in this study are as follows; While main-centers have experienced significant loss of population, sub-centers have been growing. Jung-Ang Dong still has high accessibility in population potentials, but its accessibility has declined since 1993. Pu-Jeon Dong had increasing trend of population until 2000, but its population has also descended since that time. Meanwhile, the population of sub-centers has increased in its accessibility. And The spatial pattern of the population in Busan has changed from monocentric to polycentric. This phenomenon was almost spontaneously generated from population dispersion from existing main-centers. In terms of change of land values are there is a spatial and temporal rhythm in the urbanization of Busan. The highest land value in Busan is shown in CBD. The development of Busan proceeded along the north-south belt and extended to west Busan.

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Analysis on the Correlation between Noise and Urban Forests (도시림과 소음의 상호 연관관계 분석)

  • Ahn, Byeong-Il;Yang, Jun-Seok;Kim, Eui-Gyeong
    • Journal of agriculture & life science
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2009
  • This study analyzes the correlation between noise and the size of urban forests. Under the assumption that the main cause of the noise m the city is the population density, the size of urban forests per capita and the ratio of urban forests with respect to the size of urban per 100 thousand persons are used for the calculation of correlations with noise. The results of the calculations of Pearson's and Spearman's correlation coefficients indicate that the increase in the size of urban forests has a significant effects in reducing the day-time as well as night-time noise for most regions in the cities. The size of urban forests within public parks has a significantly negative correlation with the noise. However, calculated correlation coefficients imply the increase in the size of total urban forests is more effective in reducing the noise than the increase in the urban forests in public parks.